German Solar Manufacturer SMA Profits Take A Hit. Forecast Looks Dire

Yet another German solar manufacturer appears to be reaching the end of the line.

The German TAZ here reports that profits for SMA Solar in 2011 fell by more than a half, to 166 million euros.

In light of the fall in prices in the branch and planned cuts in subsidies in Germany, SMA anticipates a further decrease in sales and profitability.”

Yet, SMA director Pierre-Pascal Urbon is still optimistic. To avert the ill fate of other solar manufacturers in Germany, like Q-Cells and Solarworld, SMA aims expand business in foreign markets. China is a huge market, but Chinese manufacturers are subsidized by the Chinese government, which distorts competition, Urbon claims. Imagine that – subsidies distorting competition. That of course would never happen in Germany or Europe, now would it?  (sarc off)

SMA sales in 2011 sank from 1.9 billion euros to 1.7 billion. The TAZ writes:

This year revenue is expected to sink to 1-2 to 1.5 billion euros, the company said.

The main reason for the expected decline are the reduced feed-in rates that the government mandates for producers of solar energy in Germany, which go into effect on April 1, 2012. The change in feed-in tariffs will result in drops of up to 40%,

Because of Germany’s overly generous feed-in tariff paid to solar power producers in the past, half of the world’s solar power generation capacity is said to have been installed in Germany, a country that gets as much sunshine as Alaska.

Green Bloodbath Accelerates – German Solar Giant Q-Cells On The Brink Of Collapse!

The Wall Street Journal Germany has an in depth analysis of the collapse of German solar module giant, Q-Cells: Too Close to the Sun – The Rise and Fall of Q-Cells.

It’s worse than we thought!

Last Tuesday the solar company based in Thalheim in Saxony-Anhalt, once the largest module manufacturer in the world, very quietly announced its results for 2011 – a blood bath. The company lost 850 million euros and is now teetering on the brink of bankruptcy, with no hope of a rescue. It is the latest in a series of spectacular solar company failures now ripping through the industry. The number of weird economic events keeps surging.

The Wall Street Journal reports how the company was founded by engineers in 1999 amid flourishing hope and optimism in what was supposed to become the cornerstone of Germany’s dreamed “Solar Valley”. The newly elected Socialist-Green coalition government, led by the newly elected Gerhard Schroeder, hailed it as the beginning of a new industrial era would sweep Germany into the 21st century. That future was secured by the passage of the Energy Feed-in Act (EEG) in 2000, which guaranteed producers of green energy fixed rates for 20 years and cheap low-cost credits for solar systems. This led to a boom in the solar industry and wind industry over the decade that followed.

Among the solar companies that sprouted overnight was Q-Cells. By 2005 the company had grown to 750 employees with annual sales of €300 million. Consulting company Ernst & Young named then Chief Executive Milner as Entrepreneur of the Year. Q-Cells expanded production and opened plants overseas, one in USA.

By 2007 the company had grown to over 1700 employees and sales of €860 million and profits of €150 million. Green energy seemed to be the way to go.

Today things don’t look rosy at at all. Q-Cells shares today can be bought for a €0.23, down from its peak of over €80 a few years back (click on 5 J., which is 5 years). Insolvency appears imminent. What happened? Everything seemed to be going right just a couple of years ago. But as the Wall Street Journal writes, everything actually had gone wrong.

As the industry boomed in Germany, thanks to mandatory feed-in rates paid to solar power producers, cheap manufacturers from China got into the act. Asian manufacturers tooled up on a massive scale and produced the modules at far lower prices. The price of solar modules on the global market plummeted. Then came the crash of 2009, the government rolled back the feed-in rates, Q-Cells had also neglected to invest in R&D. Single woes compounded and caught up. Now the company looks hopelessly doomed.

The Wall Street Journal writes:

2011 – the prices dropped further – Q-Cells succumbed to high operating costs. Old production lines at its headquarters were no longer profitable. They are going to be closed, written off, the employees will have to go. By the end of the year the company had booked a loss of €850 million. Even worse: The company doesn’t see any profit until the year 2014. What remains is pure desperation.”

Is there a chance of a rescue? Stephan Wulf of Warburg Research is gloomy. For him the question is “whether Q-Cells can avoid insolvency and if it will be able to find a place on the global photovoltaic market. Looking at the strong competition from China, I have considerable doubt. about the prospects of Q-Cells surviving. ”

Those are hardly words that will encourage investors.

The Tagesspiegel also has a report on how many renewable energy companies rode the gravy train for years, but did not bother to invest in R&D. Now it’s time to pay the piper.

Warmist scientist on supervisory board

By the way, one of Q-Cells supervisory board members is Prof. Dr. Eicke Weber, Director of the Fraunhofer Institute for Solar Energy Systems ISE, Freiburg. and a harsh critic of Fritz Vahrenholt’s and Sebastian Lüning’s skeptic book “Die kalte Sonne“. I guess there’s a lot we could learn from Prof. Weber.

 

Coral Reef Growth Found To Be In Snyc With The Sun – Yet IPCC Ignores Sun Even More!

The warmists keep insisting that it’s CO2 and that the sun is not playing a role in our climate today. According to them, the sun has been on strike and stopped playing a role since mankind started its sinful use of CO2.

Yet another study is out and shows that the warmists are off in Cuckooland with their CO2 science.

Die kalte Sonne website brings our attention to a paper by Nozomu Hamanakaa, Hironobu Kana, Yusuke Yokoyamad, Takehiro Okamotoc, Yosuke Nakashimag and Toshio Kawanah of Okayama University titled:
Disturbances with hiatuses in high-latitude coral reef growth during the Holocene: Correlation with millennial-scale global climate change, where an ancient coral reef was studied.

The study was published in the journal Global and Planetary Change in January 2012.

A 6000-year old coral reef on the Japanese island of Kodakara, which was exposed during street construction works, was studied in great detail and reporesents a valuable climate archive of the last several thousand years. The reef was lifted over the surface of the water by tectonic action two and half thousand years ago.

Field observations and coral radiocarbon dating of excavated trench walls of the uplifted middle-to-late Holocene coral reef on Kodakara Island show evidence of the existence of disturbances with hiatuses in coral reef growth and coral composition differences before and after the disturbances. The scientists found three disconformities in the reef occurred at approximately 5.9 to 5.8, 4.4 to 4.0, and 3.3 to 3.2 cal yr B.P.

The abstract also writes (emphasis added):

The coral composition clearly changed before and after the disturbances, with gradually reduced diversity resulting in a reef dominated by acroporiid coral. These data led to the hypothesis that coral reef growth was interrupted by suborbital millennial-scale global climate change induced by persistent solar activity during the Holocene in high-latitude coral reefs, such as those in the Northwest Pacific, leading to low diversity in the reefs that experienced each disturbance. Our results may provide new insights into theories of past and future coral reef formation worldwide.

As recent studies have shown, the new study shows that climate changes occurred globally and cyclicly – in sync with the 1000-year solar cycles. Die kalte Sonne writes:

The scientists found by comparison with other studies that the coral die-off events occurred in times when the current weakened and the ocean apparently cooled off because of the cold Asian winter monsoons, and did so to the point that the corals could no longer live. Interesting is the fact that the cooling phases were synchronous with solar activity minima, the solar quiet periods of the combined Hallstatt and Eddy cycles (see Chapter 3 in “Die kalte Sonne“).”

Once again the claims made in the skeptic book “Die kalte Sonne” are reinforced. Critics are left standing there without an explanation. The results of the Japanese study also add yet more evidence that cooling periods are global, and not just isolated local events. Die kalte Sonne summarizes:

One has to be permitted to ask in what magical way the sun was able to have this enormous impact on the climate. When one believes the claims made by the last IPCC report, then this in fact has to be a miracle. According to the IPCC, the climatic impact of the known solar cycles is ‘negligible’ and is only a couple of tenths of a degree, which is in stark contradiction to the real geological findings from various regions all over the globe. Now that the IPCC is just working on its latest report, don’t you think they would correct this obvious error? You guessed wrong! As we have learned, the IPCC has reduced the sun’s impact on climate even more.

They can try of course. But as the science mounts with every passing study, the dogmatic warmists are going to look more and more like the lone fool at the town square that everyone ignores.

 

Katherine Hayhoe Cashing In On The Climate Scare…CEO Of Climate Consulting And Fortune-Telling Firm

What if scientists one day concluded that climate was influenced mostly by natural factors and that man had little impact? What would be the result? For one, lots of people would find themselves in the unemployment line. And for many, their companies and operations would have to close shop. Hat-tip: Reader DirkH.

One person who likely would be negatively impacted is Katherine Hayhoe, who is not only an atmospheric scientist with expertise in climate modelling, regional climate impacts and science-policy interface at Texas Tech, but also happens to be CEO of ATMOS Research and Consulting, a Lubbock-based company “providing detailed reports, maps, and other graphics that vividly illustrate changes that have already been observed, as well as highlighting the possible future impacts of climate change over the coming century“.

The bold print in layman terms: climate fortune-telling services.

Climate consulting is surely a business that derives much benefit from the notion that climate change is now happening rapidly and that a catastrophe is imminent. A lot folks want to know what to do in order to prepare, and Katherine takes big money for telling them.  I really don’t see how it is possible for people like Ms Hayhoe to avoid conflicts of interest here. Is it possible to remain objective in a science when you run a business whose very success depends on the output of that science? God knows that consulting fees are exorbitant. Tempting to say the least.

Should we be surprised that Hayhoe, as the CEO and top beneficiary of the climate consulting company, is a big proponent of climate catastrophe scenarios? Seems it would certainly help the ATMOS bottom line.

And how much of the services rendered by ATMOS are actually sourced from the tax-payer funded university where Hayhoe is a professor? As a professor at a state university, is she using research money and all the number-crunching facilities there to supply reports that ATMOS Consulting in turn sells at a high price to clients (after a little cut and paste editing)?  I’d like to know what part of them high-priced consulting reports were actually generated by ATMOS resources alone, and what part was actually generated by her employer Texas Tech (taxpayer). Would Hayhoe confirm it’s 100%/0%?

ATMOS is an ideal set-up as a real money-making machine: scare the bejesus out of clients on one side, and sell them lucrative consulting services on the other. Though legal, there seems to be some ethical issues here.

And who are her clients? What proportion are private and what proportion are taxpayer funded government agencies, who just happen to love scary reports that sway public opinion? It all seems dubious to me and the potential for conflicts of interest is simply too high.

Crystal ball services: possible 100-year scenarios

The ATMOS website does not provide any information about the quality of its products, especially its climate forecast-related scenarios. Do they come with a guarantee? We get the sense that they don’t and that it’s mostly speculation dressed up to look scientific. Indeed if there is no guarantee, then it would be safe to say that ATMOS is actually selling high-priced crystal ball fortune-telling services. The ATMOS website writes that they “provide possible impacts of climate change over the coming century.”

Read the fine print – no money back!

 

 

Veteran Meteorologist On PIK Greenland Scenario: “Oracle of Delphi…They’ve Opened Up The Seven Seals!”

Prophetic revelations of disturbing end of world visions

PIK Makes The Ice Melt Away
By Meteorologist Klaus Eckart Puls
(Translated, condensed by P Gosselin)

The Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) and the Universidad Complutense de Madrid recently came out with computer-model generated scenarios showing that Greenland would melt away [1]. This scenario of course was all designed to produce spectacular headlines of a coming apocalypse for the media. And that, it did. The PIK study contained the following core statement:

Here, using a fully coupled model, we show that this criterion systematically overestimates the temperature threshold and that the Greenland ice sheet is more sensitive to long-term climate change than previously thought. We estimate that the warming threshold leading to a monostable, essentially ice-free state is in the range of 0.8–3.2°C, with a best estimate of 1.6°C ” … For 2.0°C regional summer warming, which is just above the deglaciation threshold in the representative case, complete melting of the GIS takes about 50,000 years. In contrast, with warming of 4,0°C, the ice sheet needs about 8,000 years to melt completely, and for warming of 8°C, 20% of the ice sheet melts in just 500 years and the entire ice sheet melts within about 2,000 years.”

All of this is based on a model – written up to produce a desired result. And from the desired model results, the scientists concluded:

Therefore, if anthropogenic CO2 emissions in the coming century drive the temperature considerably above the deglaciation threshold, irreversible total loss of the GIS will be difficult to avoid, ensuring continued substantial sea-level rise for millennia.”

The PIK press release even went so far to claim that their scenarios for the future are likely spot on:

The Model has proven that it can not only correctly calculate today’s observed ice cover, but also its development all the way back to the last ice age. That’s why the simulation is also trusted to correctly estimate the future. All this makes the new estimations more reliable than the previous.”

So this produces the impression that anthropogenic CO2 leads to continued warming with the catastrophic consequences for Greenland ice and sea level.

Now is a good time to tell readers why the PIK’s model scenarios are a load of manure: First, we have models where nature always ends up doing everything completely different. What are model speculations for centuries and even millenia into the future worth when already the current trends are talking a completely different language?

(1) Not predicted by a single model: The Earth has not warmed in 14 years [3] .
(2) For 14 years there has not been any correlation between CO2 and global temperature.
(3) This correlation is fundamentally, hotly and increasingly disputed [2].
(4) Sea level rise shows that over the last years, and foremost now, there is no acceleration [7] – instead we have a deceleration.
(5) And the most absurd of all: the study and the press release are speculating thousands of years into the future, as if it were like next month.

All the speculation is based on a computer model. Models are computer scenarios, and are not prognoses. Just as prognoses– e.g. for economics, weather, social structure, etc. – for political, business and private decisions are fraught with uncertainty, model scenarios for decisions for far-reaching measures are useless.

Another important question amid all this is being avoided: How is it that the Greenland Ice Sheet never experienced extensive melting (let alone a complete meltdown) over the Holocene when at times it was warmer than today over hundreds of years, see figure below?

Alpine glaciologist E. Patzelt [5] also writes:

Proxy temperature records for the temperature development show that 65% of the last 10,000 years the summer half-year was just as warm or warmer than today. The current temperature development is within the normal range of variability. Warm phases of this type have always been called ‘climate optimums’.”

One needs to take this much more into consideraion in the current climate discussion. This will not lead to a complete melting of the glaciers, neither in the Alps, nor in Greenland.

Finally, veteran meteorologist Dr. Wolfgang Thüne puts it in plain words (emphasis added) when asked what he thought about the PIK’s thousand-year model prognoses [6] :”

Nothing! Theoretically, you can think up anything, dress it up in formulae and calculate that the end of the world will occur in exactly 1900 years. In 2000 years, when it comes to an ice-free Greenland, man will have been defrauded. The Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research reminds me of the Greek ‘Oracle of Delphi’, or the ‘Book of Revelation’, the vision of the apocalypse with its prophetic picture sequences . The world was supposed to end already back in 1033 and the IPCC prophesied in 2007 a climate collapse for 2020. With their super computers the climate scientists would have us believe that they have opened up the ‘Seven Seals’ and revealed ‘God’s Plan’.”

References:

[1] http://www.pik-potsdam.de/aktuelles/pressemitteilungen/gronlands-eismassen-konnten-komplett-schmelzen-bei-1-6-grad-globaler-erwarmung; 11.03.2012

[2] A.Robinson, R.Calov and A.Ganopolski;  Multistability and critical thresholds of the Greenland ice sheet; NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE / ADVANCE ONLINE PUBLICATION, www.nature.com/natureclimatechange , © 2012 Macmillan
Publishers Limited. All rights reserved.

[3] http://www.eike-klima-energie.eu/news-cache/g-l-o-b-a-l-c-o-o-l-i-n-g-wo-bleibt-die-erderwaermung/; 25.02.2012

[4] F.Vahrenholt & S.Lüning, Die Kalte Sonne, Hoffmann u. Campe, (2012)

[5] G. Patzelt, Gletscherschwund und Vorzeitklima, Bergauf, 2 (2008), S. 34-35, Innsbruck

[6] Luxembg. Tageblatt,15. März 2012, Das Orakel von Delphi; http://www.tageblatt.lu/nachrichten/story/-Orakel-von-Delphi–11105134

Also read here: http://drtimball.com/2012/sensationalist-and-distorted-climate-stories-increase-as-climate-science-failures-exposed/

 

India And China Sending Tough Signals To Bossy Europe – “Exceeding Legal Jurisdiction”

The days when Europe considered the rest of the world its colony and servant are over. But some EU bureaucrats and bossy greens obviously haven’t grasp that yet. Hat tip: Manfred Messmer here.

A group of EU climate commissars lead by Connie Hedegaard once got the idea they could boss the rest of the world, and impose a CO2 reduction scheme on the world’s airlines. Read here, background.

China and India, once ruthlessly exploited by European colonial rule, are sending tough messages back to Brussels: If you think you can still boss us around, then you’ve got another thing coming.

Al Jazeera reports on news which the European mainstream media are too embarrassed to make public in Europe. The EU’s unilateral move to charge for carbon emitted by flights in and out of Europe is escalating an international row and threatens to turn into an all out global trade war – one that Europe would certainly lose big time.

India is now following China’s lead and is set to ask its airlines not to take part in the European Union emissions trading scheme. In February China barred its airlines from participating in the European emissions-reduction scheme. Other powers like the USA and Russia are also joining in with China and India.

Al Jazeera writes that an Indian official “told Reuters news agency that India will soon ask local airlines not to share emissions data with the bloc or buy any carbon credits.” And the official added:

‘We have lots of measures to take if the EU does not go back on its demands. We have the power of the economy, we are not bleeding as they are,’ the government official said, adding that Europe’s position would harm its own economy and airlines. ‘The questions is, are you (EU) provoking the world into a trade war?’ the official said.”

China has already suspended the purchase of 10 more Airbus jets, and India has left that option open. China and India are important growth markets for Airbus. Cancelling orders for dozens of planes would deal a crushing blow for Europe’s aviation industry. Al Jazeera writes:

European planemaker Airbus has a 73 per cent share of the commercial plane market in India. It has orders for more than 250 planes with IndiGo, Go Air and Kingfisher Airlines, making fast-growing India a crucial growth market. Foreign governments say the EU is exceeding its legal jurisdiction by charging for an entire flight, as opposed to just the part covering European airspace.”

The European Commission, however, claims that all this is necessary to rescue the climate from a certain Armageddon – never mind the data.

To send a signal to show it means business, India disrupted the flight schedules of many European airlines to let them know “how disruptive a dispute with the country could be.”

Al Jazeera quotes the Indian official:

If things continue like this, then European airlines will be forced to avoid flying over India and go over the Indian Ocean and the Bay of Bengal. That’s not viable for them. They won’t have fuel to do that.”

The European Voice reminds readers of the gravity of the measures now being taken by China:

What we see today is that the Chinese authorities are blocking airlines from placing firm orders with Airbus. Airlines are likely to now consider the competition. And that could destroy years of efforts to bring Airbus to a market-leading position in China.”

And reminds the EU government that the European Trading Scheme for taxing CO2 is misguided policy:

It is time for European politicians to see the facts. Over the past decade, aviation achieved 45% growth while consuming only 3% more fuel. That is the best evidence for our industry’s prolonged and continuing efforts to reduce our environmental impact in all areas, and to allow for sustainable growth.”

I can’t imagine what Europe is thinking here. Are they dreaming that they can treat the world like its colony to boss around? Do the climate commissars really believe they can get away with this?

Clearly Europe is trying to fool the world with the climate climate issue in order to get back to the good old days of colonialism – when it bossed everyone around.

These climate commissars and green Napoleons are about to learn, however, that their days of running colonies are over.

 

Germany’s Poorest Say Auf Wiedersehen To Mobility – It’s House Arrest For The Poor

Yesterday we read how EU and German bureaucrats want to force homeowners make costly home renovations, for the sole sake of saving some energy. This of course would seriously drive up rental rates for tenants, hitting the poor especially hard.

And if it isn’t difficult enough for the poor to pay for their housing, take a look at the cost for mobility. We learn today that this is already unaffordable for many – thanks to the high price of fuel from government policy.

The leftist German daily TAZ reports here on a survey by research institute Forsa published last Thursday. Over 3000 citizens were surveyed and results show that one quarter are reducing their use of public transportation or their automobiles because of costs.

According the TAZ:

24 percent of the 3212 persons surveyed from all German states are refraining from planned or necessary trips with automobile, bus, rail or planes because of cost reasons.”

These 24% of course are those with limited financial and income means. The middle class and rich will worry much less about the costs of travel as they are able to pay the prices. The energy policy is impacting mainly the poor – making their struggle to make ends meet even worse with each passing day.

There is now spiralling energy inflation in Germany. The TAZ adds:

‘Compared to cost of living increases of about 11 percent between 2005 and 2011, the prices for air and rail trave,l as well as fuel prices, have exploded,’ said Allianz-pro-Schiene Director Dirk Flege. Last year a German Railway train ticket cost 22 percent more than it did 6 years ago.

In the same time period, air travel costs rose 34 percent. Fuel prices for cars went up 28%. The reason for the price increases are rising energy costs.”

Already many of the poor are unable to afford electricity and now will neither have anywhere to go nor the means to travel. In response, the government is considering social programs to alleviate their plight. But these programs are ineffective and amount to pick-pocketing 5 euros from one pocket, and putting one euro in the other, and claiming to be good Samaritans for it.

The greens and environmentalists are of course pleased about 24% of the population cutting back, and they view it as progress for the climate. But they are demanding more – 95% if possible (5%, green officials, would be exempt and continue to fly to places like Bali, Cancun, Durban, etc.).

 

German Eco-Czars Threaten To Force Home Owners To Make Costly Energy-Saving Rennovations

German daily Die Welt here reported last month how the transition to renewable energy development in Europe, particularly Germany, has not been progressing well lately.

Offshore parks are being delayed, the expansion of the power grid is practically DOA and people are realizing that the energy the sun sends for free is actually awfully expensive and inefficient.

The regulatory system designed to steer society through an energy efficiency revolution isn’t working. As a result bureaucrats are getting frustrated as their targets look less attainable than ever. Failure of their grand project is something they refuse to allow. Rather than admitting that the whole idea is unworkable, they instead think that the measures haven’t been drastic enough. Die Welt writes:

It’s no wonder that environmental politicians are considering forcing people rather than waiting for them to volunteer. That’s why the EU Commission has proposed a directive that threatens power utilities with fines in order to get them to finance the energy saving measures of their customers. Also homeowners are once again in the cross-hairs of politicians. After all, homes are the biggest consumers of energy . Too few homeowners are thinking about replacing their heating systems or insulating their walls and attics.”

Hat tip: http://oekowatch.org.

So what do the EU politicians have in mind? They want to force homeowners to renovate their homes to make them more energy efficient. Never mind if it’s economical or not. The idea is to save energy, no matter the cost. Besides, European politicians believe homeowners are too stupid to come up with the right answer when it comes to making investment decisions.

The German government is now considering such a measure. For example, the law would force people to insulate their homes and replace their furnace if they decide to carry out larger scale renovation works.

But as Die Welt writes, such drastic measures that try to force certain behavior are already being tried in the State of Baden-Württemberg, which is attempting to force homeowners there to carry out comprehensive renovation works for energy efficiency. The result: homeowners are renovating less than before. Die Welt:

Even small works are being avoided now because otherwise the law of the state threatens to force a costly full renovation. The laws of the state have only led to strategies of dodging and avoiding and have proven to be counter-productive.”

Little wonder. Whenever the state intrudes this deep into private property and lives, things are sure to go awry. That the state now is contemplating laws that tell people how to run their own private property is a scary measure indeed. They only need to look back at what happened under previous dictatorial regimes, never mind Baden-Württemberg.

The “Climate” Word Now Getting Dropped From Discussions About Energy In Germany

Yesterday the Maybrit Illner talkshow on ZDF television was about Germany’s attempt to shift to renewable energy in the wake of the shutdown of 7 nuclear power reactors after the Fukushima tsunami disaster.

The political talkshow, moderated by Maybrit Illner, asked if consumers are being asked to pay too much for the transition to a power supply based on renewable energies. Electricity rates have jumped 15% in Germany in just 2 years. Interesting were the comments from German Environment Minister, Norbert Röttgen. In the past he always based the need to switch to renewable energy on “climate change”. Not anymore it seems. Except maybe once in passing, Röttgen didn’t mention the word “climate” once. In fact no one uttered it. It appears that protecting climate has lost its appeal.

So what could be driving the change over to renewable energy if it isn’t the climate? Röttgen cited two reasons: 1) The need to get off nuclear power and 2) the fact that fossil fuels are resources on Earth that are limited. No mention of climate. Suddenly climate change is losing its urgency.

The other members of the talkshow included a Karl Marx look-alike (Michael Sladek) who demands that power generation be taken away from big corporations and be decentralized by putting it in the hands of private individuals. Isn’t that what mankind did thousands of years ago when everyone had his own campfire?

Another guest was an anti-nuclear power activist who claimed that nuclear power was too dangerous and thus had to be stopped. She said the same thing about 10 times, but used different words each time.

The director EON was also a guest and he was content to perch himself high up on the fence, not taking any sides at all. I found his performance spineless. The other guest was Dirk Maxeiner, a long-time critic of the green movement. Citing biogas and windmills, he claimed that the green movement did more harm than good to the environment. He’s right of course.

Is Schellnhuber discretely changing the timescale?

Reader asmilwho informs that Hans Joachim Schellnhuber was interviewd on German radio this morning. As I listened to the director of the alamist fantasy factory Potsdam Institute of Climate Impact Research, I couldn’t help but notice that he seems to have modified his tune when it comes to a timetable for his envisioned “Great Transformation of Society” and climate urgency overall (emphasis added):

For the most part the course has to be set over the next 20 years for an almost carbon-free world economy.”

Now it’s two decades “to set the course” to transform society, and not to actually transform it. It turns out that some countries like Germany, Spain and Italy, all set their green course years ago, and all have since discovered that it’s too expensive to follow. Thus they’ve since begun to abandon these courses by cutting back on or eliminating the subsidies that had been designed to keep them on their courses to begin with. The “course” to transform society turned out to be a path to failure and had to be abandoned.

“Setting the course for a renewable energy economy” over the next 20 years is not going to curb global CO2 emissions at all. China, India and the rest of the booming developing world aren’t going to accept delaying any longer the prosperity that the western world has been enjoying for over half a century. Poverty cannot pay for expensive energy. The path to renewable energy can only go through prosperity, and the path to prosperity is paved with cheap energy. The developing world is not going to abstain from using cheap fossil fuels. Thus CO2 concentrations will certainly continue their rise. In 10 years it’ll be clear what the real impact of CO2 on climate truly is.

Another misleading comment Schellnhuber makes is claiming that “surveys show globally that 90% of the population wants the transition renewable energies”. Well if they’re cheap and plentiful, who doesn’t? But the reality is that these energy sources are still astronomically expensive and cause more environmental destruction than protection. They cannot lift countries out of poverty.

 

Germany Singing A Requiem For Its Solar Industry – “Not A Single Company In The Black….Industry Will Disappear Within 5 Years”

All the green jobs of the future that were promised – have now turned into dashed dreams. On the scrap heap along with the promises of communism, redistribution, third ways, etc.

FOCUS magazine here brings us up-to-speed on the trials and misery of Germany’s much maligned solar industry. The situation is worse than we thought.

It’s in a rapid death spiral, and it has claimed its latest victim: Solarhybrid AG. Last Tuesday evening, just a few dozen months after the company went public in 2008 amid the usual hoopla, it announced that it is bankrupt and is now seeking protection from its creditors. The sunny days are gone.

Solarhybrid’s collapse follows on the heels of Solon and Solar Millennium, who also recently went bust. The great German solar energy bubble has popped. With the current feed-in rates ending on April 1st, set to drop another 20%, the real monster crash still remains to come.

Solarhybrid was a specialist for large solar power plants, and was even optimistic about the future just as recently as October 2011. I bet the investors who jumped on board in October are really amused.

The German solar industry suffers from severe global over-capacity and falling government subsides, without which they can’t compete. Yet it should not be a surprise that it has come to this. Half of the world’s solar power generation capacity is installed in Germany, a country that gets as much sunshine as Alaska. It was only a matter of time before the reality of economics caught up. So far Germany has committed over €100 billion in solar subsidies over the next 20 years – for a power source that will hardly make a dent.

Other German solar companies such as giants Conergy und Q-Cells are beginning their death throes. Even once bullish Solarworld director Frank Asbeck, the die-hard optimist of the industry, is warning of really tough times ahead (emphasis added):

If the subsidy reductions continue, the entire branch will be forced to sell its products below cost. We can’t take this very long,’ he said Tuesday regarding the solar subsidy reductions. In the entire branch there is not a single company that is in the black. The same is true for Chinese manufacturers.”

If that doesn’t sound awful enough, then read what Klaus-Dieter Maubach, Technology Chairman at power giant Eon, is quoted as saying to Bloomberg (emphasis added):

In view of the competition from China, Germany’s solar industry will disappear completely within 5 years. Not a single employee will be working for a German solar company, because by then they will all have gone bankrupt.”

 

The Great Subsidy Pile-On! German Consumers Should Expect More Massive Rising Costs For Renewable Energy

As it becomes more and more evident that renewable energies such as solar and wind are turning out to be far costlier than ever anticipated, and will do nothing to the climate, the masterminds behind them don’t want to hear it. Now they are going to do whatever it takes to make them work – no matter the cost.

In Germany, BARD company, located in the northern seaport of Emden, has just announced it will lay off its 100 employees at its windmill rotor blade factory. The reason? Lack of demand. Offshore wind companies are hesitating to invest in offshore windparks due the high risks surrounding the technical challenges.
Hat-tip  EIKE, which writes:

Offshore company BARD is closing its rotor blade production in East Friesian Emden. ‘100 employees are impacted,’ said the Chairman of Management Bernd Ranneberg in Emden on Monday.”

So how do you encourage companies to invest in high risk renewable energy projects? Simple – you eliminate their risk. This is what a working group now advises the German government to do: It is the lowly consumers who should pick up the risks and costs for the adventurous business of offshore windparks. The companies investing in them won’t have to worry, and so can dive right in.

Germany daily Die Welt yesterday writes:

To bring the stalled offshore wind power back into gear, the State and power consumers will overtake the risks from the investors. This is the only way of assuring the construction of wind turbines needed for meeting the objectives of the country. The main point is the takeover of the liability risks of the power grid operating companies, which have been the main cause of delay.”

Socializing the risks and costs. Die Welt quotes:

‘To the extent that possible damages cannot be insured despite technical and organisational measures, the compensation for damage is to be socialized,’ says a paper produced by a working group that is represented by power grid companies, windpark operators, and suppliers such as Siemens, as well as the Ministry of Economics. Possible would be an intervention by the federal government, or rolling over all the power grid costs and fees onto the power customers.”

Astronomical costs ahead. As Die Welt writes, there are other costs:

Other possible cost drivers in connection with the energy transformation, such as high buying prices for power from the construction of new power plants, or the rising payments for renewable energies, are not included in the calculation. A study by the Technical University of Berlin summed up the direct and indirect costs of the Renewable Energy Feed-In Act until 2030 and pegged them at € 335 billion.”

Poor Germany. Finally, EIKE writes that the German Federal Power Grid Agency warns that power consumers need to expect “massive power price  hikes.” The German news agency DPA writes:

The reason the necessary expansion of the power grid for alternative energies…the investment range is from about 30 to 47.5 billion euros.”

High prices normally would drive companies out of Germany. But no problem here, too. Large power consumers like industries are exempt from paying high power prices. The entire costs will be borne by the lowly little consumers. The government saw to that last summer. The DPA writes:

Higher costs for consumers were assured by a law called the Power Grid Charge Regulation passed during the summer of 2011, where large power consumers can apply for a discount…more than 1600 applications have poured into the Federal Agency up to now. The discounts or full exemptions have a volume 400 million euros annually – money that will have to be paid by the remaining power consumers.”

Clearly huge costs are in the pipeline for German consumers. Call it fuel for social anger.

German 4th Graders Taught An Apple A Day Keeps The Climate Armageddon Away – Competition Winner!

No April Fool’s joke here. Our friends at the German Science Skeptical here bring us a Youtube video on how kids are being taught out somewhere in East Germany that eating apples saves the climate.

It’s all part of a German government sponsored competition to promote climate protection and energy savings.

In fact officials found the idea so awesome that that the 4th graders of this particular school were declared “Energiesparmeister” (Energy Savings Champion) of 2012. The winning idea from the fourth graders is: To use the apple as a natural healer more intensely, thus reducing the production of pharmaceutical products and thus resulting in less energy consumption and thus less climate-destroying CO2 emissions.
Continue reading German 4th Graders Taught An Apple A Day Keeps The Climate Armageddon Away – Competition Winner!

Vahrenholt Interviews With HNA: “At Most One Degree More”

I’m a little short on time today, and so I will provide the translation of the latest Die kalte Sonne website’s piece on an interview of Fritz Vahrenholt by the HNA titled: “At Most One Degree More”.

Although the interview is not available online, Die kalte Sonne website provides us with the main points:

HNA: For years you represented the main assertions of the IPCC. Now you are saying they are false?
Vahrenholt: Carbon dioxide is indeed a climate gas, but the IPCC in its summary report does not provide two important points: The irradiative strength of the sun and its magnetic field were until recently very strong, and have begun to decrease. Also both major oceanic cycles, which provide a change between warming and cooling, are now switching to cooling. For this reason for the next 20 years we are not going to see any warming, instead we can expect a slight cooling. This gives us more time for converting our energy supply system […]

HNA: What role does CO2 play in climate change?

Continue reading Vahrenholt Interviews With HNA: “At Most One Degree More”

The Greens Against The Sun – Vahrenholt And Lüning Rebut Warmists’ Absurdities

It’s been 6 weeks since Professor Fritz Vahrenholt’s and Dr. Sebastian Lüning’s bestselling skeptic book “Die kalte Sonne” was released. The Greens have been attacking the book – but their arguments have been astonishingly weak. Some Greens wrote a paper listing their arguments against the book.


The chart that’s driving the Greens nuts.

Vahrenholt and Lüning have since posted here a list of the most common arguments and their rebuttals (which I have paraphrased) as follows:

1. Fritz Vahrenholt used old and already refuted claims.

Rebuttal: “Die kalte Sonne“ bases its arguments on hundreds of publications from renowned scientists. There’s a wide range of scientific opinions. A number of scientists whose opinions deviate from the IPCC have stopped participating in the IPCC due to the frustration of being constantly ignored. The selection of material assessed by the IPCC is incomplete. Natural climate factors and processes have not been taken into account by the IPCC and are not included in their models. Therefore the IPCC does not in any way represent a consensus. The claims made by Die kalte Sonne have not been refuted. Just the missing warming of the last 12 years should tell anyone that something is amiss, and that natural processes have to be at work.

Continue reading The Greens Against The Sun – Vahrenholt And Lüning Rebut Warmists’ Absurdities

Greenland Ice Melt Has Caused Only 7 Millimeters Of Sea Level Rise From 2002 To 2011!

Greenland isn’t melting rapidly after all. We keep hearing that melting there has been accelerating, and that if it melted, sea levels would rise a catastrophic 7 meters.

New data just released by the Helmholtz Centre in Potsdam, Germany, shows that over the last 10 years only 240 gigatons of ice have melted. http://www.gfz-potsdam.

That ice loss translates to a sea level rise of 0.7 mm year. Does anyone see an acceleration here? I don’t. And the Poseidon/TOPEX sea level data confirm it.

Not only is Greenland melting at a dreadfully boring rate, but the study has another non-surprise: “GFZ scientists were able to demonstrate a strong correlation between the climatic phenomenon ENSO / La Nina, the rainfall patterns in West Antarctica and the reduction of ice mass there.” So do they mean that CO2 is not that much of a factor there too?

Continue reading Greenland Ice Melt Has Caused Only 7 Millimeters Of Sea Level Rise From 2002 To 2011!

Leading German Daily Writes: Germany’s Energy Transformation Is A Flop, Government Takeover Looms

What subsidies and government meddling in the free market could not accomplish, will probably soon be attempted by a government takeover.

Flagship daily the Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung (FAZ) here writes that there are 4 main obstacles in Germany’s energy transformation:

1. Wind supply is unpredictable.

2. There’s no good way to store electricity.

3. Increasing energy efficiency to reduce consumption by 10% by 2020 and 25% by 2050 appear unrealistic.

4. Expansion of the national power distribution grid is stuck.

Continue reading Leading German Daily Writes: Germany’s Energy Transformation Is A Flop, Government Takeover Looms

Germany’s Green Führism: We Have To Destroy It In Order To Rescue It. Green Infallibility Shows Its Ugly Side

Slowly it seems that some greens are starting to wake up from their zombie condition and are showing signs that they may one day realize the disaster they’ve unleashed.

German public television, the ZDF of all networks, has a clip on how the building of windmills has completely run amok in Germany. Hat-tip: www.kaltesonne.de/.

Continue reading Germany’s Green Führism: We Have To Destroy It In Order To Rescue It. Green Infallibility Shows Its Ugly Side

Germany’s Per Kilowatt-Hour CO2 Emissions Jump 4%! Transformation To Renewables Flops

Steffen Hentrich of the liberty-oriented blogsite “Denken für die Freiheit” (Thinking for Liberty) writes a piece called “Climate-Killing Energy Transformation” about how Germany’s energy transformation from nuclear and fossil fuels to renewable energies is not working out very well.

 

Continue reading Germany’s Per Kilowatt-Hour CO2 Emissions Jump 4%! Transformation To Renewables Flops

Adding To The Concert Of Alarms: Water Consumption And Food Wastage

Nuclear meltdown, acid rain, ocean acidification, sea level rise, famine, obesity, drought, megastorms, floods, extreme weather, rain-forest destruction, species extinction…

These are just some of the bogus scares the UN and activists use to keep the masses in a state of panic. The more, the better. Hardly a day goes by without the media fretting about at least one or more of the above. And the list just keeps growing.

In the headlines over the last few days in Germany and Europe are two new topics: Water shortage and food-wastage.

New Crisis No. 1: Global water shortage

One we hear a lot about is the growing water consumption crisis, which Die Welt reports on here. Though it’s not new, the tone is getting ever shriller. Billions are now threatened. According to Die Welt:

‘The demand for water is increasing just at a time when climate change is threatening its availability,’ says the latest UN World Water Report.”

More than 20,000 experts from over 100 countries have gathered in Marseilles for a week-long conference on potable water. Is it really necessary to have 20,000 experts just to talk about water? Obviously there are lots of people who can’t find regular worthwhile jobs.

Continue reading Adding To The Concert Of Alarms: Water Consumption And Food Wastage