Post-Easter Frost And Snow To Grip Central Europe As Temps To Fall 12°C Below Normal!

Some years ago German warmist climatologist Mojib Latif complained over our changing climate, reminding us how in Germany we used to get snow sometimes for Easter.

Well this year, in mid April, Easter is relatively late, and the forecast is now calling for snow to hit large parts of Europe as a low pressure system (OTTO) centered over the Baltic sea will pump polar air across the continent — thus ushering in a nasty and possibly protracted spell of winter.

Germany’s DWD forecast for April 15. Otto’s cold front will pump in cold and moist polar air to kick off an unusual wintery April cold wave: Source: www.wetteronline.de/wetterfronten/europa.

German weather and climate site wobleibtdieerderwaermung.de here provides a good analysis of the situation. Ahead for the coming days are frost and snow. What follows are the GFS snow forecast charts from wetteronline.de for April 17, 18 and 19, which show widespread snowfall across Central Europe, even reaching down to the Mediterranean by Wednesday:

Chart sources: wetteronline.de

According to the WBDE site, temperatures in Europe will plummet by up to 12°C below normal.

NOAA caught by surprise, revise forecast

The April cold wave took the NOAA by surprise. The US weather and climate organization had predicted an outright balmy April back on March 22, 2017:

CFSv2 April temperature prognosis of March 22, 2017. Source: www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/CFSv2/htmls/euT2me3Mon.html

Obviously the NOAA weather models had some major blind spots back in March (which is understandable), as much of Europe was projected to be 2°C warmer than the long-term mean.

But later on when the cold became obvious, the NOAA was forced to update its April 2017 forecast:

CFSc2 temperature forecast for April 2017. Much of the forecast was corrected significantly downward. Source: www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/CFSv2/htmls/euT2me3Mon.html

On the other hand March 2017 across Central Europe was very warm, and had a number of media outlets blaming it on global warming. Germany even saw a new warm record set for the month of March. Perhaps that skewed the forecasters into thinking the warmth would continue, all in line with their global warming beliefs.

Trend: spring in fact coming later and later

The German DWD then added that spring was starting earlier and earlier – due to climate change, but did not mention that you have to go back some 60 years to get an overall warming trend line. However over the past 30 years, German springs have in fact been starting later and later – a reality that the DWD conveniently omitted.

This year it appears winter will be pushing spring back to May. Midterm forecasts show the cold wave will persist at least another week.

Warmists will naturally be quick to point that late-April snow in Central Europe is really nothing that unusual, which is true — if the cold spell lasts only a matter of days. However, as Wetter24 here notes, what is about to hit the continent will persist and thus be indeed unusual. It writes of April weather in Germany:

On the other hand what is unusual is a longer-lasting phase with significantly below or above normal temperatures. And it is such a phase that is now approaching with an anticipated long period of below normal temperatures.”

The bottom line: “thing-of-the-past” snow and frost are still ignoring “global warming” and are still showing up in April. Earlier predictions that they wouldn’t are wrong.

8 responses to “Post-Easter Frost And Snow To Grip Central Europe As Temps To Fall 12°C Below Normal!”

  1. RAH

    And now the models are indicating this meridional jet stream pattern will bring a blast of cold well below averages to New England and the great lakes regions in May.
    So after what looks to be a record warm April in New England will be ended in May with even the possibility for snow. With an already very active tornado season in the US it would seem likely there is more to come.

  2. Ric Werme

    Next month will be the 40th anniversary of a major snowstorm that hit eastern Massachusetts. If I can get my butt of Facebook, I’ll post something about it on WUWT. I guess I better be ready for it based on the active forecast than on the anniversary date. (I think that was the 7th, so maybe the anniversary date will be perfect!)

  3. Dave Ward

    “As a low pressure system centered over the Baltic sea will pump polar air across the continent”

    I was checking some bird nest webcams in Estonia yesterday (Friday), and light snow was falling at one site.

  4. John F. Hultquist

    The US National Weather Service does a good job out to 3 days.
    Hourly timing and exact areas are hard to do because of the variety of terrain.
    They do show the next 4 days (total 7) but those are much less useful.
    The Service does have longer simulations to look at, these are not usually posted nor reported in public forums (TV, newspaper, ..).

    The longer term forecasts are not useful.

    1. RAH

      It’s not just the CSFv2 but also the European showing the cold coming to the US next month. The European has a much better record than the US model ensemble.

  5. Graeme No.3

    “Mojib Latif complained over our changing climate” apparently not thinking that it might change back to what it was. I am sure he will be pleased with the snow etc.
    Will sod be so pleased? Probably not. I look forward to him calling Mojib Latif a ‘denier’.

    Belatedly, Pierre, but still meant, may you and your loved ones have an enjoyable Easter.

  6. Richard111

    In a cooling world weather events become more extreme. In a warming world weather is more calm. Why? Temperature difference between equator and poles which effects height of tropopause and resultant air movement.

    It’s all there in the books, including the science that will tell anyone who reads that there is no such thing as a greenhouse gas.

    The fact that the general populace is not responding to the AGW fraud means they will deserve what’s coming. Solar panels and wind turbines are not effective under severe winter weather.

  7. Asmilwho

    It’s snowing here in Bavaria today …

Leave a Reply