As Floods Hit Eastern Germany, Recent Potsdam Climate Institute Model Warned Of Summertime “Water Shortages”!

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Holger Thuss, President of the European Institute for Climate and Energy (EIKE) at Facebook brings up a report appearing at the online FOCUS just last September. In the report the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact research (PIK) warned that summers in eastern Germany would suffer from “water shortages”.

That’s what their models had shown.

FOCUS wrote (my emphasis):

Scientists have played out climate scenarios for Germany’s regions until the year 2100. It appears clear: Expensive times are coming especially for Eastern Germany. Heat deaths and water shortages in the summer, existential fear of flooding in the winter.”

Hochwasser_Passau_2013-06-03

Floods grip southern and eastern Germany. Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research models had forecast droughts for summers. Photo credit: Stefan Penninger, Creative Commons Attribution-Share Alike 2.0 Generic license.

FOCUS quotes PIK director Hans-Joachim Schellnhuber, chief fantasizer-prophet of future climate catastrophes:

Eastern Germany will probably be hit harder with heat waves in the summer and more precipitation in the winter.” Using today’s laws, power plants located near rivers will have to be shut down at times because the cooling water will be too warm.”

FOCUS wrote that in the future:

Because of the significantly reduced precipitation, for example the already much drier Brandenburg region will see its moisture go further in the negative.”

Today large parts of eastern Germany are under water. The PIK’s model projections all fly in the face of reality.

All 10 of the last summers saw normal or above normal precipitation

And we are not talking about just a single year. Meteorologist Dominik Jung wrote a few months ago that the PIK models also fly in the face of summertime statistics for the last 10 years in a row! Every summer in Germany over the last 10 years has seen normal or above normal precipitation!

What does EIKE president Holger Thuss say at Facebook?

Unbelievable but true! German climate scientists (PIK) have predicted, using advanced computer models last year, that the Elbe River would almost dry out in the summertime in the future. Such people spend 20 million euros a year for their ‘science’.”

So throw the failed PIK precipitation models on the scrap heap along with the other 73 epic fail temperature models coming from an array of other “leading” institutes.

Talk about a complete waste of money.

What’s even more amazing is that lots of policymakers were actually stupid enough to believe them, taking them as golden truth.

 

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12 responses to “As Floods Hit Eastern Germany, Recent Potsdam Climate Institute Model Warned Of Summertime “Water Shortages”!”

  1. Juergen Uhlemann

    I love it when Mr. Mojib Latif talks about his loaded dice. I think that he is using it in every talkshow and interview, at least the one I know about.

    Mr. Loaded Dice may not know how to load a dice. He may have put the lead into the side with the 6 and is now surprised that the 1 comes up more then usual. 😉

    Anyway, he is so sure that this flood is caused by AGW.
    The Magdalenenhochwasser in Juli 1342 was in Frankfurt nearly twice as high as 1995. The flood was in many parts of middle Europe.
    The record of 12.22m in Passau from 1501 was broken by more than 0.5m. However, in 1501 the Danube had no dams and therefore must have been much worse. Without dams the water of the Danube would have a chance to spread out more equally.
    The Thüringia flood in 1613 must have been one of the worst. Apparently, within 12 hours the water stood 8m high.
    We know to little about the past but what we know should be used to consider events we have today. Maybe climate scientist should learn history.

  2. mwhite

    I predict that future PIK models will soon show that AGW will cause “more extremes” ie droubts and foods and that cold snowy winters are totaly consistant with a warming world.

    They’ll just copy the UKs metoffice

  3. Jimbo

    Permanent drought / dry is what they predicted for Australia and they began frantically building desalination plants. Then came ‘unprecedented’ Biblical floods with inland sees and lush greenery in formerly dry parts. Some of the desalination plants were mothballed.

    By Joseph Romm – 7 September 2007
    “Drought predicted to spread across Australia and the United States”

    http://grist.org/article/australia-faces-the-permanent-dry-as-do-we/

    FAIL!

    2 January 2011
    “‘Biblical’ floods hit Queensland and leave tens of thousands homeless”

    Worst rains for 50 years leave Queensland homes and businesses facing invasion of snakes and killer crocodiles

    1. DirkH

      The fun thing is, there are all these known failures of attempts at forecasts by the CO2AGW pseudoscientists yet our public AND private media never mentions the failures and continues to take the lunatics like Mojib Latif with their waffling of loaded dice seriously. Do they have to start wearing clown makeup until the Germans realize they’re con men?

      Well, the media… the most useless people in the world…

      1. Mindert Eiting

        Well said, Dirk. Let’s remember that WWII ended with official declarations of surrender. But even then we had lonely Japanese soldiers on tropical islands thinking the war went on. Latif with his loaded gun becomes a tragic character.

  4. ike
    1. DirkH

      Ok, PIK says that the changing jetstreams are caused by CO2AGW. Again a post facto explanation. And again the useless journos fail to recognize this. Rigging models to explain stuff after the fact is simple. CO2AGW science never predicted changing jetstreams.

  5. Manicbeancounter

    Yet it might be the wrong sort of precipitation. Could be that this is falling as the concentrated type of water, and what they were predicting was a lack of the more dilute variety.

  6. Nick

    Same crap with the MET Office in the UK. In 2012 it predicted drought and a “barbecue summer” and got colder than average temperatures and flooding.

    Check out the utterly brilliant photo at WUWT.

    MET Office irony at its finest.

    http://wattsupwiththat.com/2012/05/01/quite-possibly-the-funniest-weatherclimate-photo-evah/

  7. R. de Haan

    Just watch Phoenix and ZDF connecting AGW to the current floods with all the lies you can think of including Mr. Deutschländer from the Deutsche Wetter Dienst telling the public all the heat was absorbed by the oceans so there was no cooling at all.

    1. DirkH

      For EU public media it is now only about helping to preserve the EU and what remaining trust the EU has. Warmism is a core tenet of the EU so it must be protected at all costs by the public media of the EU.

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