Fading Warming…More Cooling: Winters At Austria’s Ischgler Idalpe Have Become 1.3°C COLDER Over Past 30 Years!

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Good news for skiers: winters at Austria’s Ischgler Idalpe have become colder over the past 30 years

By Die kalte Sonne
(Text translated by P Gosselin)


New report shows Austrian winters have ignored global warming. Image cropped Zukunft Skisport.

The Austrian Paznaun is a valley in the far west of North Tyrol with an altitude of 900-1800 meters above sea level.

The region thrives on tourism, especially skiing, which generates more than 2 million overnight stays annually. For this reason, hosts and visitors have a special interest in the effects of climate change in Paznaun.

What are the current trends? In November 2018, ski tourism researcher Günther Aigner presented a study in which he closely examined winter trends using the official series of measurements. The pdf of the work can be downloaded free of charge from the web platform “Zukunft Skisport“, where further studies are also available.

Here is the short version of what he found:

The winters in the Paznaun since 1895: An analysis of official winter temperature and snow measurement series

The winters on the Ischgler Idalpe have become colder in the past 30 years. At the ZAMG station (Austrian Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics), winter temperatures fell in a linear trend from minus 4.8 to minus 6.1 degrees Celsius – that is: by 1.3 degrees. Seven of the last ten winters were colder than the 30-year average.

However, no significant winter temperature changes have been observed on the Paznaun mountains for the past 50 years. In discussions about the course of temperatures in relation to winter sports in Tyrol, the choice of time axis is therefore of great importance. The snow measurements at the ZAMG Galtür station over the last 123 years show no statistically significant trends.

Since 1895/96, the annual number of days with natural snow cover has remained statistically unchanged at an average of 173 days. The highest annual snow heights since 1895/96 also show no statistical change and average 114 cm. Their variability is considerable, as the range goes from only 38cm in winter 2016/17 to 210cm in winter 1998/99.

In the ski area “Silvretta Arena” in Ischgl one could ski on 155 days in the average of the last 32 years. The linear trend is rising. Looking at the official measurement data evaluated in this study, the climatological conditions for winter sports in Paznaundie have remained favorable over the last 30 years. No forecasts for the future can be derived from the evaluations published here.”

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16 responses to “Fading Warming…More Cooling: Winters At Austria’s Ischgler Idalpe Have Become 1.3°C COLDER Over Past 30 Years!”

  1. Kurt in Switzerland

    Well that’s bloody inconvenient!

    1. SebastianH

      Why?

      Heat content increases don’t get distributed uniformly over the surface of this planet. Some places warm, some cool, some stay the same. Some places get more snow, some less, some see no change.

      Drink a hot cup of tea and tip your toe in cool water at the same time. Is it inconvenient that the toe is cooling down for the person who tries to get you to understand that the heat content of your body just increased?

      1. Kurt in Switzerland

        Seb-

        “Why [is that inconvenient]?”

        Because, wise one, it fails to comply with the incessant, droning narrative.

        1. SebastianH

          It doesn’t, Kurt. That’s why I am asking. Your reply suggest that you think climate science (“the narrative”) says the planet is warming uniformly and snow days will decrease everywhere. Is that correct?

          Not saying it’s what is happening there, but can you imagine a warm up elsewhere to cause more humid air which causes more snow in the mountains where it is always below zero? I mean it is not going to stop snowing in places where they experience below zero (Celsius) degrees regularly unless humid air doesn’t get transported there.

  2. John F. Hultquist

    The snow depths (38 cm – 114 cm – 210 cm) can seem like a lot of snow if one has to shovel it, but for a popular ski area it would be nice to know where and what is being measured. For example, a ski area near us gives snow at low (at the base), middle, and high elevations.
    They do report in inches, namely 278, 299, and 341 [seasonal totals].
    300 inches is over 760 cm.
    Base depth is also given: mid-elev =108″, or 274 cm.
    For Washington State, this has not been a big snow year; just under average. Other western states have done much better.
    The Governor of the State, Jay Inslee, is now running for President of the USA – apparently on one issue. He wants to stop climate change.

  3. rah

    It does not matter what reality is to the scammers. 2017-18 and 2018-19 have been record years for much of the western for the ski slopes. Both of the last winters certain ski resorts in the western US had to close slopes temporarily due to too much snow! Some places had skiing right into early July last summer and it looks like the same will be true for this summer. And yet, here is what is on my news feed this morning.
    https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/climate-change-is-taking-a-toll-on-the-dollar20-billion-ski-industry-—-heres-how-resorts-are-adjusting/ar-BBV2Xtz?ocid=spartanntp

    The more reality turns against their predictions, the more they lie!

    1. John F. Hultquist

      From the link: That also means investing in new options that turn the winter wonderland into a summer playground — like zip lines and mountain coasters for summer tourists. It appears to be working. Summer tax revenue for 2016 was 34 percent higher in Vail than four years before, according to the town of Vail.

      These “once only-ski destinations” are increasingly run by business savvy folks interested in a positive bottom line. Investment in varied activities makes sense. Look for small less attractive places to fade, regardless of snow amounts. Smart owners accept the fact that weather can be fickle, so they are adapting.

    2. SebastianH

      It does not matter what reality is to the scammers

      Reality is that a massive warming of the atmosphere during/after an El Nino year certainly caused more humidity in the air that will come down as snow in cold enough regions.

  4. tom0mason

    And of course this excess snow goes against decades of dumb predictions of snow getting rarer as the fantasy of CO2 warming doesn’t happen.
    Dumb predictions like these —
    1. “Due to global warming, the coming winters in the local regions will become milder.”
    Stefan Rahmstorf, Potsdam Institute of Climate Impact Research, University of Potsdam, 8 Feb 2006

    ***

    2. “Milder winters, drier summers: Climate study shows a need to adapt in Saxony Anhalt.”
    Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Press Release, 10 Jan 2010.

    ****

    3. “More heat waves, no snow in the winter“ … “Climate models… over 20 times more precise than the UN IPCC global models. In no other country do we have more precise calculations of climate consequences. They should form the basis for political planning. … Temperatures in the wintertime will rise the most … there will be less cold air coming to Central Europe from the east. …In the Alps winters will be 2°C warmer already between 2021 and 2050.”
    Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, 2 Sept 2008.

    ****

    4. “The new Germany will be characterized by dry-hot summers and warm-wet winters.“
    Wilhelm Gerstengarbe and Peter Werner, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), 2 March 2007

    ****

    5. “Clear climate trends are seen from the computer simulations. Foremost the winter months will be warmer all over Germany. Depending of CO2 emissions, temperatures will rise by up to 4°C, in the Alps by up to 5°C.”Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, 7 Dec 2009.

    ****

    6. “In summer under certain conditions the scientists reckon with a complete melting of the Arctic sea ice. For Europe we expect an increase in drier and warmer summers. Winters on the other hand will be warmer and wetter.”
    Erich Roeckner, Max Planck Institute, Hamburg, 29 Sept 2005.

    ****

    7. “The more than ‘unusually‘ warm January weather is yet ‘another extreme event’, ‘a harbinger of the winters that are ahead of us’. … The global temperature will ‘increase every year by 0.2°C’”
    Michael Müller, Socialist, State Secretary in the Federal Ministry of Environment, in Die Zeit, 15 Jan 2007

    ****

    8. “Harsh winters likely will be more seldom and precipitation in the wintertime will be heavier everywhere. However, due to the milder temperatures, it’ll fall more often as rain than as snow.”
    Online-Atlas of the Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft, 2010

    9. “We’ve mostly had mild winters in which only a few cold months were scattered about, like January 2009. This winter is a cold outlier, but that doesn’t change the picture as a whole. Generally it’s going to get warmer, also in the wintertime.”
    Gerhard Müller-Westermeier, German Weather Service (DWD), 26 Jan 2010

    ****

    10. “Winters with strong frost and lots of snow like we had 20 years ago will cease to exist at our latitudes.”
    Mojib Latif, Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, 1 April 2000

    ****

    11. “Good bye winter. Never again snow?”
    Spiegel, 1 April 2000

    and many more at https://notrickszone.com/2013/04/04/climate-science-humiliated-earlier-model-prognoses-of-warmer-winters-now-todays-laughingstocks/

    People should recognize that these prognosticators are NOT scientists, they and the listed organizations are political tools pushing ‘climate fear’ for their own ends, and NOT for the public good.

  5. tom0mason

    The prognosticators of climate doom got it all wrong.
    1. “Due to global warming, the coming winters in the local regions will become milder.”
    Stefan Rahmstorf, Potsdam Institute of Climate Impact Research, University of Potsdam, 8 Feb 2006

    2. “Milder winters, drier summers: Climate study shows a need to adapt in Saxony Anhalt.”
    Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Press Release, 10 Jan 2010.

    3. “More heat waves, no snow in the winter“ … “Climate models… over 20 times more precise than the UN IPCC global models. In no other country do we have more precise calculations of climate consequences. They should form the basis for political planning. … Temperatures in the wintertime will rise the most … there will be less cold air coming to Central Europe from the east. …In the Alps winters will be 2°C warmer already between 2021 and 2050.”
    Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, 2 Sept 2008.

    4. “The new Germany will be characterized by dry-hot summers and warm-wet winters.“
    Wilhelm Gerstengarbe and Peter Werner, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), 2 March 2007

    5. “Clear climate trends are seen from the computer simulations. Foremost the winter months will be warmer all over Germany. Depending of CO2 emissions, temperatures will rise by up to 4°C, in the Alps by up to 5°C.”Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, 7 Dec 2009.

    6. “In summer under certain conditions the scientists reckon with a complete melting of the Arctic sea ice. For Europe we expect an increase in drier and warmer summers. Winters on the other hand will be warmer and wetter.”
    Erich Roeckner, Max Planck Institute, Hamburg, 29 Sept 2005.

    7. “The more than ‘unusually‘ warm January weather is yet ‘another extreme event’, ‘a harbinger of the winters that are ahead of us’. … The global temperature will ‘increase every year by 0.2°C’”
    Michael Müller, Socialist, State Secretary in the Federal Ministry of Environment, in Die Zeit, 15 Jan 2007

    8. “Harsh winters likely will be more seldom and precipitation in the wintertime will be heavier everywhere. However, due to the milder temperatures, it’ll fall more often as rain than as snow.”
    Online-Atlas of the Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft, 2010

    9. “We’ve mostly had mild winters in which only a few cold months were scattered about, like January 2009. This winter is a cold outlier, but that doesn’t change the picture as a whole. Generally it’s going to get warmer, also in the wintertime.”
    Gerhard Müller-Westermeier, German Weather Service (DWD), 26 Jan 2010

    10. “Winters with strong frost and lots of snow like we had 20 years ago will cease to exist at our latitudes.”
    Mojib Latif, Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, 1 April 2000

    11. “Good bye winter. Never again snow?”
    Spiegel, 1 April 2000

    And there are more at https://notrickszone.com/2013/04/04/climate-science-humiliated-earlier-model-prognoses-of-warmer-winters-now-todays-laughingstocks/

    So many cAGW advocates and institutions just ready to lead the public to ‘climate fear’.

    1. SebastianH
  6. tom0mason

    Climate prognosticators have a long history of getting the weather. Just a few years ago these institutions and people were saying that Europe’s winters would get warmer —
    Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
    Max Planck Institute for Meteorology
    Stefan Rahmstorf
    Wilhelm Gerstengarbe and Peter Werner
    Michael Müller, Socialist, State Secretary in the Federal Ministry of Environment
    Online-Atlas of the Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft
    Gerhard Müller-Westermeier, German Weather Service (DWD)
    Mojib Latif, Max Planck Institute for Meteorology
    “Good bye winter. Never again snow?” Spiegel, 1 April 2000

    There are many more.

  7. tom0mason

    What happened to all those predictions of no more snow?

    1. tom0mason
  8. Svend Ferdinandsen

    There you see, it is climate change in reality.

  9. Nemmeno in Austria c'è traccia del surriscaldamento delle temperature. : Attività Solare ( Solar Activity )

    […] costante di temperature ormai non si contano più.Ecco qui un breve articolo, pubblicato da NoTrickZone, che parla di una rinomata località sciistica della vicina Austria, Ischgler, nella Valle di […]

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