Arctic Sea Ice Extent Accelerating Since 2012 …Ship Of Fools II Abandons Publicity Expedition

Schneefan (Snow Fan) at German skeptic site wobleibtdieerderwaermung.de here recently posted an overview of Arctic sea ice. This summer as well has Arctic sea ice refused to obey all the claims of melting.

Source: DMI plot sea ice cover.

Sea ice increase accelerating

The above chart shows August mean Arctic sea ice area in million square meters from 1979 to 2018 (red curve). There’s been a positive linear trend since 2007.

Moreover, the upward linear trend has even sharpened since 2012 (green lines) since Al Gore and Peter Wadhams made their absurd projections there would be an ice-free Arctic by now.

Kirye at KiryeNet here shows that current Arctic sea ice volume for mid September remains at the center of the pack, and thus no sign of short-term dwindling Arctic sea ice:

Chart: KiryeNet

The Northwest Passage this year as well was continuously blocked by ice and thus impassable for the entire year.

Yacht ignored warnings, got crushed

But some refused to believe the ice was not melting. For example German Yacht Online here reported how a crew on the yacht “Anahita” had ignored warnings of the Canadian Coast Guard and tried to cross the Passage. By late August the yacht ended up getting crushed by sea ice and sank within minutes. The 2-man crew was forced to escape on the ice by foot and were later airlifted to safety by helicopter.

According to Yacht online: “The ‘Anahita’ was one of a dozen other yachts on the way from the east to the west through the Northwest Passage. However this summer the sea ice in the Arctic remained tenacious.”

Ship of Fools II

Also a group of publicity seeking climate activists on Russian ice breaker/expedition ship ‘Akademik Ioffe’ were forced to move their starting point about 1000 km to the south to Kugaaruk. Just hours after starting on August 24, 2018, the vessel “ran aground on an uncharted shoal” and all passengers had to be rescued.

The trip was supposed to focus the world’s attention on global warming and “disappearing” Arctic sea ice. However, the expedition ended up being an embarrassment and ironically showed the opposite: the Arctic still had quite some ways to go before becoming ice-free.

Ioffe

The conditions the Northwest Passage Project crew were hoping for, but never became the case. Ice breaker/expedition ship Akademik Ioffe. Photo: The Northwest Passage Project

All passengers on the Akademik Ioffe were safely transferred to shore and returned home, the site informs.

“Uncharted geologic feature”

According to the website, the expedition was abandoned because the Akademik Ioffe needed repair after it had run aground and been refloated.

The expedition itself insisted the mission was not curtailed due to ice conditions and instead blamed “an uncharted geologic feature”. But why would a ship need to enter an uncharted area? Maybe because ice was blocking the usual route?

Today “Akademik Ioffe“ is back on the way to Les Mechins, Quebec from Kugaaruk and the expedition is postponed to summer 2019.

Chart: Marine Tracker.

33 responses to “Arctic Sea Ice Extent Accelerating Since 2012 …Ship Of Fools II Abandons Publicity Expedition”

  1. Tmitsss

    Fossil Fueled Helicopter

  2. Arktis: Meereis wächst seit elf Jahren – Nordwestpassage 2018 unpassierbar – Grönlandeis nimmt kräftig zu – wobleibtdieglobaleerwaermung

    […] Arctic Sea Ice Extent Accelerating Since 2012 …Ship Of Fools II Abandons Publicity Expedition […]

  3. Brian G Valentine

    It costs so much money and time to rescue these very short sighted publicity seekers, and rescue attempts are often times dangerous. These misadventures have occurred numerous times in the Arctic and the Antarctic.

    At least two of these foolish stunts were goaded by the equally foolish Prince of Wales

    1. Al

      You mean Prince of Fools.

  4. Penelope

    I wonder if any weight of scientific evidence– or just plain observation– can defeat political agenda + media control.

    1. Brian G Valentine

      Not for the brainwashed, no.

      My neighbor in Virginia USA works for Lufthansa and listens to Norddeutscher Rundfunk, the result is abject AGW paranoia.

      Pretty much the same for people above a certain income level in the USA

    2. spike55

      Probably only a protracted world-wide cooling period will be able to break through the AGW propaganda machine of the far-left socialist agenda.

      And its going to take a LOT of real cooling to overcome the model based temperature fabrications by GISS et al (or some criminal proceeding for fraud)

    3. John Brown

      John thinks that there will just be a science consensus, that added CO2 aids cooling Earth. We then will see a slight shift in the mantra pretending we knew it all along and some ‘sceptics’ will have to play along, if this was indeed their thinking.
      Its climate change after all, the “warming” long gone.

      This site will remain the only balancing voice in the midst of hyperbole and science defeating blogs.

      John wants to commend the site owners and authors and in particular Richard for his great patience, knowledge, friendliness and perseverance.

      Keep it up.

  5. John F. Hultquist

    Earthlings have more serious issues, such as Syria and Venezuela, ageing populations in several major countries (ex: Japan & Russia), several known and unknown natural disasters (see: Katla acting as though about to erupt). HERE

    The Global warming thing will muddle along — for many years.

  6. Steven Fraser

    Pierre,

    I really appreciate your emphasis on the Sea Ice volume results this year, especially the average volume high, and the low-and-slow melt season. Year over year (last Fall’s low to this year’s Sept 10th low), the DMI Sea Ice volume gained 686 cu km, and in the last 2 years, 1,746 cu km. Overall, for the length of the DMI 16-year reporting period, with all the year-to-year variation, we have averaged +46 cu km a year.

    Hardly a death spiral, I think.

    Keep up the good work!

    1. SebastianH

      It is a “death spiral”:
      https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6sbBxECIKxs

      1. spike55

        What a load of anti-science rubbish, starting at an extreme high up there with the LIA extents.

        But what else can anyone expect from seb-troll.

        IGNORANCE of the fact that the current Arctic sea ice level is in the top 10% of the last 10,000 years

        https://i.postimg.cc/Jz7j7h4N/Arctic-_Sea-_Ice-_Holocene-_Stein-17.jpg

        IGNORANCE of the fact that 1930s, 40s was similar extent to now. Larsen sailed the Prince of Wales Strait in 1944, not been done since even in an icebreaker.

        https://i.postimg.cc/FzZ25y1d/Arctic-_Sea-_Ice-_Alekseev-2016-as-shown-in-_Connolly-2017.jpg

        IGNORANCE that there has been no trend in ice volume in the last 10-12 years

        https://i.postimg.cc/dVz6dQzB/DMI_Arctic_sea_Ice_Volume.png

        IGNORANCE.. the ONLY thing that seb-troll brings to the blog.

  7. SebastianH

    This is fascinating, once again, the 8 comments that are already here add nothing in terms of science and data and instead display hate for anything AGW or argue that we have more serious issues (and perhaps should drop worrying about AGW because of them?). Where is Yonason lamenting this state of the comment section?

    @Pierre:

    There’s been a positive linear trend since 2007.

    Moreover, the upward linear trend has even sharpened since 2012 (green lines)

    I was tempted to stop reading after this line. How can anyone look at that graph and come to a conclusion like this? Starting “trends” in years that are clear outliers from the overall trend … way to go.

    The Northwest Passage this year as well was continuously blocked by ice and thus impassable for the entire year.[…]

    However, the other way around was completely ice free and saw more ship traffic than in any year before. It was even possible for the first container ship to make the passage: https://abcnews.go.com/International/global-warmings-melting-polar-ice-1st-commercial-container/story?id=57878655

    Looking forward to the most charming replies from the troll mob about how evidence and fact free my comment was compared to the “valueable” comments above …

    1. spike55

      “Starting “trends” in years that are clear outliers from the overall trend … way to go.”

      ROFLMAO.. so seb starts at 1979.. the HIGHEST peak outside the LIA.

      DECEIT and LIES.. the seb way !!

      1. sunsettommy

        He doesn’t want to start in late 1972 as it would be inconvenient.

      2. SebastianH

        Here we go … I expected Kenneth to go on that 1979 trip, but you are a fine example of what to expect from the pseudoskeptics as well. Thanks for playing, spike55.

        @sunsettommy:
        you are probably referring to gems like this one?
        http://notrickszone.com/2016/11/28/there-has-been-no-significant-net-change-in-arctic-sea-ice-extent-in-the-last-80-years/

        I’ll let you think about how graphs of the mean extent over the whole year do not adequately reflect how the summer ice extent decreased over the decades. Do you think the mean for the year 1979 being 0.5 million km² higher than the mean for the year 1972 significantly changes the picture of the summer ice extent having decreased from around 7.5-ish million km² from the beginning of the satellite record to now around 4.6-ish million km²? Oh, how “inconvenient”.

        1. spike55

          Seb, CLIMATE CHANGE DENIER extraordinaire.

          Sorry you are totally unable to grasp FACTS from before your birth date. !!

          The satellite record represents a tiny slice of the current interglacial. Late 1970s was a large PEAK in sea ice extent, so naturally where you start if your only aim is to LIE and DECEIVE about sea ice extent.

          Ignoring the FACT that current levels are in the top 10% of the Holocene, really is just WILFUL IGNORANCE

          But what else can we expect from seb.

          His whole chicken-little mind is block from reality by a wall of INTENTIONAL IGNORANCE.

          Arctic sea ice is currently ANOMALOUSLY HIGH,
          and yes it is inconvenient, it would be far better if it were lower, as it has been for some 9000+ years of the current interglacial.

          Also, seems you are INCAPABLE of reading a graph. difference from 1974 to 1979 is about 1.8 Mkm²

          But “INCAPABLE” is not just your modus operandi… Its who you are.

          Like the way you are INCAPABLE of putting forward any empirical evidence at all for warming by enhanced atmospheric CO2.

          1. SebastianH

            The satellite record represents a tiny slice of the current interglacial. Late 1970s was a large PEAK in sea ice extent, so naturally where you start if your only aim is to LIE and DECEIVE about sea ice extent.

            Whatever you say … https://www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/tar/wg1/062.htm

            Ignoring the FACT that current levels are in the top 10% of the Holocene, really is just WILFUL IGNORANCE

            Let’s say that would be the case, how does this change that the ice is melting because of the current climate change? Are you trying to argue that it is just “going back to normal”?

            Also, seems you are INCAPABLE of reading a graph. difference from 1974 to 1979 is about 1.8 Mkm²

            So you are looking at the individual values instead of the mean? Do you think those values are yearly values?

            But “INCAPABLE” is not just your modus operandi… Its who you are.

            You are getting really good at this clown performance thing … keep it up.

          2. Kenneth Richard

            Ignoring the FACT that current levels are in the top 10% of the Holocene, really is just WILFUL IGNORANCE

            SebastianH: “Let’s say that would be the case, how does this change that the ice is melting because of the current climate change?”

            But what if the Arctic ice is not melting primarily because of climate change (i.e., human CO2 emissions)? What if it’s significantly melting in line with natural variability/the NAO/AMO/AO?

            Li et al., 2018
            http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2017GL076210/abstract
            The Arctic sea ice cover has been rapidly declining in the last two decades, concurrent with a shift in the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation (AMO) to its warm phase around 1996/97. … We suggest that the cold AMO phase is important to regulate the atmospheric response to AASIC [Atlantic sector of the Arctic sea ice cover] decline and our study provides insight to the ongoing debate on the connection between the Arctic sea ice and the AO.”

            Drinkwater et al., 2018
            https://academic.oup.com/icesjms/advance-article-abstract/doi/10.1093/icesjms/fsy077/5049598
            Following rapid cooling in the 1960s, much of the North Atlantic Ocean was characterized by a cold period during the 1970s and 1980s. This cold period was part of the multidecadal variability in sea surface temperatures known as the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation or AMO, which has a period of ∼60–80 years. During this cold period, below average air and sea temperatures predominated, increased ice cover was observed in those northern regions with seasonal sea ice, and evidence was found of reduced Atlantic inflow into the Northeast Atlantic Ocean. The ecological responses included a reduction in primary production and geographic shifts in zooplankton species. Also, there was a general southward expansion of arctic and boreal fish species and a retreat of the temperate species. Major fish stocks such as Atlantic cod off Greenland and Labrador/northern Newfoundland, as well as the Norwegian spring-spawning herring, collapsed commercially. These collapses were partly driven by climate-induced declines in growth rates and recruitment survival, as well as fishing. In contrast, in the more southern range of Atlantic cod, such as the North Sea, the opposite response occurred as the cool conditions led to improved growth rates and higher abundance. Long-term measurements in the English Channel documented the replacement of several warm-water species with more northern cold-water species. Benthic and nearshore species also underwent distributional shifts and changing abundances. Comparisons with the responses to the warm periods suggest that following the cold period of the 1970s and 1980s, the ecosystem in the 1990s and 2000s returned to conditions akin to what they were in the previous warm period of the 1930s–1950s. However, there were some notable exceptions, such as the continued low abundance of Atlantic cod off West Greenland and Labrador/northern Newfoundland.”

            Hahn et al., 2018
            https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2018GL079682
            North Atlantic Natural Variability Modulates Emergence of Widespread Greenland Melt in a Warming Climate … Using reanalysis data and a large ensemble of climate model simulations, we find that a negative North Atlantic Oscillation and positive Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation consistently promote heightened summer melt under various forcing conditions. Moreover, timing of widespread 21st century Greenland melt varies considerably between ensemble members due to different phasing of these modes of natural variability. These results indicate the importance of natural modes of variability across a range of external forcing conditions for interannual melt variability and the emergence of widespread Greenland melt. … North Atlantic warming in high melt years is driven by the negative NAO rather than the AMO (Hurrell & Deser, 2010). Downward (upward) turbulent heat flux anomalies over warmer (colder) ocean regions during high melt seasons further suggest that NAO-related wind and heat fluxes predominantly force ocean temperatures.”

            (press release) http://www.whoi.edu/news-release/climate-oscillation-greenland-ice-sheet
            “The study, published in Geophysical Research Letters, found that when the NAO stays in its negative phase (meaning that air pressure is high over Greenland) it can trigger extreme ice melt in Greenland during the summer season. Likewise, the AMO, which alters sea surface temperatures in the North Atlantic, can cause major melting events when it is in its warm phase, raising the temperature of the region as a whole.”

          3. spike55

            Poor seb, yet again he is totally unable to produce ANY real science to back up his ranting

            DENIAL of climate change is his only come-back

            CANNOT read a graph.

            So sadly pathetic.

            So seb.

            “Are you trying to argue that it is just “going back to normal”?”

            Nowhere near back to Holocene normal or even the MWP yet seb.

            And probably won’t , as the extent will start to climb in line with the AMO.

            Why are you SO DETRMINED to remain so WLFULLY IGNORANT and have so little PERSPECTIVE on REALITY ??

            Its as though you LIKE living in DENIAL in your little fantasy world, tucked away from FACTS and the need for rational thought.

    2. spike55

      “It was even possible for the first container ship to make the passage”

      Seb, yet again deliberately avoiding all the TRUTH.

      Always the DECEIT from seb.

      The Venta Maersk is an Icebreaker class container ship, but it STILL needed the help of other Icebreakers to get through.

      https://www.maritime-executive.com/article/venta-maersk-escorted-through-sannikov-strait

      Note this comment “Currently, we do not see the Northern Sea Route as a commercial alternative to our existing network”

      1. Yonason

        See first post here…
        https://antigreen.blogspot.com/2018/09/container-ship-crosses-arctic-route-for.html

        …where John Ray adds his ever astute and illuminating comments:

        “The above heading is an example of hiding something in plain sight. It gives the impression that the transit through the Northeast passage was something new. In fact it has been one of Russia’s commercial maritime trade routes for the past 70 years. So the key thing to note in the heading above is the word “Container”. It was the first CONTAINER ship to go through.

        And it was certainly no epic triumph. The ship itself was a mini-icebreaker with an ice-strengthened hull and ice cover in the Arctic is at its annual minimum in September — but even then the ship needed “help from Russia’s most powerful nuclear icebreaker” to get through. Basically it was a nothing event and the firm behind it does not plan to repeat the exercise.”

    3. Dennisa

      These ships are icebreaker ships and there is nothing new about traffic through the NE route.

  8. Arctic Sea Ice Extent Accelerating Since 2012: Ship Of Fools | PSI Intl

    […] Read more at No Tricks Zone […]

  9. M E

    Intentional Ignorance! Thanks just the phrase I was looking for.
    Here is something Sebastian can look through.
    ………….https://www.lifewire.com/what-is-internet-trolling-3485891
    Why Do People Troll on the Internet?
    Every internet troll has a different backstory and therefore different reasons for feeling the need to troll a community or an individual on the internet. They may feel depressed, attention-starved, angry, sad, jealous, narcissistic or some other emotion they may not be entirely conscious of that’s influencing their online behavior.

    What makes trolling so easy is that anyone can do it, and it can be done from a safe, isolated place as opposed to interacting with others in person. Trolls can hide behind their shiny computers, screen names and avatars when the go out trolling for trouble, and after they’re all done, they can carry on with their real lives without facing any real consequences. Trolling makes a lot of cowardly people feel stronger.
    ……….
    This is how you appear to be from your entries on the blog. I hope you will realise this and try to get your point of view across with more courtesy and professionalism. If you push too people hard they will not believe you what ever you say.

    1. SebastianH

      Intentional Ignorance! Thanks just the phrase I was looking for.

      You are referring to spike55 and call me a troll? 😉

      He is this kind of person who is really convinced he is in the right while constantly displaying his lack of understanding. Well, not really a lack but more like a creative change of how he thinks stuff works to make it compatible with his belief system.

      This is how you appear to be from your entries on the blog. I hope you will realise this and try to get your point of view across with more courtesy and professionalism.

      That’s describing the troll mob on this blog perfectly. Trying to be professional when you constantly get misrepresented and insulted is not an easy task. I am really trying to avoid replying to people like spike55 to avoid the feeding the troll spiral with him, but it happens often enough 😉

      1. spike55

        “constantly displaying his lack of understanding”

        ROFLMAO..

        Your understanding of climate, science, physics etc comes from the back of a cereal box, at best.

        Let’s also add “imaginative claptrap”, and “ZERO evidence” to seb’s list of non-personality troll traits.

        There is only ONE troll on this blog, seb..

        .. and that is YOU.

        And you KNOW that to be FACT.

        But it is all you have in your pitiful existence.

    2. spike55

      “They may feel depressed, attention-starved, angry, sad, jealous, narcissistic or some other emotion they may not be entirely conscious of that’s influencing their online behavior.”

      WOW, you nailed seb.. almost..

      You just missed out

      “ARROGANT”, “IGNORANT”, “EGOTISTICAL”, “DISHONEST”

      and several other apt descriptors, that I really can’t write here.

      1. SebastianH

        Yeah, I am certainly very jealous that I can’t curse as eloquently as you and of course I comment everything you write to entice a reply from you because I am so spike55-attention-starved 😉

        Oh my! Keep it professional, angry master of all trolls on this blog.

        1. spike55

          Poor seb, now becoming a parrot as well.

          Not an original thought in his brain-hosed mind.

          Keep up the attention-seeking trolling, little seb

          It puts some pathetic purpose in your otherwise meaningless existence.

  10. Enligt ”forskare” så har Arktis varit isfri i fem år nu – eller inte - Stockholmsinitiativet - Klimatupplysningen
  11. Yonason

    ARCTICK – ARCTOCK – ARCTICK – ARCTOCK – . . . . .

    Wait for it…. keep waiting, ………. keep holding your breath, ……………… don’t stop believing……………………………..
    https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2018/09/22/wadhams-wrong-again/

    No, no. That’s it. Keep holding your breath. Your climate savior will arrive any millennia now.

    HAHAHAHAHA

  12. Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #329 | Watts Up With That?

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