By Kenneth Richard on 11. April 2019
Share this…FacebookTwitterIn most scientific fields, hypotheses that fail to be verified by real-world observations 85% to 100% of the time are rejected immediately. In Consensus Climate Science, when 126 of 126, 111 of 114, 42 of 49… modeled projections are wrong, or when the opposite sign of the modeled trend is observed, the climate models […]
Posted in Models |
By P Gosselin on 6. April 2019
Share this…FacebookTwitterOne of the fathers of the German environmental movement, Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt, comments on models, Friday school strikes and the environmental destruction by green energies. =============================== Ladies and Gentlemen, New climate model is useless Over 80(!) authors, led by Jean Christophe Golaz of Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, have recently developed a new climate model […]
Posted in Activism, Alternative Energy, Models |
By P Gosselin on 27. March 2019
Share this…FacebookTwitterYesterday we posted on how rainfall across southern Europe has risen over the past couple of decades, thus going in the opposite direction of what was projected by climate models. And once again the models are shown to be woefully faulty and an unreliable tool for policymaking, as the following example shows. ==================================================== Southern […]
Posted in Drought and Deserts, Models |
By P Gosselin on 23. February 2019
Share this…FacebookTwitterBy Kirye and P. Gosselin A look at the real observed data on polar sea ice shows that the situation has been surprisingly stable for more than one decade, now, despite the cult-like doomsday prophecies that much more ice would be gone by now. For the climate change cultists who have been banking on […]
Posted in Antarctic, Arctic, Models |
By P Gosselin on 22. February 2019
Share this…FacebookTwitterAustrian ZAMG Meteorology Institute Says Drivers In Climate Models Still Not Correctly Understood By Die kalte Sonne In climate science, as is generally known, there is a 97% consensus on all topics. The remaining 3% are just crazy. This is so because anyone who openly contradicts the “consensus” can forget about his career, and gets […]
Posted in Models, Scepticism |
By P Gosselin on 29. January 2019
Share this…FacebookTwitterAt Die kalte Sonne site here, Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt and Frank Bosse published an analysis of Gebbie et al 2019. What follows is the translation in the English. ============================================================ Climate surprises A paper very worth reading from the USA from January 2019 in Science (Geoffrey Gebbie of the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution/Peter Huybers of […]
Posted in Climate Sensitivity, Models, Oceans |
By Kenneth Richard on 24. January 2019
Share this…FacebookTwitter“It is not possible to reliably support the view of the presence of global warming in the sense of an enhanced greenhouse effect due to human activities.” — Drs. Varotsos and Efstathiou, 2019 Image Source: Varotsos and Efstathiou, 2019 In a step-by-step dissection of the anthropogenic global warming (AGW) hypothesis, or “greenhouse hypothesis of global […]
Posted in CO2 and GHG, Models |
By Kenneth Richard on 14. January 2019
Share this…FacebookTwitterThere are large regions of the globe where observations indicate there has been no warming (even cooling) during the last decades to century. Climate models rooted in the assumption that fossil fuel emissions drive dangerous warming dismiss these modeling failures and project temperature increases of 3° – 10°C by 2100 for these same regions […]
Posted in Climate Sensitivity, CO2 and GHG, Models |
By P Gosselin on 19. December 2018
Share this…FacebookTwitterJochem Marotzke, Director of Germany’s Max Planck Institute for Meteorology (MPIM), says we would have to wait 20 years before seeing any impact on climate from CO2 reductions, based on model simulations. Climate variability prevails… ===================================================== Reduction of CO2 emissions possibly would have no effect on climate over the coming 20 years By Die […]
Posted in Climate Sensitivity, CO2 and GHG, Models |
By P Gosselin on 18. December 2018
Share this…FacebookTwitterPeople familiar with the chaos that is weather will agree that seasonal forecasts based merely on computer simulations are highly speculative and involve much guesswork. The quality of their output leaves little to be desired. As much as some of these forecasts may be presented with authoritative tones, in the end they all come with […]
Posted in Models, Natural Oceanic Oscillations, Natural Variability, Weather |
By P Gosselin on 15. December 2018
Share this…FacebookTwitterThe European Institute for Climate and Energy (EIKE) here posted a video of excerpts of a German Parliamentary hearing on climate change in the German Federal Parliament featuring Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) scientist Anders Levermann and atmospheric physicist Prof. Nir Shaviv of Hebrew University in Jerusalem. The hearing was to look […]
Posted in Climate Sensitivity, CO2 and GHG, Hockey Team, Models, Scepticism |
By Kenneth Richard on 6. December 2018
Share this…FacebookTwitterMany new scientific papers affirm climate model results conflict with one another, diverge from observations, and aren’t fully rooted in established physics. Image Source: Essex and Tsonis, 2018 Climate models are predicated on the assumption that greenhouse gases exert fundamental control on the Earth’s climate system. That’s why for decades it’s been predicted that disaster […]
Posted in Climate Politics, Models |
By P Gosselin on 1. December 2018
Share this…FacebookTwitterUniversity of Exeter: Role of natural climate factors is underestimated By Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt (German text translated/edited by P Gosselin) One of the main criticisms of the IPCC climate assessment is the marginalization of natural climate drivers. Indrani Roy of the University of Exeter published a paper in Frontiers, promoting greater […]
Posted in Models |
By P Gosselin on 30. November 2018
Share this…FacebookTwitterObservations surprise global warming alarmists as snow forecast to fall in Florida, this decade’s November snow cover hits record high, Arctic ice volume stabilizes, models having hard time with forecasts… Yesterday Joe Bastardi at Weatherbell’s Daily Update showed that December in the US and Canada will be starting on the unusually snowy side. As […]
Posted in Arctic, Models |
By P Gosselin on 10. November 2018
Share this…FacebookTwitterClimate modeler Jochem Marotzke: more time to decarbonize, earlier climate models were too sensitive ========================================================= Correction (12 November 2018): Dr. Lüning writes that he had to modify his post on Marotzke a bit. “Marotzke did not mean CO2 climate sensitivity but that more CO2 is buffered, adding less to the atmosphere.” However, the goalposts […]
Posted in Models |
By P Gosselin on 27. October 2018
Share this…FacebookTwitterCorrection: It’s the CFSV2 that is “busted”, and not the GFS as mistakenly reported earlier. ========================================= At his Weatherbell Saturday Summary here, veteran meteorologist Joe Bastardi takes a hard look at the US CFSV2 October-2018 forecast and compares it to what really happened. “Horrible bust” For energy dealers and those in the agriculture business, […]
Posted in Models, Weather |
By P Gosselin on 8. September 2018
Share this…FacebookTwitterMy daughter will be visiting Wilmington next week, and so Hurricane Florence has been very much on my mind. Days ago, almost all weather models showed the cyclone curving out into the North Atlantic and going nowhere, but they’ve turned out to be wrong. Bastardi saw it a week ago Already a week ago […]
Posted in Hurricanes/Tornados, Models |
By P Gosselin on 31. August 2018
Share this…FacebookTwitterNo longterm trend in heatwaves in North America By Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt (German text translated/edited by P Gosselin) The playbook is well-known: After a drought, heat wave or flood occurs, journalists and climate alarmists fall all over themselves in the race to issue shrill warnings that this is only the beginning […]
Posted in Alarmism, Drought and Deserts, Hurricanes/Tornados, Models |
By P Gosselin on 19. August 2018
Share this…FacebookTwitterSerious Climate Doping Suspicion Against RSS: Satellite Temperatures Raised One And Half Tenths Of A Degree By Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt (Translated/edited by P Gosselin) Temperatures can be measured from the ground and from satellites. Satellite data have two versions, UAH and RSS. The version of UAH (University of Alabama, Huntsville) makes […]
Posted in Activism, Cooling/Temperature, Models |
By P Gosselin on 29. July 2018
Share this…FacebookTwitterA recently published paper appearing in the PNAS authored by Bridget R. Scanlon et al reveals that calculations of water storage in many river basins from commonly used global computer models differ markedly from storage estimates from GRACE satellites. Source: PNAS, Bridget R. Scanlon et al Because we increasingly rely on models to project […]
Posted in Models, Stupid Predictions |
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