Right now as I write in Germany we are having nice comfortable summer weather with temps in the 20s C (70s F). But that is set to change today as a couple of hot days are in store. Here’s the forecast for my area:
North Germany is set for a very brief heat wave (1 day!). Source: www.wetter24.de
So this heat wave they are talking about is going to be a whole one and half days long, at least in the area I live. I think this is not even long enough to qualify it as a “heat wave”. Granted for Southern and Eastern German areas the forecasts indicates much warmer temperatures. Here’s the forecast for Munich:
Munich forecast: Source: www.wetter24.de
But this is not something you wouldn’t expect to happen here in the summertime. Yet, llistening to the media and some climate scientists, you’d think the world is coming to an end, that the heat waves are more and more frequent than ever, and that Europe will soon burn up.
For example Express.de here warns of “horror heat”.
With all the heat in the headlines, we ask ourselves just how has 2013 been so far in Germany? Surely it will probably go down in the books as “one of the hottest on record!“.
Looking at the end of month reports from Germany’s DWD Deutsche Wetterdienst (German Weather Service), we find the monthly anomalies as to the 1981 – 2010 reference period. They are as follows:
The average anomaly is -0.87°C, i.e. almost a full degree below normal. Only July was warmer than normal this year.
So tell me what has been more frequent this year, heat waves or cold snaps? It may turn out that we’ll get a few warm months and wind up with an average year, or even one that is a bit warmer than normal. This is because we have a factor out there that we used to call “weather”.
One thing is sure: Europe is not burning up.