“The Great Solar Swindle”

Die Welt, one of Germany’s flagship dailies, wrote up a comprehensive assessment of solar energy as a supply of energy to meet demand titled: The Great Solar Swindle.

The authors of the piece, Daniel Wetzel and Reto Klar, as suggested by the title, conclude that solar energy is a well-executed swindle that was and is promoted by slick industry lobbyists. Today solar panels and systems, massively subsidized by the government, are enjoying a boom in Germany. Solar energy is the number one desired form of renewable energy by Germans, according to a recent survey. The industry, needless to say, is making money hand over fist.

And because the solar energy boom is riding a tsunami of political populism, leaders are afraid of a political backlash should they try to put the brakes on the runaway gravy train.

Indeed behind all the solar energy brightness, the very dark clouds of economic and technical reality are gathering quickly. Despite all the billions in investment, solar energy in Germany today still only contributes a measly 3% of the country’s energy needs. It is many times more expensive than the conventional coal or nuclear power, and thus is causing rates for consumers to rise rapidly. And as Die Welt writes, it is not creating thousands of green jobs, except in Asia that is, where 70% of the solar modules now installed in Germany are made.

Expert council advises the German government to scale back solar installations

One big problem is that solar energy does not work well in often gray and overcast Germany, and so it makes little economic sense to add more solar capacity. Die Welt writes that an…

Expert council for environmental issues, a high level advisory commission for the federal government, recommends no longer forcing the expansion of photovoltaic, but rather to restrict them to very tight limits. Flensburg environment scientist Olav Hohmeyer, a member of the expert council, requests that the current rate of solar expansion be scaled back by at least 85% to only 500 to 1000 megawatts annually.”

Clearly the government is beginning to see that the power supply is becoming vulnerable and is at risk. When the power supply is at risk, then so are the consumers and industry who need a steady supply that can be relied on. Costs and feasibility are now under hefty criticism. Die Welt writes:

The Rhine Westphalia Institute for Economic Research (RWI) says that because of the ‘hype surrounding photovoltaic’, a growing cost tsunami will hit Germany.

and later quotes Thomas Bareiß, energy policy coordinator of Merkel’s CDU/CSU faction:

What is taking place here makes no economic sense and is socio-politically irresponsible.”

The authors list 10 reasons why solar energy needs to be re-evaluated:

1. It is not cheap.

Just for the modules built by the end of 2010, the German consumer will be saddled with pure subsidy costs, or so-called ‘solar debt’, to the tune of € 81.5 billion, which will have to be paid over a period of 20 years.

According to calculations by the RWI, German consumers will incur another €42 billion in costs by 2020.”

Add necessary grid expansion to the cost calculation and costs explode conservatively beyond $200 billion!

2. Nuclear power is not expensive

Cheap energies like coal and nuclear are being  forced out of the market and replaced by expensive alternative energies. The cost of the additional infrastructure needed by wind and solar will make nuclear and coal power look like a real bargain in the long run. And then consider plans by the EU to go ahead with Desertec, which is estimated today at €400 billion, and whose price tag will surely skyrocket over time. Worse, it will be located in the Sahara, i.e. in countries that are hardly stable.

3. There’s no demand for it.

“The solar lobby wants to install 70 gigawatts by 2020.” The problem is that there will be little power generation in the wintertime, and all the surplus generation in the summer time will have to be given away to foreign countries.

4. Energy independence is a fairy tale

At Germany’s latitudes, peak production capacity of solar modules are only possible 875 hours of the 8760 hours in a year. The rest of the time is night, bad weather or winter. That means solar panel owners are forced to draw power from the rest of the grid 9 of every 10 hours, like everyone else has to.”

5. Local communities are being weakened

Energy independence and local production is supposed to strengthen the community, but the opposite is true. For example communities with hydro-power do not need solar or wind power, and so cannot accept it.”

But now public utilities have to invest millions of euros in additional equipment just so that a few dozen people can earn a few thousand euros with solar power.

6. The problem of storing power

Solar panels often produce energy when you don’t need it, or produce nothing when you need it the most. If only there was a cheap way to store the energy. Boston Consulting Group (BCG) says Germany’s current storage capacity using pump reservoirs is 7 gigawatts only.

To be able to supply enough energy for one week without wind or solar and without conventional power plants, 1260 pump-reservoir power plants of the type used in Goldisthal would be needed. ‘Ignoring that Germany has no suitable locations for such facilities’, say Bode and Groscurth and write ‘the costs per kilowatt hour would be astronomical because most of these systems are operated only for a few hours each year’.”

7. Hightech industry – but not in Germany

Global market share of German-made solar cells dropped last year alone from 15.4 to 9.7%. During the same short time period, China’s global market share climbed 25% to 48% overall. Promoted by cheap credits from the Chinese state banks, Chinese manufacturers such as Yingli, Suntech or JA Solar are snapping up complete production lines that use the latest western technology.”

8. Job engine solar industry is a myth

Even using the rosy figures from the German solar industry, the number of jobs by 2020 will not only not grow, but will even shrink.”

9. The solar boom has been a big success – for a few lobbyists.

The rest will have to pay through the nose.

10. Contribution to climate protection is insignificant, and costly.

Photovoltaic is the most expensive way of climate protection. Scientists of the International Energy Agency (IEA) or the RWI have calculated how much it costs to prevent one ton of greenhouse gas CO2 from be emitted from a fossil fuel plant by other energy sources. The result: The CO2 prevention cost for photovoltaic was a record high of €648 per ton.”

Kook Science and Predictions Spreading Beyond Climatology

It’s a slow climate news day here in Germany, and this story at chinadaily.com happened to catch my eye.

Russian scientists expect to meet aliens by 2031

So there you are. Kook scientists (funded by the poor taxpayers) are also to be found in fields other than climate science. To be honest, I’d say the odds these aliens being discovered are likely greater than some of the goofy climate predictions we’ve heard from GISS or the PIK coming true. The China Daily writes:

Russian scientists expect humanity to encounter alien civilizations within the next two decades, a top Russian astronomer predicted on Monday.

‘The genesis of life is as inevitable as the formation of atoms… Life exists on other planets and we will find it within 20 years,’ Andrei Finkelstein, director of the Russian Academy of Sciences’ Applied Astronomy Institute, was quoted by the Interfax news agency as saying. Speaking at an international forum dedicated to the search for extraterrestrial life, Finkelstein said 10 percent of the known planets circling suns in the galaxy resemble Earth.

Where does he come up with 10%? Fat chance of that being true. And planets that resemble earth? Right!

If water can be found there, then so can life, he said, adding that aliens would most likely resemble humans with two arms, two legs and a head. “They may have different colour skin, but even we have that,” he said.

Gee, and I thought alarmist climate scientists were kooks and losing it completely.

I agree that there is a chance that there is “other life” out there – maybe way way out there, like 100 million light years away, and in some “weird” form. But the chances that there is a planet with creatures with “two arms, two legs and a head” living on it, and close enough to be discovered, and that in the next 20 years, is statistically zero. That would require a planet whose numerous physical features would be incredibly similar to the earth’s, and one that would also have followed a similar geological, climatic multi-million year history and evolution. We’re talking zillions of factors here.

Forget it.

But let’s say we did miraculously discover such creatures. Then the planet on which they live would very very very likely be thousands if not millions of light years away, meaning the images and signals that we would be receiving would be thousands or millions of years old, meaning the creatures would be long dead anyway.

Sorry, but we’re on our own here, and our stay is temporary. Just be glad you even got the precious chance to know the earth.

Climate Change Now Causes More Boredom! Interest In Climate Change Reaches 5-Year Low In Sweden

We’ve all heard how climate change causes everything that’s bad for humans and the planet to increase and to intensify. Well, ironically, that also now includes boredom on the subject of climate change itself. Many are simply just getting bored to death by it.

Indeed a spate of recent studies have shown that people are growing tired and unconcerned about climate change in a number of countries. Much of this is due to the lack of credibility the science is suffering in the wake of all the scandals, scams and exaggerations that have been exposed over the last couple of years.

Climate boredom has also gripped Sweden too, as the English-language The Local writes here:

Swedes’ environmental interest plummets: report

Public interest in climate issues has dropped to its lowest point in five years, according to the upcoming annual SOM report from the University of Gothenburg. Only 14 percent of Swedes currently consider the environment to be among our most important problems, reports daily newspaper Svenska Dagbladet.

This is the lowest figure since 2006, and far behind the record-high figures of the late eighties, when Swedes’ environmental involvement truly boomed.”

When one considers how often people have been exposed to the same, worn-out climate disaster reruns about surging sea levels, storms, weather extremes, droughts, floods, dying oceans, etc., then no one ought wonder why boredom on the subject is so deeply entrenched.

According to The Local, greens blame the lack of media interest in climate change. The figures show a plummet in Swedish public interest:

This trend has now been broken, and last year this number had decreased heavily, from 21 to 14 percent.”

To be honest, it has nothing to do with media slacking off on the subject. It has everything to do with them making false projections time and again. You can only cry wolf so many times before you lose all credibility and respect. Once shown to be a liar and a charlatan, it later becomes virtually impossible to convince others of anything else.

Today climate change is probably not boring only for climate skeptics. Indeed for us it is now just beginning to get interesting.

Quo Vadis Sea Level – Tropical Pacific Sea Levels DROPPED From 1958 – 2007, New Study Shows

Tuvalu is saved! What follows is a press release from the Leibniz Institute for Marine Science (IFM-GEOMAR) on a new paper appearing in the GRL, which shows sea level changes are far more complex than first thought. It’s back to the drawing board for climate and sea level modellers. (Hat-tip Science Skeptical)
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Quo Vadis Sea Level? New Study Shows Ocean Currents Lead To Strong Regional Fluctuations
Dr. Andreas Villwock

Scientists of the Leibniz Institute for Marine Science (IFM-GEOMAR) have now shown that there are large regional variations when it comes to sea level change. The causes are due to changes in ocean currents, which lead to varying sea levels, especially in the tropical Pacific and Indian Oceans.

Chart above: Sea level fluctuations caused by wind and ocean currents (relative to mean global sea level rise) for the period 1958-2007 (in cm). The model simulation shows regions with sunken sea level (blue) in the tropical Pacific and Indian Ocean. Graphic from IFM-GEOMAR.

Why has the sea level in some regions of the tropical Indian Ocean and Pacific risen strongly over the last 15 years, while in the decades before the sea levels at these locations dropped? The ocean scientists from Kiel are uncovering why by using computer simulations. A paper now appearing in the Geophysical Research Letters shows that fluctuations in ocean currents, caused by trade winds in the tropical Pacific, play an important role.

The impact of wind and ocean currents are prevalent in the tropical Pacific especially in the wake of the El Niño phenomena. “The associated swashing back and forth of the warm surface water leads to a continuous rise and drop in sea level of up to 20 cm within just a few years“, explains oceanographer Franziska Schwarzkopf of the Leibniz Institute for Marine Science (IFM-GEOMAR) and author of the study.

While these short term fluctuations are well documented by modern satellite measurements, little was known about the long-term pattern of changes. “Our computer simulations which use current models show that regional water levels also over time periods of several decades are affected by wind changes and ocean currents“, says Professor Claus Böning, director of Kiel Ocean-Modelling and co-author of the study. A surprising finding from the scientists in Kiel:

In the middle of the last 50 years, some areas in the tropical Pacific and Indian Ocean experienced a drop in sea levels, contrary to the global trend.”

These new results on sea level rise of the last decades mean an additional challenge for climate modeling. “Whether a group of islands has to reckon with a greater increase in sea level with respect to the average, or can reckon with a temporary drop over the next decades depends decisively on the development of the wind systems and ocean currents“, says Böning. “Future research programs will put increasing focus on the regional fluctuations in the oceans.“

The paper: Schwarzkopf, F.U. and C.W. Böning, 2011: Contribution of Pacific wind stress to multi-decadal variations in upper-ocean heat content and sea level in the tropical south Indian Ocean. Geophysical Research Letters, 38, L12602, doi: 10.1029/2011GL047651.

Contact:
Prof. Dr. Claus Böning, Tel: (+49) 431 600-4003, cboening@ifm-geomar.de
Dr. Andreas Villwock (public relations), Tel: (+49) 431 600-2802, avillwock@ifm-geomar.de

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Other reading (h/t: Krishna Gans): Meteorologically driven trends and worldclimatereport.

Cooling (Not Warming) Causing Catastrophic North American Floods Of 2011

NTZ contributor and climate observer Matti Vooro provides evidence that the floods of North America are likely linked to cooling, and not warming.
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Global Cooling – The Real Cause Behind The Catastrophic North American Floods Of 2011
by Matti Vooro

The Canadian Prairies and the United States North Central regions are experiencing one of the worst flood seasons going back some 350 years, read here, here, here, and here. The reason for these floods is not well reported or researched by our media.

These floods stem from the extreme cold and the significant snow extent that fell in the central North America during the past winter. The very significant initial spring snow melt followed by a cool and very wet spring has resulted in more water than the ground could possibly hold. Some areas are having continuous flooding and have received two floods already and may get a third flood as well from new heavy rainfall.

US And Canadian temperatures have been falling

Unreported by the media are the news that the annual and winter temperatures have been falling over most areas of US and southern Canada [excluding the north] since 1998, and more significantly during the last 4 years [see below]. So how can the floods be due to warming?

Winter temperatures in the USA have been plummeting:

Winter temperatures in the contiguous United States, 1998-2011 (NCDC)

Also in Southern Canada:

Winter temperature departures from 1948-2011 for the Canadian Prairies and Northwest Forest Regions for 1998-2011. Source: Environment Canada

Snow extent is also on the rise:

Snowfall extent is climbing. From Rutgers University

Snow depth in Northern US And Southern Canada in April according to the NOAA:

Source: http://climvis.ncdc.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/cag3/hr-display3.pl

As winters cool, more snow accumulates, which contributes to flooding. As temperatures cool, how can the flooding be due to warming?

While AGW climate scientists and some world governments are mainly focused on the non-existing global warming, the globe is actually cooling and the impact of this cooling is far greater and more imminent than that of global warming 100 years from now, as these floods clearly illustrate.

This colder and wet weather means that crops cannot be planted and the entire season could be lost for the affected areas. These regions are the bread baskets of the globe and we should all be concerned. Over 1.2 million hectares of farming land may already be lost for farming this year in the Manitoba, and Saskatchewan region alone as recently reported on our news. Similar losses may happen in the United States.

More floods in the future – due to cooling

We are likely to see many more spring floods in the upcoming years like the 2011 floods because the cold winters are returning and could be with us for the next 20-30 years – like we had during the late 1970’s as the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans cool and lose their current heat content. These inland areas of North America are clearly cooling faster than the coastal areas since their climate is not moderated by still warm oceans. This will change in the future as the oceans start to cool and coastal areas will also get colder like Western Europe and Eastern North America.

These events, like the cold and snowy winters, extra flooding and severe tornadoes, have very little to do with man-made carbon dioxide or global warming as the global temperatures have been cooler than normal this winter and the early part of this year, and global and regional temperatures have actually been declining.

The expensive and misguided anti-global warming policies divert valuable funds from other vital areas of our global life, like helping nations who are suffering and experiencing natural disasters, improved flood control, rebuilding homes and infrastructure after tornadoes and major flooding and extra food storage for emergencies as well as job creation, better health care and poverty.

In my judgment this problem could get much worse in the coming years. Like the Pacific Ocean, the North Atlantic Ocean is also cooling again and by 2015 we could begin to feel even cooler weather during the winter and spring especially along the North American eastern coasts and Western Europe. Food and energy could be in short supply unless we all adjust our national and global focus from a non existing global warming threat to a much bigger and very current threat from global cooling for the next 20-30 years.

In summary, the message of this brief article is that we are totally focused on the wrong weather. The impact of global and regional cooling from our winters is much more severe and immediate than any minor impact of global warming 100 years from now, the effect of which may never materialize. Our limited financial resources are being channeled in the wrong direction with little benefit to the planet or to humanity.

Matt Vooro

CRASH! European Carbon Market Plummets

Portuguese website Ecotretas here informs us that the European carbon market, the EU Emissions Allowances, has crashed over 20% last week alone, see the following chart.

Carbon price per ton in euros over the last one year. Graphic source: http://www.eex.com

Read more about what is behind the crash at Ecotretas

In the scheme, carbon emission allowances, called EU Allowances (EUAs), are allocated to specific industrial sectors and cap the total level of emissions at levels which reduce over time. There are just over two billion allowances on issue, which are traded between emitters and other market participants on exchanges and via brokers.

The European Union started the market in carbon dioxide emissions in 2005.

The EU trading acheme applies to 7300 companies and 11,500 installations in sectors with high carbon dioxide emissions across the 27 nations of the EU. These include: energy utilities, oil refineries, iron and steel producers, the pulp and paper industry as well as producers of cement, glass, lime, brick and ceramics. Aviation. The scheme is regulated by the European Commission (EC).

First the science crumbles, then the costs explode, the illusions melt away, and finally the markets crash. But don’t expect Europe to change course. In socialist Europe it’s: “Let no economic suicide go unfinished!”

No wonder China doesn’t want any part of this scam, and so refuses to buy any Airbus planes from bossy Europe.

 

Leading German Meteorologist: Michael Mann’s Sea Level Story Is “A Quack”

What follows in English is a summary version of a piece appearing here at the European Institute for Climate and Energy (EIKE) based in Germany, written by retired meteorologist Klaus-Eckart Puls.
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PIK report: “Sea level rising fastest in 2000 years” turns out to be a quack! Data shows no change!

Sea levels are now rising faster than at any time in the last 2000 years claims a new hockey stick manufactured by Michael Mann and Stefan Rahmstorf. But that claim has already turned out to be bogus.

As nobody cares much about so-called climate change anymore, the Potsdam Institute For Climate Impact Research (PIK) had to come up with another scare story: rapidly rising sea levels. That claim is supported by a whopping 2 (cherry-picked) North Carolina coastal sediment cores, which the authors claim reflect sea level behavior for the entire globe.  Other scientists have already poured cold water on the paper, like Jens Schröter of the Alfred Wegener Institute, who says Mann’s and Rahmstorf’s paper is “unsuitable for making predictions”.

The opposite is the reality

The new predictions of catastrophe are not based on actual MEASUREMENTS. Actual measurements made by coastal tide gauges and satellites show the opposite is likely happening, i.e. sea level rise is actually decelerating. Presented are 7 datasets that contradict the latest Mannian hockey-stick fantasy.

(1) The US-Coastal Journal reports that sea level rise rate is clearly slowing down – based on tide gauge measurements, full publication here:

It is essential that investigations continue to address why this worldwide-temperature increase had not produced acceleration of global sea level over the past 100 years, and indeed why sea level has possibly decelerated for the last 80 years.”

(2) EUMETSAT recently made public the GLOBAL sea level data/measurements. Result: No trace of an acceleration! See the following graphic:

3) The GFZ Potsdam reached the same result, showing that there is no global uniform trend. Moreover, many locations show a huge sea level drop!

(4) Norderney and Cuxhaven German coastal locations have records going back over 100 years, and so does the NLWKN Lower Saxony State Association and the state of Lower Saxony for the North Sea coast. These MEASUREMENTS too show no acceleration in sea level increase (text translated below):

The text in English:

NLWKN (Annual Report 2005)
“All the discussions and horror scenarios for nothing:
There is no scientific basis for a massive increase in sea level by 2100. The NLWKN has an objective witness for saying this: the tide gauge of Nordeney. It provides a consistent recording of the water level for 100 years. From this data series you can read it: The increase for the time period from 1906 to 2005 is exactly 24.3 cm.

The state government of Lower Saxony:
“Climate change is not detectable:
The state government sees no signs of an increasing sea level at the North Sea coast as a result of climate change. Also the trend of more frequent storm surges is not detectable, says Minister of the Environment Hans-Heinrich Sander (FDP) in the state parliament. The trend remains unchanged at 25 cm per century. A more rapid increase is not observed.”

It needs to be pointed out that since the last Ice Age, North Germany’s coastal land is sinking, while Scandinavia’s is rising.

5) Works from the Institute for Historical Coastal Research Wilhelmshaven also show completely different results from those of PIK and Mann:

The above chart shows that for the period of 1600 to 2000 sea level rose on average 35 cm/century. But from 1900 – 2000, it rose only 25 cm. That is a clear deceleration. Afterwards: The sea level in the recent years has risen even more slowly than in the 20th century! …there is no trace of any acceleration whatsoever.

(6) A NASA team of authors recently published a report that clearly highlighted two points:
(a) No acceleration in sea level exists,
(b) The sea temperature shows a declining trend,
consequently there exists no thermally accelerated sea level increase:

Blue line: global sea level as to AVISO,
Red line: Sea surface temperature since 2004 ARGO (3000 bouys).

(7) Even the IPCC came to the same conclusion that there is no acceleration. With each report the projected sea level for the year 2100 was revised downwards every time – now it is projected to be only 40 cm:

IPCC prognoses: Step-by-step returning to reality.

Finally, when one takes into account that the PIK and the Mann author-team are known worldwide as alarmists, e.g. Michael Mann (hockey stick inventor), Stefan Rahmstorf (PIK) et al., then considerable doubt on the credibility of this doomsday paper is in complete order.

A recent critique of the sea level alarmism can be found here.

Klaus-Eckart Puls – EIKE

(Translation/editing by P. Gosselin)
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EU Climate Negotiations Break Down Too – Dzieki Poland!

With the spate of bogus horror “climate papers” coming out recently, e.g. rapid sea level riseoceans dying and spreading drought, one has to wonder if they weren’t timed to scare politicians into taking rash action at climate-rescue conferences. If they were, they have failed miserably so far.


EU Environment Council in Luxembourg on Tuesday. (Photo: President of the Council)

Firstly, the international climate talks in Bonn, which were aimed at forging a successor agreement to the Kyoto Protocol, which expires next year, broke down, failed and ended with no result. There won’t be a Kyoto-2 anytime in the foreseeable future. See Kyoto obituaries everywhere and Yvo de Boer: Kyoto is dead.

Yet, Europe still insists on being gung-ho about going it alone in rescuing the climate with its roughly 10% modest share of global emissions – to show the world the way. But perhaps reality is finally beginning to sink in in Europe too. The leftist and warmist Klimaretter here reports that talks yesterday in Luxembourg between the EU’s 27 environment ministers also collapsed and ended in failure. Klimaretter writes:

Uproar among the EU Minister Council in Luxemburg: The 27 ministers have postponed negotiations.

Without energetic efforts, the EU will fall way short of its long-term climate targets. Artur Runge-Metzger, responsible director at the General Climate direction of the EU-Commission, drew up a handout for the environment ministers that hardly could have better illustrated political failure:  instead of an 80% reduction, the production of climate gases will be reduced by only 40%.”

Not that this difference would make any climatic difference globally to begin with. To put it in perspective, the EU is responsible for just over 10% of the world’s CO2 emissions. That means the difference between 40% and 80% reduction in Europe would make little climatic difference globally, yet would entail huge costs and sacrifice for European citizens.

Initially a press conference had been scheduled for the early afternoon to present details on the new plan. But by 6 pm there was still no press conference. It was becoming clear that no agreement could be reached. Klimaretter writes:

So there was little wonder that by 6 pm there still had not been a press conference: Hopelessly without agreement, the ministers psotponed the matter. ‘A black day for the leadership of the EU,’ said the British Minister for Energy and Climate Change, Chris Huhne, who put the blame on Poland: Poland refused to grant its approval for a step-by-step plan, and thus caused Runge-Metzger’s preparations to wind up in the dustbin.”

Also read here, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/06/21/eu-climate-britain-idUSB5E7HK01M20110621 – hat-tip GWPF.

So how does one say “Thank You!” in Polish?

Dzieki Poland!

EU Parliamentarian: “Europe Climate Policy Dead End…China, India, Australia Waving Goodbye

It’s over. All that is left to die is that last flicker of European hope.Another European politician has long since seen the bold-letter writing on the wall. The following was written by European Parliamentarian Holger Krahmer and appears in German at the Achse des Guten here. What follows is an English translation (emphasis added).

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Only Europe Still Believes In Rescuing The Climate
by Holger Krahmer (MdEP)

The climate policy of the European Union is now stuck for good in a dead end. Europe wanted to be the leader – showing the world the way. They especially wanted to export the “market-economic” instrument of emissions trading as a new standard of regulation. The climate summits in Copenhagen and in Cancun were supposed to herald in a successor treaty for the 1997 Kyoto Protocol, which expires in 2012. Both summits yielded zero results. Today it is clear: There is going to be no successor agreement. Also the option of simply extending the existing Kyoto Protocol was thrown overboard by the main countries at the last G8 summit.

The situation in global climate politics can be summarized in short: There isn’t any.

Especially the emerging economies of Asia are refusing to allow their possibilities for growth to be curbed by obligatory CO2 reductions. Everywhere globally, climate laws are being buried for good or put on ice. Especially the once ballyhooed instrument of emissions trading is obsolete. China, India and Australia are waving goodbye. In the USA the Chicago Climate Exchange was closed just after the last midterm Congressional elections. Just before that, the self-anointed climate pope Al Gore cashed in by selling his shares. “Climate politics is a dead project“ is the word in Washington today. Yet, the EU is still clinging to all measures and is even discussing making them even stricter. As a result, we are now left alone with the political costs of CO2 reduction. We are ignoring international reality with an amazing level of tenacity.

As always, we continue to stick to the naive, worn-out argument: “Someone has to start the process.“ That start is a go-it-alone! And if we do not wake up to that, then we will ruin our market economy with one-sided massive costs.

In the end, that will do nothing for the climate. No matter what CO2 may do in the atmosphere, every reduction in European emissions will be offset very quickly by other emissions someplace else in the world. In addition to the political realities, questioning the scientific basis of climate change put out by the IPCC is being increasingly equated as a sort of blasphemy.

Now that the IPCC is completely discredited by scandals and political influence, the current CO2 hypotheses need to be re-evaluated. That climate change is complex was always known. That it is mainly driven by a trace gas in the atmosphere is unlikely when one soberly examines it closely with an open scientific mind and when one examines the long-term history of the climate.

Whoever has the power over the religion, also has the power over the people. That has always been the case for religions. Today the belief in manmade global warming appears to have become a sort of substitute religion.

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Readers, please write a few words of support to Mr Krahmer!
holger.krahmer@europarl.europa.eu

http://www.holger-krahmer.de/

Edenhofer To Der Spiegel: Report Subjected To “Strict Scientific Review Process”

Der Spiegel reports here (Bloggers accuse IPCC of conflicts of interests) on Climategate 2.0, where the IPCC just published a huge new report on renewable energy, claiming that within 40 years nearly 80% of the world’s energy needs could be met, mostly through a massive expansion of wind and solar power. The report, it turns out, was hardly scientific, and was based a lot on a paper co-authored by an employee (Sven Teske) of Greenpeace International and the European Renewable Energy Council.It means the report’s main message came from a full-time environmental activist and that the data underpinning the science was hardly more than a load of activism, and not real data.

Like much climate scandal news, it first got media traction in the Anglo-regions of the world. Now some of the German media are timidly weighing in. Der Spiegel writes:

So far the debate has made waves in the Anglo-Saxon media. That is probably due to the fact that the first to have noticed the possible conflict of interest is Steve McIntyre.  The Canadian is considered as one of the main critics of the established climate sciences. Last week he let loose at his climate blog Climateaudit.org, and spoke of “Greenpeace-Karaoke” in the IPCC report.”

IPCC Report “completely without partisanship”

Much of McIntyre’s critic was aimed at Sven Teske of Greenpeace and Ottmar Edenhofer of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), who is also co-chairman of the WG3 of the IPCC. But Edenhofer has defended the report in comments to Der Spiegel. Der Spiegel writes:

The climate-economist told SPIEGEL ONLINE he defends the entire report. It is “balanced” and referees the state of scientific knowledge ‘without any partisanship’. He points out that the now much criticized study was subjected to ‘a strict scientific reveiw process’. The underlying assumptions of the concerned study have been clearly named. Moreover the IPCC-Report did not  ‘present any special report about renewable energies as being predominant’.”

As a blogger that follows German developments in climate science and politics, it is well known that the cast of characters at the PIK, including Edenhofer himself, are often more than loose with the truth. The PIK is well-known for its activism, let alone its shady brand of science.

But that doesn’t stop Der Spiegel from presenting a defence for Edenhofer and the report, writing that Edenhofer has a point, and even admitted that the costs of renewable energies are fraught with uncertainties, also see original Der Spiegel story .

Teske also offered a defence, telling Der Spiegel that he was not involved in writing up the press release itself. Der Spiegel quotes Teske:

 I first saw it when it was presented the first time at the press conference in Abu Dhabi.”

Teske adds he doesn’t see any problem being involved it the report, claiming that representatives of the US fossil fuels and nuclear industry were there too. Der Spiegel adds:

Greenpeace represents 3 million member worldwide. ‘Why shouldn’t we be involved in such a report?’, asks Teske.”

Der Spiegel then ends the piece by writing about the new IPCC codex that was agreed on, and quotes the last sentence that appears:

To prevent situations in which a conflict of interest may arise, individuals directly involved in or leading the preparation of IPCC reports should avoid being in a position to approve, adopt, or accept on behalf of any government the text in which he/she was directly involved.”

Callous Der Spiegel: Organic Food Business More Important Than The Lives Of Millions Of Africans

Our friend Rudolf Kipp at the German Science Skeptical site here has a shocking report on a callous Der Spiegel piece that appeared yesterday. I’ve translated Rudolf’s report in English with his permission.
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Organic Foods Are Killing – This Time in Africa

by Rudolf Kipp

Children are dying in Africa – just so that German organic food shops can keep their store shelves well-stocked. This is what author Laura Koch writes in Der Spiegel Online in a story titled “How the Malaria Wonder-Weapon Drives Farmers Into Poverty”.

In the Spiegel report’s introduction, the author writes:

Malaria transmitted by mosquitoes kills hundreds of people in Uganda daily – that’s why the government there uses the insecticide DDT. But the use of the pesticide has grave consequences for people living out in the countryside: Suppliers of organic foods are no longer able to sell their products, and now they are threatened by abject poverty.”

These introductory words alone bring up 2 fundamental questions. Firstly: Is the planting of organic foods the only possibility that Ugandan farmers have in providing for their livelihoods? Secondly: Since hundreds of people can be saved from death by DDT daily, how many Ugandans are we willing to sacrifice in order to allow a few farmers to produce crops that meet the directives of some European and US-American organic food associations? Just one note on the side: Half of the malaria-caused deaths are small children.

The eco-movement’s downfall

Within enlightened circles, the ban of DDT pushed by environmental groups and government bodies since the early 1960s has become known as the eco-movement’s downfall. Already in the early 1970s it was clear that the horror stories connected to the use of DDT were scientifically unfounded. Nonetheless, efforts were made to ban the substance globally. Eventually bans were enacted through various instruments involving political and economic pressure.

One can rightly criticize the massive agricultural use of DDT that took place in the 1960s. From this time it was possible to detect traces in the fat tissue of animals in the Arctic and Antarctic. But these times are long gone. Substitute substances have been found for use in agriculture and are much more effective, and they break down and dissipate much more quickly.

Wonder weapon DDT

When combating the anopheles mosquito, the main transmitter of malaria, the case is different though. Here DDT remains by far the most effective and the most economical weapon against the disease. And only very small amounts are needed compared to the amounts used for crop protection. Here it is already enough to spray the walls of homes located in risk areas with a trace amount of DDT only twice a year. Mosquitoes that remain on the wall die promptly.

Of course there also exist alternatives to DDT when combating malaria. But none are as effective, and, what is particularly crucial in the impoverished countries of Africa, none is as cost-effective. Mosquito nets, which are always propagated by aid organisations and environmental groups, function poorly and only when one sleeps under one. Anyone who goes outside during twilight hours still gets exposed to the lethal infection. Carbamates are also as effective as DDT, but are 4 to 6 times more expensive and must be sprayed many times more often. Organo-phosphates cannot be sprayed inside homes and apartments because of their hazard. And the often-mentioned wonder weapon of synthetic pyrethroide against malaria has been shown to be considerably less effective.

Eco-imperialism

Let’s emphasize yet one more time: When using DDT for combating malaria, the substance is no longer sprayed over large land areas. Rather, it is used in small amounts in a targeted manner. In all countries that have used DDT, the number of of people falling ill or dying from malaria has decreased significantly. Many countries that have bent to the will of aid organisations and governments of western countries have once again experienced explosions in the number of those who have fallen ill or died.

Taking all this into account, it is especially reprehensible to call for a ban of DDT just so that western countries can eat organic food that does not contain DDT also in the ultra-trace amounts. Sadly in our prosperity some among us are obviously prepared to accept the otherwise avoidable death of millions of people – all in the name of protecting ourselves from an extremely hypothetical risk. That is eco-imperialism in its purest and worst form.

Rudolph Kipp

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German Weather Service Says Predicting More Than 10 Days Out Is “Like Reading Tea Leaves”

With summer officially about to begin, a number of weather services are making seasonal forecasts for Germany and Central Europe. Read here.

The English-language The Local writes:

Donnerwetter.de meteorologist Karsten Brandt said odds were ‘high that the weather will turn out sunny with a tendency to be dry.’

Wetter.net meteorologist Dominik Jung also predicted a warm, albeit changeable summer.

‘Short heatwaves of a few days will be followed quickly by cooling in the form of fierce storms with heavy rains,’ Jung said, adding that tornadoes were possible.”

Surprisingly the DWD German Weather Service, like the Met Office, refuses to make a seasonal forecast, though their forecasts have been better than those of the Met Office (that requires getting it right only once). Interestingly the DWD doesn’t have much faith in forecasts that go beyond 10 days – even with all them fancy super computers that can crank out global warming forecasts 100 years out. The Local writes:

But the official German Weather Service’s (DWD) Helmut Malewski said in a statement that predicting more that 10 days ahead is like ‘reading tea leaves’.”

Clearly Germany is now in a period of unsettled weather, one that looks set to stay for a few more days, but not until June 27 – which is so-called Siebenschläfer Day, which is like St. Swithins Day in the UK. The saying goes: If on St Swithins day comes the rain, for forty days it will remain.

Unsettled weather in Germany on June 27 would mean the chances are about 66% that the summer will be unsettled too – that’s what the statistics show. But right now the forecast for next week (June 27) looks sunny.

Windmill Tower Snaps In Half – Crashes Down Across Path

Windmills are subject to cyclic loading, which means even small cracks in the load-bearing structure can grow and eventually lead to catastrophic failure. One catastrophic failure occurred yesterday near the Central German town of Kirtorf, read here (in German). Hat-tip Dirk H.

Many photos here

The tower broke 25 meters up. Investigators are now examining the rubble to deterime the exact cause of the failure. Looking at the detailed photos at the above link, it looks as if the failure occurred where two tower segments are bolted together. Maybe cheap, counterfeit bolts were used. Luckily no one was injured or killed.

The mishap occurred at about 11:30 in the morning at a windpark with 7 turbines. The blades, turbine and upper part of the tower crashed onto a path on the ground, reaching as far as 50 meters away. The debris even struck and destroyed a nearby transformer station. Meanwhile officials have called for a shutdown of 17 other turbines in the area and that they be subjected to a thorough technical inpsection before being allowed to go online.

Other news reports say the turbine was erected 11 years ago and that the maximum windspeed recorded yesterday was 57 km(hr – stormy, but usually a wind speed that windmills have no problems coping with.

Reader Andreas Luft at the first link mentioned above wrote:

I also work on wind turbines. This type here must be a D-Wind system. But I’m familiar with onkly the D6 and D8. This could be a D4.
There are many problems with the towers also in Austria. They too also rust, and there is much corrsion damage at the welds of the steel plates. But I’ve never seen such a material fatigue before.

But the photos don’t show any signs of rust.

Array Of Climate Evil (Skepticism)

That’s most likely what the warmists will be thinking after reading this post :).

Here in Germany the Greens and activists are constantly bemoaning the strong undercurrents of climate skepticism one finds in that “backward country” USA, and claim it’s all fanned by “hack” scientists, like Fred Singer, who are funded by Big Oil, or Koch Industries.

Well guess what? Climate skepticism is spreading way way beyond North America. Not long ago, Portuguese site Ecotretas put together an impressive list of skeptic blogsites and websites that are “in other languages” with “a few in English from non-native English speaking countries”.

ECOTRETAS LIST OF SKEPTIC SITES

Don't despair! Skepticism - the essential element that makes science work - is alive and well in climatology, and spreading! Big blue dots represent the number of skeptic blogsites (not to scale, for illustration only).

Most of us have long been familiar with sites like Climate DepotWatts Up With That, Real Science, Climate Audit, etc., but now we see there are many others out there all over the endangered planet.

I counted over 100 on the Ecotretas list.

Skepticism is spreading around the globe faster than Hansen’s phony red warm spots. How many of these foreign sites do you suppose are funded by Big Oil, Big Coal or Koch Industries? Yeah – we wish!

I can’t speak for others, but I can tell you I have not received a single cent of funding from anyone so far. I’m operating solely as a concerned citizen. I’m sure many on the list find themselves in similar situations.

The Ecotretas site is really worth bookmarking as many of these sites offer different perspectives on the issues. But there is one thing that is common to all: They suspect the science underpinning catastrophic man made global warming is a multi-billion dollar heap of rubbish…a scam that is disgracefully defrauding the public.

We’re on to you.

Kyoto Obitiuaries Everywhere In Germany’s Press

With the climate conference now taking place in Bonn with the aim of coming up with a successor to the 2012-expiring Kyoto Protocol for Durban later this year, signs of success are non-existent.

Obituaries are now being written everywhere in the German press, also see here and here.

For that we can all breathe a big sigh of relief – saved again from another huge Soviet-scale bureaucratic folly run by enviro-zealots.

The latest obit appears today in the leftist online Frankfurter Rundschau titled Kyoto Dies, which frames the current conference as follows:

If the EU fails to give a signal of a breakthrough, then the conference in Durban in December threatens to be a flop. That would make the Kyoto process practically dead -– almost 20 years after it started at the UN Earth Conference in Rio de Janeiro.”

With the USA, Russia, Canada and Japan out, and only countries that represent 20% of the global emissions still in it, the death of Kyoto is assured.

Not everyone has given up hope. For example “climate expert” Christoph Bals of tree-mater (we’re talking about real enviro-perverts here) group Germanwatch hope that Europe will summon the courage to take the lead and be the first to leap into the abyss of economic suicide. The Frankfurter Rundschau writes:

He demands the EU increase its reduction targets for the year 2020 from 20% to 30%. In fact the EU has already reached 17%.”

Most of that 17% reduction came in the early 1990s from shutting down inefficient industries centrally-run by the Eastern European communists, whom the tree-maters admire so much.

Meanwhile here’s how Der Spiegel starts off:

Already at the start of the climate conference in Bonn hopes were next to zero. No one gave a successor protocol  for the 2012-expiring Kyoto Climate protocol a chance of being passed on time, said UN Climate Chief Christiana Figueres. Now, 11 days later, the renewed failure is perfect: there is hardly any tangible progress.”

Also read here: http://www.thelocal.de/national/20110618-35739.html

World Liberty Day

Today is World Liberty Day

Updated: 17 June, 5 p.m. CET

The above website I’ve linked to was set up in Germany as a project by liberty-enthusiastic individuals, led by Christoph Widenhorn of the German FREIHEITSWERK. Many people are not aware of this, and so I hope this spreads around a bit more. It is also supported by the Berlin-Manhattan Institute.

 These individuals are working to establish a Day of Liberty in Germany, and the world. The website is a 100% pro-bono project with no budget – all those involved are strictly volunteers. Sign up as a supporter!

I’m pleased and honoured to have helped out a bit in setting up the above-linked website. Take a few minutes to look at the different pages of the website.

Let your friends, family and other websites know about it. Here are just a few famous quotes on liberty and freedom:

The secret of happiness is freedom.
The secret of freedom is courage.  
– Pericles

For to be free is not merely
to cast off one’s chains,
but to live in a way that respects and
enhances the freedom of others.
– Nelson Mandela

Freedom is never more than one
generation away from extinction.
We didn’t pass it to our children
in the bloodstream.
It must be fought for, protected,
and handed on for them to do the same.
– Ronald Reagan

Liberty,
when it begins to take root,
is a plant of rapid growth.
– George Washington

As AGW-science skeptics know very well, freedom all over the world is always under attack. There are always people out there who think they ought to decide everything for us and run our lives. We see this, for example, in climate science as governments attempt to misuse it for the purpose of implementing intrusive bureaucracy, state-control and more taxation.

Take a few minutes to look at the website I’ve linked to above and help liberty take root.

Join as a supporter!

Yvo de Boer: “Kyoto Protocol Is Dead” – Kyoto Countries Plummet From 55% To Just 20%!

The climate change train left the station long ago. Someone needs to tell Romney and Christie because they look awfully silly standing all alone there on the platform, waiting for the train to come. It left long ago with hardly anyone getting on it – just some Europeans and a few panhandlers.

The leftist German daily TAZ reports (bemoans) here that the Kyoto Protocol is dead, this according to former UN Climate General Secretary Yvo de Boer in an interview.

On getting a successor to the 1997 Kyoto Protocol, TAZ quotes de Boer (emphasis added):

The spirit of the Kyoto Protocol has disappeared. Its body is being artificially kept alive and perhaps some of the organs may get transplanted. But we have to admit that the Kyoto Protocol is dead.”

This, de Boer says, can be traced back to a lack of political will.

Politicians obviously have come to realize that implementing Kyoto-brand policy is far more risky than alleged climate change itself. The hoax has been exposed, the science discredited, and the tide of public opinion has shifted since Climategate rocked the climate science community in late 2009, causing the Copenhagen Conference and the global warming hypothesis as a whole to crumble to pieces. Resuscitating the climate patient failed – it’s dead on arrival.

Kyoto countries today represent only 20% of the world’s CO2 emissions

Indeed de Boer says the remaining Kyoto countries represent only 20% of the global CO2 emissions, down from 55% back in 1997. The air is out.

Yvo de Boer does not even believe a road map to a new Kyoto is possible.

We had a road map in Rio in 1992, in Kyoto, in Copenhagen, in Cancun. How many more road maps are necessary?”

De Boer favours incentives for saving energy rather than forcing countries to meet targets. But that would only mean more government meddling in markets. Best way out would be to accept the science.

EU To Control Energy Consumption By EU Consumers

The German online Die Welt here reports that the EU plans to force consumers to save energy – 1.5% every year.According to plans by EU Commissar Günther Oettinger of Angela Merkel’s conservative CDU party, energy suppliers in the future have to assure that their customers use less power and gas. Every year suppliers will have to reduce its market share by 1.5%

If that sounds economically retarded to you, you’re not alone.

I guess that means consumers must forget about expanding the family, or getting a bigger and more comfortable house, or buying an air conditioner. No – in Europe it’s downscale your lives – until you’re living in a cardboard box under a bridge. Die Welt writes:

Oettinger also expects public offices and buildings to join in. The draft law stipulates that beginning in January 2014, 3% of all buildings in all 27 member countries shall be made energy-efficient by renovation according to EU requirements.”

I wonder who is going to pay for all that. This sounds like one of the shovel-ready-jobs programs that worked so well under Obama. The proposed law will be introduced to the Parliament next month.

Of course, all the energy saving will be “voluntary” at first – at least during the years 2012 and 2013. But if the targets are not met, then in 2014 “the second bomb will be lit” and the Commission will enact “binding requirements”, Die Welt writes.

Not everybody is pleased about this state-controlled economy. For example, Herbert Reul, Chairman of the Industrial Committee in the EU-Parliament, says all this will lead to an “over-bureaucratization” and that the State “might as well just take over the entire energy sector and that what the EU proposes no longer has any semblance of a free market”.

For readers outside Germany, now you know how crazy on green Angela Merkel’s government truly is in pushing all this. The German CDU as it is today is a party that needs to go politically extinct – the sooner, the better. I can hardly differentiate it from the East German SED  in some areas.

Which Issue “That The Survival Of Civilization Hinges On” Was Missing In The CNN Debate?

Face it – it’s not an issue in American politics. Nobody gives a rat’s butt about it. It’s off the radar, folks!
Hot Air here lists the question topics at the CNN debate:

  1. Plans for job creation
  2. Tim Pawlenty’s plan for sustained 5% growth
  3. Raising taxes on the wealthy
  4. Repealing Dodd-Frank Wall Street regulatory expansion
  5. Repealing ObamaCare
  6. Pawlenty’s ObamneyCare comment (with 4 followups)
  7. Individual mandate in health insurance coverage
  8. Convincing moderates and independents
  9. “Aren’t you concerned about the influence of the Tea Party?”
  10. “CNN is hosting a Tea Party debate in September!”
  11. How to bring manufacturing jobs back from overseas
  12. Right to work legislation – is that demonizing union members?
  13. Government assistance to private enterprises
  14. Space program
  15. Housing meltdown
  16. Food safety
  17. FEMA
  18. Medicare
  19. Social Security reform
  20. Debt ceiling
  21. Separation of church and state
  22. Muslims in government
  23. Same-sex marriage
  24. DADT
  25. Abortion
  26. Immigration
  27. Eminent domain (Kelo)
  28. Ethanol subsidies – which only one candidate got to answer (Santorum)
  29. Pulling out of Afghanistan after OBL’s death
  30. Libya
  31. Should we start closing overseas military bases?
  32. Who among this group would you consider as a running mate?
  33. What have you learned in the last two hours?

Where’s global warming? Even “Muslims in government” is a bigger issue.