The recent focus on (and hysteria over) the warm Christmas weather we saw over the North American east coast and Europe apparently is already fading and giving way to far more serious concerns – like the snow bowl blizzard of normally sunny El Paso, for example.
Naturally it’s just silly to use one weather event as proof of a climate trend, and so we have to keep the focus on long-term trends and historical climate cycles. Four days ago the online German national news weekly FOCUS here looked into the growing number of reports and signs that the warming is in its final days.
The German news magazine reports: “Scientists prognosticate icy cold winters like in the Dark Ages” and that despite the recent warm year: “Indeed some scientists see a mini ice age coming in just a few years.”
FOCUS tells its readers that already the Holocene has now drawn out some 11,500 years and the next ice age is in fact 1500 years overdue when we go back and compare it to the previous intergalcials. That’s one reason why we should not be too hopeful of long-term warming ahead, FOCUS writes.
Indeed the overall temperature trend over the past 10,000 years has been downward.
“Next ice age is certainly coming”
Another reason is solar activity. FOCUS cites Professor Sami Solanki, Director of the prestigious Max Planck Institute for Solar System Research. He tells FOCUS that the current solar cycle is “not typical” of what we have seen over the past half century, but reminds us that it is still too early to make a “reliable forecast” for a next ice age. Overall Solanki tells FOCUS: The next ice age is certainly coming. It is a question of when.“
In the article Professor Solanki confirms the historical climate cycles and that the earth is cooler during periods of lower solar activity.