Fritz Vahrenholt’s and Sebastian Lüning’s Die kalte Sonne website here directs our attention to a story appearing at the www.zukunft-skisport.at website.
It writes that by every measure winters in the European Alps have gotten “considerably colder” over the last 26 years.
Alps have gotten colder and snowier over last 26 years, data show.
Not long ago, “renowned scientists” were predicting that much of the ski industry would soon be disappearing in the European Alps and that vineyards would be moving in their place. Other scientists predicted that snow in the winter would soon be “a thing of the past“.
But according to data presented by zukunft-skisport.at, precisely the opposite is actually taking place.
Figure 1 at their site shows winter temperatures at the Hahnenkamm station at Kitzbühel (1790 m). Clearly the trend here is dramatic cooling (7.5°C per century) taking place over the last 20 years! Moreover 8 of the coldest winters occurred in the last 11 years alone.
Figure 2 shows the development of winter temperatures at the Ostalpen (East Alps) summit since 1970/71. The chart is the average of three stations: Säntis, Zugspitze and Sonnblick. Here as well the trend since 1988 is sharply downwards, thus causing global warming scientists’ eyebrows to hit the ceiling. In fact there hasn’t been any warming in 43 years, i.e. almost half a century!
Well, maybe the data being used are not really reliable. Banish the thought. Zukunft-skisport.at writes:
The measured data come from each of the official national institutions: ZAMG (Austria), DWD (Germany) and MeteoSwiss (Switzerland).”
And as many of us know, nobody measures things more precisely than these guys and gals do.
Figure 3 shows the temperature development for Ostalpen since 1988. On temperatures, Zukunft-skisport.at summarizes:
All measurements show that it has gotten colder in the mountains of the Ostalpen over the last 26 years. Emeritus Univ. Prof. Dr. Michael Kuhn, for years on the board at the Institute for Meteorology Innsbruck, formulated in a personal interview: ‘The fact is that winters in Tirol have gotten colder over the last 15 years.'”
No change in snow amounts in over four decades!
Not only temperatures have been rapidly declining. Also snow amounts in the European Alps have been rising, thus contradicting claims of warming. Zukunft-skisport.at:
Analogous to winter temperatures, also the snow amounts in the last 4 decades have not changed significantly, as they had been predicted to do.”
Figure 4 shows the development of snow depth at Saalfelden (800 m) since 1970/71. Year-to year variation is substantial. The 30-year moving average shows a slight decline. However, a substantial increase is shown since 1998.
Figure 5 shows the development of ski-lift operation days at Kitzbühel since 1992/93. Here as well we see a trend of more ski-days. The last two years have set new record highs!
Zukunft-skisport.at asks what should we expect for the future, and reminds its readers:
Currently 97.4 percent of the climate model simulations cannot correctly reproduce global climate reality. The ZAMG (2013, www.zamg.ac.at) therefore concludes in its essay ‘Temperature-Hiatus’: The research results of the last years are showing us more and more often that natural fluctuations in climate are considerable. The current temperature hiatus shows that the climate system is still not understood with regards to its full complexity and that the global climate models are still not adequate.“
So much for the myth of warming in the Alps of Europe. Global warming scientists have got to be embarrassed and humiliated. You couldn’t be more wrong if you tried.
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EIKE here also pointed out last year that temperatures in Germany have been cooling over the last quarter century.
The Alps are eating all the heat. Someone tell Travesty Trenberth – quickly!
For all those who recently enjoyed the snippet about Global Warming from the German state TB “Heute Show” – our rip-off of Jon Stewart Leibowitz’ Daily Show –
here is a report by BluTV about AfD, including at
24:20 the “Heute Show”s “tasteful” comment on the state-wide destruction campaign of AfD campaign posters and attacks on campaign helpers. They’re making fun of antidemocratic attacks; how very HIP.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=nbk0lo6b9yw
As I said, the “Heute Show” is a 100% Regime-aligned, Brechtian propaganda shop (just like the Leibowitz original).
Hi Pierre,
Just like the last time when you wrote about this, you’ve added a bit to the translation. Nowhere on zukunft-skisport.at do they say ‘European Alps’, but rather ‘Ostalpen’ (=Eastern Alps).
No change in snow amounts in over four decades!
How about changes in snow cannons?
And some more questions:
How about all of the Austrian Alps and skiing areas, not just the handful cited in the blog post?
How about all of the European Alps?
How about summer/yearly temperatures?
What is the mechanism causing lower winter temps in just this one region? Is there any research on that?
Neven, please use a map. Some stations mentioned are in Switzerland, others in Austria, and yet more data from Tirol. All of it I correctly term “European Alps”.
When I use a map, I see that the handful of stations (Kitzbühel, Sonnblick, Zugspitse, Säntis, Schmittenhöhe, Saalfelden) are all in the Eastern Alps. You’re free to extrapolate that to all European Alps. Heck, why not use the headline ‘Alpine regions worldwide are getting colder’.
The piece still doesn’t tell me anything about conformity on all elevations, it doesn’t tell me what the mechanism is. For instance, the author of the piece on Zukunft-skisport.at replied that summer temperatures have risen considerably over the same period (and referred me to another piece of his on massive glacier retreat).
Hence the discrepancy? Are we interested in this? As it is, the way you’ve cited the article on Zukunft-skisport.at, it all looks like a strawman argument.
Neven
27. Mai 2014 at 22:00 | Permalink | Reply
“No change in snow amounts in over four decades!
How about changes in snow cannons?”
You think that the output of snow cannons significantly influences the amount of snow?
“Im gesamten Alpenraum wird bereits eine Fläche beschneit, die der Wasserfläche des Bodensees entspricht. ”
http://www.rundschau-online.de/reportagen/umweltsuende-so-viel-wasser-verschwendet-kunstschnee,16128878,25960260.html
So; area of Lake Constance versus area of Alps – you do the maths; as you were already too lazy to use google.
My, these warmists.
“You think that the output of snow cannons significantly influences the amount of snow?”
No, I think it influences the amount of so-called ‘skier-days’. Don’t you? Why then do they use these things?
And can you tell me about snow cover figures for the entire Alps, at all elevations? They might be up in winter, for all I know. And the mechanism might very well be climate change (more moisture from the Mediterranean Basin in collision with frigid air from the North, for instance).
Snow canons have been around for decades. They are not a recent invention that have been put to use just in the last few years.
Again we are talking about locations in Germany, Austria, and Switzerland in the heart of the European Alps. Try reading the text. All three meteorological institutes concede a cooling. Of course the Alps are a rather small geographical area. The point of the article is that the Alps are behaving oppositely of what was projected – period. Obviously you are having difficulty coming to terms with the observed reality. You’ll just have to find a way of coping in a life outside the models. I’m sorry that reality is so tough for you to deal with. We aren’t just talking about the Alps refusing to cooperate: e.g. the entire globe with tenps not going anywhere since the last century.
If you want to get picky, then you really need to ask NASA / NOAA about their wacko method of extrapolating Arctic temperatures (and temperatures in many other rural locations) from single surface station hundreds of kilometers away.
As far as glaciers in the Alps are concerned, it is becoming clear that the tide has turned. Also take a look at the stories filed under “Glaciers”.
Neven
28. Mai 2014 at 10:17 | Permalink | Reply
“And can you tell me about snow cover figures for the entire Alps, at all elevations?”
Sure. Snow cover for the entire alps maxes out at the area of the Alps. Because it’s ALL snow covered in Winter.
Now to the variations of running means, which is the only thing interesting.
http://hockeyschtick.blogspot.de/2013/06/new-paper-finds-no-change-in-snow-cover.html
http://www.climatemonitor.it/?p=34141
Being able to add italics in html would be nice…
Look for “CA Assistant” and plug it into your browser. Add https://notrickszone.com/* to Included Pages for “CA Assistant” under Greasemonkey‘s “Manage User Scripts…”.
If that’s too much, the add <em> and </em> tags manually to specify italics in your comment.
I tried… the preview correctly displayed > as >
test
Thanks, Bernd. Using em instead of i seems to do the trick.
Two primary drivers explain average global temperature change. They very accurately explain the reported up and down measurements since before 1900 with R2>0.9 (correlation coefficient = 0.95) and provide credible estimates back to the low temperatures of the Little Ice Age (1610).
CO2 change is NOT one of the drivers.
The drivers and a graph of what they predict are given at
http://agwunveiled.blogspot.com/
[…] Link to article. […]
“Currently 97.4 percent of the climate model simulations cannot correctly reproduce global climate reality ”
I bet that is one 97% figure that we won’t be hearing about from “official” climate circles.
On the basis of these 97 percent the Dutch KNMI published yesterday the expectations for the end of this century. Hotter and wetter but they did not publish the data till 2014. Else a lay man could have seen that their models are bogus.
Snow sometimes melts away, unlike foolish predictions based on voodoo science:
http://www.independent.co.uk/environment/snowfalls-are-now-just-a-thing-of-the-past-724017.html
President of Bundesverband fuer Windenergie Hermann Albers says: wind energy is the new savior; gets crucified like Jesus was. Colorful comparisons. Says the German government plays the role of the Romans. Open letter, German.
http://www.wattenrat.de/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/bwe_albers_neue_energie-.pdf
Call the waaambulance.
State TV moderator Jauch defends his guest, Di Lorenzo, leftist statist publisher of leftist Die Zeit, who admitted in Jauch’s show to having cast two votes for EU election.
http://www.rp-online.de/panorama/deutschland/jauch-nimmt-di-lorenzo-nach-doppel-stimmabgabe-in-schutz-aid-1.4274180
We have entered an era where the German state defends election fraud via his employees.
Poor old Nev. Been away for treatment ? Still no brain. Neven mind .