Natural Variability

4 New Papers, One Alarm-Dispelling Conclusion: Future Sea Level Rise May NOT Threaten Islands After All

4 New Papers, One Alarm-Dispelling Conclusion: Future Sea Level Rise May NOT Threaten Islands After All

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Share this…FacebookTwitterAs reported in 4 separately-published papers, scientists have discovered a mechanism whereby islands can build themselves up naturally, thwarting the threat of sea level rise.  Tuck et al. (2019) affirm the “implications of island building are profound, as it will offset existing scenarios of dramatic increases in island flooding.” Earlier this year, Duvat (2019) […]

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Africa's Shortterm Freshwater Trends Largely Driven By Natural Variability

Africa’s Shortterm Freshwater Trends Largely Driven By Natural Variability

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Share this…FacebookTwitterA recent study finds that Africa’s freshwater storages are driven by natural variability. Image: ScienceDirect Hat-tip: Mary Brown The authors examined GRACE satellite data and also found that Central Africa’s water storages are partially controlled by deforestation, and in northern Africa are controlled by groundwater extraction. What follows is the paper’s abstract, which does […]

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New Study Shows Southeast Asia Climatic Variability Over Past Two Millennia, Likely Solar Driven - Deflate CO2 As Main Driver

New Study Shows Southeast Asia Climatic Variability Over Past Two Millennia, Likely Solar Driven – Deflate CO2 As Main Driver

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Share this…FacebookTwitterAmazing: A proxy study of Laos finds natural variability in hydrometeorology, a little Ice Age, and other substantial climate changes in the pre-greenhouse gas era. Who would have thought! (sarcasm) Hat-tip: NTZ reader Mary Brown. University of California Irvine researcher Jessica Wang and her team of researchers find plenty of natural climate variability in […]

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Natural Variability Domination: Defying Models, Scientists Find LESS Extreme Precipitation In Recent Decades

Natural Variability Domination: Defying Models, Scientists Find LESS Extreme Precipitation In Recent Decades

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Share this…FacebookTwitterHigher frequencies of drought and extreme rainfall are assumed to be associated with modern climate change. But long-term studies in both hemispheres indicate extreme precipitation patterns were more common prior to the 20th and 21st centuries. Natural variability dominates precipitation patterns so thoroughly that an anthropogenic signal cannot be detected in observed records. Internal […]

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Scientists Find Antarctica Is Rapidly Cooling And Any Ice Sheet Melt Is Not Due To CO2, But Natural

Scientists Find Antarctica Is Rapidly Cooling And Any Ice Sheet Melt Is Not Due To CO2, But Natural

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Share this…FacebookTwitterNatural variability rules in Antarctica. Scientists identify clouds, wind, and localized solar heating – not CO2 – as the factors driving ice melt. Rising CO2 leads to Antarctic cooling. Image Source: Lüning et al. 2019 Antarctica rapidly cooling in recent decades In a review of the scientific literature, Lüning et al. 2019 report Antarctica as […]

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Consensus? 200+ New 2019 Papers Support A Skeptical Position On Climate Alarmism

Consensus? 200+ New 2019 Papers Support A Skeptical Position On Climate Alarmism

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Share this…FacebookTwitterIn the first 5½ months of 2019, over 200 scientific papers have been published that cast doubt on the position that anthropogenic CO2 emissions function as the climate’s fundamental control knob…or that otherwise serve to question the efficacy of climate models or the related “consensus” positions commonly endorsed by policymakers and ²²²²mainstream media sources. […]

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New Proxy Data Show Northern Europe Weather Variability In Sync With Natural Factors: Solar Activity, Oceanic Cycles

New Proxy Data Show Northern Europe Weather Variability In Sync With Natural Factors: Solar Activity, Oceanic Cycles

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Share this…FacebookTwitterAnother new paper, which of course will be ignored by the government-funded IPCC because it contradicts claims CO2 drives climate, shows that natural factors dominated the earth’s climate variability. A team of scientists led by Jerome Goslin have published a paper titled Decadal variability of north-eastern Atlantic storminess at the mid-Holocene: New inferences from […]

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Scientists Find No Human Impact On Extreme Rainfall Events In Southeastern Australia...Rather ENSO Related

Scientists Find No Human Impact On Extreme Rainfall Events In Southeastern Australia…Rather ENSO Related

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Share this…FacebookTwitterWell, maybe we aren’t all going to die in 11 1/2 years, like some surrounding Australia’s Labour Party were insisting before the recent elections. Hat-tip: reader Mary Brown A new study appearing in the Journal of Weather and Climate Extremes titled “Historical extreme rainfall events in southeastern Australia” – led by Linden Ashcroft, School […]

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New Paper Finds Oceans Are Source Of "Natural Variability", Drive "Temperature Extreme Indices"

New Paper Finds Oceans Are Source Of “Natural Variability”, Drive “Temperature Extreme Indices”

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Share this…FacebookTwitterA new paper published in the Journal of Weather and Climate Extremes by Dittus et al confirms what many skeptics has strongly suspected all along: There’s no trend in precipitation extremes and there isn’t much predictability either. Hat-tip: Reader Mary Brown.   What follows is the paper’s abstract: The oceans are a well-known source […]

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Scientists: The CO2 Greenhouse Effect Was Cancelled Out By Clouds During 1992-2014

Scientists: The CO2 Greenhouse Effect Was Cancelled Out By Clouds During 1992-2014

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Share this…FacebookTwitterThe Greenhouse Effect On Hiatus An unheralded but significant 2016 scientific paper – “A Hiatus in the Greenhouse Effect” – is now publicly available.  It had previously been paywalled. Scientists have found the greenhouse effect’s (GHE) influence on planetary temperatures went on “hiatus” during 1992-2014. The estimated GHE radiative influence for these 22 years […]

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There Has Been Just 0.1°C Of Unremarkable 'Global Warming' In The Last 50 Years

There Has Been Just 0.1°C Of Unremarkable ‘Global Warming’ In The Last 50 Years

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Share this…FacebookTwitter I.  According to the IPCC, the true manifestation of “global warming” can almost exclusively (93%) be found in the oceans.  The surface air or atmospheric heat changes amount to just 1% of the “global warming” representation. Image Source: IPCC (2013) II.  In the first 2000 meters of the global ocean, there has only […]

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Pacific Ocean Tide Gauges Of 100+ Years: 'Both The Relative Rate Of Rise And Acceleration Are Negative'

Pacific Ocean Tide Gauges Of 100+ Years: ‘Both The Relative Rate Of Rise And Acceleration Are Negative’

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Share this…FacebookTwitter“As the sea levels have been oscillating, but not accelerating, in the long-term-trend tide gauges of Japan since the start of the 20th century, the same as all the other long-term-trend tide gauges of the world, it is increasingly unacceptable to base coastal management on alarmist predictions that are not supported by measurements.” – […]

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Meteorologist Joe Bastardi Warns Brutal Cold About To Grip Large Areas Of Northern Hemisphere

Meteorologist Joe Bastardi Warns Brutal Cold About To Grip Large Areas Of Northern Hemisphere

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Share this…FacebookTwitterAs winter progresses through January and heads into February, the latest forecast tells us one thing: Global warming is not putting an end to brutal cold winter conditions like experts said it would in the early 2000s. At his Weatherbell Analytics Saturday Summary yesterday, meteorologist Joe Bastardi pretty much gave his seal of approval […]

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It's Weather!...Cold, Heavy Snowfall Across Europe Not Linked To Global Warming And Melting Arctic

It’s Weather!…Cold, Heavy Snowfall Across Europe Not Linked To Global Warming And Melting Arctic

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Share this…FacebookTwitterWe’re seeing lots of headlines about heavy snowfalls and cold temperatures gripping Eastern and Southern Europe. Not surprisingly some activist scientists are blaming manmade global warming. Expected snow depths by January 15. Chart: WXCharts.EU. Junk theory: Global warming causing more snow extremes Yet global warming logically isn’t supposed to be directly causing massive snow and bitter […]

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Consensus? 500+ Scientific Papers Published In 2018 Support A Skeptical Position On Climate Alarm

Consensus? 500+ Scientific Papers Published In 2018 Support A Skeptical Position On Climate Alarm

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Share this…FacebookTwitterIn 2018,  over 500 scientific papers were published that cast doubt on the position that anthropogenic CO2 emissions function as the climate’s fundamental control knob…or that otherwise serve to question the efficacy of climate models or the related “consensus” positions commonly endorsed by policymakers and mainstream media sources. More than 500 scientific papers published […]

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Hamburg Meteorologists Find New Method For Better European Winter Forecasts...80% Certainty

Hamburg Meteorologists Find New Method For Better European Winter Forecasts…80% Certainty

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Share this…FacebookTwitterPeople familiar with the chaos that is weather will agree that seasonal forecasts based merely on computer simulations are highly speculative and involve much guesswork. The quality of their output leaves little to be desired. As much as some of these forecasts may be presented with authoritative tones, in the end they all come with […]

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New Science: Arctic AND Antarctic Sea Ice More Extensive Today Than Nearly All Of The Last 10,000 Years

New Science: Arctic AND Antarctic Sea Ice More Extensive Today Than Nearly All Of The Last 10,000 Years

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Share this…FacebookTwitterIt is often claimed that modern day sea ice changes are “unprecedented”, alarming, and well outside the range of natural variability.  Yet scientists are increasingly finding that biomarker proxies used to reconstruct both Arctic and Antarctic sea ice conditions since the Early Holocene reveal that today’s sea ice changes are not only not unusual, […]

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Missed A Few, IPCC? 368 New 2018 Papers Support A Skeptical Position On Climate Alarmism

Missed A Few, IPCC? 368 New 2018 Papers Support A Skeptical Position On Climate Alarmism

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Share this…FacebookTwitterIn the first 9½ months of 2018,  368 scientific papers have been published that cast doubt on the position that anthropogenic CO2 emissions function as the climate’s fundamental control knob…or that otherwise serve to question the efficacy of climate models or the related “consensus” positions commonly endorsed by policymakers and mainstream media sources. These […]

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In The Arctic, AMO/NAO 'Predominantly Force Ocean Temperatures' And 'Cause Major Melting Events'

In The Arctic, AMO/NAO ‘Predominantly Force Ocean Temperatures’ And ‘Cause Major Melting Events’

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Share this…FacebookTwitter6 New Papers Link Arctic/North Atlantic Climate Changes To Natural Factors 1. Natural variability/NAO/AMO “predominantly force ocean temperatures” and Greenland ice sheet melt  Hahn et al., 2018 “North Atlantic Natural Variability Modulates Emergence of Widespread Greenland Melt in a Warming Climate … Using reanalysis data and a large ensemble of climate model simulations, we find that […]

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New Paper: The GCR-Cloud Link To Solar-Driven Climate Change Persists Despite The Post-2000 'Violation'

New Paper: The GCR-Cloud Link To Solar-Driven Climate Change Persists Despite The Post-2000 ‘Violation’

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Share this…FacebookTwitterThe strong correlation between Galactic Cosmic Rays (GCRs) and cloud formation has for decades been postulated as a primary mechanism  for solar-driven natural climate change. Concisely, “When the Sun is active fewer cosmic rays reach the Earth and, with fewer low clouds, the world warms up” (Svensmark et al., 2017).  Since about 2000, however, […]

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