Arctic Summer Sea Ice Growth Trend Extends Another Year …Greenland Summer One Of Coldest In 30 Years!

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As the Arctic summer ice melt approaches its peak, we can say with high certainty that this year’s ice melt will extend the trend of a rebounding Arctic ice mass by another year.

Arctic summer sea ice now growing 12 years

Our Japanese skeptic blogger and good friend Kirye reports using the data from the Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI) that peak summer Arctic sea ice volume upward growth trend has been extended yet another year – now 12 years.

Chart by Kirye. Data source: Danish Meteorology Institute (DMI).

Thus Arctic sea ice melt has defied the hysterical claims of disappearing sea ice made since the release of Al Gore’s climate propaganda film An Inconvenient Truth, shocking a number of experts.

Naturally alarmists, wishing all this good news away, like to roll out the PIOMASS chart to keep the alarms on life support. However, the PIOMASS chart conveniently only goes back to the peak of Arctic sea ice, 1980.

If the alarmists want us to go back and look long-term, then let’s at least go back to 1900. What follows is a chart depicting Arctic sea ice extent going back to 1900:

As the above chart shows, Arctic sea ice extent was similarly low some 90 years ago, a time when atmospheric CO2 was at what we are told are climatically very “safe levels”.

Sea ice has nothing to do with atmospheric CO2

Obviously CO2 has virtually nothing to do with Arctic sea ice extent. Rather it behaves in response to other far more powerful natural cycles, namely oceanic cycles.

The following chart depicts Arctic sea ice volume compared to Atlantic sea surface temperature cycles, called the AMO:

Arctic sea ice extent is clearly driven by the natural temperature cycles of the North Atlantic.

Obviously the correlation between cyclic North Atlantic sea surface temperatures and Arctic sea ice extent are stunningly strong.

Greenland summer: one of the coldest in the past 30 years

Greenland is now seeing very cold temperature anomalies as well, a condition that Joe Bastardi of Weatherbell says will persist for a couple of weeks, tweeting here that there will be “very cold weather for the next 10-15 days”:

Greenland forecast to stay much colder than normal. Image cropped from WeatherBell August 23, 2018 Daily Update.

Summer will be one of coldest in 30 years

Joe in fact later tweeted that the entire Greenland winter as a whole has been a frigid one, and models expect to stay this way another 6 weeks:

150 billion tonnes of ice above average

Also Greenland’s surface mass balance is way above normal. Kirye reports: “The summer this year appears to have ended in . The ice sheet has gained 500 Gt since September 1, 2017, which is about 150 Gt above the 1981-2010 mean.”

Chart: Danish Meteorological Institute.

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26 responses to “Arctic Summer Sea Ice Growth Trend Extends Another Year …Greenland Summer One Of Coldest In 30 Years!”

  1. Update: Eisbrecher-Kreuzfahrtschiff mit Klima-Narren nicht auf Position – zu viel Eis auf der Strecke? – wobleibtdieglobaleerwaermung

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  2. Steven Fraser

    I think that what you intended was ‘Joe in fact later tweeted that the entire Greenland SUMMER…’

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  4. Yonason

    This is from a translation of the DMI page on climte.
    https://translate.google.com/translate?sl=auto&tl=en&js=y&prev=_t&hl=en&ie=UTF-8&u=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.dmi.dk%2Fklima%2F&edit-text=

    “The world and Denmark’s climate is constantly evolving. In the past, today and especially in the future.

    Click on the pictures further down the page and learn more about the climate of the past and the future at home and abroad.”

    Because to the climate adept the future is even more “especially” known than today, and if you want to know what it has in store, the DMI shills for warmism will gladly inform you of what the IPCC swamis opine from their crystal balls.

    And it isn’t just the Danes. It’s everyone.

    It’s official. The world has gone insane.

  5. Ozonebust

    Arctic sea ice controlled by AMO. That is very questionable.

  6. steve case

    Greenland Summer One Of Coldest In 30 Years!

    Summers in a lot of places are cooler. In most of the eastern United State TMAX May through October shows a declining trend for over 80 years. Anyone with an internet connection can visit NOAA’s Climate at a Glance
    https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cag/statewide/time-series
    to see for themselves.
    Here’s what it looks like on the map:
    https://s6.postimg.cc/pgojg85vl/10er3ps.gif
    For quite a few of those states summer afternoons have been cooling since the 19th century.

    1. Yonason

      Nothing to see there, i.e., no change since 1900. Wow. Yawn. Thanks.

      And that’s probably doctored data, too, with past cooled and present warmed. And even if not it’s a sobering testimony, not only to the lack of warming, but to warmists’ lack of integrity.

      (Note that those are temps, NOT deceptive temp anomalies.)

      ASIDE testing link to graph.
      blob:null/b7600f7e-380e-407b-b0b5-1480ecd83a45

  7. spike55

    The effect of the AMO can be shown right through the LIA.

    The chart shows red blobs at dips in sea ice extent above Iceland, in response to the peak of the AMO cycle.

    https://s19.postimg.cc/9fnv8ma43/Icelandic_sea_ice_index_3.png

  8. Arctic Summer Sea Ice Growth Trend Extends Another Year …Greenland Summer One Of Coldest In 30 Years! | Un hobby...

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  9. Mick J

    The North West Passage is also late to the party. Canadian Coast Guard is advising pleasure craft to avoid as their icebreakers cannot guarantee safe transit.

    https://www.iceagenow.info/northwest-passage-icebound/

  10. SebastianH

    Just a few remarks:

    If the alarmists want us to go back and look long-term, then let’s at least go back to 1900. What follows is a chart depicting Arctic sea ice extent going back to 1900:

    Nope, that is not a depiction of the extent going back to 1900. That is one reconstruction among many and other reconstructions don’t show this dent in the 1930s.

    And of course you know it is pretty difficult to compare accurate satellite data with data like this, right?

    Also Greenland’s surface mass balance is way above normal. Kirye reports: “The summer this year appears to have ended in #Greenland. The ice sheet has gained 500 Gt since September 1, 2017, which is about 150 Gt above the 1981-2010 mean.”

    No, it didn’t. The SMB is not a net value for the ice sheet mass.

    1. spike55

      The reconstruction matches the Arctic temperatures, seb

      https://s19.postimg.cc/vws4z68s3/arctic_temp.png

      Are you telling us that Arctic sea ice is NOT driven by temperatures? ???? really ?? That would DESTROY the AGW meme.

      Get back to us when someone sails through the Larsen route like in 1944.

      All the small boats had to turn back this year, because of TOO MUCH SEA ICE in the NWP.

      Are you DENYING that the 1970s was a time of PEAK Arctic sea ice?

      Greenland has had a HUGE SMB gain over the last two years.

      There is NOTHING your mindless ranting can do about it.

      Are you DENYING that even after the recovery from that peak, the current Arctic sea ice is still pretty much in the TOP 10% of the last 10,000 years?

      Are you a CLIMATE CHANGE DENIER?

      ZERO sign of any CO2 warming effects anywhere in the Arctic, seb..

      .. just the NATURAL cycle of the AMO on top of a NATURAL RECOVERY out of the coldest period in 10,000 years.

      No sign of CO2 warming ANYWHERE for that matter..

      ..because it ISN’T HAPPENING.

      Q1. In what way has the climate changed in the last 40 years, that can be scientifically attributable to human CO2 ?

      Q2. Do you have ANY EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE at all that humans have changed the global climate in ANYWAY WHATSOEVER?

      1. Yonason

        @spike

        CO2 gets wise, bypasses middle man.

        Impatient for us to see it’s affect on ice, it has gone straight to melting it without having to wait for temperature to come off break. Temperature is such an outmoded concept anyway, not always (hardly every) keeping in step with CO2.

        Also, for those who haven’t seen it, here’s the vid from Tony Heller on why warmists start their hysteria in 1979, i.e., they cherry pick the time frame that suits their agenda.
        https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nIEGo8E9s_8

        Post Modern science at it’s “best.”

      2. SebastianH

        The reconstruction matches the Arctic temperatures, seb

        https://s19.postimg.cc/vws4z68s3/arctic_temp.png

        Yes the other reconstructions do match those Arctic temperatures …

        https://www.geoengineeringwatch.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/704.png

        Are you DENYING that the 1970s was a time of PEAK Arctic sea ice?

        Are you saying these scientists are wrong?
        https://www.researchgate.net/publication/222022772_History_of_sea_ice_in_the_Arctic

        Greenland has had a HUGE SMB gain over the last two years.

        It has SMB gains in every year. It would be strange if that weren’t the case. 2011/12 came very close to such a year, but that is not the norm. The norm is a SMB gain of around 400 Gt per year.

        Are you DENYING that even after the recovery from that peak, the current Arctic sea ice is still pretty much in the TOP 10% of the last 10,000 years? Are you a CLIMATE CHANGE DENIER?

        Soike55, I am really worried about you too …

        Here’s a paper for the last ~1000 years.
        https://www.researchgate.net/publication/222022772_History_of_sea_ice_in_the_Arctic

        All this whataboutism of you guys is really strange behaviour. Let’s assume what you say is correct … how does that change the fact that sea ice was pretty stable for hundreds of years and now rapidly declines in extent?

        CO2 gets wise, bypasses middle man.

        Impatient for us to see it’s affect on ice, it has gone straight to melting it without having to wait for temperature to come off break. Temperature is such an outmoded concept anyway, not always (hardly every) keeping in step with CO2.

        Yonason, you might find this funny, but sometimes Kenneth’s replies read like he really thinks that this is what climate science is suggesting is happening when someone says the Arctic is warming because of the CO2 greenhouse effect. A direct warming by the CO2 present there or something like that …

        Also, for those who haven’t seen it, here’s the vid from Tony Heller

        Yeah, let’s see videos from that software expert clown with the annoying voice. Sorry Yonason, you a following a fraudster here and don’t seem to realize it 😉

        Post Modern science at it’s “best.”

        You guys are “post truth” at best.

        1. spike55

          “Yes the other reconstructions do match those Arctic temperatures …”

          Those are “adjusted” temperatures , seb, not REALITY.. you really are getting very WEAK in your farce.

          “Are you saying these scientists are wrong?”

          Seb puts forward an AGW meme paper , by some of the stall-warts of the AGW scam.. shows that Arctic sea ice is not driven by temperature. The farcical fabrication produce run contrary to all history

          Destroys AGW meme.

          With all that sea ice, how did Larsen sail the Prince of Wales Strait in 1944, which hasn’t been sailed since.

          How come the OBSERVED sea ice off Iceland dropped dramatically from 1920-1970?

          Then goes on to show ONLY the last 1000 years, out of 10,000 thus reinforcing the FACT that Arctic sea ice is currently in the top 10% of the Holocene extent.. Oh dearie me.. *sigh*

          Take another faceplant , seb.

          Then perhaps you can answer two simple questions, once you clean your BS off your face…

          Q1. In what way has the climate changed in the last 40 years, that can be scientifically attributable to human CO2 ?

          Q2. Do you have ANY EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE at all that humans have changed the global climate in ANYWAY WHATSOEVER?

        2. spike55

          “sea ice was pretty stable for hundreds of years and now rapidly declines in extent?”

          ROFLMAO.

          No decline in over a decade seb

          Totally in line with a warmer period out of the LIA (COLDEST PERIOD IN 10,000 years) and the AMO cycle.

          Absolute ZERO EVIDENCE of any warming from CO2 anywhere, anytime.

          Seb, you have been totally unable to counter one thing Tony Heller has even said in a video..

          Because he tells the truth.

          You lack any actual TRUTH, seb..

          .. as much as you lack any evidence.

          It is not in your nature to accept or tell the truth.

        3. spike55

          In 3.4 of the little sea ice collusion fabrication, they use a short period of the Icelandic Sea ice index.

          “The most remarkable case of historical sea-ice records is provided by Iceland.”

          Let’s have a look at that index in full.

          https://s19.postimg.cc/bkgbf2prn/Icelandic_sea_ice_index_2.png

          Now WHY would they choose just to show a very short section

          The whole paper is one of MONUMENTAL CHERRY-PICKING

          The result does not match DOE records.

          It does not match the Icelandic sea ice record.

          It does not match early satellite records.

          It does not match historical accounts.

          It does not match real Arctic temperatures.

          I thank you for presenting it, because its shows that YES, there is MASSIVE COLLUSION to propagate the AGW scam.

    2. mikewaite

      Sebastian, could we ask you to put some flesh on the bare bones of your statement that there are other sea ice reconstructions apart from the one given in the image in the post.
      The correlation of AMO and sea ice looks remarkable as given, but if you could provide one or two alternatives it would give us a chance to see how wide is the spread of reconstructed historical sea ice.
      Thank you.

    3. AZ1971

      Sebastian H wrote:

      And of course you know it is pretty difficult to compare accurate satellite data with data like this, right?

      Fair enough, if you consider that’s the equivalent of what Michael Mann did when he created his infamous hockey stick graph. You know, by stitching two different proxies – tree ring growth and instrumental thermometer records – together, and implying that each represents the other when there’s no evidence that’s the case.

  11. dbeyat45

    I’m waiting for Sebastian before I comment.

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  14. Otto Matsch

    I am tired of waiting. I demand that the global warming freaks announce the beginning of our new ice age so we can get it over with.

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