Models

New Study: Climate Models Have Uncertainties, Errors Over 100x Larger Than Claimed Drivers Of Warming

New Study: Climate Models Have Uncertainties, Errors Over 100x Larger Than Claimed Drivers Of Warming

Share this… Facebook TwitterPer a new study on the hydrological cycle’s role in climate change, today’s state-of-the-art climate models “assume the mean relative humidity at the ocean surface is constant.” They are also known to “assume unchanged wind conditions.” Even with this imaginary constancy, “uncertainties in modeling the hydrological cycle significantly [orders of magnitude, or […]

New Study: Atmospheric CO2 Residence Time Is Only 5 Years - Too Short To 'Affect The Climate'

New Study: Atmospheric CO2 Residence Time Is Only 5 Years – Too Short To ‘Affect The Climate’

Share this… Facebook TwitterSince the early 1990s the conventional assumption, aligned with modeling, has been that a molecule of human CO2 emission stays in the atmosphere –  its residence time – for centuries. This fits the anthropogenic global warming (AGW) narrative. But empirical evidence contradicts these model-based assumptions. Residence time is closer to 5-10 years. […]

Random Probability Analysis Of Global Drought Data Affirm No Pattern Can Be Linked To Human Activity

Random Probability Analysis Of Global Drought Data Affirm No Pattern Can Be Linked To Human Activity

Share this… Facebook Twitter“No evidence is found for any systematic trend in precipitation deficits attributable to anthropogenic climate change.” – O’Connell et al., 2022 In a new study (O’Connell et al., 2022), scientists use a stochastic or random probability distribution analysis to assess whether a signal in global precipitation deficits (droughts) could be linked to […]

Observation: Removing Water Vapor (Greenhouse Gas) Leads To Warming...Adding It Leads To Cooling

Observation: Removing Water Vapor (Greenhouse Gas) Leads To Warming…Adding It Leads To Cooling

Share this… Facebook TwitterPer scientists, removing a greenhouse gas – water vapor – from the atmosphere results in net additional forcing (warming). Irrigation studies also affirm adding water vapor cools the surface. Per “mainstream” climate science, Earth’s total greenhouse effect radiative forcing from water vapor, clouds, CO2, and trace greenhouse gases (like methane) amounts to […]

No CO2-Induced Warming Trend Identifiable For The 'Entire Territory Of Italy' Since 1948

No CO2-Induced Warming Trend Identifiable For The ‘Entire Territory Of Italy’ Since 1948

Share this… Facebook TwitterThe warming “predicted from climate models” has not materialized in yet another temperature record. In an “assessment of the performance of the climate projections” for all of Italy over the 1948-2021 period, we can observe no rising temperature trend (shown in green) that could align with the rise in CO2 emissions per […]

Ace Forecaster Bastardi: "Something We Used To See In 1970s", Warns Of "Spectacular Cold"

Ace Forecaster Bastardi: “Something We Used To See In 1970s”, Warns Of “Spectacular Cold”

Share this… Facebook TwitterRisk of a “spectacular cold outbreak “…have countries let their guard down? In his most recent Weatherbell Saturday Summary, veteran meteorologist Joe Bastardi looks ahead at the winter weather over the coming weeks across the globe. What definitely distinguishes Joe from forecasters I follow here in Germany is that he doesn’t rely […]

Good News: 2022 Hurricane Season Mild. Bad News: Pressure Pattern Threatens Europe With Hell Winter

Good News: 2022 Hurricane Season Mild. Bad News: Pressure Pattern Threatens Europe With Hell Winter

Share this… Facebook TwitterFirst the good news (and then the bad news below) This year’s hurricane season has been unusually quiet. The USA has gotten off easy so far in terms of landfalls and damage, thus once again contradicting all the doomsday scenarios from the climate alarmists. Mid September is usually the peak of hurricane […]

Pre-1970s 'Global' Sea Surface Temp Measurements Are No More Reliable Or Accurate Than Guessing

Pre-1970s ‘Global’ Sea Surface Temp Measurements Are No More Reliable Or Accurate Than Guessing

Share this… Facebook TwitterThe accuracy of the long-term global instrumental temperature record – especially the data obtained before the 1970s – wholly rests on the assumption that sailors obtained precisely reliable temperature measurements as they pulled wooden or canvas buckets out of the water from ships at random depths, locations, and times of day. They […]

Models, Climate Scientists Wrong Again...New Study Finds Jet Stream Strengthening, Not Weakening

Models, Climate Scientists Wrong Again…New Study Finds Jet Stream Strengthening, Not Weakening

Share this… Facebook TwitterAlarmist climate research centers like the Potsdam Institute and the unquestioning media have been claiming for years that the Jet Stream is weakening, hence this would lead to greater weather extremes across the northern hemisphere due to blocking. Responsible for this of course is man-made global warming. Hat-tip: The Klimaschau But a […]

Weather Simulations Leading To Über-Hype. And: Germany’s Disaster Management Is In Disastrous State

Share this… Facebook TwitterOn weather catastrophes: “Those who do not want to face these central questions because they fear personal or political consequences or want to manage their own ideological agenda cling to the fairy tale of global warming being solely responsible.” – Sven Titz, NZZ The pitfalls of weather models By Die kalte Sonne […]

A Lesson On 10-Day Forecasts: GFS Models Once Showing Düsseldorf 44°C Corrected Downward 14°C!

A Lesson On 10-Day Forecasts: GFS Models Once Showing Düsseldorf 44°C Corrected Downward 14°C!

Share this… Facebook TwitterThe model generated fantasy murder heatwave that the media confused as science and reality.  On July 9th, I posted the following chart, from Kachelmannwetter on Facebook. At the time, the US GFS model was showing Düsseldorf would reach a whopping 44°C  (111°F) on July 18, and see an overnight low of a […]

'A Significant And Robust Cooling Trend' In The Southern Ocean From 1982–2020 Defies Climate Models

‘A Significant And Robust Cooling Trend’ In The Southern Ocean From 1982–2020 Defies Climate Models

Share this… Facebook TwitterA new study reports there has been a -0.3°C cooling in the Southern Ocean since 1982 per multiple observational data sets. The authors detail the “failure of CMIP5 models in simulating the observed SST cooling in the Southern Ocean.” The Southern Ocean is today about 1-2°C colder than it has been for […]

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