Models

New Study: 21st Century Precipitation Trends Have Become Less Intense Globally

New Study: 21st Century Precipitation Trends Have Become Less Intense Globally

Yet another instance of the models getting it wrong.   Hydrological processes were expected to intensify with warming. The opposite has happened.                                                                   […]

New Study Shows We Are Now 𝑊𝑜𝑟𝑠𝑒 At Modeling Cloud Climate Effects Than We Were In 1984

New Study Shows We Are Now 𝑊𝑜𝑟𝑠𝑒 At Modeling Cloud Climate Effects Than We Were In 1984

Scientists have determined the error in calculating effects of shortwave cloud forcing on climate spans 82-132 W/m² since the mid-1990s. Total clear-sky climate forcing linked to CO2 since 1750 is 1.8 W/m². Therefore, there is no way to accurately determine anthropogenic CO2’s capacity to influence climate. Even NASA acknowledges that for climate models to be […]

New Study: Climate Models Have Uncertainties, Errors Over 100x Larger Than Claimed Drivers Of Warming

New Study: Climate Models Have Uncertainties, Errors Over 100x Larger Than Claimed Drivers Of Warming

Per a new study on the hydrological cycle’s role in climate change, today’s state-of-the-art climate models “assume the mean relative humidity at the ocean surface is constant.” They are also known to “assume unchanged wind conditions.” Even with this imaginary constancy, “uncertainties in modeling the hydrological cycle significantly [orders of magnitude, or more than 100-fold] […]

New Study: Atmospheric CO2 Residence Time Is Only 5 Years - Too Short To 'Affect The Climate'

New Study: Atmospheric CO2 Residence Time Is Only 5 Years – Too Short To ‘Affect The Climate’

Since the early 1990s the conventional assumption, aligned with modeling, has been that a molecule of human CO2 emission stays in the atmosphere –  its residence time – for centuries. This fits the anthropogenic global warming (AGW) narrative. But empirical evidence contradicts these model-based assumptions. Residence time is closer to 5-10 years. In Table 1 […]

Random Probability Analysis Of Global Drought Data Affirm No Pattern Can Be Linked To Human Activity

Random Probability Analysis Of Global Drought Data Affirm No Pattern Can Be Linked To Human Activity

“No evidence is found for any systematic trend in precipitation deficits attributable to anthropogenic climate change.” – O’Connell et al., 2022 In a new study (O’Connell et al., 2022), scientists use a stochastic or random probability distribution analysis to assess whether a signal in global precipitation deficits (droughts) could be linked to anthropogenic climate change […]

Observation: Removing Water Vapor (Greenhouse Gas) Leads To Warming...Adding It Leads To Cooling

Observation: Removing Water Vapor (Greenhouse Gas) Leads To Warming…Adding It Leads To Cooling

Per scientists, removing a greenhouse gas – water vapor – from the atmosphere results in net additional forcing (warming). Irrigation studies also affirm adding water vapor cools the surface. Per “mainstream” climate science, Earth’s total greenhouse effect radiative forcing from water vapor, clouds, CO2, and trace greenhouse gases (like methane) amounts to 150 W/m² (Lacis, […]

No CO2-Induced Warming Trend Identifiable For The 'Entire Territory Of Italy' Since 1948

No CO2-Induced Warming Trend Identifiable For The ‘Entire Territory Of Italy’ Since 1948

The warming “predicted from climate models” has not materialized in yet another temperature record. In an “assessment of the performance of the climate projections” for all of Italy over the 1948-2021 period, we can observe no rising temperature trend (shown in green) that could align with the rise in CO2 emissions per a new study. […]

Ace Forecaster Bastardi: "Something We Used To See In 1970s", Warns Of "Spectacular Cold"

Ace Forecaster Bastardi: “Something We Used To See In 1970s”, Warns Of “Spectacular Cold”

Risk of a “spectacular cold outbreak “…have countries let their guard down? In his most recent Weatherbell Saturday Summary, veteran meteorologist Joe Bastardi looks ahead at the winter weather over the coming weeks across the globe. What definitely distinguishes Joe from forecasters I follow here in Germany is that he doesn’t rely solely on the […]

Good News: 2022 Hurricane Season Mild. Bad News: Pressure Pattern Threatens Europe With Hell Winter

Good News: 2022 Hurricane Season Mild. Bad News: Pressure Pattern Threatens Europe With Hell Winter

First the good news (and then the bad news below) This year’s hurricane season has been unusually quiet. The USA has gotten off easy so far in terms of landfalls and damage, thus once again contradicting all the doomsday scenarios from the climate alarmists. Mid September is usually the peak of hurricane activity. But right […]

Pre-1970s 'Global' Sea Surface Temp Measurements Are No More Reliable Or Accurate Than Guessing

Pre-1970s ‘Global’ Sea Surface Temp Measurements Are No More Reliable Or Accurate Than Guessing

The accuracy of the long-term global instrumental temperature record – especially the data obtained before the 1970s – wholly rests on the assumption that sailors obtained precisely reliable temperature measurements as they pulled wooden or canvas buckets out of the water from ships at random depths, locations, and times of day. They didn’t. It has […]

Models, Climate Scientists Wrong Again...New Study Finds Jet Stream Strengthening, Not Weakening

Models, Climate Scientists Wrong Again…New Study Finds Jet Stream Strengthening, Not Weakening

Alarmist climate research centers like the Potsdam Institute and the unquestioning media have been claiming for years that the Jet Stream is weakening, hence this would lead to greater weather extremes across the northern hemisphere due to blocking. Responsible for this of course is man-made global warming. Hat-tip: The Klimaschau But a recent paper by […]

Weather Simulations Leading To Über-Hype. And: Germany’s Disaster Management Is In Disastrous State

On weather catastrophes: “Those who do not want to face these central questions because they fear personal or political consequences or want to manage their own ideological agenda cling to the fairy tale of global warming being solely responsible.” – Sven Titz, NZZ The pitfalls of weather models By Die kalte Sonne (Translated, edited by […]

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