An article in the German TKP science site titled “Die Malediven sinken nicht” (The Maldives are not sinking) challenges the common mythical narrative that the Maldives are destined to disappear due to rising sea levels caused by climate change.
Image taken by the Advanced Spaceborne Thermal Emission and Reflection Radiometer (ASTER) onboard NASA’s Terra satellite. Source: ASTER gallery. Courtesy of NASA Goddard Space Flight Center/Japanese Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry/Japan Space Systems and the U.S./Japan ASTER Science Team
But as we have often reported here at NoTricksZone, most islands have in fact grown in size over the recent decades.
Contrary to the “sinking” narrative, the TKP article cites scientific observations (including satellite data) showing that many islands in the Maldives have actually grown in size or remained stable over recent decades rather than disappearing, This contradicts everything we’ve been told by the climate alarmists.
The TKP article explains that coral atolls are dynamic systems that can “grow” with rising sea levels as coral debris and sediment accumulate on the islands, a natural process that allows them to adapt to changing water levels.
AuthorThomas Oysmüller argues that the image of the sinking Maldives is frequently used by politicians and activists as a symbol of climate catastrophe to justify specific policies, despite hard empirical evidence showing the islands are more resilient than portrayed.
The article points out that the Maldivian government continues to invest heavily in permanent infrastructure, such as new airports and luxury resorts, obvious evidence that even the local authorities do not expect the islands to be uninhabitable in the near future.
The article notes that sea levels have fluctuated throughout history and that the current changes are within a range that the islands have successfully navigated in the past through natural geological processes.
In summary, the Maldives are not currently being “swallowed” by the sea and that the alarmist predictions often seen in the media are not supported by the physical growth and geological behavior of the islands.
I may have misplaced the first post, sorry for this repost. I’m new to the format.
Relative to recent Paleo, this hypothesis could rock science if evidence taken to conclusion in peer review:
A testable hypothesis proposing that the Maya warming period, the Medieval Warm Period, and the documented warming across North America from ~250–1350 CE represent connected phases of a contiguous, hemispheric-to-global warming event; the hypothesis should specify mechanisms, spatiotemporal structure, proxy expectations, and falsifiable predictions.
This
Hypothesis:
250-1350 CE—A Hemispheric‑to‑Global Warming Framework for the Maya Warm Period and Medieval Warm Period
Statement
The Maya Warm Period, the Medieval Warm Period (MWP), and contemporaneous regional warm/dry episodes (e.g., western North America ~10th–14th c.) were largely expressions of a single, multi‑century, hemisph eric‑to‑global warming episode. Regional heterogeneity in timing and magnitude reflects local feedbacks and heat‑transport pathways, while the underlying signal was amplified and sustained by a combination of external forcings, long‑lived internal ocean‑atmosphere variability, oceanic gyre and boundary‑current reorganizations, and substantial preindustrial land‑surface change.
Mechanisms (how a coherent large‑scale signal emerges despite regional differences)
—External forcings establishing a persistent warm baseline: Reconstructed solar irradiance and volcanic aerosol histories indicate intervals of relatively higher centennial solar forcing together with reduced cumulative explosive volcanic aerosol loading compared with adjacent centuries, producing a positive hemispheric background that raised baseline temperatures and favored ocean heat accumulation. Reduced frequency and magnitude of large explosive eruptions during parts of the interval lessened recurrent basin‑scale cooling, permitting decadal–centennial ocean heat uptake and persistence of a warm baseline.
—Internal climate variability as amplifier and organizer: Prolonged phases of modes such as the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and multidecadal Pacific states (PDO/IPO‑like) reorganized heat distribution, producing spatially coherent warm anomalies across the North Atlantic–European sector and amplifying terrestrial warmth in adjacent regions (Greenland, parts of Europe, eastern North America). Persistent ENSO tendencies and Pacific decadal variability propagated teleconnections with asynchronous but physically linked regional responses.
—Oceanic integration, gyre response, and propagation of heat:The ocean integrates surface forcings and redistributes heat via gyres, western boundary currents, and thermohaline adjustments. Evidence from sediment cores, corals, sclerosponge records, and foraminifera indicates decadal–centennial SST and circulation variability in subtropical and subpolar gyres and boundary currents across the North Atlantic, North Pacific, and South Pacific margins during the first and second millennia CE. Gyre shifts and strengthening of poleward heat transport (e.g., North Atlantic subtropical gyre/AMOC influence) plausibly transmitted and extended regional warm anomalies (AMO‑related) into Europe and Greenland, while Pacific gyre and eastern boundary current changes affected eastern Pacific SSTs and upwelling adjacent to Mesoamerica. These marine processes would produce remote teleconnections that link oceanic and terrestrial responses across basins.
—Land‑surface feedbacks producing amplified terrestrial signals: Vegetation change (treeline advance), soil drying, reduced evapotranspiration, lowered albedo from deforestation or burned landscapes, and glacier retreat amplified warming over land and modified regional circulation patterns, explaining stronger terrestrial signals (e.g., western North American drought and warmth, Mesoamerican aridity) relative to marine records.
—Compound small eruptions and long‑term volcanic landscape impacts: Clustered small–moderate eruptions produced episodic aerosol forcing superimposed on a warm baseline and caused long‑term biogeophysical impacts (tephra effects on soils, vegetation loss, fire outbreaks) that modulated decadal variability but did not eliminate the multi‑century warming tendency. Regional volcanic series (e.g., Long Valley activity ~900–1350 CE) likely produced localized landscape impacts and intermittent aerosol forcing that punctuated the broader warm epoch.
—Preindustrial anthropogenic land use as a reinforcing agent: Widespread preindustrial deforestation, agricultural expansion, and landscape burning (notably in Mesoamerica, parts of Europe and Asia) altered surface albedo, evapotranspiration, and regional carbon fluxes sufficiently to reinforce local warming and drying. Spatial correspondence between paleo‑ecological land‑use markers and amplified terrestrial warming supports a role for anthropogenic biogeophysical forcing in strengthening regional expressions of the larger climate anomaly.
Ocean integration and gyre involvement (summary of relevant marine signals)
• North Atlantic: Multiproxy records (foraminiferal SST, alkenone SST, sortable silt, IRD flux) indicate enhanced North Atlantic warmth and reorganized circulation associated with a positive AMO‑like state during parts of the MWP, with strengthened subtropical gyre signals and increased poleward heat transport that link to European and Greenland warmth.
• North Pacific: Sediment cores and marine proxies from the western subtropical gyre, Kuroshio extension, and eastern boundary current margins show centennial shifts in SST, surface stratification, and current strength consistent with sustained Pacific decadal variability influencing North American west‑coast climate.
• South Pacific and eastern tropical Pacific margins: Coastal and offshore cores indicate episodic SST anomalies, altered upwelling intensity, and changes in subtropical gyre strength on multi‑decadal to centennial scales; these would affect coastal environments adjacent to Mesoamerica and South America and could relay heat via equatorial and subtropical pathways.
• Caribbean and eastern tropical Atlantic/Caribbean margin: Coral and sediment records show centennial‑scale SST variability and episodic warming events that align with terrestrial drought/warmth in surrounding regions.
• Gyre‑margin coherence: Cross‑basin syntheses reveal that gyre and boundary‑current responses were regionally coherent on centennial timescales, providing plausible pathways for redistribution of accumulated ocean heat originating from reduced volcanic cooling and sustained external forcing.
Predicted observable consequences (testable implications)
—Hemispheric mean and multiproxy coherence: Bias‑corrected multiproxy syntheses should show a broadly coherent positive hemispheric mean temperature anomaly over roughly 900–1350 CE, with terrestrial over‑representation accounted for in uncertainty estimates.
—Marine proxy response across gyres and margins: Expanded coral, sclerosponge, foraminiferal, and sediment records in under‑sampled gyre margins should show weak–moderate SST increases, shifts in stratification, and circulation changes consistent in phase with terrestrial warming once chronology and seasonal biases are resolved.
—Model reproducibility including gyre dynamics: Coupled model experiments that include plausible elevated solar forcing, reduced cumulative explosive volcanic aerosol loading, long‑lived AMO/ENSO/PDO phases, gyre and boundary‑current adjustments, distributed small volcanic pulses, and spatially explicit preindustrial land‑use/biogeophysical forcings should reproduce an elevated hemispheric mean with regionally heterogeneous patterns consistent with observed terrestrial and marine signals.
—Land‑use covariation with amplified warming: Paleoecological indicators of land‑use change (charcoal, pollen, archaeological clearance) should spatially covary with amplified local warming/drying beyond what external climate forcing alone predicts.
Regional extent, transport pathways, and the Maya portion
—AMO and North Atlantic influence: A strong AMO‑like state during the MWP plausibly drove contiguous warm anomalies from Europe into Greenland and parts of North America via enhanced northward heat transport; atmospheric teleconnections would distribute associated climatic effects downstream.
—Maya Warm Period and adjacent marine signals Terrestrial and archaeological records document pronounced warming/drying in the Maya region; targeted marine evidence from the Caribbean, western tropical Atlantic, and eastern tropical Pacific margins is sparser but indicates episodic SST anomalies, coastal current changes, and upwelling adjustments during centennial windows. Localized gyre and boundary‑current responses, rather than a uniform basin‑scale warming of the entire South Pacific gyre, are the most plausible oceanic mechanisms for transferring heat into marine regions adjacent to Mesoamerica. Even spatially patchy or coastal‑confined marine warming would strongly support oceanic involvement and strengthen the case that the Maya Warm Period was linked to larger basin and hemispheric processes.
Alternative explanations to be ruled out
• Purely independent, regionally confined drivers requiring implausibly synchronous, spatially disparate events to create the observed continental‑scale pattern.
• Pure internal variability producing a multi‑century hemispheric anomaly without consistent external forcing—this would require model demonstrations of centennial‑scale internal modes matching observed continental phasing and remains less likely given multi‑record evidence of external forcings and marine responses.
Research priorities to evaluate and falsify the hypothesis
• Densify marine proxy networks and improve chronology (corals, sclerosponge, foraminifera, alkenones, TEX86, marine laminates) in undersampled gyre margins and boundary currents (North Atlantic subtropical and subpolar margins, North Pacific subtropical gyre and Kuroshio extension, South Pacific margins, eastern tropical Pacific near Mesoamerica). • Produce high‑resolution, well‑dated multiproxy syntheses that correct for terrestrial sampling bias in hemispheric estimates and explicitly include marine gyre‑margin records. • Run coordinated model experiments that incorporate updated solar and volcanic forcing reconstructions, long‑lived oceanic mode prescriptions, explicit gyre and boundary‑current dynamics, distributed small volcanic aerosol inputs, and spatially explicit preindustrial land‑use/biogeophysical forcings. • Intensify paleoland‑use studies (charcoal, pollen, archaeological clearance) to quantify timing and magnitude of anthropogenic forcing relative to climate signals.
Conclusion
Multiple lines of physical reasoning—external forcing setting a warmer baseline, oceanic integration via gyres and boundary currents redistributing heat, amplification by land‑surface feedbacks, episodic volcanic pulses, and reinforcing preindustrial land‑use—collectively make it plausible that the Maya Warm Period, the MWP/MCA, and many regional warm/dry episodes were facets of a largely coherent hemispheric‑to‑global warming episode with strong regional modulation; targeted marine sampling of gyre margins, bias‑aware multiproxy syntheses, and coordinated model experiments can test and potentially falsify this hypothesis.
Selected references
Crowley, T.J. (2000). Causes of climate change over the past 1000 years. Science.
Fjordstad et al. (2019). Earth System Dynamics.
Gray, S.T., et al. (2004). A tree‑ring based reconstruction of the North Atlantic Oscillation. Geophysical Research Letters.
Mann, M.E., et al. (2009). Global signatures and dynamical origins of the Little Ice Age and Medieval Climate Anomaly. Science.
Cobb, K.M., et al. (2003). El Niño/Southern Oscillation and tropical Pacific climate during the last millennium from corals. Science.
Oppo, D.W., et al. (2009). Oceanic variability during the past millennia from marine sediment records. Paleoceanography.
Ruddiman, W.F. (2003). The anthropogenic greenhouse era began thousands of years ago. Quaternary Research.
Kaplan, J.O., et al. (2011). Climate and land‑use change impacts on the Holocene. The Holocene.
Zielinski, G.A., et al. (1996). Volcanic aerosol forcing reconstructions and climate impacts. Journal of Geophysical Research.
Bacon, C.R., et al. (2018). Tephra and landscape impacts from Long Valley volcanism.
Off topic: An article at the Daily Sceptic (UK) refers to statements made by Germany’s Economy and Energy Minister, Katherina Reiche which draws attention to the negative impacts of going green.
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This cannot continue. The renewables industry has grown up and now has to take responsibility – systemically and financially. By 2035, system costs will rise to 90 billion euros per year. The problem is structural: We have shut down 20 gigawatts of secured, low-CO₂ nuclear power. Added to this are massive, politically driven grid investments and a market design that ignores reality.
One fact has been kept secret for too long: an energy transition that ignores system costs will ruin the country that claims to be saving it.
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https://dailysceptic.org/2026/04/17/cracks-appear-in-climate-consensus-as-germanys-energy-minister-admits-renewable-energy-is-ruining-the-country/
https://www.faz.net/aktuell/wirtschaft/katherina-reiche-jetzt-ist-zeit-fuer-ernsthafte-energiepolitik-accg-200707552.html
Available in English as well as the original German.
Very informative and useful post. Thank you so much for sharing this.