By Kenneth Richard on 3. August 2023
“…models are pushing further and further into the domain of the ‘terra incognita.’” – Stephens et al., 2023 It is well established in climate science that water (1) “exerts a fundamental influence on the physical climate system and on climate change,” (2) clouds “control the planetary albedo and the amount of solar radiation reaching the […]
Posted in Models, Scepticism
By Kenneth Richard on 20. July 2023
“Climatological models…pretend on a long-term description of the atmosphere…ignoring physical laws in climatology.” – Smirnov, 2022 “[T]he Kirchoff law is neglected in climatological models. This leads to a large mistake in prediction of the global temperature change.” “[D]oubling the concentration of atmospheric CO2 molecules leads to the following change of the global temperature T = […]
Posted in Climate Sensitivity, CO2 and GHG, Models |
By Kenneth Richard on 19. June 2023
Yet another instance of the models getting it wrong. Hydrological processes were expected to intensify with warming. The opposite has happened. […]
Posted in Models, Weather
By Kenneth Richard on 15. June 2023
Scientists have determined the error in calculating effects of shortwave cloud forcing on climate spans 82-132 W/m² since the mid-1990s. Total clear-sky climate forcing linked to CO2 since 1750 is 1.8 W/m². Therefore, there is no way to accurately determine anthropogenic CO2’s capacity to influence climate. Even NASA acknowledges that for climate models to be […]
Posted in Cloud Climate Influence, Models |
By Kenneth Richard on 4. May 2023
Per a new study on the hydrological cycle’s role in climate change, today’s state-of-the-art climate models “assume the mean relative humidity at the ocean surface is constant.” They are also known to “assume unchanged wind conditions.” Even with this imaginary constancy, “uncertainties in modeling the hydrological cycle significantly [orders of magnitude, or more than 100-fold] […]
Posted in Models, Oceans |
By Kenneth Richard on 23. March 2023
Since the early 1990s the conventional assumption, aligned with modeling, has been that a molecule of human CO2 emission stays in the atmosphere – its residence time – for centuries. This fits the anthropogenic global warming (AGW) narrative. But empirical evidence contradicts these model-based assumptions. Residence time is closer to 5-10 years. In Table 1 […]
Posted in CO2 and GHG, Models |
By Kenneth Richard on 20. February 2023
“No evidence is found for any systematic trend in precipitation deficits attributable to anthropogenic climate change.” – O’Connell et al., 2022 In a new study (O’Connell et al., 2022), scientists use a stochastic or random probability distribution analysis to assess whether a signal in global precipitation deficits (droughts) could be linked to anthropogenic climate change […]
Posted in CO2 and GHG, Drought and Deserts, Models, Natural Variability |
By Kenneth Richard on 30. January 2023
Per scientists, removing a greenhouse gas – water vapor – from the atmosphere results in net additional forcing (warming). Irrigation studies also affirm adding water vapor cools the surface. Per “mainstream” climate science, Earth’s total greenhouse effect radiative forcing from water vapor, clouds, CO2, and trace greenhouse gases (like methane) amounts to 150 W/m² (Lacis, […]
Posted in CO2 and GHG, Models |
By Kenneth Richard on 28. November 2022
The warming “predicted from climate models” has not materialized in yet another temperature record. In an “assessment of the performance of the climate projections” for all of Italy over the 1948-2021 period, we can observe no rising temperature trend (shown in green) that could align with the rise in CO2 emissions per a new study. […]
Posted in CO2 and GHG, Models |
By P Gosselin on 27. November 2022
Risk of a “spectacular cold outbreak “…have countries let their guard down? In his most recent Weatherbell Saturday Summary, veteran meteorologist Joe Bastardi looks ahead at the winter weather over the coming weeks across the globe. What definitely distinguishes Joe from forecasters I follow here in Germany is that he doesn’t rely solely on the […]
Posted in Models |
By P Gosselin on 18. September 2022
First the good news (and then the bad news below) This year’s hurricane season has been unusually quiet. The USA has gotten off easy so far in terms of landfalls and damage, thus once again contradicting all the doomsday scenarios from the climate alarmists. Mid September is usually the peak of hurricane activity. But right […]
Posted in Alternative Energy, Green Follies, Hurricanes/Tornados, Models |
By Kenneth Richard on 8. September 2022
The accuracy of the long-term global instrumental temperature record – especially the data obtained before the 1970s – wholly rests on the assumption that sailors obtained precisely reliable temperature measurements as they pulled wooden or canvas buckets out of the water from ships at random depths, locations, and times of day. They didn’t. It has […]
Posted in Models, Oceans |
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