The calendar says it’s summertime in the Arctic. But looking at the latest weather forecast, you’d never know it. In fact it looks more like September.
Here’s what the temperature forecasting chart shows today:
The above chart based on the NCEP shows frosty days up ahead for the Arctic. Source: http://wxmaps.org
Ellesmere island, the 12th largest island in the world, will be about 5°C below normal over the coming week. A large part of the Arctic will be below freezing by early August, according to forecasts. This flies in the face of “accelerated warming” that is supposed to occur in the Arctic. Sea ice as a whole will come close to a modern low, but so has the temperature!
Steve Goddard at his website has written on multiple occasions about how it’s been the coldest summer in the Arctic on the (modern) record. Here’s the summer temperature chart for this year thus far:
Coldest Arctic summer on record. Source: http://ocean.dmi.dk
Now here’s the temperature chart for the Arctic back in 1979 when all was “normal” up in the Arctic and the polar bears had more sea ice than they knew what to do with:
Summertime temperature for the year 1979 – back when Arctic sea ice was at a maximum. Source: http://ocean.dmi.dk.