Despite Tens Of Billions Spent on Renewables And Steeper Energy Prices, Europe’s CO2 Output Climbs

It’s great to see what all those tens of billions of euros spent on renewable energies and the skyrocketing costs of electricity have accomplished. Nothing!

According to the German Press Agency, dpa, European greenhouse gas emissions jumped 2.4% in 2010. The figures were released by the European Environment Agency (EEA) in Copenhagen yesterday. Read about it here.

Officials blame economic recovery in many countries and the harsh winter for the jump. Actually, the tens of billions of euros did have an impact. According to EEA Director Jacqueline McGlade:

…the increase could have been even higher without the fast expansion of renewable energy generation in the EU.”

Boy, I feel a lot better already. Actually I don’t. Even if emissions had gone down, it still would have been a complete waste of money, and is not going to change the climate. And whatever Europe manages to save in emissions over the next decade will simply be offset by China’s explosive growth in just matter of weeks.

According to the EEA: Germany, Poland and Great Britain are responsible for 56% of the increase. Finland, Sweden and Austria also posted large emission increases. Shame on you.

But there were some big successes in Europe. Large emission savings were accomplished in Greece, Spain and Portugal. Congratulations! Of course, these happen to be the countries in Europe that have crashed economically. The media just forgot to mention that.

The Express (link above) writes:

Despite the increase in 2010, the 27-nation bloc is on track to meet its emissions targets under the Kyoto protocol, a 1997 climate accord limiting the emissions of most industrialised countries, the EEA said.”

What they don’t mention is that a large part of those cutbacks was achieved by the collapse of the former East Block and the really dilapidated factories of communist central planning.

 

The USA’s Imelda Marcos President

!!! UPDATE: Story now (indirectly) on the Drudge Report !!! (31 May 2012, 20.00 h CET)

Not only does he not feel bad about the tab taxpayers have to pick up for his haircuts, President Obama obviously also does not care much about the massive carbon footprint his haircuts are leaving on our planet which, we are told, is tipping precariously.

With each passing day, Barack Obama is looking more and more like the Imelda Marcos President.

German public radio here has a gossip report on how the world’s most likable Commander-in-chief gets his haircut, and about the cool dude who trims his hair. The President is a man of the common people, the report tells its listeners. He hangs out with regular folks, like his barber for example. Obama’s Chicago barber, who goes by the name Zariff, has been cutting the Chief Executive’s hair 17 years.

But now that the President has his residence in Washington D.C., you’d think he’s find another barber in town to cut his hair and save us lots of costs. Wrong.

According to German public radio, the President flies Zariff from Chicago to DC for a trim dozens of times per year (on the taxpayers’ dime of course). Not only does this cost the taxpayers a bundle, but think about the carbon footprint the supposedly environmentally-concerned President is producing. The German NDR reporter says:

The barber never says a word about what they discuss. Perhaps that’s also a reason why Obama feels comfortable being around him. Otherwise he would not fly his barber in from Chicago to Washington every ten to 14 days.”

Think of all the jet fuel getting burned for them clippers.

In these tough times when Americans by the score are struggling with high unemployment, tight budgets, tattered finances and deep worries about the future, wouldn’t it be more appropriate for the President to get a barber from DC? My God -surely there’s got to be somebody in town who can cut his hair.

With all due respect, Mr. President, such small things make all the difference between a great democracy and a banana republic.

 

A Look At Hans von Storch’s “Most Effective Climate Change Policy” – China’s “Iron Fist Campaign”

What does Hans von Storch’s “most effective climate policy” look like?

File:Wir stehen nicht allein.png

The 1936 German sign reads “We don’t stand alone.” Well, in 2012 add China’s flag to the poster for countries that practice forced sterilizations.

Hat tip a reader/blogger:

Breaking China’s One-Child Law

In an unprecedented crackdown, Chinese officials set out to sterilize 10,000 women — by jailing their relatives until the women submitted.

A dozen Chinese officials had beaten down the man’s door and dragged him away. “What has he done wrong?” Wei asked in alarm. “Nothing,” her husband replied. “He has been jailed because he is related to us.”

Wei, a bird-thin woman with bobbed hair, let lunch burn on the stove as she heard more. “My husband said we had broken the law by having two children. The authorities were imprisoning his brother until we were punished,” she says. “As soon as I learned it was about birth control, I began to cry and shake.” Family-planning officials in the southern county of Puning, in Guangdong province, were going to shocking new extremes to catch and punish violators of the country’s infamous one-child policy: They were seizing family members of women who had given birth illegally and were holding them hostage. The aim? To coerce the women into submitting to sterilization. Says Wei, “The officials said there was only one way to get my brother-in-law released: I had to undergo forced sterilization.”

As Wei panicked in her kitchen, the same scene was playing out in households all over Puning, a region of 2.2 million people, about six hours by bus from the provincial capital of Guangzhou. In early April, the local Family Planning Bureau, which oversees population control, launched what it termed an “Iron Fist Campaign,” targeting 10,000 women who had more than one childcontinue reading…

I’m stunned that von Storch actually published that comment. I can’t believe it. Surely he was being cynical. The world is on its head today.

 

Renowned Climate Scientist Says China’s One-Child Policy Was The “Most Effective Climate Policy Of The Last Decade”

Distinguished IPCC climate scientist Professor Hans von Storch wrote what to me appears to be a very twisted and disturbing statement at his Klimazwiebel blog. I’m really quite surprised by it.

Von Storch writes he got correspondence from a friend, who asked him how he personally thinks people can contribute to reducing climate change. HvS provides his “brief and spontaneous” answer by writing that a single person can’t really do anything and that technology needs to be developed to reduce CO2 emissions, and to do it economically.

So far so good.

He then writes that people installing solar panels on their rooves, though with good intentions, is in fact ineffective symbolism, and indeed is only merely spreading the illusion that one is doing something good. If anything, feel-good people are in fact impeding the development of truly effective approaches.

Then come his last two sentences, which I have translated below:

Die globalen Emissionen sind im letzten Jahr laut IEA um 3.2 % gestiegen. Ich glaube, das entspricht der jährlichen Emission von Deutschland, um und bei.
Die wirksamste Klimapolitik der letzten Jahrzehnte war die 1-Kind Politik in China, die der Welt ca. 400 Millionen CO2-Emittenden und Emittenden-Vermehrern erspart hat.

IN ENGLISH:

According to the IEA, global emissions last year climbed 3.2%. I believe that corresponds to the annual emission of Germany – roundabout.
The most effective climate policy of the last decade was the 1-child policy in China which saved the world from approx. 400 million emitters and emitter-reproducers.”

Denial of human life as an effective climate policy? Is he being cynical or has he totally lost his marbles?

I can only assume he is being cynical and is indirectly criticising what has been ineffective “climate policies” so far. (Personally, I don’t see how anyone can say “climate policies” have been ineffective when global temperatures have not risen at all over the last 10 years. Where’s the failure?).  Cynical or not, that 1-child statement goes way too far. Unusual coming from a man who dislikes extreme views from either side.

It would be disturbing enough if HvS were just another climate scientist trying to get attention, but he is much more than that. He is professor at the Meteorological Institute of the University of Hamburg, Director of the Institute for Coastal Research at the Helmholtz Research Centre in Geesthacht, and a member of the advisory boards of the journals Journal of Climate and Annals of Geophysics. He is one Germany’s leading climate scientists.

And when the world’s leading scientists run loose and start spewing about the virtues of mass population reduction in scientific terms, then the rest of us really need to worry. Dangerous politicians have a nasty habit of gravitating in their direction.

Strangely, HvS wrote his short essay in German, and not in the usual English which one finds more often at Klimazwiebel. Perhaps the elimination of 400 million people just seems to come across better in the more authoritarian German.

Cynical or not, it’s time for the professor to retire. In the very least he’d be wise to call his statement a mistake and to retract it.

 

New PNAS Paper Shows Light Causes Atmospheric Aerosols To Grow – Impact Our Climate

Scientists keep finding major knowledge gaps in their “science-is-settled” field of climatology.

The latest gap is revealed by an experiment by an international team of scientists that shows evidence of a new mechanism where light causes atmospheric aerosols to increase in size.

Aerosol pollution over India and Bangladesh, 2001. (Photo source: NASA)

The results of the research by a team led by Maria Eugenia Monge et al have been published by the PNAS. Title: Alternative pathway for atmospheric particles growth.

“The new and up to now unknown processes may be the reason why the atmospheric chemistry and physics of aerosol concentrations are often underestimated in models. This photo-induced processes first will be characterized experimentally and then introduced to tropospheric models,“ recommends Hartmut Herrmann of the German Leibniz Institute for Tropospheric Research (IfT) in Leipzig, a member of the team.

The paper’s abstract underscores that major gaps exist in the understanding of the physicochemical pathways that lead to aerosol growth in the atmosphere and that these pathways need to be considered by models.

So once again it’s back to the drawing board for our habitually lost climate modellers.

According to a Leibniz Institute for Tropospheric Research press release, light causes the aerosols to grow in size and have an impact on clouds and climate. Photocatalytic reactions can lead to a rapid formation of non-condensing volatile organic compounds (VOCs) on the surface of particles. They found that light can trigger chemical reactions between gaseous bonds and chemicals on the surface of organic particles, which ultimately allows them to increase in size says Dr. Maria-Eugenia Monge of IRCELYON and the University of Lyon.

Experiments showed that the particles under the influence of light can grow about 50 to 65 nanometers, which corresponds to about a doubling of their weight. The intensity of the light was of lesser importance. Already very weak UV radiation is enough to break the chemical bonds of dissolved organic material (DOM) and form free radicals.

The experiments were conducted at the IRCELYON in Lyon under the supervision of Dr. Christian George. Also participating were scientists of the French CNRS research association, the Israeli Weizmann Institute with Prof. Yinon Rudich, and Prof. Hartmut Herrmann of the German Leibniz Institute for Tropospheric Research (IfT) in Leipzig.

The Leibniz press release adds that aerosol particles in the atmosphere influence global climate because they reflect sunlight. They are also a factor in the global water circulation, which effects cloud formation and precipitation. They also impact human health as well. Despite their impacts, the processes that are responsible for the creation and growth of these particles are among the least understood fields of atmospheric science. At the IfT in Leipzig, the development chain of atmospheric particles from fine particulates to the formation of clouds and precipitation in natural areas as well as areas burdened by humans, i.e. large cities, are being researched.

So much for the new study on light and aerosols, which we know have a cooling effect on the planet. But with the last sentence in italics by the IfT, why do I get the feeling they are gearing up (again!) for man-made global cooling? Human activity is throwing up lots of aerosols (industry, agriculture, transportation, etc.) into the atmosphere and so are contributing to blocked sunlight. Time to start curtailing human aerosols!

And one more question: if low intensity light can cause major aerosol growth, wouldn’t it be very plausible that high energy cosmic rays could do the same?

 

Lüning: Major Austrian Study Showing “Fewer Weather Extremes Today” Causes Jaws To Drop

Yesterday I posted on a new study written by Reinhard Böhm of Austria’s Leading Weather and Climate Agency ZAMG.

His comprehensive, peer-reviewed paper found that there has been no increase in weather extremes in the Austrian Alps – surprising the world’s climate scientists. This study in my view is really big, and is upsetting the Climate Establishment in Europe. Dr. Böhm is quickly becoming the new enfant terrible.

Geologist Sebastian Lüning now provides additional details at his Die kalte Sonne website. I’ve translated his essay (with some editing).

===============================================
Surprise! Fewer Weather Extremes in the Alps Region
By Dr. Sebastian Lüning

The climate is going crazy and everything is getting more extreme. It’s only a question of time before the planet gets destroyed. This is what experts close to the IPCC have been telling us for some years now. But now a scientist has taken a closer look at the hard data and has found something truly amazing. Reinhard Böhm of the Central Administration for Meteorology and Geodynamics in Vienna has examined dataseries from 58 locations in the Alps, some of which go back to the year 1760. All the data is available in the Internet. Böhm published the study in the European Physical Journal.“

As expected also in Austria there has been a warming over the last 200 years, like almost everywhere else on the planet. That is expected and simply represents the transition from the Little Ice Age to the Modern Warm Period. The question that Böhm investigated, however, is: Did the weather get more cranky and more extreme during this time?

Austrian newspaper Die Presse here wrote:

Whether it is snowfall, heavy rains, storms or dry spells: After every notable weather event the media and experts are quick to explain that the increased frequency of extreme events of the recent past and of the coming future is due to man-made climate change. Hardly anyone questioned this claim – except for one person: Reinhard Böhm […]. In his recent research work, he evaluated up to 250 years of old weather data of the Alps region. The result even surprised him. The core message: An increased frequency of weather extremes caused by climate change – at least in the Alps region – could not be detected.”

In a press release of the Institute the stunning results were more shown in more detail (Figure 1) (see the article in Der Standard):

[On] the often quoted increase in weather extremes, this however has not been the case in the Alps. Completely to the contrary: ‘The temperature fluctuations have even decreased over the last decades,‘ summed up climatologist and study author Reinhard Böhm. […] The results of the study have left the scientists amazed.

Result No. 1: Over the last 250 years, the seasonal and annual fluctuation ranges of hot-cold, dry-wet have not gotten more extreme.

Result No. 2: Also over the last 30 years, which have been greatly impacted by man, there has been no trend to more variability when compared to the decades before.

And finally Result No. 3: The long-term development of temperature, precipitation and atmospheric pressure show two long waves of variability with a cycle of about 100 years. The climate was more variable (‘crazier”) in the middle of both past centuries, less variable (‘quieter’) at the start and end of the centuries.“

The last point is very important. As geological studies of the past 10,000 years have shown, natural cycles play an important role in the variability of the climate (see our past blog articles.

Figure 1: Changes in climate variability in southern central Europe over the past two centuries. Attention: NOT shown are the absolute values. Only the anomalies. Graphic source: ZMAG.

For the IPCC faithful, these results are quite unexpected. For years they have been claiming just the opposite. Austrian television ORF here writes:

Böhm’s study stands in contradiction to other studies that show a global increase in weather events is detected. The Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research spoke of a “Decade of Weather Extremes”. Also in March 2012 a Report by the IPCC showed more extreme weather events and, among other things, it is highly likely that periods of drought will occur more often over the coming decades  – in many regions of the world, among them also Central Europe.“

Böhm takes these these alarmist colleagues especially to task. What is it that is driving some scientists to always want to observe everywhere only a worsening of the climate? Die Presse writes:

Böhm doesn’t hold back on criticizing the PR work of some colleagues. To save the world from climate change, one needs lots of attention. Claims that weather extremes accompany temperature increase may be wonderful for marketing yourself, but it has got nothing to do with reality.’ “

It is wonderful to see that there is a push-back by climate scientists and that solid data and evidence is slowly gaining the upper hand. The study shows once again the importance of datasets that go far back into the past. Today’s climate can only be properly assessed when put in a historical context.
============================================

 

Comprehensive Alps Study Clearly Refutes Humans Are Causing More Weather Variability And Extremes!

A new paper authored by Reinhard Böhm of the Austrian Central Administration For Meteorology (ZAMG) refutes the notion that anthropogenic warming is causing an increase of climate extremes and making weather more variable and extreme.

Pressure – temperature – precipitation (Source ZAMG)

The paper uses the monthly resolved data of the HISTALP data collection, which provides 58 single series for three climate elements: air pressure, air temperature and precipitation, which start earlier than 1831 and extend back to 1760 in some cases.

The paper’s abstract writes:

The main goal is the analysis of trends or changes of high frequent interannual and interseasonal variability. In other words, it is features like extremely hot summers, very cold winters, excessively dry or wet seasons which the study aims at.”

The paper also concentrates on the recent three decades because “they are the first 30 years with dominating anthropogenic greenhouse gas forcing”.

Conclusion? No change!

The author of the warmist ZAMG doesn’t mince his words:

We can show that also this recent anthropogenic normal period shows no widening of the PDF (probability density function) compared to the preceding ones.”

Not only did the author find no change in variability, but he also detected a “centennial oscillating structure”.

The abstract continues (emphasis added):

It shows that interannual variability changes show a clear centennial oscillating structure for all three climate elements in the region. For the time being we have no explanation for this empirical evidence.”

Please allow me to suggest one: take a look at the sun! As it stands, only an absolute moron can now remain oblivious to the huge, growing body of evidence pointing to solar activity cycles.

Böhm continues, reluctantly admitting there may be other mysterious factors out there playing a role:

We argue that it should not be an artifact of any remaining data problems, but of course a centennial cyclic effect based on 250 years of data only is not really well consolidated in terms of sample length. But it is at least an interesting new feature and the subject is open for scientific discussion and for further studies dealing with circulation effects, long-term memories in the oceans etc.”

Hooray! It seems they are beginning to acknowledge the oceans as a possible factor in climate change! Thus there’s hope that one day they’ll realize the sun may be involved as well.

Finally, CO2 Handel here writes:

Neither during the last 250 years nor the last 30 years, which have been strongly impacted by man, has the seasonal and annual fluctuation range hot-cold and dry-wet become greater.”

And

‘The results are certainly surprising for many,’ explains climatologist and study-author Reinhard Böhm. We often hear there are no longer any transitions between seasons and that spring and autumn, as well as winter and summer, are increasingly characterized by extreme cold-warm fluctuations. ‘Our study clearly shows that this is not the case.'”

That is quite an admission for an author from a warmist outfit like the ZAMG.

 

Multiple Glacier Studies Show Wide Holocene Climate Variations In Asia And Europe

A recent study by A.R. Agatova et al investigated glacier dynamic and climatic variations in the southeastern part of the Russian Altai during the last 7000 years and show distinct natural climatic changes had occurred.

Not surprisingly, these changes coincide with changes occurring at other parts of the globe, and so add to the massive weight of evidence refuting the claim that climate fluctuations on centurial in millennial scales are regional phenomena and occur over a small temperature range.

The scientists exhumed organic material and carried out radiocarbon dating on wood remains from buried dead trees at the upper tree limit, and from rock glaciers on trough slopes from six glacial valleys in the North Chuya Range, SE Altai. They compiled an extensive dataset, which form the basis for understanding the relative magnitudes and timing of the most important glacial and climatic events of SE Altai.

Their conclusion:

New data refute the traditional concept of the Russian Altai Holocene glaciations as a consecutive retreat of the late Würm glaciers and argue their complete degradation at the head of trough valleys at least 7000 cal. years BP.”

Moreover, they identified three periods of glacial advances: from 4900 to 4200 cal. years BP (Akkem stage), from 2300 to 1700 cal. years BP (Historical stage) and in the 13th–19th centuries (Little Ice Age (LIA) or Aktru stage). The coincident extremes of lowering temperature and increasing precipitation during the Akkem stage led to abrupt glacier advances and forming of the most remote moraine complexes downstream in the valleys.

The authors also write that in addition to the radiocarbon data, the time limits of the Historical stage were defined more precisely using dendrochronological and archaeological data from Scythian burials of Pazyryk culture in SE Altai.

Repeated forest regrowth in the presently glaciatiated area indicates significant retreat or even complete glacier degradation during interstage warming. The decreases of glacier length in the following stages argues for intensification of aridity in the SE Altai during the second half of the Holocene. The thermal minimum in the middle of 19th century, the greatest in the last millennium, did not positively influence the mass balance of glaciers, which also supports this conclusion.”

So much for bogus claim that climate was more or less stable before man populated and developed.

Also strong glacial variations in the Alps as well

Interestingly, Prof. em. Dr. Gernot Patzelt, University of Innsbruck, made a presentation at the International Climate and Energy Conference in Munich late last year, which the European Institute for Climate and Energy has just released.

In his presentation, Dr. Patzelt also reveals glacier advances and retreats in the Alps throughout the Holocene, thousands of kilometers away from the Russian Altai. Forests existed at elevations that were higher than today – in areas that are presently covered by glaciers.

At the 12:22 mark, Patzelt summarizes the data of the three glaciers examined in the Alps and presents a temperature reconstruction. His conclusion at the 13:42:

Over the last 10,000 years it has been warmer than today 65% of the time. Our current climate does not in any way show an anomaly in temperature development. That’s an important result.”

Top curve shows the reconstructed temperature of the Alps over the Holocene. Dark-shaded areas show warm periods. (Snipped from Patzelt’s presentation at the 13:30 mark).

Clearly from his chart one sees the millennial cycles that coincide with documented solar activity. And as Dr. Sebastian Lüning showed yesterday in Chicago, we are not talking about fluctuations of a couple of tenths of a degree, but of fluctuations over 1, 2 or even 3°C.

At 14:50 Patzelt shows the Greenland ice core reconstruction for comparison.

Clearly there are natural forces at work. Claims that natural factors retired 100 years ago are simply absurd.

Geologist Sebastian Lüning Speaking At Climate Conference In Chicago Today

German geologist Dr. Sebastian Lüning, co-author of the best-selling skeptic book Die kalte Sonne, which has created a controversy in Germany, is speaking today at the Heartland Climate Conference in Chicago.

Click below for a live feed:

Title of Dr. Lüning’s presentation:

The Medieval Warm Period within the Context of Millennial Scale Climate Cycles
12:45 p.m. – 2:30 p.m local time, which is 19.45 – 21.30 CET. (You may want to check in one hour early to make sure).

Content:

– German reaction to the book
– How solar cycles have impacted climate during the Holocene
– Temperature reconstructions worldwide
– Problems with the IPCC models
– Little Ice Age caused by volcanoes?
– Warming or cooling ahead?

I hope as many readers as possible will join in, watch and comment.

 

EU Internal Strategy Paper Calls For An End To Subsidies For Green Energies

Germany’s flagship political newspaper the Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung has an online report on an EU internal memo that bubbled up to public attention.

An EU Commission internal strategy paper “calls for an end to subsidies for solar and wind energy by EU countries and that this should be done as soon as possible”. EU Energy Commissar Günther Oettinger wants to officially present the paper in Brussels. This, writes the FAZ, will provide the German government with cover for its plan to cut its own subsidies for solar energy by 30%.

Despite all the symbolism and lip service by Merkel’s coalition government in support of wind and solar energy, its actions tell a different story. They don’t want them any more!

Also according to the paper, the price of photovoltaic systems have dropped 48% over the last five years. So it’s strange how that now solar energy is approaching affordability, the US government now wants to slap massive tariffs on Chinese imports and make the price totally unaffordable again.

The consumer has had to bear the high price of subsidized solar energy in the EU. The FAZ writes:

…the strong expansion of solar and wind power has caused the costs for consumers, and in some cases for taxpayers, to rise quickly. Because of the bad economic situation, energy costs for many people is often too high. The prices of energy source such as sun and wind thus should be left to the market forces as quickly as possible.”

Even with the generous subsidies, solar energy in Germany has still failed as most of Germany’s solar module manufacturing has been crushed by foreign competition in Asia, shedding thousands of jobs. Eliminating subsidies altogether would be a certain death blow.

The Commission also calls for a uniform support system of other alternative energy sources, and criticizes Europe’s patchwork of different support programs for renewable energy. This has led to the inefficient use – for example massive solar systems being constructed in northern Germany where the sun hardly shines and windmills are built where the wind hardly blows.

Whatever happens, one thing is certain: Europe is beginning to realize that green energies aren’t what they were once made out to be.

 

Scientists Of The Russian Academy Of Science: “Global Warming Is Coming To An End – Return To Early 1980s Level”

The German langauge Voice of Russia here reports a news item you’ll never hear from the mainstream media. Top scientists of Russia’s most prestigious academy say global warming is ending.

Hat-tip: European Institute for Climate and Energy.

Here’s the Voice of Russia report I’ve translated in English:

Global warming is coming to an end: In the coming years the temperature over the entire planet will fall and the cooling will provide a character of relief. This is the conclusion reached by Russian scientists from the Physics University of the Russian Academy of Science.

The process of a general temperature decrease has already begun, according to the research. After having peaked in 2005, the average temperature on Earth is now returning to the level of the 1996-1997 years, 0.3°C lower.

According to the scientists, global temperatures will fall another 0.15°C by 2015, which corresponds to the climate of the early 1980s.”

Wow! More great news that rebut the claims of the climate catastrophe. I’d think the media and western political readers would embrace all this and be relieved.

The persons most relieved to hear this should be the panicky James Hansen and Al Gore. Surely they’ll be very happy to hear this news.

Now climate scientists can go back to the old narrative of the early 1980s: global cooling!

 

Jackboot Warmists – Climate-Science Dissenter Vahrenholt Needed To Use Personal Security For His Safety!

We’ve heard how the warmists have equated critical e-mails they’ve received to “threats to their personal safety”.

Well, German climate-catastrophe dissenter Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt, on the other hand, now reveals the real danger of open dissent on climate change science in Germany. He had to be protected by “personal security” from enviro-nutjobs and climate greenshirts.

German business magazine Schleswig-Holstein Manager recently conducted an interview with Vahrenholt concerning the climate-skeptical book he authored together with geologist Dr. Sebastian Lüning: Die kalte Sonne (see recommended book, right side bar). The book was published by renown publishing company Hoffmann & Campe in Hamburg and was released amid a storm of protest last February. Schleswig Holstein Manager magazine writes:

…critique by weekly newspaper “Die Zeit” was so harsh that its publisher, former German Chancellor Helmut Schmidt, personally invited the RWE manager (Vahrenholt] for a meeting. The debates in the meantime escalated to the point where Prof. Dr. Fritz Vahrenholt even needed personal security.”

I’d interpret that as bodyguards. Oh my, such a tolerant bunch these warmists are.

The article in the Schleswig-Holstein Manager magazine introduces Vahrenholt’s and Lüning’s book:

A controversial book. An author who has become the target of hostility. An interview about the book: ‘The development has gone completely out of control.'”

Schleswig-Holstein Manager also quotes chief editor Thomas Vašek of PM Magazine:

Also the business of science is vulnerable to herd mentality. Once a majority opinion crystalizes, it becomes increasingly difficult to express doubt. This is especially true for politically charged climate science.”

At least now we know on which side all the real threats and violence can be found.

 

Leibniz Institute Director Bathmann: “There’s Still A Great Need For Research” On Baltic Sea Climate Change

Hardly sounds like settled science. Never has there been so much certainty amid so much unknown.

German online Bild daily has a short clip from the German Press Agency (dpa) on climate research and funding: Climate change at the Baltic Sea: Still a large need for research.

The new director of the Leibniz Institute for the Baltic Sea in Warnemünde (IOW), Ulrich Bathmann, wishes to massively ramp up research on the impacts of climate change in the Baltic Sea. Still there is so much that is not understood, Bathmann told the dpa. ‘With research on climate change, we need a lot of time to make measurements years and decades into the future.’

Strangely, with so much information still missing, the dpa still advises putting society on the dock and sentencing it to life without fossil fuels, adding to its blurb:

With political consequences, we must not wait until the very last detail is cleared up.”

Note how when it comes to funding: “so much is unknown”, yet when it comes to political action, only “some details are left to clear up”.

Sorry, but you can’t have it both ways. Either cut the funding or the climate-catastrophe crap.

 

Environmentalists Take Aim At “Senseless Surfing In The Internet” By Bored People!

Steffen Hentrich here brings our attention to a report appearing in the Austrian pressetext titled: Senseless Surfing in the Internet Is Destroying The Environment“.

If the entire Internet were a country, it would be the 5th largest consumer of electricity globally, moaned Claudia Sprinz, super-nag of Greenpeace Austria. And that figure, she claims, will triple by the year 2020. A huge consumption of resources is taking place out of pure boredom, Sprinz says. Youtube videos of cats, wondering aimlessly through the web or searching for worthless information that is forgotten three minutes later. This behavior is destroying the environment, she frets.

Sprinz says that people should go out for a walk in the park if they’re bored.

Just a single search for Chuck Norris causes as much CO2 as a car travelling 7.5 cm. 15,000 Google-searches for “funny cats” generate as much CO2 as producing a cheeseburger. Google alone produces 260,000 kilograms of CO2 per month. Every spam generates 0.3 grams of CO2.

Sprinz has a complete accounting of human violations against the climate and environment, modus operandi: Internet. Did you know that the 62 billion spam mails sent annually are equivalent to 1.6 million cars travelling around the globe?

Sprinz also says that people need to be made aware that surfing in the Internet consumes energy and that we have to use the technology more responsibly. Sprinz says:

For starters, it would be enough for the user to assure the result justifies a burden on the environment before making an Internet query.”

So here’s the message we should expect to see before hitting the “Search” button in the future:

Are you really sure you want to search for this and destroy the environment?”

Better yet, Internet users should just be forced to apply for search permits from the Ministry of Environmentally Sustainable Internet Use.

So get off the web, readers! You’re destroying the planet.

I really wonder if these granola-eaters have a brain in their heads. What’s next? Reprimanding people for aimlessly browsing at the public library because they needed transportation to get there and lights for illumination?

 

Germany’s Green Revolution Turns Into A Bloodbath – “Solar Valley” Literally Gets Obliterated

German daily Süddeutsche Zeitung here reports on another major German solar manfuacturer that has gone insolvent. A week ago solar cell and module manufacturer Sovello declared insolvency.

The company employs 1200 workers and is one of Germany’s “Solar Valley” enterprises along with Q-Cells that had been expected to lead Germany into a new age of high-tech for the future.  Germany’s Solar Valley is located at the junction of the states of Saxony, Saxony Anhalt and Thuringia in East Germany, and received massive investment and support from state and federal governments.

Now its workers are waking up to empty promises, dashed dreams and bitter reality. Solar Valley joins the scrap heap of failed East German economic and social experiments, the last being the German Democratic Republic which collapsed in 1989.

Q-Cells reported it was insolvent in early April. Also US manufacturer First Solar delivered a massive blow to the region, announcing it would close its plant in Frankfurt (Oder).

The collapsing solar branch in Germany was one of the main reasons Angela Merkel sacked Environment Minister Norbert Röttgen two days ago. The German solar industry is also dogged by low price competition from China and reduced subsidies for solar system operators, which earlier had spiraled out of control and led to spiraling electricity prices that have put many in a state of energy poverty.

The Süddeutsche Zeitung reports:

In 2005 Sovello was founded as a mutual company by Q-Cells and US manufacturer Evergreen Solar. Three production lines were built in succession. Two years ago the company was taken over by a private equity investor and the corporation was changed over to a limited liability company.

The pleas for help for the branch have become louder. After the German states voted to stop the cuts in the feed-in tariffs for the time being, direct intervention by the state is now being demanded. Former IWH director Ulrich Blum supports the state intervening on behalf of the battered solar branch in the East…”

Readers I’m sure are getting the picture by now. The state never learns, does it? They want to keep experimenting.

The media, on the other hand, have considerably toned down their enthusiasm for solar energy and the green economy.

Germany’s green revolution has turned into an embarrassing bloodbath.

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PS: I personally took advantage of the generous subsidies and had a 12-kW system installed on our home 2 months ago. Yet, the power company still hasn’t come around to do the final hook-up and so I’m sitting here with a €20K system that’s doing nothing. Truly the whole solar thing here in Germany is a huge mess. Not a single government official even took a minute to think about it before diving in.

 

Angela Merkel Sacks Her Environment Minister, German Face Of Renewable Energy, Norbert Röttgen!

Chancellor Angela Merkel has sacked her Environment Minister Norbert Röttgen after having been routed in state elections in North Rhine Westphalia. Röttgen was a leading minister in Merkel’s cabinet and was responsible for overseeing the country’s shift to renewable energy in the wake of the Fukushima disaster.

Röttgen had been a favorite of Merkel, and soon became the face of German renewable energy and a leading proponent of global CO2 reductions through binding UN treaties.

Röttgen even called opponents of renewable energies, and power utility managers, “fear-mongers”. Critics had often warned that Germany’s rush to renewables had been reckless, hasty, blind and not even thought out, and now risks wreaking havoc on the German economy.

Under Röttgen, since Fukushima, electricity prices nationwide have skyrocketed and most solar manufacturing plants in Germany have become insolvent, shedding thousands of jobs. Earlier this year Röttgen was forced to knee-jerk react by implementing reductions in the nation’s solar feed-in tariffs (FIT), which fuelled anger and loud protest from the solar industry and powerful interest groups.

Moreover, since Fukushima, Röttgen led Germany’s ambitious offshore wind energy program, but has failed to provide the necessary power grid expansion and transmission lines needed to take the energy to markets on shore and deep into southern Germany. Today this necessary infrastructure is nowhere in sight.

In summary, Röttgen managed to march Germany into an energy debacle in just a year’s time. Its power grid is faced with the risk of collapse.

Why Röttgen failed: Lawyers who cannot differentiate between a light bulb and a smelting plant

Merkel says in a statement:

The transformation to renewable energy is central project of this legislative period. The basis has been laid down for it, but we still have a lot of work to do […] It is obvious that implementing the transformation to renewable energy still requires great effort.”

Peter Heller at Science Skeptical translates Merkel’s political cyphertext into plain language:

We haven’t accomplished anything and it is unclear how we are going to accomplish anything at all.”

Heller also offers good insights on why Röttgen failed, and failed so quickly (emphasis added).

Norbert Röttgen is a lawyer. That has its advantages, especially when one is very much involved as a politician in lawmaking. However, having no technical understanding is a disadvantage when political intentions get poured into legislation without taking physical science and laws into consideration. […] Him getting sacked was thus inevitable. Thus he becomes the first political victim of the energy transformation to renewables. And he certainly will not be the last.”

And let that be a warning to those who wish to continue blindly down the path of rescuing the climate.

Norbert Röttgen’s replacement, Peter Altmaier, is also a lawyer. And Heller does not expect him to be much of an improvement, writing.

Also someone who knows nothing about grid frequency and voltage stability, and also someone who probably thinks that because a flashlkight can operate with a battery, then so can an aluminum smelting plant.”

On the political approach to renewable energy, Altmaier is quoted saying:

The energy transformation to renewables is a challenge for all of society.”

Heller deciphers, elaborates:

Challenge, not necessity. One can also interpret that as, ‘Not me, but all of us will be to blame if it doesn”t work out’. […]

We’ll see whether Altmaier stays with it. If he succumbs to showmanship like Röttgen did, then he will not survive very long. The laws of physics will see to that. No lawyer can regulate them away.”

Unfortunately it’s a lesson that German lawyers and lawmakers have a hard time learning.

 

Chinese-British Peer-Reviewed Paper Shows Holocene Dry-Wet Oscillations “Most Likely In Response To Solar Activity”

The number of papers appearing recently showing that the sun has a major impact on the Earth’s climate is truly baffling. After all how could a twinkly little star 150 million kilometers away, separated from the Earth by empty space, possibly impact our climate?

Everyone knows that trace gas CO2 drives climate 95%, that it’s the Earth’s climate-control knob, and that those who don’t believe it are like malicious Holocaust deniers, see here and here.

Also “Holocaust-like deniers” are a Chinese-British team of scientists led by Fengling Yu. They actually had the temerity to publish a skeptic paper in the journal The Holocene. The paper’s title: Mid-Holocene variability of the East Asian monsoon based on bulk organic δ13C and C/N records from the Pearl River estuary, southern China. Hat-tip: Die kalte Sonne website.

According to the paper’s abstract, the Chinese-British team reconstructed “the mid-Holocene EAM history from the Pearl River estuary, southern China, using bulk organic carbon isotopes (δ13C), total carbon to total nitrogen (C/N) ratios and total organic carbon (TOC) concentration.”

From the results they conclude (emphasis added):

Results suggest a general decreasing trend in monsoonal precipitation from 6650 to 2150 cal. yr BP because of the weakening Northern Hemisphere insolation most likely related to the current precession circle. Superimposed on this trend are apparent dry–wet oscillations at centennial to millennial timescales most likely in response to solar activity.”

Geologist Dr. Sebastian Lüning and chemist Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt comment at their Die kalte Sonne website:

Especially the cold phases of the North Atlantic described by Gerard Bond were represented by distinct dry periods in the investigated core from southern China. Fengling Yu and colleagues concluded that the largest part of the observed climatic fluctuations in their study can be explained by changes in solar activity.

The authors also gave thought to how the the sun has an impact on on climate. Presented are the two most important solar amplification models via UV and cosmic radiation. With respect to impact on monsoons, the scientists speculate that the solar-dependent temperature changes influence the strength of Siberian highs. During phases of strong solar activity the Siberian highs were more intense, which led to stronger winter monsoons with reduced precipitation.

Many of the solar-synchronous climate cycles documented in the study are well-known from Chinese history. During the warm and stable wet phase of 7200 to 6000 years before present, the Neolithic Yangshao culture of the Yellow River as well as the Majiabang culture at the lower Yangtze level reached its zenith. The sudden cold phase 4000 years ago led to the failure of the Longshan and Liangzhu cultures in eastern China.”

So there we have it: yet another relatively new study showing the sun is the main driver and that human cultures flourish in warm phases and fail when it turns cold.

But be careful! Believing that hard science will get you accused of behaving like a Holocaust denier by the intolerant, oppressive CO2 zealots, a.k.a. frustrated scientists fully exhausted of scientific argument.

Yet, if one gives even just an ounce of thought to what Micha Tomkiewicz asserts, then you can only reach the conclusion that he’s got some loose bolts rattling around upstairs.

He is obviously totally clueless to how insulting and offensive he is being to researchers like Fengling Yu et al who are solely doing honest science. Tomkiewicz is a sad case that warrants only our deepest pity.

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Update: And yet another NEW study! Hat-tip: reader Roger L.

 

Yet Another Paper Shows “The Enormous Importance Of Solar Activity Fluctuations On Climate”

Yet another study has appeared in the Journal of Geophysical Research, this one looks at the precipitation history on the Tibetan Plateau of the last 1000 years.

Figure 1: Reconstruction of precipitation amounts for the edge of the Tibetan Plateau. The bars on the chart depict prominent weak phases of solar activity, which correspond to Om = Oort Minimum; Wm = Wolf Minimum; Sm = Spörer Minimum; Mm = Maunder Minimum; Dm = Dalton Minimum). Figure from: Sun & Liu (2012).

Geologist Dr. Sebastian Lüning and chemist Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt have written a summary of this paper, which I’ve translated in the English:

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New Study of the Tibetan Plateau: Whenever Solar Activity is Weak, the Rains Disappear
By Sebastian Lüning and Fritz Vahrenholt

The Tibetan Plateau is at 3000 to 5000 meters elevation the highest and most expansive high plateau on Earth. Therefore it reacts sensitively to climate changes. Junyan Sun and Yu Liu of the Chinese Academy of Sciences studied tree rings in the northwest plateau edge from two living 1000 year old trees. Tree growth in the area of study is particularly sensitive to the amount of precipitation.

Both scientists were able to reconstruct the distinct precipitation fluctuations occurring over the last 1000 years. The corresponding wet and dry periods each lasted some decades. A comparison to the other climate reconstructions coming from the same region shows great similarities in moisture development and that we are dealing with a representative regional climate signal. There were pronounced periods of droughts from 1092-1172, 1441-1517 and 1564–1730. Especially the Great Drought of 1441-1517 is mentioned in numerous historical documents and catastrophe reports. The Great Drought occurred during a weak period of solar activity, the so-called Spörer Minimum, which occurred from 1420 to 1570.

Interestingly, almost all other periods of drought occurred during times of solar minima, among them the Oort Minimum, Wolf Minimum, Maunder Minimum and Dalton Minimum (see Figure 1 above). Every time the sun goes into a slumber for a few decades, the rains on the Tibetan Plateau stay away. A frequency analysis of precipitation curves also delivers evidence on solar cycles. Here the Gleissberg Cycle (60-120 year period) and the Suess/de Vries Cycle (180-220 years) are seen in the datasets.

The study once again documents the enormous importance of solar activity fluctuations on the development of climate. Why the IPCC degrades this important natural climate driver to a secondary small player in theoretical climate models (See our article: “What is the coming solar activity slumber bringing? The Hadley Centre Leaves Its Back Door Open“) simply boggles the mind.
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Indeed. And with every passing study, it is becoming increasingly clear that the CO2 warmists are either in deep denial or complete intellectual oblivion.

 

Papers Showing Sun As Main Driver Keep Rolling In – IPCC Focus On CO2 Looking More Like A Delusional Obsession

Dr. Sebastian Lüning (geologist) and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt (chemist) at their website here discuss a recent (peer-reviewed) paper appearing in the journal Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology.

I’ve translated and edited the text in English with their kind permission.

Oases of the Chinese Taklamakan Desert Greened Up In Sync With Solar Millenial Cycles
by Sebastian Lüning and Fritz Vahrenholt

The Taklamakan Desert is the 2nd world’s largest sand desert after the Rub el-Khali Desert in Saudi Arabia. A Chinese-Australian team of scientists lead by Keliang Zhao of the Chinese Academy of Sciences in Peking studied the sediment-profiles from an oasis at the edge of the Taklamakan where they reconstructed the climate of the last 4000 years based on pollen. The scientists published their results in March, 2012.

The Taklamakan Desert is bounded by the Kunlun Mountains to the south, and the desert Pamir Mountains and Tian Shan to the west and north. The oases of the Taklamakan react very sensitively to climate fluctuations and draw their water from the surrounding mountains regions via groundwater and surface water feed-in. Fluctuations in the amount of meltwater being fed in are made apparent through the ever thirsty oasis vegetation. The scientists studied the pollen.

Zhao and his colleagues extracted an 8.5 meter long sediment core from an oasis. The sediment came from melt water sands as well as wind deposits. The scientists analyzed the pollen composition from a total of 105 samplings which they extracted along the sediment profile every 5-10 cm. Using pollen data, they reconstructed the moisture and vegetation density in the oasis over the last 4000 years.

The researchers found three time periods where the oases grew and expanded in wetter climate conditions: These time periods were 4000-2620 before today, 1750–1260 years before today and 550-390 years before today (see Figure 2). Interestingly these intervals coincide precisely with the cold phases of the North Atlantic as distinctly described by Bond et al. (2001), the so-called Bond Cycles. Gerard Bond was able to show that the North Atlantic cold phases occurred during times of low solar activity, i.e. caused by fluctuations in activity. In the Chinese region of investigation, these solar periods of weak activity led to wet periods. The last wet period coincided with the Little Ice Age. However, during the Medieval Warm Period, warm and dry conditions prevailed.

The team of scientists therefore suspect that during the wet spells, the moisture-carrying west winds shifted southwards towards the area of investigation. This led to more precipitation in the form of snowfall in the surrounding mountains. The glaciers in the mountains expanded due to the larger snowfalls and globally cooler conditions. This also increased the feed-in of springtime meltwater into the Taklamakan oases accordingly, thus leading to greener conditions. The westwinds in the region get their moisture mostly from the Atlantic, Mediteranean, Black and Caspian seas.

The study is yet another beautiful example of the global climatic impact of the solar millenial cycles (also see our recent article “New Study in PNAS Confirms Solar Impact Over the Last 9000 Years“ and “Solar Millennium Cycles Regulated the Wet and Dry Periods of the Mediteranean During the Roman Times“, also see pages 68-75 of our book “Die kalte Sonne“.

Figure 2: Reconstruction of the moisture development in the region of study using pollen for the last 4000 years. The shaded gray areas depict wet periods in the Tarim Basin. These coincide with the cold phases in the North Atlantic (numbered 1, 2, 3) and solar weak phases, as described by Bond et al. (2001). Chart from Zhao et al. (2012).

 

German Leftist Media Seethe In A Fit Of Jealousy As They Lose Relevance, Readers

The English language The Local here brings us a story I find amusing. Germany’s elitist mainstream print dailies are peeved because they have to share a prestigious journalism award with “populist” Bild tabloid, which they are now calling “Germany’s Rupert Murdoch”.

It appears that the “intellectual” leftist dailies in Germany simply are unable to cope with their increasing irrelevance. The arrogance, indignation and sour grapes by these crybabies are just so palpable. The Local writes:

…reporters from one paper rejected a prestigious prize because they were set to share it with the populist Bild newspaper. Three journalists from the Süddeutsche Zeitung broadsheet showed their distaste for Bild journalism during the Friday evening ceremony for the renowned Henri-Nannen prize by refusing their award. The Bild journalists were due to share the ‘Best Investigative Achievement’ title for their revelations which ultimately led to the resignation of President Christian Wulff. […] This was described by Süddeutsche Zeitung reporter Hans Leyendecker as a ‘break with our culture’.”

We will recall that Bild is the leading German daily that carried the headline in February Die CO2 Lüge (The CO2 Lie) in the wake of the release of Fritz Vahrenholt’s and Sebastian Lüning’s bestselling skeptic book “Die kalte Sonne“, read story here. The Süddeutsche Zeitung, on the other hand, has been a leading proponent of the anthropogenic global warming scare and has aimed severe criticism and vitriol at Bild and Die kalte Sonne.

Now they are being asked to share a major prize with Bild! This they refuse to do.

In fact Bild being nominated for the prize had already sent the elitist media into a tantraum, and they reacted using language typically reserved for describing blogs. The Local writes:

Green politician Antje Vollmer called the nomination an ‘alarm signal’ which threatened to blur the line between ‘serious journalism and pseudo-journalism’. Populist publications like Bild, wrote Vollmer, were superficially just entertainment, but at their core the whole point of their existence relied on stirring up the ‘baser instincts in anxious mass societies.’ […]

…the announcement of Bild’s prize greeted with booing from the audience largely made up of Germany’s journalism elite.”

Sorry, but you pseudo-intellectual, snobby journalists are just nowhere near as good as you think you are. In fact a lot of the stuff you write is just plain bad information based on dubious sources. That’s why readers are leaving you in droves.

And with your reaction to the award, you really have made yourselves look like a bunch of spoiled 5-yearolds.