Prophetic revelations of disturbing end of world visions…
PIK Makes The Ice Melt Away
By Meteorologist Klaus Eckart Puls
(Translated, condensed by P Gosselin)
The Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) and the Universidad Complutense de Madrid recently came out with computer-model generated scenarios showing that Greenland would melt away . This scenario of course was all designed to produce spectacular headlines of a coming apocalypse for the media. And that, it did. The PIK study contained the following core statement:
Here, using a fully coupled model, we show that this criterion systematically overestimates the temperature threshold and that the Greenland ice sheet is more sensitive to long-term climate change than previously thought. We estimate that the warming threshold leading to a monostable, essentially ice-free state is in the range of 0.8–3.2°C, with a best estimate of 1.6°C ” … For 2.0°C regional summer warming, which is just above the deglaciation threshold in the representative case, complete melting of the GIS takes about 50,000 years. In contrast, with warming of 4,0°C, the ice sheet needs about 8,000 years to melt completely, and for warming of 8°C, 20% of the ice sheet melts in just 500 years and the entire ice sheet melts within about 2,000 years.”
All of this is based on a model – written up to produce a desired result. And from the desired model results, the scientists concluded:
Therefore, if anthropogenic CO2 emissions in the coming century drive the temperature considerably above the deglaciation threshold, irreversible total loss of the GIS will be difficult to avoid, ensuring continued substantial sea-level rise for millennia.”
The PIK press release even went so far to claim that their scenarios for the future are likely spot on:
The Model has proven that it can not only correctly calculate today’s observed ice cover, but also its development all the way back to the last ice age. That’s why the simulation is also trusted to correctly estimate the future. All this makes the new estimations more reliable than the previous.”
So this produces the impression that anthropogenic CO2 leads to continued warming with the catastrophic consequences for Greenland ice and sea level.
Now is a good time to tell readers why the PIK’s model scenarios are a load of manure: First, we have models where nature always ends up doing everything completely different. What are model speculations for centuries and even millenia into the future worth when already the current trends are talking a completely different language?
(1) Not predicted by a single model: The Earth has not warmed in 14 years  .
(2) For 14 years there has not been any correlation between CO2 and global temperature.
(3) This correlation is fundamentally, hotly and increasingly disputed .
(4) Sea level rise shows that over the last years, and foremost now, there is no acceleration  – instead we have a deceleration.
(5) And the most absurd of all: the study and the press release are speculating thousands of years into the future, as if it were like next month.
All the speculation is based on a computer model. Models are computer scenarios, and are not prognoses. Just as prognoses– e.g. for economics, weather, social structure, etc. – for political, business and private decisions are fraught with uncertainty, model scenarios for decisions for far-reaching measures are useless.
Another important question amid all this is being avoided: How is it that the Greenland Ice Sheet never experienced extensive melting (let alone a complete meltdown) over the Holocene when at times it was warmer than today over hundreds of years, see figure below?
Alpine glaciologist E. Patzelt  also writes:
Proxy temperature records for the temperature development show that 65% of the last 10,000 years the summer half-year was just as warm or warmer than today. The current temperature development is within the normal range of variability. Warm phases of this type have always been called ‘climate optimums’.”
One needs to take this much more into consideraion in the current climate discussion. This will not lead to a complete melting of the glaciers, neither in the Alps, nor in Greenland.
Finally, veteran meteorologist Dr. Wolfgang Thüne puts it in plain words (emphasis added) when asked what he thought about the PIK’s thousand-year model prognoses  :”
Nothing! Theoretically, you can think up anything, dress it up in formulae and calculate that the end of the world will occur in exactly 1900 years. In 2000 years, when it comes to an ice-free Greenland, man will have been defrauded. The Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research reminds me of the Greek ‘Oracle of Delphi’, or the ‘Book of Revelation’, the vision of the apocalypse with its prophetic picture sequences . The world was supposed to end already back in 1033 and the IPCC prophesied in 2007 a climate collapse for 2020. With their super computers the climate scientists would have us believe that they have opened up the ‘Seven Seals’ and revealed ‘God’s Plan’.”
 A.Robinson, R.Calov and A.Ganopolski; Multistability and critical thresholds of the Greenland ice sheet; NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE / ADVANCE ONLINE PUBLICATION, www.nature.com/natureclimatechange , © 2012 Macmillan
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 F.Vahrenholt & S.Lüning, Die Kalte Sonne, Hoffmann u. Campe, (2012)
 G. Patzelt, Gletscherschwund und Vorzeitklima, Bergauf, 2 (2008), S. 34-35, Innsbruck
 Luxembg. Tageblatt,15. März 2012, Das Orakel von Delphi; http://www.tageblatt.lu/nachrichten/story/-Orakel-von-Delphi–11105134