(German text translated/edited by P Gosselin)
We keep hearing again and again how climate change is one of the main causes of migration. But when you ask those affected whether the climate in their home country was the cause of flight, they usually look at you in awe and shake their heads violently: “There’s war, and you can no longer live there” is the recurring answer. “And the war is NOT caused by climate”.
In the propaganda battle, every means is justified. In 2018 the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) proudly reported that its employee Jacob Schewe was co-author of this World Bank report. After reading the opening thesis “Climate change has become one of the main drivers of emigration…,” the matter was settled.
Or was it really? Two recent papers show that this is not the case at all.
On November 26, 2019, a paper by Ingrid Boas from Wageningen University (Netherlands) and her colleagues appeared in “Nature Climate Change”. It clarifies that all such “myths” have been spread without any science so far. In the article, they call for the facts to be dealt with scientifically, and make it clear at the end:
Instead of having policy dictate the priorities of science, resulting in self-perpetuating false claims about climate-induced migration, the science policy process needs to allow careful and critical evidence-seeking research to indicate the main challenges ahead.”
Also another paper dismissing climate change causes mass migration has been published – by Nature. Abstract by Boas et al. in 2019 nature climate change:
Climate migration myths
Misleading claims about mass migration induced by climate change continue to surface in both academia and policy. This requires a new research agenda on ‘climate mobilities’ that moves beyond simplistic assumptions and more accurately advances knowledge of the nexus between human mobility and climate change.”