Models

Good News: 2022 Hurricane Season Mild. Bad News: Pressure Pattern Threatens Europe With Hell Winter

Good News: 2022 Hurricane Season Mild. Bad News: Pressure Pattern Threatens Europe With Hell Winter

Share this…FacebookTwitterFirst the good news (and then the bad news below) This year’s hurricane season has been unusually quiet. The USA has gotten off easy so far in terms of landfalls and damage, thus once again contradicting all the doomsday scenarios from the climate alarmists. Mid September is usually the peak of hurricane activity. But […]

Pre-1970s 'Global' Sea Surface Temp Measurements Are No More Reliable Or Accurate Than Guessing

Pre-1970s ‘Global’ Sea Surface Temp Measurements Are No More Reliable Or Accurate Than Guessing

Share this…FacebookTwitterThe accuracy of the long-term global instrumental temperature record – especially the data obtained before the 1970s – wholly rests on the assumption that sailors obtained precisely reliable temperature measurements as they pulled wooden or canvas buckets out of the water from ships at random depths, locations, and times of day. They didn’t. It […]

Models, Climate Scientists Wrong Again...New Study Finds Jet Stream Strengthening, Not Weakening

Models, Climate Scientists Wrong Again…New Study Finds Jet Stream Strengthening, Not Weakening

Share this…FacebookTwitterAlarmist climate research centers like the Potsdam Institute and the unquestioning media have been claiming for years that the Jet Stream is weakening, hence this would lead to greater weather extremes across the northern hemisphere due to blocking. Responsible for this of course is man-made global warming. Hat-tip: The Klimaschau But a recent paper […]

Weather Simulations Leading To Über-Hype. And: Germany’s Disaster Management Is In Disastrous State

Share this…FacebookTwitterOn weather catastrophes: “Those who do not want to face these central questions because they fear personal or political consequences or want to manage their own ideological agenda cling to the fairy tale of global warming being solely responsible.” – Sven Titz, NZZ The pitfalls of weather models By Die kalte Sonne (Translated, edited […]

A Lesson On 10-Day Forecasts: GFS Models Once Showing Düsseldorf 44°C Corrected Downward 14°C!

A Lesson On 10-Day Forecasts: GFS Models Once Showing Düsseldorf 44°C Corrected Downward 14°C!

Share this…FacebookTwitterThe model generated fantasy murder heatwave that the media confused as science and reality.  On July 9th, I posted the following chart, from Kachelmannwetter on Facebook. At the time, the US GFS model was showing Düsseldorf would reach a whopping 44°C  (111°F) on July 18, and see an overnight low of a scorching 28°C […]

'A Significant And Robust Cooling Trend' In The Southern Ocean From 1982–2020 Defies Climate Models

‘A Significant And Robust Cooling Trend’ In The Southern Ocean From 1982–2020 Defies Climate Models

Share this…FacebookTwitterA new study reports there has been a -0.3°C cooling in the Southern Ocean since 1982 per multiple observational data sets. The authors detail the “failure of CMIP5 models in simulating the observed SST cooling in the Southern Ocean.” The Southern Ocean is today about 1-2°C colder than it has been for nearly all […]

AR6 Model Failure Affirmed: 'No Model Group Succeeds Reproducing Observed Surface Warming Patterns'

AR6 Model Failure Affirmed: ‘No Model Group Succeeds Reproducing Observed Surface Warming Patterns’

Share this…FacebookTwitterA new study published in Geophysical Research Letters highlights the abysmal model performance manifested in the latest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report (AR6). The 38 CMIP6 general circulation models (GCMs) fail to adequately simulate even the most recent (1980-2021) warming patterns over 60 to 81% of the Earth’s surface. Dr. Scafetta places particular […]

New Study: 90 Papers Were Published On The 'Hiatus' From 2009-2019. Now They Say It Never Happened.

New Study: 90 Papers Were Published On The ‘Hiatus’ From 2009-2019. Now They Say It Never Happened.

Share this…FacebookTwitterThe claimed warming rate during the (1998-2001 to 2012-’13) “hiatus” ranged from -0.07°C to +0.17°C per decade. In late 2012, the IPCC had an ongoing dilemma about what to do about the uncooperative global temperatures. The HadCRUT3 data set government bureaucrats had been using since the first report in 1990 actually showed the global […]

Defying Modeled Expectations Again: The CO2 Airborne Fraction Has Been Declining Since 1959

Defying Modeled Expectations Again: The CO2 Airborne Fraction Has Been Declining Since 1959

Share this…FacebookTwitterThe ratio of the annual CO2 increase divided by the annual fossil fuel emission rate increase is referred to as the “airborne fraction.” It has long been assumed the airborne fraction should increase as fossil fuel emissions increase. But the opposite has happened. Scientists have expressed consternation that the airborne fraction of anthropogenic CO2 […]

Hundreds More Papers Published In 2021 Support A Skeptical Position On Climate Alarm

Share this…FacebookTwitterIn 2021, several hundred more scientific papers were published that cast doubt on the position that anthropogenic CO2 emissions function as the climate’s fundamental control knob…or that otherwise serve to question the efficacy of climate models or the related “consensus” positions commonly endorsed by policymakers and mainstream media sources. These scientific papers affirm the […]

2 More Studies: The Climate's CO2 Sensitivity Is Low...Models Erroneously Overestimate CO2 Warming

2 More Studies: The Climate’s CO2 Sensitivity Is Low…Models Erroneously Overestimate CO2 Warming

Share this…FacebookTwitterAstrophysicists conclude climate models are deeply flawed. Doubling CO2 to 560 ppm only elicits about 1°C warming. Dr. Frank Stefani is an astrophysicist who has published several recent papers (Stefani et al., 2016,  Stefani et al., 2017, Stefani et al., 2018, Stefani et al., 2019, Stefani et al., 2020) on the role of solar […]

New Study: Modelers Got Aerosols All Wrong...CO2 Climate Sensitivity Likely Another 0.4°C Overstated!

New Study: Modelers Got Aerosols All Wrong…CO2 Climate Sensitivity Likely Another 0.4°C Overstated!

Share this…FacebookTwitterDie kalte Sonne reports on a new aerosol study by Liu et al. The results are a major blow to the high greenhouse-gas climate sensitivity modelers. IPCC scientists have a favorite wild card they often use to explain serious model discrepancies: aerosols. Mysterious cooling events in the past are often explained away by aerosols […]

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