New Research Shows Soil Respiration And Temperature Drive CO2 Change, Not Humans

“…we conclude that changes in plant decomposition and [soil respiration] due to global temperatures primarily control global CO2 cycles.”  − Nishioka, 2026

CO2 changes have been observed to lag temperature changes (warming) via soil respiration since 1979 (r = 0.74). The consistent uni-directionality is T→CO2.

Anthropogenic CO2 accounts for 4% of the carbon cycle and CO2 just 4% of greenhouse gases (i.e., 96% water vapor derivation).

Thus, “an increase in anthropogenic CO2 since the [1700s] has contributed too little to affecting the global CO2 concentration.”

Image Source: Nishioka, 2026

4 responses to “New Research Shows Soil Respiration And Temperature Drive CO2 Change, Not Humans”

  1. b.nice

    Roy Clutz and I and a few other people, have been saying this same thing for a couple of years, using the comparison of the annual CO2 rate of change vs UAH temperatures.

    My chart

    https://i.ibb.co/SXS98WnD/UAH-Ocean-v-del-pa-CO2.jpg

    Roy’s page.

    https://rclutz.com/2024/07/11/mid-2024-more-proof-temp-changes-drive-co2-changes/

    Good to see it come up in a peer-reviewed paper.

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    […] New Research Shows Soil Respiration And Temperature Drive CO2 Change, Not Humans […]

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    […] löytyi mielenkiintoinen artikkeli (Linkki), jossa esiteltiin tutkielmaa Nishioka, M.(2026) The Critical Role of Temperate Forests in […]

  4. mary-lou

    untill industrial-based pollution is addressed rather than breathing temperate forests we’re not getting much further.

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