My Latest Prediction Shows Romney Barely Squeaking By 270 – 268…Every Vote Will Count!

A couple of days back I put forth my more optimistic projection: Romney 310; Obama 228. See foxnews.2012-race-predictions.

This morning I took one final look and applied a more worst-case scenario. We can’t expect most toss-up states to go to Romney. So here’s my more worst-case scenario prediction, swing states in bold. With a little push, Romney could very well end up near 290 or more.

If we get early reports that things are going well for Romney in PA, then it’s over for Obama. But if PA looks blue, then it will be a long, possibly nightmarish night, followed by a long miserable November full of melancholy. :(

If you think you can sway me with a state or 2, please try.

States Romney wins: Total 270

Texas 38
Florida 29
Oiho Ohio 18
North Carolina 15
New Hampshire 4
Virginia 13
Georgia 15
Alaska 3
Wyoming 3
South Dakota 3
North Dakota 3
Montana 3
Mississippi 6
Idaho 4
West Virginia 5
Nebraska 5
Utah 6
Arkansas 6
Kansas 6
Oklahoma 7
Kentucky 8
Louisiana 8
South Carolina 9
Alabama 9
Indiana 11
Tennessee 11
Arizona 11
Missouri 10

States Obama wins: Total 268

California 55
New York 29
Michigan 16
Nevada 6
Oregon 7
Iowa 6
Pennsylvania 20
Colorado 9
Wisconsin 10
Hawaii 4
Vermont 3
DC 3
Delaware 3
Rhode Island 4
Maine 4
Connecticut 7
New Mexico 5
Illinois 20
Minnesota 10
Maryland 10
New Jersey 14
Washington 12
Massachusetts 11

It’s going to be tight, and so every vote becomes real important. If you live in a swing state, do not squander your chance!

 

21 responses to “My Latest Prediction Shows Romney Barely Squeaking By 270 – 268…Every Vote Will Count!”

  1. PaulM

    Most of the latest polls have Obama winning Ohio, not Romney, by a small margin.

  2. Ed Caryl

    Even if you don’t live in a swing state! If you are a Republican, or a Romney-minded Independent, go vote. Even Oregon is in play if every Romney voter turns out. Nevada, Colorado, Iowa, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Wisconsin, and even Michigan, are up for grabs. And I think most of those will, at the end of a loooonnng day, will go for Romney. While you are at it, vote for the Republican Senators! We need every one we can get to keep Harry Reid from jamming up the works.

  3. Edward.

    @Ed Caryl

    I can’t and will never understand, that, there are people who are eligible and capable of voting – who then don’t exercise their moral obligation, after all in the past people sacrificed their lives for just such an opportunity to vote, all men and women must do their honourable duty.

    GET OUT AND VOTE.

    If you don’t vote and you have a vote and did not vote – then you have no right to complain.

    Every vote counts.

  4. Ed Caryl
  5. DirkH

    One Rasmussen poll shows that the overall electorate is R+6. This would indicate a landslide.
    http://www.breitbart.com/InstaBlog/2012/11/05/Why-the-Polls-are-Wrong-Poll-Shows-Electorate-is-R-6

  6. DirkH

    PA for Obama? Romney draws 30,000 crowd in PA rally. Photos.
    http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2012/11/04/Gigantic-Rally-For-Romney-In-PA

  7. Edward.

    Aaargghh, I can’t look.

    Please Lord, let it be Mitt Romney.

  8. slimething

    There were reports of “large crowds” for McCain, and also Bob Dole in 1996. It doesn’t mean much.

  9. DirkH

    First results coming in. Page updates automatically.
    http://www.foxnews.com/politics/elections/2012-election-results/

    1. DirkH

      Doesn’t look good for the blue team.

  10. Ed Caryl

    Much too early.

  11. slimething

    Obama has Michigan, and looks like Ohio is going to him as well.

  12. slimething

    Pennsylvania went to Obama, so that pretty much wraps it up.

    Obama has succeeded in fundamentally transforming America.

    Goodnight and RIP America.