New Study: The CO2-Drives-Global-Warming ‘Concept’ Is ‘Obsolete And Incorrect’

“The IPCC concept that increasing carbon dioxide in the atmosphere causes global warming is three decades out-of-date.”  − Lightfoot and Ratzer (2022), Journal of Basic & Applied Sciences

In analyzing UAH global temperature and Mauna Loa CO2 records from 1979 to 2021, climate researchers Lightfoot and Ratzer (2022) report there has been “little, if any” correlation between these two variables during this period.

They assert that between 91 and 98% of Earth’s greenhouse gas effect is from water vapor, as CO2 and other trace gases contribute less than 5% to greenhouse gas forcing.

A solar minimum has just began in the current solar cycle 25. The declining solar output is projected to eventually lead to a ~1 to 1.2°C cooling over the next 30 to 40 years. Solar minimum periods are also accompanied by crop failures due to frost and weather extremes delivering excessive heat.

The authors conclude by suggesting the popularized conceptualization of CO2 as a driver of global warming has proven to be “obsolete and incorrect”.

Image Source: Lightfoot and Ratzer, 2022

21 responses to “New Study: The CO2-Drives-Global-Warming ‘Concept’ Is ‘Obsolete And Incorrect’”

  1. oebele bruinsma

    “The IPCC concept that increasing carbon dioxide in the atmosphere causes global warming is three decades out-of-date.” − Lightfoot and Ratzer (2022), Journal of Basic & Applied Sciences
    As there is no single scientific paper describing/proving a causal relation between CO2 and “global warming” the IPCC concept is not only “out of date” but clearly wrong.

    1. Yonason

      “… the IPCC concept is not only “out of date” but clearly wrong.”

      Yes. That bothered me, as well.

  2. Ulric Lyons

    “A solar minimum has just began in the current solar cycle 25. The declining solar output is projected to eventually lead to a ~1 to 1.2°C cooling over the next 30 to 40 years.”

    In fact the solar wind weakened from 1995, which has driven warmer ocean phases, and which have reduced low cloud cover, causing global warming. Global cooling over the next 30 years will come from stronger solar wind states driving colder ocean phases, like during the 1970’s.

    1. Jeremy Poynton

      And increased cloud cover as a result of the GSM and increased cosmic rays hitting the atmosphere will contribute to cooling.

      CAGWers bang on about rise in CO2 ppm, but never seem to mention that the end of the last century saw the most active sun in 8k years. Hence less cosmic rays and fewer clouds (viz. Svensmark’s work).

      https://www.mpg.de/research/sun-activity-high

      “The Sun is more active now than over the last 8000 years
      An international team of scientists has reconstructed the Sun’s activity over the last 11 millennia and forecasts decreased activity within a few decades

      OCTOBER 28, 2004
      The activity of the Sun over the last 11,400 years, i.e., back to the end of the last ice age on Earth, has now for the first time been reconstructed quantitatively by an international group of researchers led by Sami K. Solanki from the Max Planck Institute for Solar System Research (Katlenburg-Lindau, Germany). The scientists have analyzed the radioactive isotopes in trees that lived thousands of years ago. As the scientists from Germany, Finland, and Switzerland report in the current issue of the science journal “Nature” from October 28, one needs to go back over 8,000 years in order to find a time when the Sun was, on average, as active as in the last 60 years. Based on a statistical study of earlier periods of increased solar activity, the researchers predict that the current level of high solar activity will probably continue only for a few more decades.”

      1. Ulric Lyons

        Cosmic rays have increased since 1995 while low cloud cover has declined, because the changes in cloud cover are responding to the sea surface temperatures, in the opposite direction predicted by the GCR hypothesis.
        The AMO is normally warmer during each centennial solar minimum:

        https://media.springernature.com/m685/springer-static/image/art%3A10.1038%2Fs41598-017-13246-x/MediaObjects/41598_2017_13246_Fig2_HTML.jpg

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  4. voza0db

    We just need a SUN TAX! A SUN CREDIT! A SUN CDS! And a good SUN IPO… We end with some SUN DEBT BONDS… and that’s it. No more CLIMATE CHANGE.

    1. Petit_Barde

      We can do (build ?) better !

      Just by sending to the Sun a delegation of all the World’s Climate Prophets so that they can find an agreement with it.

      I’m confindent they will success in making the CAGW desappear here on Earth almost instantly once entering the Sun’s Corona.

  5. New Study: The CO2-Drives-Global-Warming Theory Is ‘Obsolete And Incorrect’ – altnews.org

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  6. William Astley

    I agree with Jeremy Poynton’s comment. This is further info concerning what is happening to the sun now.

    The sun is transitioning to a Maunder minimum.

    Astronomers have been studying sun like stars for the last couple of decades and have found that all stars of the same age, size, and composition as the sun have stopped producing sunspots and produce a much weaker stellar wind.

    The solar wind and the pieces of magnetic flux that are transferred from the surface of the sun to the solar wind, form the solar heliosphere.

    The magnetic flux in the solar heliosphere deflects mostly high cosmic speed protons (which are called Galactic cosmic rays, GCR even though there are no rays, only high-speed particles, mostly protons) from striking the earth. The high-speed protons create ions in the atmosphere which cause cloud formation. The ions are particular important for cloud formation over the oceans where there is less atmospheric particles to form cloud droplets.

    https://academic.oup.com/mnrasl/article/506/1/L50/6324494?login=false

    Stellar mid-life crisis: subcritical magnetic dynamos of solar-like stars and the breakdown of gyrochronology

    ….observed bimodal distribution of long-term sunspot observations, and recent findings suggesting that the Sun may be transitioning to a magnetically inactive future.”

    https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2021/07/210728105700.htm
    In turn, the slower rotation leads to altered magnetic fields and less stellar activity — the numbers of sunspots, flares, outbursts, and similar phenomena in the atmospheres of stars, which are intrinsically linked to the strengths of their magnetic fields.

    …This allows stars to exist in two distinct activity states — a low activity mode and an active mode. A middle aged star like the Sun can often switch to the low activity mode resulting in drastically reduced angular momentum losses by magnetized stellar winds.

    …as fast as in their youth, the breakdown of stellar gyrochronology relations, and recent findings suggesting that the Sun may be transitioning to a magnetically inactive future.”

    The new work provides key insights into the existence of low activity episodes in the recent history of the Sun known as grand minima — when hardly any sunspots are seen. The best known of these is perhaps the Maunder Minimum around 1645 to 1715, when very few sunspots were observed.

    There have been dozen of papers written discussing what is happening now to the sun. The magnetic field strength of newly formed individual sunspots has been decreasing year by year. The sunspots that form, if the magnetic flux tubes survive and are not torn apart by convection motion in the solar convection zone are tiny short lived which cannot be seen visually.

    The peculiar solar cycle 24 – where do we stand?

    http://iopscience.iop.org/1742-6596/440/1/012001/pdf/1742-6596_440_1_012001.pdf

    1. Ulric Lyons

      This centennial solar minimum concerns only cycles 24 and 25, the next grand solar minimum series begins from around 2095.

      https://docs.google.com/document/d/e/2PACX-1vQemMt_PNwwBKNOS7GSP7gbWDmcDBJ80UJzkqDIQ75_Sctjn89VoM5MIYHQWHkpn88cMQXkKjXznM-u/pub

  7. William Astley

    The sun is transitioning to a Maunder minimum.

    Astronomers have been studying sun like stars for the last couple of decades and have found that all stars of the same age, size, and composition as the sun have stopped producing sunspots and produce a much weaker stellar wind.

    The solar wind and the pieces of magnetic flux that are transferred from the surface of the sun to the solar wind, form the solar heliosphere. The magnetic flux in the solar heliosphere deflects mostly high cosmic speed protons (which are called Galactic cosmic rays, GCR even though there are no rays only high-speed particles mostly protons) from striking the earth. The high-speed protons create ions in the atmosphere which cause cloud formation.

    https://academic.oup.com/mnrasl/article/506/1/L50/6324494?login=false

    Stellar mid-life crisis: subcritical magnetic dynamos of solar-like stars and the breakdown of gyrochronology

    ….observed bimodal distribution of long-term sunspot observations, and recent findings suggesting that the Sun may be transitioning to a magnetically inactive future.”

    https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2021/07/210728105700.htm
    In turn, the slower rotation leads to altered magnetic fields and less stellar activity — the numbers of sunspots, flares, outbursts, and similar phenomena in the atmospheres of stars, which are intrinsically linked to the strengths of their magnetic fields.

    …This allows stars to exist in two distinct activity states — a low activity mode and an active mode. A middle aged star like the Sun can often switch to the low activity mode resulting in drastically reduced angular momentum losses by magnetized stellar winds.

    …as fast as in their youth, the breakdown of stellar gyrochronology relations, and recent findings suggesting that the Sun may be transitioning to a magnetically inactive future.”

    The new work provides key insights into the existence of low activity episodes in the recent history of the Sun known as grand minima — when hardly any sunspots are seen. The best known of these is perhaps the Maunder Minimum around 1645 to 1715, when very few sunspots were observed.

    The peculiar solar cycle 24 – where do we stand?
    http://iopscience.iop.org/1742-6596/440/1/012001/pdf/1742-6596_440_1_012001.pdf

  8. Allan MacRae

    I accurately predicted the current British and German energy crisis in 2002 and in greater detail in 2013.

    CORRECT CLIMATE AND ENERGY PREDICTIONS FROM 2002
    In 2002 my co-authors and I published:
    1. “Climate science does not support the theory of catastrophic human-made global warming – the alleged warming crisis does not exist.”
    2. “The ultimate agenda of pro-Kyoto advocates is to eliminate fossil fuels, but this would result in a catastrophic shortfall in global energy supply – the wasteful, inefficient energy solutions proposed by Kyoto advocates simply cannot replace fossil fuels.”
    I published on September 1, 2002:
    3. “If [as we believe] solar activity is the main driver of surface temperature rather than CO2, we should begin the next cooling period by 2020 to 2030.”
    I updated my global cooling prediction in 2013:
    3a. “I suggest global cooling starts by 2020 or sooner. Bundle up.”
    This global cooling is primarily solar-induced, driven by the end of very-weak Solar Cycle 24 (SC24) and the beginning of very-weak SC25, as we published in 2002.
    Reference:
    “SCIENTIFIC COMPETENCE – THE ABILITY TO CORRECTLY PREDICT”
    by Allan MacRae, B.A.Sc., M.Eng., October 20, 2021, Update February 11, 2022
    https://correctpredictions.ca/

    To understand the big picture, understand this:
    If you live in the developed world and you suddenly lose access to cheap reliable energy, you and your family will probably not survive. When idiot politicians fool around with energy policy and try to pick winners and losers, they are playing a very dangerous game. When they base their energy policy decisions on fraudulent global warming “settled science”, they are playing a fool’s game. Either way, you lose.
    – Allan MacRae, 19March2012

    AN OPEN LETTER TO BARONESS VERMA
    British Undersecretary for Energy and Climate Change, 31Oct2013
    By Allan MacRae, B.A.Sc.(Eng.), M.Eng.
    [excerpt]
    So here is my real concern:
    IF the Sun does indeed drive temperature, as I suspect, Baroness Verma, then you and your colleagues on both sides of the House may have brewed the perfect storm.
    You are claiming that global cooling will NOT happen, AND you have crippled your energy systems with excessive reliance on ineffective grid-connected “green energy” schemes.
    I suggest that global cooling probably WILL happen within the next decade or sooner, and Britain will get colder.
    I also suggest that the IPCC and the Met Office have NO track record of successful prediction (or “projection”) of global temperature and thus have no scientific credibility.
    I suggest that Winter deaths will increase in the UK as cooling progresses.
    I suggest that Excess Winter Mortality, the British rate of which is about double the rate in the Scandinavian countries, should provide an estimate of this unfolding tragedy.

  9. Richard Greene

    “The declining solar output is projected to eventually lead to a ~1 to 1.2°C cooling over the next 30 to 40 years. Solar minimum periods are also accompanied by crop failures due to frost and weather extremes delivering excessive heat.”

    Yet another climate prediction that will be wrong,
    just like every other past climate prediction
    Study destination = my garbage can

  10. Joseph E Postma

    We’ve kinda all known that greenhouse gas theory was bunk from the beginning of it in the 1990’s…lol.

    See link in my handle…you have no idea…or maybe you do…of just how fraudulent the “science” is. It’s the best science that politics can buy.

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