Looks like Thanksgiving is early this year. Here’s a feast for kings. 🙂
http://foia2011.org/index.php?id=2
Update: The real doozies are marked in bold print. having gone through them, I have to say sorry, but these scientists are nothing but liars. If the governments don’t act now on this, then we are truly living in anarchy. It will mean that all has turned into a free for all.
/// The IPCC Process ///
Thorne/MetO:
Observations do not show rising temperatures throughout the tropical
troposphere unless you accept one single study and approach and discount a
wealth of others. This is just downright dangerous. We need to communicate the
uncertainty and be honest. Phil, hopefully we can find time to discuss these
further if necessary […]
Thorne:
I also think the science is being manipulated to put a political spin on it
which for all our sakes might not be too clever in the long run.
Carter:
It seems that a few people have a very strong say, and no matter how much
talking goes on beforehand, the big decisions are made at the eleventh hour by
a select core group.
Wigley:
Mike, The Figure you sent is very deceptive […] there have been a number of
dishonest presentations of model results by individual authors and by IPCC […]
Overpeck:
The trick may be to decide on the main message and use that to guid[e] what’s
included and what is left out.
Overpeck:
I agree w/ Susan [Solomon] that we should try to put more in the bullet about
“Subsequent evidence” […] Need to convince readers that there really has been
an increase in knowledge – more evidence. What is it?
Wanner/NCCR:
In my [IPCC-TAR] review […] I crit[i]cized […] the Mann hockey[s]tick […]
My review was classified “unsignificant” even I inquired several times. Now the
internationally well known newspaper SPIEGEL got the information about these
early statements because I expressed my opinion in several talks, mainly in
Germany, in 2002 and 2003. I just refused to give an exclusive interview to
SPIEGEL because I will not cause damage for climate science.
Coe:
Hence the AR4 Section 2.7.1.1.2 dismissal of the ACRIM composite to be
instrumental rather than solar in origin is a bit controversial. Similarly IPCC
in their discussion on solar RF since the Maunder Minimum are very dependent on
the paper by Wang et al (which I have been unable to access) in the decision to
reduce the solar RF significantly despite the many papers to the contrary in
the ISSI workshop. All this leaves the IPCC almost entirely dependent on CO2
for the explanation of current global temperatures as in Fig 2.23. since
methane CFCs and aerosols are not increasing.
Briffa:
I find myself in the strange position of being very skeptical of the quality of
all present reconstructions, yet sounding like a pro greenhouse zealot here!
Jones:
I too don’t see why the schemes should be symmetrical. The temperature ones
certainly will not as we’re choosing the periods to show warming.
Trenberth:
[…] opposing some things said by people like Chris Landsea who has said all the
stuff going on is natural variability. In addition to the 4 hurricanes hitting
Florida, there has been a record number hit Japan 10?? and I saw a report
saying Japanese scientists had linked this to global warming. […] I am leaning
toward the idea of getting a box on changes in hurricanes, perhaps written by a
Japanese.
Jones:
We can put a note in that something will be there in the next draft, or Kevin
or I will write something – it depends on whether and what we get from Japan.
Jones:
Kevin, Seems that this potential Nature paper may be worth citing, if it does
say that GW is having an effect on TC activity.
Jones:
Getting people we know and trust [into IPCC] is vital – hence my comment about
the tornadoes group.
Jones:
Useful ones [for IPCC] might be Baldwin, Benestad (written on the solar/cloud
issue – on the right side, i.e anti-Svensmark), Bohm, Brown, Christy (will be
have to involve him ?)
Stott/MetO:
My most immediate concern is to whether to leave this statement [“probably the
warmest of the last millennium”] in or whether I should remove it in the
anticipation that by the time of the 4th Assessment Report we’ll have withdrawn
this statement – Chris Folland at least seems to think this is possible.
/// Communicating Climate Change ///
Humphrey/DEFRA:
I can’t overstate the HUGE amount of political interest in the project as a
message that the Government can give on climate change to help them tell their
story. They want the story to be a very strong one and don’t want to be made
to look foolish.
Fox/Environment Agency:
if we loose the chance to make climate change a reality to people in the
regions we will have missed a major trick in REGIS.
Adams:
Somehow we have to leave the[m] thinking OK, climate change is extremely
complicated, BUT I accept the dominant view that people are affecting it, and
that impacts produces risk that needs careful and urgent attention.
Lorenzoni:
I agree with the importance of extreme events as foci for public and
governmental opinion […] ‘climate change’ needs to be present in people’s
daily lives. They should be reminded that it is a continuously occurring and
evolving phenomenon
Jones:
We don’t really want the bullshit and optimistic stuff that Michael has written
[…] We’ll have to cut out some of his stuff.
Mann:
the important thing is to make sure they’re loosing the PR battle. That’s what
the site [Real Climate] is about.
Ashton/co2.org:
Having established scale and urgency, the political challenge is then to turn
this from an argument about the cost of cutting emissions – bad politics – to
one about the value of a stable climate – much better politics. […] the most
valuable thing to do is to tell the story about abrupt change as vividly as
possible
Kelly:
the current commitments, even with some strengthening, are little different
from what would have happened without a climate treaty.
[…] the way to pitch the analysis is to argue that precautionary action must be
taken now to protect reserves etc against the inevitable
Singer/WWF:
we as an NGO working on climate policy need such a document pretty soon for the
public and for informed decision makers in order to get a) a debate started and
b) in order to get into the media the context between climate
extremes/desasters/costs and finally the link between weather extremes and
energy
Torok/CSIRO:
[…] idea of looking at the implications of climate change for what he termed
“global icons” […] One of these suggested icons was the Great Barrier Reef […]
It also became apparent that there was always a local “reason” for the
destruction – cyclones, starfish, fertilizers […] A perception of an
“unchanging” environment leads people to generate local explanations for coral
loss based on transient phenomena, while not acknowledging the possibility of
systematic damage from long-term climatic/environmental change […] Such a
project could do a lot to raise awareness of threats to the reef from climate
change
Minns/Tyndall Centre:
In my experience, global warming freezing is already a bit of a public
relations problem with the media
Kjellen:
I agree with Nick that climate change might be a better labelling than global
warming
Pierrehumbert:
What kind of circulation change could lock Europe into deadly summer heat waves
like that of last summer? That’s the sort of thing we need to think about.
/// The Medieval Warm Period ///
Pollack:
But it will be very difficult to make the MWP go away in Greenland.
Rahmstorf:
You chose to depict the one based on C14 solar data, which kind of stands out
in Medieval times. It would be much nicer to show the version driven by Be10
solar forcing
Cook:
A growing body of evidence clearly shows [2008] that hydroclimatic variability
during the putative MWP (more appropriately and inclusively called the
“Medieval Climate Anomaly” or MCA period) was more regionally extreme (mainly
in terms of the frequency and duration of megadroughts) than anything we have
seen in the 20th century, except perhaps for the Sahel. So in certain ways the
MCA period may have been more climatically extreme than in modern times.
/// The Settled Science ///
Warren:
The results for 400 ppm stabilization look odd in many cases […] As it stands
we’ll have to delete the results from the paper if it is to be published.
Wils:
[2007] What if climate change appears to be just mainly a multidecadal natural
fluctuation? They’ll kill us probably […]
Wilson:
Although I agree that GHGs are important in the 19th/20th century (especially
since the 1970s), if the weighting of solar forcing was stronger in the models,
surely this would diminish the significance of GHGs.
[…] it seems to me that by weighting the solar irradiance more strongly in the
models, then much of the 19th to mid 20th century warming can be explained from
the sun alone.
Hoskins:
If the tropical near surface specific humidity over tropical land has not gone
up (Fig 5) presumably that could explain why the expected amplification of the
warming in the tropics with height has not really been detected.
Jenkins/MetO:
would you agree that there is no convincing evidence for kilimanjaro glacier
melt being due to recent warming (let alone man-made warming)?
Jones:
[tropical glaciers] There is a small problem though with their retreat. They
have retreated a lot in the last 20 years yet the MSU2LT data would suggest
that temperatures haven’t increased at these levels.
Jones:
There shouldn’t be someone else at UEA with different views [from “recent
extreme weather is due to global warming”] – at least not a climatologist.
Crowley:
I am not convinced that the “truth” is always worth reaching if it is at the
cost of damaged personal relationships
Briffa:
Also there is much published evidence for Europe (and France in particular) of
increasing net primary productivity in natural and managed woodlands that may
be associated either with nitrogen or increasing CO2 or both. Contrast this
with the still controversial question of large-scale acid-rain-related forest
decline? To what extent is this issue now generally considered urgent, or even
real?
Crowley:
Phil, thanks for your thoughts – guarantee there will be no dirty laundry in
the open.
Steig:
He’s skeptical that the warming is as great as we show in East Antarctica — he
thinks the “right” answer is more like our detrended results in the
supplementary text. I cannot argue he is wrong.
Jones:
This will reduce the 1940-1970 cooling in NH temps. Explaining the cooling with
sulphates won’t be quite as necessary.
Haimberger:
It is interesting to see the lower tropospheric warming minimum in the tropics
in all three plots, which I cannot explain. I believe it is spurious but it is
remarkably robust against my adjustment efforts.
Klein/LLNL:
Does anybody have an explanation why there is a relative minimum (and some
negative trends) between 500 and 700 hPa? No models with significant surface
warming do this
Osborn:
This is an excellent idea, Mike, IN PRINCIPLE at least. In practise, however,
it raises some interesting results […] the analysis will not likely lie near to
the middle of the cloud of published series and explaining the reasons behind
this etc. will obscure the message of a short EOS piece.
Norwegian Meteorological Institute:
In Norway and Spitsbergen, it is possible to explain most of the warming after
the 1960s by changes in the atmospheric circulation. The warming prior to 1940
cannot be explained in this way.
/// The Urban Heat Effect ///
Jenkins/MetO:
By coincidence I also got recently a paper from Rob which says “London’s UHI
has indeed become more intense since the 1960s esp during spring and summer”.
Jones:
I think the urban-related warming should be smaller than this, but I can’t
think of a good way to argue this. I am hopeful of finding something in the
data that makes by their Figure 3.
Rean:
[…] we found the [urban warming] effect is pretty big in the areas we analyzed.
This is a little different from the result you obtained in 1990.
[…] We have published a few of papers on this topic in Chinese. Unfortunately,
when we sent our comments to the IPCC AR4, they were mostly rejected.
Wigley:
there are some nitpicky jerks who have criticized the Jones et al. data sets —
we don’t want one of those [EPRI/California Energy Commission meeting].
Jones:
The jerk you mention was called Good(e)rich who found urban warming at
all Californian sites.
Jones:
I think China is one of the few places that are affected [urban heat]. The
paper shows that London and Vienna (and also New York) are not affected in the
20th century.
Jones:
[…] every effort has been made to use data that are either rural and/or where
the urbanization effect has been removed as well as possible by statistical
means. There are 3 groups that have done this independently (CRU, NOAA and
GISS), and they end up with essentially the same results.
[…] Furthermore, the oceans have warmed at a rate consistent with the land.
There is no urban effect there.
/// Temperature Reconstructions ///
Wilson:
any method that incorporates all forms of uncertainty and error will
undoubtedly result in reconstructions with wider error bars than we currently
have. These many be more honest, but may not be too helpful for model
comparison attribution studies. We need to be careful with the wording I think.
Jones:
what he [Zwiers] has done comes to a different conclusion than Caspar and Gene!
I reckon this can be saved by careful wording.
Mitchell/MetO
Is the PCA approach robust? Are the results statistically significant? It seems
to me that in the case of MBH the answer in each is no
Wilson:
I thought I’d play around with some randomly generated time-series and see if I
could ‘reconstruct’ northern hemisphere temperatures.
[…] The reconstructions clearly show a ‘hockey-stick’ trend. I guess this is
precisely the phenomenon that Macintyre has been going on about.
Bradley:
I’m sure you agree–the Mann/Jones GRL paper was truly pathetic and should
never have been published. I don’t want to be associated with that 2000 year
“reconstruction”.
Osborn:
Because how can we be critical of Crowley for throwing out 40-years in the
middle of his calibration, when we’re throwing out all post-1960 data ‘cos the
MXD has a non-temperature signal in it, and also all pre-1881 or pre-1871 data
‘cos the temperature data may have a non-temperature signal in it!
Esper:
Now, you Keith complain about the way we introduced our result, while saying it
is an important one. […] the IPCC curve needs to be improved according to
missing long-term declining trends/signals, which were removed (by
dendrochronologists!) before Mann merged the local records together. So, why
don’t you want to let the result into science?
Cook:
I am afraid that Mike is defending something that increasingly can not be
defended. He is investing too much personal stuff in this and not letting the
science move ahead.
Cook:
One problem is that he [Mann] will be using the RegEM method, which provides no
better diagnostics (e.g. betas) than his original method. So we will still not
know where his estimates are coming from.
/// Science and Religion ///
Wigley:
I heard that Zichichi has links with the Vatican. A number of other greenhouse
skeptics have extreme religious views.
Houghton [MetO, IPCC co-chair]
[…] we dont take seriously enough our God-given responsibility to care for the
Earth […] 500 million people are expected to watch The Day After Tomorrow. We
must pray that they pick up that message.
Hulme:
My work is as Director of the national centre for climate change research, a
job which requires me to translate my Christian belief about stewardship of
God’s planet into research and action.
Hulme:
He [another Met scientist] is a Christian and would talk authoritatively about
the state of climate science from the sort of standpoint you are wanting.
/// Climate Models ///
Watson/UEA:
I’d agree probably 10 years away to go from weather forecasting to ~ annual
scale. But the “big climate picture” includes ocean feedbacks on all time
scales, carbon and other elemental cycles, etc. and it has to be several
decades before that is sorted out I would think. So I would guess that it will
not be models or theory, but observation that will provide the answer to the
question of how the climate will change in many decades time.
Shukla/IGES:
[“Future of the IPCC”, 2008] It is inconceivable that policymakers will be
willing to make billion-and trillion-dollar decisions for adaptation to the
projected regional climate change based on models that do not even describe and
simulate the processes that are the building blocks of climate variability.
Lanzante/NOAA:
While perhaps one could designate some subset of models as being poorer in a
lot of areas, there probably never will be a single universally superior model
or set of models. We should keep in mind that the climate system is complex, so
that it is difficult, if not impossible to define a metric that captures the
breath of physical processes relevant to even a narrow area of focus.
Santer:
there is no individual model that does well in all of the SST and water vapor
tests we’ve applied.
Barnett:
[IPCC AR5 models] clearly, some tuning or very good luck involved. I doubt the
modeling world will be able to get away with this much longer
Hegerl:
[IPCC AR5 models]
So using the 20th c for tuning is just doing what some people have long
suspected us of doing […] and what the nonpublished diagram from NCAR showing
correlation between aerosol forcing and sensitivity also suggested.
Jones:
Basic problem is that all models are wrong – not got enough middle and low
level clouds.
Jones:
GKSS is just one model and it is a model, so there is no need for it to be
correct.
/// The Cause ///
Mann:
By the way, when is Tom C going to formally publish his roughly 1500 year
reconstruction??? It would help the cause to be able to refer to that
reconstruction as confirming Mann and Jones, etc.
Mann:
They will (see below) allow us to provide some discussion of the synthetic
example, referring to the J. Cimate paper (which should be finally accepted
upon submission of the revised final draft), so that should help the cause a
bit.
Mann:
I gave up on Judith Curry a while ago. I don’t know what she think’s she’s
doing, but its not helping the cause
Berger:
Phil,
Many thanks for your paper and congratulations for reviving the global warming.
Jones:
[on temperature data adjustments] Upshot is that their trend will increase
Jones:
[to Hansen] Keep up the good work! […] Even though it’s been a mild winter in
the UK, much of the rest of the world seems coolish – expected though given the
La Nina. Roll on the next El Nino!
Schneider:
Even though I am virtually certain we shall lose on McCain-Lieberman, they are
forcing Senators to go on record for for against sensible climate policy
/// Freedom of Information ///
Jones:
I’ve been told that IPCC is above national FOI Acts. One way to cover yourself
and all those working in AR5 would be to delete all emails at the end of the
process
Briffa:
UEA does not hold the very vast majority of mine [potentially FOIable emails]
anyway which I copied onto private storage after the completion of the IPCC
task.
Osborn:
Keith and I have just searched through our emails for anything containing
“David Holland”. Everything we found was cc’d to you and/or Dave Palmer, which
you’ll already have.
McGarvie/UEA Director of Faculty Administration:
As we are testing EIR with the other climate audit org request relating to
communications with other academic colleagues, I think that we would weaken
that case if we supplied the information in this case. So I would suggest that
we decline this one (at the very end of the time period)
Jones:
[FOI, temperature data]
Any work we have done in the past is done on the back of the research grants we
get – and has to be well hidden. I’ve discussed this with the main funder (US
Dept of Energy) in the past and they are happy about not releasing the original
station data.
/// FOIA 2011 — Background and Context ///
“Over 2.5 billion people live on less than $2 a day.””Every day nearly 16.000 children die from hunger and related causes.”
“One dollar can save a life” — the opposite must also be true.
“Poverty is a death sentence.”
“Nations must invest $37 trillion in energy technologies by 2030 to stabilize
greenhouse gas emissions at sustainable levels.”
Today’s decisions should be based on all the information we can get, not on
hiding the decline.
This archive contains some 5.000 emails picked from keyword searches. A few
remarks and redactions are marked with triple brackets.
The rest, some 220.000, are encrypted for various reasons. We are not planning
to publicly release the passphrase. We could not read every one, but tried to cover the most relevant topics such
as…
A movie poster by Elmer of M4GW:
http://www.minnesotansforglobalwarming.com/m4gw/assets_c/2011/11/Hide-the-Decline-2-The-Cause-755.html
omg…
Sorry Pierre, but I comment this in German, ’cause my Englisch is not that good.
Ich hoffe , dass obige Bemerkungen nicht nur Ausschnitte aus diversen emails sind und sich der Gesamtkontext der emails nicht eine andere Deutungsweise zulässt. Die warmen Brüder behaupten nämlich es wäre kein Desaster und alles halb so schlimm, weil die Leugner alles aus dem Zusammenhang gerissen hätten (den die warmen Brüder natürlich ihrem Inhalt her komplet kennen).
Climategate 1.0. was interesting, but according to this emails climategate 2.0. is outstanding.
But I am sceptical about the possible outcome from this leak. German MSM might not jump to this, and keep quiet. German layman will not be informed about this.
Ike
Ike,
See my update above. If the governments don’t act on this, then it means they refuse to uphold justice. That to me is opening the door to anarchy. As far as Germany is concerned, reality eventually catches up. Have faith – the US has strong opposition and movement of enlightenment.
My faith reaches to my wallet.
Ike, the German MSM (private and public) are leftist, statist and anti capitalist – they want the state to take as much control from corporations as possible; of course, a state that takes total control will first start with you and me.
That’s why they all support CAGW – it is a means to grab control. It is not about warming; they couldn’t care less.
So they will not report about ClimateGate 2.0; or try to diminish it. It’s already happening at the BBC and The Guardian (to which German media are somewhat more left).
Forget them. They will try to shield the German public from this inconvenient truth; and it will only seep in slowly because of the language barrier.
They succeeded for ClimateGate 1.0 – not one of my colleagues, all engineers, all capable of reading English, noticed it.
They will probably succeed again.
Yet, the English speaking world will see it for what it is; and Germany will be isolated with its ultragreen religion.
Clarifying remark: My colleagues are all capable of reading English but never use this capability outside their technical documentation of communication. This is the normal attitude amongst Germans. They rely on their own media and don’t notice that they get only a small slice of the information (and that often badly translated/filtered by journalists who lack the technical knowledge for the themes they have to report on).
Heck, we don’t even have a common word for “statism”; the wikipedia suggests “Etatismus” but nobody uses that. Germans really don’t have much of a freedom concept, not even in their language.
What’s happened after CLIMATEGATE 1.0 ? Nothing, absolutely nothing. I don’t expect any change at this trend, since the scientists and politician participate in “green profits”…
Hmm, it looks like the Oxburgh investigation really should have made time to look at the (as then) additonal unpublished emails.
Or was it Sir Muir Russell who was supposed to do that? Let me check…
http://www.cce-review.org/pdf/FINAL%20REPORT.pdf
p146
Recognising that the e-mails improperly released into the public domain represent only a tiny fraction (less than 0.3%) of the e-mails archived by the key individuals in the CRU, the Review team sought to set these in context.
[cut]
A decision was reached not to pursue this further on grounds of both time and cost against likely results. The Review had always regarded the e-mails as pointers to areas for detailed investigation and this had been complemented by extensive public requests for submissions and any other information in the public domain. A summary report by the independent forensic analyst has been placed on the Review website. (Really? I couldn’t find it.)
The hour of the prophets … from 2025 or so: “Basically, the scandal that came to be known as Climategate 2.0 revealed nothing that had not been known – or at least strongly suspected – before. But it marked the moment when the traditional mass media lost their standing in the eyes of anyone who cared to be informed about anything. Too often and too long they had peddled propaganda instead of trying to find out the truth, too often had they pushed dictatorial measures as democracy and sceptics as heretics, even criminals. It has to be admitted that 2011 caught up the German mass media on every conceivable front: after selling the clueless flailings of the currency bailouts as inspired political leadership and lasting solutions to the crisis, selling the Arab Spring as a new 1989 or at least 1848, keeping complete silence after the first scare about an organic farming disaster and killed – and injured – more people than Chernobyl, selling a brutal winter as proof of unprecedented global warming, this proved to be the straw that broke the camel’s back.”
PG – back-handed compliment from Andrew Revkin of the NYT.
If the New York Times decides it doesn’t like you it means you *must* be doing good things.
Revkin is a cheap slime; he conveniently forgets how his employer “cherrypicked” Wikileaks diplomatic cables. A man of double standards.
It only confirms what we already knew but to see it in print, in black and white is a vindication of the realist position.
Climate World series 2009/2010/2011, is won again for the third year in a row!
It’s time for the AGW alarmists to ‘Change the record’ [so to speak – they’re good at that though….the MWP springs to mind] and admit the failure of their outright lies, useless models, rigging the T record: bogus methods and scientific skullduggery.
It remains to be seen though, what the mad swivel eyed green loonies in the EU/UN IPCC/NGOs/GreenPeace/WWF et al – will do next.
And then, there is the money trail and MSM, most Western newspapers are giving this latest exposure of the scam [part II] a very wide berth.
They are – extreme weather now the problem, rather than climate change rather than global warming. Sweepstake on the next panic for the International Panel of Chicken Licken?
No sign whatsoever of a climb down within the British political elite – but then all of them are a particularly porcine claque and running scared of the truth.
AGW, and related tacked on eco-mania [recycling etc] runs deep in local councils, the civil service, in NGOs and within Westminster.
It is going to take a mass public uprising, a popular display of irate sentiment across the whole political spectrum – shouting:
“enough is enough, we’re sick of the lies but more importantly – we are sick of paying for your [Westminster’s] dissonant lunacy.”
Hopefully, a group of forensic experts and historians may make an Internet publication with fragment biographies of those involved. Who are they, what were they doing, what did they publish, and what can be found in Climategate 1, 2, and 3 (to be expected)? This would be much more informative to the public and politicians.
http://foia2011.org/index.php?id=9402
13:01:04 -0800
from: Richard Somerville
“I also think people need to come to understand that the scientific
uncertainties work both ways. We don’t understand cloud feedbacks.
We don’t understand air-sea interactions. We don’t understand
aerosol indirect effects. The list is long. Singer will say that
uncertainties like these mean models lack veracity and can safely be
ignored. What seems highly unlikely to me is that each of these
uncertainties is going to make the climate system more robust against
change. It is just as likely a priori that a poorly understood bit
of physics might be a positive as a negative feedback.”
Jones:
“I’ve been told that IPCC is above national FOI Acts. One way to cover yourself and all those working in AR5 would be to delete all emails at the end of the process”
Totally illegal.
Sadly, Norfolk Constabulary is more interested in finding the leaker of the emails than investigating the massive fraud and abuse of public funds that has been perpetrated at the UEA.
I bet the Common Purpose crooks controlling the AGW fraud at the UEA are in a bit of a tizz.
Criminal charges should now be considered by each country involved in this massive LIE! How many lives have been forfeited in the name of AGW?
well spiegel online is commenting:
http://www.spiegel.de/wissenschaft/natur/0,1518,799414,00.html
Regards
Ike
As expected, they try to diminish it. I find this noteworthy:
“In anderen E-Mails ist die Rede von Unsicherheiten bei der Berechnung des Klimas der Zukunft. Auch solche Debatten hatten Kritiker schon 2009 als angeblichen Beweis angefĂĽhrt, dass die Klimaforschung nicht valide sei – ungeachtet der Tatsache, dass die Probleme bei der Klimamodellierung kein Geheimnis sind ”
“Other e-mails talk about uncertainties in computing the climate of the future. Skeptics have already in 2009 pointed to that as alleged proof that climate science results are not valid – ignoring that these problems in climate modeling are no secret.”
German warmists (including Der Spiegel) have absolutely no problem defending enormous monetary waste based on uncertain science. And you could tell that right in the face of the typical Hamburg warmist and he wouldn’t even blush – after all it’s only Other People’s Money. Kravetz, the inventor of post normal science, would be proud.
And puts the typical Spiegel spin on it:
…auch wenn am Ende vom angeblichen Skandal wenig ĂĽbrig blieb. Mehrere offizielle Untersuchungen ergaben zwar, dass einige Forscher versucht haben, die Herausgabe von Messdaten an Kritiker zu blockieren und damit auch gegen geltendes Recht verstoĂźen haben. Auch eine gewisse Wagenburg-Mentalität in der Klimawissenschaft wurde in den E-Mails erkennbar. Doch von dem Verdacht, Daten systematisch falsch dargestellt oder gar manipuliert zu haben, wurden die beteiligten Wissenschaftler freigesprochen
[…even if in the end not much remained of the alleged scandal. Though several official enquiries showed that some scientists tried to block the passing of data to critics and thus acted against current law. Also, a certain siege mentality in climate science could be seen. But the scientists involed were cleared of the suspicion of having systematically presented data in a misleading way or even having maniupulated them.]
“Tatsächlich haben Bradley und Mann immer wieder eng zusammengearbeitet. Unter anderem haben sie 1999 gemeinsam die berĂĽhmte “Hockeyschläger-Kurve” veröffentlicht, die den Temperaturanstieg der vergangenen 1000 Jahre beschreibt. Eine Meinungsverschiedenheit ĂĽber eine einzelne Studie, so Bradley, sage rein gar nichts ĂĽber die Existenz des Klimawandels insgesamt aus.”
[In fact Bradley and Mann collaborated time and again. Amog other thngs, in 1999 they published the famous (!) “Hockeystick” curve which describes the temperature rise of the last 1,000 years. A difference concerning a single study, Bradley said, meant absolutely nothing about the existence of climate change.]
In anderen E-Mails ist die Rede von Unsicherheiten bei der Berechnung des Klimas der Zukunft. Auch solche Debatten hatten Kritiker schon 2009 als angeblichen Beweis angefĂĽhrt, dass die Klimaforschung nicht valide sei – ungeachtet der Tatsache, dass die Probleme bei der Klimamodellierung kein Geheimnis sind und sowohl in E-Mails als auch bei öffentlichen Kongressen offen diskutiert werden.
[Other emails address the uncertainties about calculating future climate. Already,in 2009 critics had pointed to such debates as supposed proof of the invalidity of climate science – notwithstanding the fact that the problems of climate modelling are no secrets and have been discussed in emails as well as at public congresses.]
Klimawandel-Skeptiker bejubeln die Veröffentlichung der E-Mails dennoch. “Sie sind echt und sie sind spektakulär!”, heiĂźt es im Blog “Watts Up With That?”. Der Klimawandel-Skeptiker Myron Ebell von der US-Denkfabrik Competitive Enterprise Institute bezeichnete den Datensatz gar als endgĂĽltigen Beweis, dass der Uno-Klimarat IPCC – fĂĽr den weltweit Tausende Wissenschaftler arbeiten – “eine organisierte Verschwörung” sei, um der Welt weiszumachen, die globale Erwärmung sei gefährlich.
[Nevertheless, climate change sceptics are cheering the publication of the emails. “They are real and they are spectacular”, as the blog “WUWT” put it. Climate sceptic Myrono Ebell of the US think tank Competitive Enterprise Institute even called the data set the final proof that the IPCC – for which thousands of scienctists are working – is “an organized conspiracy” that tries to fool the world into the belief of the danger of global warming.]
Klimaforscher Mann reagiert inzwischen sichtlich genervt auf derartige AnwĂĽrfe. […] ErfĂĽllungsgehilfen der Ă–l-, Kohle- und Gasindustrie versuchten mit “Schmutzkampagnen, Unterstellungen und dem kriminellen Hacken von Websites” ihre Ziele zu erreichen. Dass jetzt zwei Jahre alte E-Mails verbreitet wĂĽrden, sei ein Zeichen dafĂĽr, “wie verzweifelt die Klimawandel-Verneiner inzwischen sind”.
[Climate scientist Mann reacted visibly irritated to such allegations … Lickpittles of the oil, coal and gas industries tried to use “dirty campaigns, allegations and the criminal hacking of websites” to achieve their aims. The fact that two-year old emails are spread around is a sign of “of the desperation of the climate change deniers.”]
In other words: the hockey stick is real; the scientists were unanmously cleared; deniers are criminals and at their wits’ end.
This is not diminishing, this is distortion.
via Tom Nelson:
http://tomnelson.blogspot.com/2011/11/is-this-what-45-trillion-scientific.html
Tuesday, November 29, 2011
“Is this what a $45 trillion scientific consensus should look like?: Warmist Ray Bradley trashes prominent warmist Hans Joachim Schellnhuber for “spouting bullshit”; Phil Jones says “We all agree on that”