Sometimes it takes awhile for bad science to be exposed.
Often it starts with one person finding an inconsistency, digging a little deeper, and then announcing that something is rotten. That person in turn gets attacked and smeared as an outcast. But a few other, open-minded persons take a closer look and they too realize that something is indeed wrong. Before you know it, other scientists and experts in the field are joining in and chipping away, and soon the whole thing collapses.
German meteorologist Dominik Jung (right) wonders why climate “hysteric scientists” have come out of their cave.
This is what is happening now in climate science in Germany – lots of skeptic people are now chipping away and that process has become a run-away train.
Just a few years ago, the science was as good as settled in Germany. Yet, a few skeptical, mainly retired scientists looked into the dissent coming from America and found that the AGW hypothesis was indeed full of holes. They formed into the European Institute for Climate and Energy (EIKE) and before too long more than 60 German scientists signed an open letter rejecting man-made global warming. Eventually some small-scale media outlets, journalists and blogs joined in. They in turn were followed by skeptical major articles appearing in flagship news magazines such as Spiegel and Bild, see here, here, here, and here, for example.
In 2012 one of the fathers of the modern German environmental movement, Professor Fritz Vahrenholt, teamed up with geologist Dr. Sebastian Lüning and released a best selling skeptic book Die kalte Sonne. That book shook up the German climate establishment. The alarmists scrambled and put on a full-court press, but failed to contain the book’s spread. Now that book is appearing worldwide in English next month.
Recently, Germany’s leading meteorologists have begun taking note and have used their immense skills to analyze the climate data. They too have concluded that the science is far from convincing, see here, here, here, and here. Earlier, many simply had accepted the IPCC findings as truth, but for whatever reason they began taking a closer look just to be sure. And when they did, they too quickly realized that much was rotten with AGW science. Today that fact is so obvious that German meteorologists are now openly ridiculing the once highly respected institutes as opportunist prophets of doom scamming for public funding. The German skeptic train is now running away.
The latest prominent meteorologist to express harsh criticism is Dominik Jung, who I follow at Twitter. Here he linked to a short commentary at his wetternet site where he takes a slap at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) for their recent fit of alarmism in projecting an 8-fold increase in heat waves in Germany by the year 2040 – based on failed models.
Here’s his commentary at wetternet.de:
Weather: The Climate Hysterics Are Back!
Wiesbaden (wetter.net), 16 August 2013 – Hard to believe: heat and drought in the middle of the summer – now who’d have ever expected that? Hardly a summer was dryer or nicer in the last 10 years, and already the climate experts are coming out on stage.
Drought?
After a really warm July and a very hot start in August, it had to be expected: the climate experts are again coming out of their caves and warning us of extreme heat summers that are supposedly now imminent.
At least that’s what we read last Thursday and Friday in the media. There are going to be more and more heat-waves until 2040, so claim the prognoses. Yet, we are still waiting for the German winters with no snow and ice which were prophesized in the year 2000 . Perhaps the lady and gentleman climate scientists should simply once ask the workers of the road maintenance and winter snow clearing crews?
Weird: Over the last two rather cool and unsettled summers, we heard or saw almost nothing from the climate prophets. Also during the last colder than normal winters there was silence. Perhaps it is once again time for applying for new research funding …who knows, who knows…
Dominik Jung
Meteorologist, chief editor at wetter.net
Photo credit Dominik Jung: https://twitter.com/WetterExperte
Just wait until the PIK scientists catch up.
http://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2013/08/15/climate-clowns-predict-cold-wet-hot-dry-summers/
“Climate Clowns Predict Cold Wet Hot Dry Summers”
And don’t forget cold winters are a sure sign of global warming
We’re going to be seeing many more such contradicting predictions in the future.
Yes, but you probably need to feed this data into a “model” before anyone will take notice 😉 But kidding aside …
It’s been a long hard slog all-around – and I suspect things will get worse before they actually get “significantly” better (in no small measure thanks to a legion of “environmental journalists” who haven’t a clue about what they should really be doing as “journalists”)
But as I noted in a post of mine the other day, the IPCC’s AR5 is going to get a much rougher ride than any of its predecessors.
Hi Pierre, (O/T)
I have an Arctic ice free compilation which I want you to add to (if possible) for Germany’s scientists. It would be useful for the mid-September Arctic minimum.
A different view.
Very interesting Pierre, and encouraging. I always stop by for some positive news. Really like your site.
This is the issue being looked at by the UK Parliament’s Science and Technology Select Committee. Here is a link to a video of the Committee taking evidence from a group of concerned “experts” in engaging with the media. I must warn you that the session is about an hour long and not exactly riveting stuff, but if you have the dogged determination to view it, then like me, you may find it a kind of surreal experience. None of the speakers or the MP’s gave any hint that they might be sceptical of any aspect of the climate debate, even though at least one does have some. What was discussed was what was “going wrong” with the way climate science is being reported and how can we make sure that people have a “better” understanding. The problem for these politicians is that most of them seem to have been brain-washed and are unable to take a step back and look objectively at the issue. They need to engage with the sceptics and only then would they learn that what is wrong with their “message” is that it is inaccurate and out of date.
Your politicians are members of Globe International, and in the UK many also of the Fabian Society.
They know very well that CO2AGW is a means to an end; destabilization of the nation states, redistribution of money to non Western countries, until the UN remains as the only strong force.
(I don’t think they will manage to make the UN dominant; but they succeed in destroying the nation states. They are better at bringing something that worked down than in creating something new that works. A combination of Evil and Stupid.)
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Diana;
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