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Remember The "Very Early Warning Of Next El Niño" Paper By Ludescher? "False-Alarm Rates Below 0.1"!

Remember The “Very Early Warning Of Next El Niño” Paper By Ludescher? “False-Alarm Rates Below 0.1”!

By on 2. August 2014

Very recently the Australian Meteorological Institute issued a bulletin advising that the chance of an El Niño in 2014 had “clearly eased“. And if one were to occur, it was “increasingly unlikely to be a strong event“. Like this year’s El Niño itself, reliable prediction method remains elusive as ever. Graphic: NOAA. This of course all flies […]

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