Cold German October
Germany’s Deutsche Wetterdienst (DWD) weather service reports the preliminary weather data for October. At a mean of 8.6°C, the month came in 0.6°C colder than normal (compared to the 1981-2010 mean) and even came in 0.4°C colder than the 1961-1990 mean.
The DWD hints that natural variability factors are to blame for the cool month, writing:
An unusually strong high pressure area in October 2016 blocked the train of Atlantic lows towards Eastern Europe.
The October mean was calculated from data collected from Germany’s approximately 2000 weather stations across the country. October 2016 was also wetter and less sunny than normal.
Cold and cloudy in Austria
The situation was similar over Germany’s southeastern neighbor, Austria. The Austrian ZAMG weather service writes here that the Alpine country saw a much cloudier than normal month with a mean temperature 0.4°C below the 1981-2010 mean:
October-2016 temperature anomalies for Austria. Source: ZAMG.
Several cold snaps provided for wintery conditions especially at higher elevations. Austria had experienced a string of warmer-than-normal months, but that streak has ended. Already there are signs that November may be colder than normal as well.
Near record northern hemisphere snow cover
The wetteronline site here just reported that for this time of the year “snow cover in the northern hemisphere reached the second highest level in about 50 years“. Snow cover has extended to 31.48 million square meters. Only 1976 was higher. Over the past few days a vast area of Russia has seen temperatures fall well below normal. Because of the early and widespread snow cover , the air cools and results in significantly colder than normal temperatures.
What does this mean for the coming weeks? Wetteronline reports the massive snow cover will likely have consequences for Europe and North America. Widespread snow cover over northern Asia can lead to the formation of a powerful cold high system over Siberia, which in turn can weaken the polar vortex. The result:
The weaker it becomes, the more probable it becomes that there will be blasts of polar air over Central Europe.”
This was also the case over the past winters, yet Europe escaped with mild winters.
“Snowiest winter on record”
Not only Central Europe could be slammed by cold winters due to massive snow cover over Russia, also Eastern North America could get hit as well according to Weather Underground here. The site writes that some Siberian locations have seen “their snowiest winter on record“. Weather Underground reports that the current conditions for producing a hard winter “are the best they’ve been in years“.
Bummer for the cause – how bloody inconvenient.
Switzerland’s Klimabericht for October will be out by early next week.
I’ll send a link when it’s available
“Over the past few days a vast area of Russia has seen temperatures fall well below normal”
This is as Joe Bastardi predicted
https://notrickszone.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/BastardiSat-Sum-Oct-29-2016.gif
Meanwhile coal prices are rising because cold reality is now hitting in China:
China deals with runaway coal market ahead of expected cold winter (SCMP 5 Nov)
“A look at China’s ports, mines and power plants show the impact of the aggressive policy this year. Inventories dropped for eight consecutive months through August to the lowest level since 2008. That left electricity generators in a precarious position as they stockpile coal ahead of winter, which is forecast to be the coldest in four years. Power generators and steelmakers have turned to the overseas market to top up supplies, boosting imports 15 per cent over the first ninth months.”
Bruce, can I draw your attention the this.
http://realclimatescience.com/2016/10/traveling-to-the-nations-capitals/#comment-26904
Andy – Apology from me. The train is pretty good back to Newcastle of an evening provided no trackwork. Driving via Gladesville Bridge would be easier, but yep it’d be a dry night.
Breaking News: A heat wave in the Pacific Northwest.
October, Salem, Oregon: +2.2 F above the 1981-2010 baseline
November so far: +7.8 F.
Last 5 years: +1.7 F
OMG
Hey long time no see David!
Oh look Eurasia is in the grip of a big cold snap! Subzero temps right down into southern China. Maybe that’s why they need all that coal I mentioned.
The projection is for a very cold NH winter, although with episodes of jet stream blocking. That can mean bitter cold or significant warmth depending which side of the jet stream an area is. This winter is looking like 2010, where the UK was whited out due to blocking patterns, but Moscow had its heatwave. That was at the bottom of the solar cycle, and we’re back down to those levels of solar activity.
It’s the Sun, David, you should be looking at, not CO2.
“It’s the Sun, David, you should be looking at, not CO2.”
Why?
Because it would inform you about reality?
How?
Present data.
FFS rotten-appell… GET OVER IT.
Stop breathing out 40,000ppm CO2 every breath.
Stop using CO2 creating power to drive your computer.
Divest in all things from all fossil fuels.
Decarbonise your life and stop using anything created from CO2.
I DARE YOU.
For once in your WORTHLESS, PATHETIC life, walk the walk.
Or stop talking the idiotic, brain-washed talk.
You are NOTHING but a HYPOCRITICAL, anti-science twerp..
And everybody except you… KNOWS IT !!
Currently 55ºF.. what is your problem?
Average temp. for October in Denmark was 8,8 c.
That´s exactly 1 degree c. below normal.
We also only had 76 hours of sunshine; norm is 102.
http://www.dr.dk/nyheder/vejret/grafik-oktober-i-aar-er-den-mest-solfattige-i-15-aar
Ole
Strange – This news has not been reported back here in the US. I can only wonder why not…?
Dr. Judah Cohen at AER is forecasting a cold winter in NH, including USA, with October snowfall an important predictive factor.
https://rclutz.wordpress.com/2016/11/02/october-arctic-ice-report-and-outlook/
Pierre wrote:
“Near record northern hemisphere snow cover”
Incredible — do you just make up numbers?
I’d really seriously like to know.
According to Rutgers data, NH snow cover for October was 22.955 Mkm2.
The recorded record for 1966-2016 is 25.724 Mkm2, from October 1976.
So October 2016 wasn’t anywhere *near* the record. Not even close.
So where do you get this claim??
Here’s my data:
Monthly NH snow cover
Source:
http://climate.rutgers.edu/snowcover/table_area.php?ui_set=2
“So where do you get this claim??” – David (the blind) Appell
You can’t read? He gave you the link.
“The wetteronline site here just reported…” = Pierre G.
http://www.wetteronline.de/wetternews/2016-11-02-sr
“N. Hemisphere Snow Cover Reaches Near Record High”
A shameless goddamn lie.
Rutgers NH snow cover in Oct 2016 = 22.96 Mkm2
Rutgers NH snow cover in Feb 1978 = 51.32 Mkm2
@David Appell
It’s the 3rd highest for OCT in 49 years, as can be seen from this graphic.
https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/service/global/snowcover-nhland/201610-t.gif
The article was talking about OCTOBER David, NOT FEBRUARY.
Focus, David.
So Rutgers has different values.
Pierre is reporting the data from a different source.
You really are the most slimy cretin in existence [-snip]
DA,
“Incredible — do you just make up numbers?”, typically you ascribe to others your own guilty actions.
What did you want another model and over simplified
guesseshypothesis? Or is it that you are just confused by people reporting observations from a different source?Russia is having problems with snow right now…
Watch “Snow Orbs, Houses Burried and Record Snow Early Across Russia | Mini Ice Age 2015-2035 (253)”
Norway is having a problem with early heavy snowfalls —
http://norwaytoday.info/news/many-road-accidents-snow/