In 2007 Al Gore won a Nobel Peace prize for predicting summer (September) Arctic sea ice would “vanish” in the next 5 to 7 years, or by 2014.
Since 2007 Arctic sea ice extent (SIE) losses have ceased. Instead, the SIE trend has been stable for nearly two decades (Stern, 2025).
“Before 2007, September SIE was declining approximately linearly. In September 2007, SIE had its largest year‐to‐year drop in the entire 46‐year satellite record (1979–2024). Since 2007, September SIE has fluctuated but exhibits no long‐term trend.”





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[…] “No decline in Arctic sea ice extent – ‘No long-term trend’ – since 2007” – On the NoTricksZone, a new study reveals that since 2007 Arctic sea ice has shown no long-term decline, remaining stable for nearly two decades. […]
2007 was the year the ice arch in the Nares Strait failed and let ice escape the Arctic, to melt in the warm water to the south.
This episode was extensively commented on in the years following.
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2010/02/19/jpl-missing-ice-in-2007-drained-out-the-nares-straight-pushed-south-by-wind-where-it-melted-far-away-from-the-arctic/
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