German online Klimanachrichten (Climate News) presents the latest article by energy expert Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt. Germany is in the grips of an energy madness.
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Headed for crisis
Vahrenholt warnsthat German energy policy is inexorably heading towards a supply crisis that is foreseeable as early as 2030. With every coal or nuclear power plant shut down, supply security is crumbling as the Federal Government stubbornly adheres to the unrestrained expansion of volatile renewable energies without ensuring sufficient backup capacity.
Even the Federal Network Agency (BNetzA) under Klaus Müller warns in its security of supply report: By 2035, up to 35,500 MW of additional controllable capacity will be needed – equivalent to about 70 gas power plants. As early as 2030, a deficit of up to 21,000 MW is expected. This gap will inevitably lead to massive power supply bottlenecks during periods of Dunkelflaute (low wind and no solar radiation).
Global reality versus German planning
The central problem: These gas power plants can never be built within the next five years. The three largest gas turbine manufacturers (Siemens Energy, GE Vernova, Mitsubishi) are already fully booked until 2030, driven by the massive need for data centers in the USA (50 new gas power plants) and the hunger for energy in developing countries (e.g., 22 power plants in Vietnam).
Germany would have to secure the turbines at extremely high prices, essentially diverting them from developing nations, which would then resort to coal. Gas turbine prices have already tripled. Nothing would be gained for the climate – only German costs would be astronomically high.
The destruction of German industry
To cover up the misery, the BNetzA is planning a direct attack on energy-intensive German industry. Under the AgNES project, the so-called “Bandlastrabatt“ (base-load tariff discount) for the 560 companies in the basic materials industry (chemicals, metals, glass), which operate 24/7, is to be abolished. The justification: Industry must become the scapegoat for the failed energy policy and “flexibilize“ its production according to the wind and weather.
This is simply impossible for continuous processes like copper or glass production. The cancellation of the €1.42 billion discount is of existential importance for the basic materials industry.
The shocking cost forecast
The consequences of this misguided path will be borne not only by industry but also by consumers. Calculations predict massive increases in grid costs:
- Industry: Up to an additional 7 euro cents/kWh.
- Private households: Up to 20 euro cents/kWh additionally, which corresponds to a power price increase of over 50%.
The planned special levy on electricity (up to 2 euro cents/kWh) to finance the gas power plants is another disadvantage in global competition and an additional burden for citizens.
Conclusion: sacrifice on the green altar
German energy policy, driven by the “green paladins” in the federal agencies, is steering German industry towards collapse and private households towards a cost explosion. Those who produce in Germany are already being called “insane” on the capital market.
It is high time for the political leadership in Berlin to halt this energy policy madness before German industry is finally sacrificed on the altar of the ideologically misguided energy transition.
Germany’s electricity grid supply madness was predictable years ago. If substantial weather-dependent intermittent generation is in the electricity grid, substantial quick-start reliable 24/7 gas power will also be required in the grid.
[…] online Klimanachrichten (Climate News) presents the latest article[1] by energy expert Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt. Germany is in the grips of an energy […]
What is the problem?
Surely at the next Dunkelflaute those obliging Norwegians will supply lots of electricity from their hydro plants and those obliging Swedes will send lots of nuclear electricity to help Germany.
Only 2 problems – the high cost of electricity in Germany (as always in a Dunkelflaute would also be transferred to them. I wonder whether this would upset many voters up there.
Also Norway has less water in those dams because of Climate Change causing less rain, so might be reluctant to empty those dams.
Seven silver bullets to recover from the economic crisis in Germany and Europe
-abandon Energiewende and NetZero climate goals, revoke the Paris agreement
-stop all wind, solar and hydrogen projects and their subsidies
-build new nuclear, CCGT and carbon power and keep old capacity working
-cancel the ban on fraking to start domestic gas & oil production across EU
-cancel the mandate to prefer electric cars, stop subsiding them
-return to combustion engines (with the best available catalyst technology)
-transform green industry to producing military material (drones, artillery etc.)
We have lost at least 30 years in vain so it is the last moment to save Europe’s future.
Well spoken
Germany has 9 nuclear plants that is could bring back into use if their leaders were not insane.
A nuclear war would reduce electrical demand. Problem solved.
Pierre, when do you plan to emigrate?
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It is very useful to find out that new gas turbines are not available until after 2030 which is a problem in the UK if the mental retard Miliband remains in office and closes down current generation.
As regards Germany, there is an additional problem in that nobody is queueing up to build any gas plants in Germany as the economics don’t add up and the EU will not let the state build them.
[…] German Energy Expert Warns Of Germany’s Energy Supply Madness…Energy Security On The LineNo Tricks ZonePierre Gosselin11 October 2025 […]
[…] in the European parliament, one of Germany’s foremost energy experts, Fritz Vahrenholt, stated that Germany is in the grips of an “energy madness”. The country in his view is headed […]
[…] of course, is what will happen when the EU start to phase out coal power, as it plans. Energy officials in Germany are already warning of a deficit of 21 GW as early as 2030. Plans to build more gas […]
[…] question, of course, is what will happen when the EU start to phase out coal power, as they plan. Energy officials in Germany are already warning of a deficit of 21 GW as early as 2030. Plans to build more gas […]
[…] of course, is what will happen when the EU start to phase out coal power, as they plan. Energy officials in Germany are already warning of a deficit of 21 GW as early as 2030. Plans to build more gas […]