Market Analyst Value Line Issues Strong Warnings Against Major Solar Companies …Only For “Most Risk-Tolerant Of Speculators”!

A reader passed on some interesting investment advice.

Market analyst Value Line,the most trusted name in investment research” has issued warnings against investing in two major US solar energy companies: SOLARCITY CORP and SUNEDISON CORP.

234 million 3rd quarter loss

Value Line informs market participants that Solar City reported “a much great-than-expected net loss” in the third quarter: $234 million, thus “shocked market participants”. Value Line hints that the company is misleading the public by stressing the company’s “impressive operational statistics” adding that the company has had an “inability to translate the gains into anything coming close to a profit“. Value Line also reports of a huge increase in company debt.

Despite the projected growth in sales of solar modules, Value Line does not see any profit for Solar City. Value Line’s advice:

In sum, only the most risk-tolerant of speculators should consider this equity.”

Getting hammered…

The advice is not any better when it comes to renewable energy giant Sunedison, originally the wafer-making arm of Monsanto, now a global leader of solar and wind power. Value Line informs that the company “used loads of debt to buy alternative power entities” and that the “company’s timing could not have been worse” in a sector that “has been getting hammered“.

Value Line

Here Value Line offers the same advice that “all but the most speculative investors to steer clear of this volatile equity“.

Largest bankruptcy in Spanish history

Meanwhile the London-based Global Warming Policy Foundations reports here how Spain’s renewable energy firm “Abengoa has announced the start of insolvency proceedings. International banks’ total exposure to a full Abengoa bankruptcy stands at about $21.4 billion, meaning the company’s downfall would end up being the largest bankruptcy in Spanish history.”

Ironically world leaders are meeting in Paris with the aim of steering people into investing in this junk-grade equity. A wonderful way to destroy wealth and people’s savings.

Germany’s Die Zeit: “Country Is Fouling Up Energiewende”…”CO2 Emissions Reduction Targets Won’t Be Reached”…”Embarrassing”!

Fritz Vorholt at Germany’s center-left national weekly Die Zeit here reports in a commentary that the country is “fouling up its Energiewende” (shift to renewable energies) and writes that experts say the country will not reach its stated CO2 emissions reductions target. He calls this situation “embarrassing”.

Don’t look too closely

Lately there have been a number of reports stating that Germany’s Energiewende has become more window dressing and grandstanding than substance. Vorholt brings up an important point, warning that if Germany fails at its man-on-the-moon project Energiewende, the country even risks taking the wind out of the sails of the global green energy movement. After all if technology savvy Germany cannot do it, then other countries won’t bother trying. So far it does not look good. Germany’s electricity rates have skyrocketed, CO2 emissions however have remained stubbornly high and Germany’s power grid is now far more unstable and at risk of blackouts. Who wants to copy that?

Vorholz writes:

In view of the real problems with the conversion of the energy supply system, one has to hope that foreign countries don’t look too closely. Namely a close look could could be sobering.”

Reaching targets looks unrealistic

At the current rate, Germany will never meet its 2020 target of reducing CO2, Vorholt reports, writing that the country would have to triple its current rate of emissions reductions in order for it to reach the 2020 target of a 40% reduction over 1990 levels. He cites a statement issued by a government appointed commission, which issued a 19-page report that sees the Energiewende has “many deficits” and that there are “comprehensive necessities to act“. Die green-leaning Zeit adds:

Even the high-ranking government advisors are skeptical. The central target of reducing CO2 emmissions by 40 percent by 2020 with respect to 1990 levels is ‘substantially at risk’.”

Clearly, Germany reaching the set targets is very much in serious doubt.

One factor that does not get mentioned in the Die Zeit piece is the millions of refugees who are expected to arrive in Germany over the coming years, and so further increase the demand for power and energy.

Global climate will be decided in China and India

Another obstacle to meeting the 2020 40% reduction target comes from Germany’s socialist SPD party: Hannelore Kraft, the Prime Minister of Germany’s most populated and industrial state of North Rhine Westphalia, a region that is concentrated with heavy industries and trade unions. The influential socialist politician has sharply criticized the Federal Ministry of Environment’s plans for a rapid shut-down of the country’s coal-fired power plants, many of which are located in her state, slated to take place over the next 20 years.

German public radio Deutschlandfunk reports here:

The SPD politician says this is a go-it-alone by Hendricks [Federal Minister of Environment] and is neither the position of the SPD in North Rhine Westphalia, nor of the SPD at the national level.”

Coal miners, steel workers and power plant employees represented by powerful trade unions aren’t about to willingly trade in their high paying industrial jobs in exchange for a reduction of global CO2 emissions by a few ten thousandths of a percent. Deutschlandfunk adds:

The IG BCE mining union spoke of symbolic actions. Not in Germany, but in other countries, such as China or India, will the global climate be decided.”

In summary, not only the technical obstacles are appearing insurmountable, but also the political ones as well. Germany of course will sign on to ambitious reductions in CO2 emissions in Paris and try to project an image of leadership. That is easy. Doing it, however, will be a completely different story.


Prominent German Meteorologist Thomas Globig Dismisses Climate Forecasts, Claims Of Consensus

Question. What happens when the German public television puts out a report that happens to be honest and skeptical when it comes to climate change? Answer: Viewers are so surprised that they actually take the time to upload it at YouTube!

Hat-tip: here.

The above clip by MDR German public television features seasoned meteorologist Thomas Globig, who somehow managed to get his message broadcast during a recent weather report. He begins by asking: “Is CO2 a climate killer, or not?”

Surprisingly his response was what we typically expect to hear from the skeptic side. It’s a surprise he hasn’t been fired by now.

Scientists are in dispute

At 0:35 he tells his viewers that the scientific opinions on CO2 and its impact on climate are in fact split among the experts. “The opinion of climate scientists are totally divergent.” Contrary to the 97& consensus that often gets claimed, Globig tells us there is no consensus and that the subject is in heated dispute. He adds that the global warming theory is far from being clear.

And there are good reasons there is no consensus, Globig explains. At 1:25 he reminds us that CO2 is only a trace gas that makes up only 0.04% of the atmosphere and that over the past 160 years atmospheric CO2 increased only 0.01%. In the past Globig reminds that the earth at times saw “much higher concentrations of CO2“, and that even at times of higher CO2 concentrations the earth saw ice ages.

Globig: Man cannot stop climate change

At 2:22 he says that climate change is normal and that it is never constant. Man trying to stop climate change can never work and it would be like trying to stop the next storm.

At 2:40 he poses the real question that needs to be answered: Is the warming caused by man, or by nature? Globig says he cannot answer that question in the segment but points out that both weather and climate are non-linear, chaotic systems and thus neither can be predicted. “Neither can the climate be accurately forecasted over 20, 30 or 50 years.

Also last year on MDR television Thomas Globig questioned the intensity of global warming. Below he is shown presenting a temperature chart for his viewers in the city of Dresden:

Meteorologist Thomas Globig last year showing that the city of Dresden has in fact been cooling over the past 15 years. Image: cropped from MDR television


Climate/Geology Professor Friedrich-Karl Ewert Says “Standards Of Science Not Met” By Climate Models

EwertA few days ago I posted a piece about an article written by award-winning journalist Günter Ederer, who had reported on Prof. Karl-Friedrich Ewert’s analysis of NASA temperature data – data that he found to have been “incredibly altered” to show warming. That NTZ post has been shared or liked close to 20,000 times so far, making it one of the most shared ever at NTZ.

Prof. Ewert now writes that he has received many enquiries requesting to see his results. He has posted a reaction at the European Institute for Climate and Energy (EIKE) here. What follows is a summarized version I’ve translated.

Plot of unaltered data NASA GISS. The reference of 13.8°C is the IPCC’s global mean temperature for 1880. The cooling in the 5th phase was modest at first, until 1960, but then was significantly stronger, despite rising CO2. Atmospheric CO2 rose by 1 part for each 10,000 due to emissions.

Ewert writes that man has always known that climate change exists. And as science developed, the reasons were for this were discovered: changes in solar activity and the sun’s the interactions with the earth. Yet, beginning in the early 1980s, out of the blue, solar activity ceased being a factor and suddenly atmospheric trace gas CO2 morphed into the major factor and is now regarded as dominant for the development of the climate.

Ewert remarks that the climate movement first started out as one run by environmental activists, but soon also scientists saw they could exploit it for advancing their careers, and thus shifted their efforts to producing evidence and computer models to show that CO2 was the cause of warming since 1980 and that it would continue warming into the future respectively.

However Prof. John Christy of the Uni­versity of Alabama compared the projections generated by the most important computer simulations and found that the results were completely different. Therefore the standards of science were not met because these standards require that different approaches reach the same result. The computer results showed the exact opposite: a warming range of 0.3°C to 1.3°C by 2020! Which result can be valid when they are all different? None!

Ewert says it is false to claim that a few decades of data from the earth’s 4.5 billion year history are sufficient to say the models are reliable for simulating the climate of the future. He notes that German experts Ulrich Berner & Hans-Jörg Streif scientifically analyzed the geological past, up to the present, for German government institutes and have proven that climate warming by man-made CO2 emissions is not taking place as claimed.

Despite the expertly performed analyses by John Christy, and Ulrich Berner & Hans-Jörg Streif, climate politics continue to claim a manmade global warming is taking place due to CO2 emissions. The sole basis for the political claims are climate models projecting warming despite the current cooling phase. The planet is currently cooling. Although the IPCC said early on that forecasting the climate is not possible because it is a chaotic system involving a myriad of factors, governments and scientists continue to rely on the computer model forecasts.

Ewert writes that much evidence exists showing that CO2 emissions are meaningless, but that the evidence simply gets ignored.

One example is the more than 100 years of measured temperature readings that taken from weather stations worldwide. This is the reason it was necessary to manually evaluate the registered temperatures from 1881 to 2010 in detail. The results are available in the pdf-file report. The chart above summarizes what was found. It shows:

– that four cooling phases and three warming phases occurred between 1881 and 2010,
– that stronger warming occurred before CO2 emissions began in earnest, and despite the longer cooling phases,
– that the temperature over the first 100 years even cooled slightly, and
– that there is no recognizable effect by CO2 emissions on temperatures.

The long version (in German) can be downloaded in two parts from the annex.


German ‘Sueddeutsche Zeitung’ National Daily Attempts To Marginalize Legitimate Climate Science Critics

Yesterday Munich-based national online daily Süddeutsche Zeitung (SDZ) here published a report on the heavy (unfair) attacks by skeptics on climate scientists, who see themselves as innocent victims.Tthe attacks, the SDZ writes, are stemming from “lobby groups of the oil and coal industry and by private people who have networked themselves together.”

Unfortunately, but not surprisingly, the SDZ article is totally one-sided, adversarial against the skeptics and ideological. It has nothing to do with balanced journalism. The story is wholly designed to marginalize the legitimate and forceful criticism of climate science by renowned. The skepticism evidently is substantial enough to have a major German newspaper liked he SDZ gripe about it and feel compelled enough to chase down opinions from sympathetic ‘experts’ all over the world.

Overall the SDZ portrays climate science skeptics as clandestinely funded attack groups who are driven by greed, self-interest or who are operatimng on behalf of the interests of the fossil fuels and coal industry.

The attacks are so vicious, the SDZ wants its readers to believe, that now “historians and philosophers are taking a look at the phenomenon“.  The center-left daily describes an environment where criticism from skeptics is hostile, is under the belt, does not fulfill scientific norms and that it is possibly “impeding the progress of science“. The SDZ cites, for example, Anna Leuschner of the University of Hannover, who is quoted as saying “the difference between helpful and damaging criticism could emerge when the progress of science is intentionally obstructed“. This is a thinly veiled plea for a state crackdown on climate science scrutiny and skepticism.

Just how bad are the skeptics? The SDZ goes on to describe how Michael Mann views himself as the victim of a “McCarthy-like” campaign, orchestrated by “a well-financed and well-tuned attack on science” and that Phil Jones of the University of East Anglia even received “death threats” and had “thoughts of suicide” after his e-mails “were stolen and released to the public.”

“Criteria for damaging criticism”

The SDZ describes a recently held conference held in Karlsruhe among “philosophers and ethicists from USA, England and Germany who discussed whether there are criteria for damaging criticism.” The aim of the conference of course was how best to deal with skeptics. Jochem Marotzke, of the German Max-Planck-Institute for Meteorology in Hamburg, says that “skeptic” is an impermissible term to describe the persons who are spreading doubt over climate science and wishes he could find a strategy to get the word skeptic back out of their hands, according to the SDZ.

The SDZ also writes that Hans-Joachim Schellnhuber, Director of he Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, failed to get the label denier to stick for people whom he calls “radical climate protection opponents“.

The thrust of the SDZ article of course is to portray the skeptics as a dangerous threat to scientific progress and thus ought to be reined in by the power of the state. Afterall, how can skepticism be allowed when the science is so settled?

In the article the SDZ portrays a situation where big industry is the greedy evil behind all the climate science skepticism and its successful campaign to seed doubts over the science. The Munich-based center-left daily writes: “Indeed instead of fighting politically, the lobby groups are staging supposed controversy within the science.”

One major problem with the SDZ article is that it fails to name a single group or person guilty of all the accusations it launches, let alone provide any evidence. To shore up the accusations, the SSZ merely cites vague claims made by the usual alarmist propagandists, such as Naomi Oreskes, Stephan Lewandowsky and even Skeptical Science. Perhaps this was done to avoid slander lawsuits.

The main thrust of the SDZ article is on how to deal with skeptics. How seriously should their objections to the science be taken? Refusing to listen to their objections and insisting the science is settled “may come across as appearing arrogant, and thus serve to play into the hands of the skeptics,” Loescher warns.

In the article the SDZ especially takes aim at “conservative American think tanks”, not naming a single one of them, and complains that skepticism is prominent especially in English speaking countries [which have a more balanced press].

In the end, the SDZ writes that outcome of Paris will not be decided based on science, but rather on politics.

Sweden King Carl XVI Gustaf (Who Resides In 1430-Room Palace) Proposes Banning Bathtubs To Protect Climate!

The online German-language FOCUS magazine here has an article on Swedish King Carl XVI Gustaf’s latest idea to curb emissions of fossil fuels in order to rescue the climate: ban bathtubs!

Hat-tip DirkH

According to FOCUS, The King’s idea was reported this weekend in the Svenska Dagbladet, but has been met with a fair amount of backlash in the social media, with some Swedish citizens demanding the King first start by stopping his private jet travel and the many other royal excesses the King appears to enjoy, like his tax-payer financed residence shown below:

Swedish palace

The 1430-room Swedish Royal Palace in Stockholm, home to King Carl XVI Gustaf. Photo: Brorsson, CC BY-SA 3.0

FOCUS reports that before his interview with the Swedish daily, the King mentioned that he had been forced to use a bathtub instead of a shower at the place he was staying just before the interview. He thought it was a waste of energy.

FOCUS writes that The Swedish King is active when it comes to climate protection, drives a hybrid car, eats little meat and “tries to save energy in the Palace“. Carl XVI Gustaf says:

That’s not very easy in such an old house.“

According to Wikipedia:

The interior of the palace consists of 1,430 rooms of which 660 have windows. The palace contains apartments for the Royal families, representation and festivities such as the State Apartments, the Guest Apartments and the Bernadotte Apartments. […] A comprehensive renovation of the facade began in 2011, to repair weather damaged parts made from sandstone. The repairs are estimated to cost approx. 500 million crowns (about US $77 million) during a period of 22 years.”

The Wikipedia site has lots of photos of the interior and exterior of the King’s humble and low energy abode.


On The Brink: Emergency Power Grid Stabilization Measures Alone By Tennet To Cost Germans 500 Million Euros In 2015!

Last week a couple of North Sea storms swept across Europe, which is typical for this time of the year. And with them came strong winds, which are now reported to have had a detrimental impact on Germany’s power grid.

Daniel Wetzel at German flagship daily Die Welt here reports that though storms “Iwan” and “Heini” brought “a record high wind power production” of 32.6 GW to Germany, it “overloaded the power grid” and necessitated the import of expensive fossil fuel power from Austria to balance the grid and prevent its collapse.

During the stormy weather all 25,000 wind turbines in Germany produced at full capacity which overburdened the grid. Die Welt writes that national transmission line operators are forced to fall back on so-called winter reserves, or power plants in southern Germany and Austria which “are rented exclusively for stabilizing the power grid“.

That’s expensive,” Die Welt’s Wetzel writes.

Wetzel explains that the reserve capacity of 200 und 2200 megawatts from the south are needed in order to create a sort of “counter pressure” against the wind power coming in from the north and thus keep the grid “balanced and stable.” Die Welt explains that a part of the grid stabilization process involved shutting down huge wind parks, for example Brandenburg grid operator E.dis and Tennet had to shut down hundreds of megawatts of wind capacity. This is expensive because the unproduced power still has to be paid for. This is required by Germany’s quirky renewable energy feed-in act.

In total the emergency measures needed to stabilize the power grid by Tennet alone will cost consumers 500 million euros this year, Die Welt reports.

The emergency grid intervention measures show how precarious Germany’s power grid has become. Die Welt quotes Tennet management Chairman Urban Keussen:

Both the intervention in the conventional and the renewable energy supply are emergency measures. They are not suited for securing the power supply over the long run.”

That means the grid is already on the brink. Keuseen says that these interventions are costly and that the costs will be passed on to consumers. Just in Tennet’s area alone the interventions will cost Germans 500 million euros in 2015.

According to Die Welt, Keussen describes a high voltage transmission system that is “tense” and says that there will be “more costs and risks of supply uncertainties” should the grid fail to be upgraded soon.

What a mess. We have a policy-made disaster just waiting to happen.

Germans may want to consider buying portable generators this winter.

“Massively Altered” …German Professor Examines NASA GISS Temperature Datasets

UPDATE 2: Tremendous interest in Ewert’s findings: shared or liked 2400 times up to now. I’ve decided to take the day off from blogging and let this one run another day.

UPDATE 1: Also read here.

Veteran journalist Günter Ederer* writes a piece reporting that massive alterations have been found in the NASA GISS temperature data series, citing a comprehensive analysis conducted by a leading German scientist. These results are now available to the public.


Professor Dr. Friedrich Karl Ewert. Source: University of Paderborn

Ederer reports not long ago retired geologist and data computation expert Professor Dr. Friedrich Karl Ewert began looking at the data behind the global warming claims, and especially the datasets of NASA’s Goddard Institute of Space Studies (GISS).

Ewert painstakingly examined and tabulated the reams of archived data from 1153 stations that go back to 1881 – which NASA has publicly available – data that the UN IPCC uses to base its conclusion that man is heating the Earth’s atmosphere through the burning of fossil fuels. According to Ederer, what Professor Ewert found is “unbelievable”:

From the publicly available data, Ewert made an unbelievable discovery: Between the years 2010 and 2012 the data measured since 1881 were altered so that they showed a significant warming, especially after 1950. […] A comparison of the data from 2010 with the data of 2012 shows that NASA-GISS had altered its own datasets so that especially after WWII a clear warming appears – although it never existed.”

Ederer writes that Ewert particularly found alterations at stations in the Arctic. Professor Ewert randomly selected 120 stations from all over the world and compared the 2010 archived data to the 2012 data and found that they had been tampered to produce warming.

The old data showed regular cycles of warming and cooling over the period, even as atmospheric CO2 concentration rose from 0.03% to 0.04%. According to the original NASA datasets, Ederer writes, the mean global temperature cooled from 13.8°C in 1881 to 12.9°C in 1895. Then it rose to 14.3°C by 1905 and fell back under 12.9°C by 1920, rose to 13.9°C by 1930, fell to 13° by 1975 before rising to 14°C by 2000. By 2010 the temperature fell back to 13.2°C.

But then came the “massive” altering of data, which also altered the entire overall trend for the period. According to journalist Ederer, Ewert uncovered 10 different methods NASA used to alter the data. The 6 most often used methods were:

• Reducing the annual mean in the early phase.
• Reducing the high values in the first warming phase.
• Increasing individual values during the second warming phase.
• Suppression of the second cooling phase starting in 1995.
• Shortening the early decades of the datasets.
• With the long-term datasets, even the first century was shortened.

The methods were employed for stations such as Darwin, Australia and Palma de Mallorca, for example, where cooling trends were suddenly transformed into warming.

Ewert then discovered that NASA having altered the datasets once in March 2012 was not enough. Alterations were made again in August 2012, and yet again in December 2012. For Palma de Majorca: “Now because of the new datasets it has gotten even warmer. Now they show a warming of +0.01202°C per year.”

Using earlier NASA data, globe is in fact cooling

The veteran German journalist Ederer writes that the media reports of ongoing global warming are in fact not based on reality at all, but rather on “the constantly altered temperatures of the earlier decades.” Ederer adds:

Thus the issue of man-made global warming has taken on a whole new meaning: Yes, it is always man-made if the data are adjusted to fit the theory. The meticulous work by Ewert has predecessors, and fits a series of scandals and contradictions that are simply being ignored by the political supporters of man-made climate change.”

Ederer also brings up the analysis by American meteorologists Joseph D’Aleo and Anthony Watts who examined 6000 NASA measurement stations and found an abundance of measurement irregularities stemming in large part from serious siting issues. According to Ederer the findings by Professor Ewert are in close agreement with those of Watts and D’Aleo.

Ederer writes of the overall findings by Professor Ewert:

Using the NASA data from 2010 the surface temperature globally from 1940 until today has fallen by 1.110°C, and since 2000 it has fallen 0.4223°C […]. The cooling has hit every continent except for Australia, which warmed by 0.6339°C since 2000. The figures for Europe: From 1940 to 2010, using the data from 2010, there was a cooling of 0.5465°C and a cooling of 0.3739°C since 2000.”

Ederer summarizes that in view of the magnitude of the scandal, one would think that there would be in investigation. Yet he does not believe this will be the case because the global warming has turned into a trillion-dollar industry and that that too much is tied to it.

All datasets are available to the public at any time. The studies by Prof. Ewert may be requested by e-mail:

*Günter Ederer is a former journalist for ARD and ZDF German Television and has won numerous awards.


How Holly Holm Dismantled, Demolished, De-Classified “Expert Consensus” On Projected UFC Fight Outcome

A bit off-topic today…

The recent UFC women’s championship fight between loud-mouthed, über-cocky Rhonda Rousey (28) – the defending champion – and mild-mannered challenger Holly Holm is yet another example that vividly illustrates why consensus over the outcome of any complex future event among so-called “experts” is often not worth the paper it’s printed on. Like in climate change here too there was universal certainty as to who the winner would be, all based on expert assessments and lots of hype. Boy, were they wrong.

Over 90% certainty Rousey would win, odds 14-1

Before the fight experts were virtually dead-sure Rousey would win, and even do so handily. Betting outlets set the odds at a whopping 14-1. Rousey seemed invincible, almost to the point that challengers were called crazy to even dare enter the same ring with her, and so were people who bet against her.

At best it was said that Holm could only hope to hang in there as long as possible and maybe survive a round or two. In in her three previous matches Rousey disposed of her three opponents in short order – in a total of less than 70 seconds. But ultimately that success may have fed Rousey’s sense of invulnerability and overconfidence, and thus led to her demise.

The predictions, projections and expert opinions all turned out to be totally wrong. Precisely the opposite happened, as in the second round Rousey went down hard after a kick to the head, knocked out cold before she even hit the floor. Before that Holm had methodically dismantled her with a series of vicious blows. Holly Holm had done what no one imagined possible, even making the job look almost effortless. There was no lucky punch involved. The quiet girl from New Mexico humiliated the cocky loudmouth in short order.

As the video below shows, Rousey was totally outclassed. After just 6 minutes the massive favorite Rousey was out cold.

A lack of maturity

Not only was Rousey outclassed, but she completely lacked class, letting her success go to her head. In a way she personifies everything that is wrong with the American youth: ill-mannered, loud-mouthed, and annoyingly cocky.

Her downfall was her lack of respect for her opponent. This she clearly demonstrated with zero sportsmanship during the weigh-in and her refusal to touch gloves at the start of the bout. She bought into the media clear favorite hype, really believing she was 14 to 1 better than Holm, so making herself the victim of her own hyper-inflated ego. She was in a state of delusion.

Later, after the fight, Holm was asked about Rousey’s pre-fight cockiness and attitude. Being the classy and well-mannered lady she is, she attributed Rousey’s antics to the emotions that naturally boil up in the lead-up to a fight, and so held nothing against it. Here Holm was being too polite. Part of being a world-class athlete is having the ability to keep your emotions in check and to maintain a cool head. Here it’s obvious that Rousey had not yet developed emotionally to that point. That same immaturity led her to believe she was something she was not.

As her fame grew, so did her big mouth, ego and abrasive in-your-face attitude. Hopefully for Rousey her humiliating defeat to Holm will serve as a lesson in sportsmanship, maturity, respect and class. It’s a lesson she sorely needed.


EIKE Meteorologist Klaus-Eckart Puls Calls Climate-Refugee Claims “Invented Stories” …Even Refuted By IPCC

At the Germany-based European Institute for Climate and Energy (EIKE) veteran, retired meteorologist Klaus-Eckard Puls flatly dismisses the assertion made by many leading officials that climate change is a driving force behind the wave of refugees now sweeping into Europe from the Middle East and Africa.

Puls, K.E.  EIKE

German Meterologist Klaus-Eckart Puls. Photo: EIKE

Germany Minister of Environment Barbara Hendricks recently blamed the refugee crisis on climate change, and urged countries to commit themselves to a binding Treaty in Paris with renewed vigor. Puls responded at EIKE.

Puls reminds us that even the IPCC has found no basis to support the claim. A number of skeptics view the claim as a desperate stretch designed to divert attention away from the real reasons: abject social and foreign policy failure. Recently the IPCC backed off from the speculative claims of climate driven refugees.

Puls writes that the “UN IPCC took back its analyses and prognoses on climate refugees in its last 2013/14 report” and that “the steppes and deserts are in fact ‘greening'”. At EIKE he provides the following chart which clearly shows that Africa is greening and that it is all part of a natural cycle:

Chart depicting Sahel Zone June-October precipitation from 1950 to 2010. Source K.E. Puls

Last weekend meteorologist Joe Bastardi showed that also in Syria precipitation has been on the rise over the past few years.

Puls cites Spiegel, where in 2011 the UN took back its earlier 2005 projection of 50 million refugees by 2010. Spiegel writes:

The UN told SPIEGEL ONLINE that it is backing off its prognosis – in countries of the alleged danger zones populations are in fact growing. The corresponding prognosis has been removed from the UNEP site.”

That particular UN backpedaling incident took place back in 2011. Puls also writes that the latest UN IPCC 2013 report also distanced itself from the projections, seeing no scientific relationship. The claim that climate change is driving the refugee waves appears totally baseless and highly speculative.

The seasoned German meteorologist also cites a recent paper by Colorado University-Boulder geography professor John O’Loughlin on the subject. The paper concludes:

While a new study led by the University of Colorado Boulder shows the risk of human conflict in East Africa increases somewhat with hotter temperatures and drops a bit with higher precipitation, it concludes that socioeconomic, political and geographic factors play a much more substantial role than climate change.”

Puls summarizes in his commentary:

When Ms. Hendriks makes up stories of climate refugees, it is all about her private Weltanschauung. It has nothing to do with reality – and also nothing to do with the statements of the IPCC because the IPCC finds no climate refugees, and even writes this (AR5 2013/14). The UNO/UNEP deleted such claims (made in 2005) from its website! The waves of refugees have many reasons – climate is not among them!”


Current Solar Cycle Only 56% Of Normal…Modelers Scramble…Total Solar Irradiance (TSI) Projected To Fall To 1880 Levels!

German Professor Fritz Vahrenholt and Frank Bosse present the solar report for October 2015. The current cycle continues to be a weak one.

The Sun in October 2015

By Frank Bosse and Fritz Vahrenholt
[Translated/edited by P Gosselin]

In October, 2015, our mother star was less active than in September. The solar sunspot number (SSN) was 61.7, only 72% of what is normal this month into the cycle compared to the mean of the observed cycles since occurring 1755. In detail:

Fig. 1: Our current Solar Cycle 24, which started in December 2008, is shown by the red curve and is compared to the mean cycle (blue) and to the very similar solar cycle 5 shown by the black curve.

What really stands out are negative anomalies that occurred during the cycle ramp-up and the ensuing plateau phase. Until the 54th month the sun was only 47% as active as the mean. But later beginning at about month number 62 the current cycle followed along below the mean closely. Since then the current cycle has been tracing at about 73% of the mean value. Over the entire cycle so far the current cycle has been running on average at 56% of the mean. What follows is a comparison of all cycles:

Fig. 2: Comparison of all the cycles. The bars represent the SSN anomaly from the mean for 83 months into the cycle.

One clearly sees the activity hump in the middle of the 20th century, from SC 17 to SC 23. This was recently investigated at a conference at the end of October, 2015, which worked out the solar forcing for a new generation of climate models (CMIP6):

Fig. 3: Solar forcing for new climate models, source: Matthes & Funke 2015.

The contribution by Katja Matthes of the Geomar Center in Kiel, Germany and Bernd Funke of the Astrophysical Institute in Granada sees an increase of approximately 1 W/m² on average between 1880 and the level of 1950 to 2000 (light blue curve in Fig 3). Now a prediction until 2075 sees a drop in value to that of 1880 (grey in Fig. 3). One, however, does need to be careful with the forecast. The sun is a very dynamic star. Yet, the assumption that the solar irradiance is constant, which was the case in the older models (CMIP5 in light green), is being abandoned.

Today the solar forcing of the sun is assumed to be greater by a factor of 5 over what was assumed just a few years ago (e.g. Feulner & Rahmstorf 2010) when conventional climate science and also the IPCC accounted for a solar irradiance TSI variation of only 0.2W/m².

Clearly the sun is gaining more influence in the world of climate modeling, as it is getting neglected less in the new models. However we will not being hearing anything about these findings from the media during the upcoming Paris conference: There the sun will have no effect on our current climate. The only thing of any concern in Paris is trace gas CO2.


Socially Explosive …More Than 1 Million German Households Had Power Shut Off Over Past Three Years!

Note: Sticky post for one more day…

The online Spiegel has an article that really drives home the energy hardship that German consumers are suffering, “due to the rising costs of electricity“, brought on by the country’s hasty rush into green energies.

Cratchit 1935

Hundreds of thousands of Germans struggling today without electricity. Image cropped from here.

It is not only Germany’s power companies who are bleeding to death financially, but so are many private citizens, who are unable to pay for their power. A shocking situation in one of the world’s most technically advanced nations.

According to the German flagship news magazine, citing the federal Bundesnetzagentur (German Network Agency), more than 350,000 households saw their power get switched off in 2014. Spiegel blames the “Energiewende” (transition to renewable energy), writing in its sub-title:

The social problems of the Energiewende are growing: Last year more households than ever saw their power get switched off. The reason is the rising price of electricity.”

Spiegel also provides the figures for the previous years, and they too are horrific. In 2013 close 345,000 households lost their power, and in 2012 it was about 320,000. Over the past three years it all totals to be a whopping 1.025 million households!

In a country of 82 million, the figures are socially explosive.

Threatened 6.3 million times

It’s a glaring paradox of the Energiewende: On the production side, power plants are losing billions of euros because they can no longer even get a modest price for their power, while on the consumer side more and more households are unable to afford the skyrocketing prices brought on by the mandatory infusion of expensive and unstable green energies into the German power grid. The once mighty German power grid now teeters on the brink of crumbling.

The situation threatens to get far worse. Spiegel writes that “far more households have problems with their electric bills. According to the Bundesnetzagentur power utilities threatened their customers with power cut-offs 6.3 million times.”

Spiegel writes that the price of electricity in Germany has doubled since 2002 in large part because of the renewable energy feed-in surcharge. Private households are the hardest hit; they have to pay some 45% more than the EU average (while German power producers get 30% less than the EU average)! The government-interfered market is grotesquely distorted.

Spiegel reports that even more costs are on the way for 2016 with the average household expected to pay on average 40 euros per year more.


Veteran Meteorologist Says John Kerry’s Claim Climate-Change Drought Is Causing Refugees Is Completely False

Veteran meteorologist Joe Bastardi at his latest Weatherbell Analytics Saturday Summary explains why US Secretary of State John Kerry’s claim that the refugee crisis is caused by climate-change-driven drought is total nonsense and is easily disproved.

Secretary Kerry would like to have the public believe that the refugee crisis from Syria and Africa is due to man-made climate drought in the region – and not his abject foreign policy debacle.

Nigeria rainfall

 Chart shows Nigeria has been too wet. Source Weatherbell.

At the 2:34 mark Joe shows a precipitation chart for western Africa which clearly depicts how rainfall has in fact been above average over the past 15 years, and thus drought cannot be cited as a reason for the Boko Haram terror group. Bastardi says:

There’s no drought here. And so you cannot blame drought in Nigeria for the rise of Boko Haram.”

The above chart’s blue shows that it’s been too wet in Nigeria, and not too dry. Indeed there are number of scientific papers showing that the Sahara region has been getting greener over the past 30 years.

In the Middle East Bastardi shows that the drought has hit part of Turkey, but that most of Syria has had normal precipitation, and explains that “drought” is the normal climate condition there. At the 4:20 mark the Weatherbell meteorologist puts up a precipitation chart for the Middle East for the last five years:

Syria last 5 years

The chart above shows more wet (blue) than dry (yellow/green) with Syria being completely normal. Joe shakes his head at how anyone could even make the claim that Kerry does:

What’s really interesting about all this is, this is just so easy to disprove. […] So I don’t understand why that was said.”

Most readers here do understand why. The falsehood was said because US foreign policy has been a total catastrophe in that region, and now Kerry is desperate for any excuse. And he couldn’t have picked a lamer one. In real life any company or employee blaming poor performance on climate change would be immediately shown the door. This is a blatant unwillingness to accept any responsibility.

The nonsense of climate change leading to terrorism excuse is so clear on so many fronts that it’s a wonder than anyone with even a few points of IQ would take it seriously.

Scientists Surprised: Global Sea Ice Unexpectedly Stable Over Past 35 Years, Arctic Stable Last 10 Years!

It’s a good time to take a look at how global sea ice is doing at both poles. We were told over and over that the poles are the canary in the coal mine for global warming.

If the sea ice melt trend accelerated, we were warned, then the planet was warming rapidly and societies would be wise to prepare quickly for long-term sea level rise.

But nothing has happened at the poles so far.

Like everything related to climate and weather, there’s a lot of volatility built into the infinitely complex system, and so short term changes should not be viewed hysterically.

It is important to keep the focus on the long term and to keep a rational head. When that is done, then we quickly see that there is nothing to worry about and that all the climate indicators are all well within the normal range of natural variability.

The following chart shows Arctic sea ice coverage anomaly from the mean since satellite measurements began in 1978:
Arctic Sea Ice_2015
The above chart, from, shows that the Arctic sea ice was in fact quite stable from 1979 to 2002, trending downward only slightly. Then from 2002 to 2007, a period of only 5 years, the sea ice saw almost all of its melting. Over the past 10 years, however, the Arctic sea ice has been stable, even growing some over the past 6 years.

Indeed a number of scientists are projecting the Arctic sea ice to recover as the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) enters its negative mode of its typical 50-60 year cycle.

It needs to be pointed out that 35 years is a short period when attempting to derive long term sea ice trends. Let us recall it is known that the Arctic sea ice coverage moves in multidecadal cycles, impacted heavily by natural oceanic cycles.

In the 1950s photos of an ice-free north pole are famous. Old newspaper clippings from the early 20th century quoted scientists who reported “dramatic melting” in the Arctic.

Antarctic accelerating sea ice growth trend

The South Pole has been a real embarrassment for the global warming alarmists who earlier predicted a meltdown. That too has not happened. Instead the Antarctic trend has gone in the totally opposite direction:

Antarctica_sea ice 2015


The above chart shows that Antarctic sea ice cover has in fact been accelerating upwards. Over the past several months the sea ice has fallen from its record high levels and is now dead normal – for the first time in more than 3 years!

Looking at both north and south polar sea ice combined, using data from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, we see absolutely nothing to worry about:

Everything is completely normal and there is no reason to let yourself go into fits of hysteria.


A Quarter Billion Euros For Nothing! Poor Consumers Forced To Pay Phantom (Never Produced) Electricity!

Online daily Die Welt here reports on how German consumers are being forced to pay huge sums of money to wind park and solar plant operators who are ordered to stop feeding electricity into the grid, but yet get paid anyway!

As volatile green electricity increasingly gets fed into an ever more unstable German power grid, wind parks and solar energy producers are being asked ever more frequently to switch off their plants to prevent grid overloads. Yet, they still receive money for the power they would have produced. It’s one of the nutty peculiarities of Germany’s wacky green energy feed-in act.

Die Welt calls this never-produced power “phantom electricity”. But it is costing consumers real cash.

One reason wind parks are unable to feed into the power grid at times is because the transmission lines needed to carry away the excess power are too inadequate to handle the frequent overloads, or they just don’t exist. Die Welt reports:

Because power lines are missing, wind parks have to be switched off more and more often. Yet wind entrepreneurs get paid for not producing. The costs for this are rising rapidly.”

Making money (and doing so with absolutely no risk) has never been easier!

Naturally this is causing electricity bills for German consumers to jump yet again. Die Welt reports that just the green electricity feed-in surcharge levied on consumers will reach “a record value of 6.35 cents per kilowatt-hour” next year. Now consumers will also have to pay even more money for power that never gets produced.

Already this year it is expected that a quarter billion euros will be added to electricity bills for the green kilowatt-hours which were never produced.”

This, Die Welt writes, is based on calculations by the Federal Network Agency (Bundesnetzagentur). The reason the estimated 1580 gigawatt-hours of electricity were never produced (but still paid for): “…because there was not enough powerline capacity to deliver the power to consumers.”

Consequently: green power producers and investors get off scot-free; consumers get the shaft.

The quarter-billion-euro amount is three times higher than the 82.6 million euros from a year earlier.
Die Welt reports that this warped market situation will only worsen in the future. As more volatile wind and solar energy come online, Germany tries to unload the excess power from it’s overloaded grid by dumping it into neighboring foreign markets such as in Poland or the Czech Republic, sometimes even at negative prices.

However these eastern neighbors are refusing to allow all the excess electricity to flood into their national grids unhindered. Die Welt reports: “Beginning next year Poland and the Czech Republic want to prevent German green power from coming into neighboring countries by employing power blockers at their borders, so-called phase shifters.”

So, on windy and sunny days, excess German green power will have no place to go, and thus this will necessitate the shutting down of even more wind parks and solar plants. That means the tab for the never-produced (phantom) electricity will continue it’s upward spiral. The result: even more money flooding up from the poor to the coffers of the rich.

No wonder the German model has become an export hit to countries with greedy green energy developers and investors! Making money has never been easier.

Die Welt summarizes:

Thus in the foreseeable future the German domestic power grid will be so massively loaded that there will be hardly any alternative to more frequent shutdowns of expensive wind and solar parks in Germany.”

That means more costs for consumers – for nothing in return.


So Far November Global Satellite / 2m Temperature Measurements Show No New Record Will Be Set!

Schneefan (snow fan) looks at the global temperature here.


After a globally warm October 2015 the unfalsified satellite data from UAH and RSS show that mid tropospheric temperature dropped significantly in the first 10 days of November: -0.5°K.

After reaching high levels in October the daily recorded global mean temperature at 7500 m for the year 2015 in the UAH chart has at times fallen below those the during the El Niño impacted years of 2014, 2010, 2009, 2005 and 2002 (click to enlarge):

Die Satellitenmessungen im Jahr 2015 (lilafarbene Linie) liefgen nach einem Höhenflug im Oktober in der ersten Novemberdekade am Ende (kleines weißes Quadrat) klar unter den Jahren 2014, 2009, 2010, 2009 und 2005.

The 2015 satellite measurements (lilac curve) at 7500 m altitude were at a high in October, yet during the first ten days of November (white box) temperature was clearly under the years 2014, 2010, 2009, 2005 and 2002: Source: AMSU-A Temperatures.

Also the daily recorded mean global 2m temperatures eased to +0,361°K after the October record value of +0.495°K deviation compared to the WMO climate mean, putting it so far only at 4th place for the month of November:

Die Analyse der globalen 2m-Temperaturen zeigt von 1. bis 10. November 2015 eine Abweichung von 0,361 K zum international üblichen modernen WMO-Klimamittel 1981-2010. Quelle:

Analysis of global 2m temperatures show that November 1-10, 2015 had a deviation of 0.361 K compared to the commonly used modern WMO 1981-2010 climate mean. Source:

While the ongoing powerful El Niño event that has been taking place since the summer of 2015 allows us to expect a further 5-month delayed global warming as seen in October, November so far is pointing to no record value with the satellite temperature measurements and with the 2m temperatures.

Of course we have to wait and see if it stays that way. See: ENSO Update: SOI-Tageswert erstmals seit zwei Monaten positiv – El Niño beginnt zu schwächeln… or here in English at NoTricksZone.


Bleeding To Death…Germany’s Largest Power Company E.ON Loses Whopping $7.8 Billion…Collapse Accelerates

E.on, Germany’s largest electric power producer, announced that it had lost over 7 billion euros in the 3rd quarter, reports Germany’s flagship news magazine Spiegel here.

The loss stems from the writing down of the value of coal and gas power generation assets by billions of euros due to the steep drop in wholesale electricity prices. The write-offs were necessary in light of the dismal future the fossil industry faces. Plainly said: Germany’s Energiewende, transition to renewable energies, which mandates power companies buy up solar, wind and other green energies at exorbitant prices, and even when they are not needed, continues to rapidly erode the German base-power production.

Tens of thousands of once high-paying industrial jobs are now in serious jeopardy.

“Squeezed out” by massively subsidized green energy

With mandated green energies, the European power market is seeing a huge oversupply of power on the market that has wholesale prices far too low to cover generation costs.

Spiegel writes:

The company’s gas and coal power plants are hardly earning money due to the plummeted power exchange prices. Through the [massively subsidized] green energies, the conventional power plants are being squeezed out of the market throughout the branch. The price at the Leipzig EEX power exchange has halved over the past 4 years.”

Aren’t government subsidies and market meddling wonderful?

The hemorrhaging is far from over. Spiegel also reports that “E.on had a record 3.2 billion Euro loss in 2014“. Germany’s No. 2 power producer, RWE, is also reeling. Bloomberg here writes:

Germany’s shift to renewable energy is hurting utilities from EON to RWE AG as margins get squeezed at traditional coal and gas-fired plants because green power gets priority access to the grid. EON, the third-worst performer in Germany’s DAX stock index this year, is responding by spinning off its fossil-fuel plants into a separate company. RWE in 2013 had its first annual loss since 1949.”

Poor, working class getting hit hard

The tragedy of this mandated oversupply is that low wholesale prices, which at times are even negative, are not getting passed along to the consumers. Rather next year German consumers will see new record-high electricity prices. Already poor households are reeling and electricity is becoming a luxury for the affluent only.

The media reports that the Düsseldorf-based power producer will be spinning off its “entire power plant business” in the form of a new company called Uniper at the end of the year. It is reported that E.on itself will focus on “renewable energies and sales”.

It’s a real pity. Germany’s power companies used to be solid, high tech companies that delivered the most stable and efficient power in the world. Now they are literally being gutted alive before our very eyes. The country is setting itself up for some terrible times, and doing so fast.

Industrial base, social fabric in collpase

One could easily argue that Germany, under the leadership of Angela Merkel and her CDU government, is now witnessing an uncontrolled collapse as millions of refugees flood into the country, power prices spiral out of control, conventional power companies collapse, the industrial base moves abroad, and auto-giant VW faces a death by litigation and fanatic environmental standards. Expect volatile social conditions to spread soon unless sense returns.

El Niño Appears To Have Turned The Corner As Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) Jumps Upwards

I’m short on time today, and so I’m reposting the latest on current El Nino – by German skeptic site wobleibtdieerderwaermung here.

For the first time in over two months the Southern Oscillation Index SOI rose 4.6 points and thus points to a possible normalization of the atmospheric pressure relationship and thus an eastward tradewind over the equatorial Pacific.

This indicates a development I mentioned a few days ago: El Niño Update November 2015: Peak Already Reached?

…The index for the difference of the surface atmospheric pressure between Darwin (Australia) and Tahiti (island located at the Pacific equator) in October 2015 was -21.3 (previous month -16.7) as a 30-day moving SOI, i.e. clearly well into El Niño range of below -7.

The SOI is considered to be the two-month lead indicator for the development of the easterly trade winds at the equatorial Pacific and thus for future ENSO development.

At the end of October 2015 the SOI was clearly up after two low points in August:

Laufender 30-Tage-SOI der australischen Wetterbehörde BOM mit steilem Abfall im Juni 2015 nach einem (dem?) Tiefpunkt Mitte August und nun wieder Anfang Oktober. Quelle:

Moving 30-day SOI from the Australian Weather Office BOM, end October 2015, with a steep drop in June 2015 and a low point in August and a jump upwards in October. Has the SOI reached its low point…? Source:

Only should this development continue can a weakening of the positive ENSO conditions be expected as a consequence…”

This development indeed is continuing for the time being as the latest SOI chart shows a steep climb in the still very negative values in November 2015:

 During the past two weeks the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) has remained strongly negative, but has risen toward more moderate-strong values compared to two weeks ago. The 30-day SOI value to 8 November was −15.6. Sustained positive values of the SOI above +7 typically indicate La Niña, while sustained negative values below −7 typically indicate El Niño. Values of between about +7 and −7 generally indicate neutral conditions. Quelle:

During the past two weeks the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) has remained strongly negative, but has risen toward more moderate-strong values compared to two weeks ago. The 30-day SOI value to 8 November was −15.6.Sustained positive values of the SOI above +7 typically indicate La Niña, while sustained negative values below −7 typically indicate El Niño. Values of between about +7 and −7 generally indicate neutral conditions. Source:

On 10 November the value of the 30-day moving SOI is -13.96, and thus has risen even further. Latest Southern Oscillation Index values (Long Paddock)

The El Niño range is departed when the value of -0.8 is exceeded.

German Government Promotes Nutritional Guidelines …That Protect Climate (And Not Human Health)!

If you need more proof that climate change has taken on cult-like dimensions, then look no further than Germany’s Federal Ministry of Environment (BMU), which delivers it in hardcopy in the form of a cookbook for climate-friendly eating.

Now people should eat in a way that makes the climate healthy and weather better – forget what is really healthy for our bodies! Many experts say the two are not the same.

Despite the latest nutritional studies showing the vast benefits of a diet rich in animal fat, the German BMU (which has no expertise on matters concerning human nutrition) is taking it upon itself to advise people to switch to a potentially ruinous fad diet with the highly dubious claim that it will positively impact the climate and weather in our favor.

Human dietary habits worse than auto, air traffic!

The BMU site writes:

Cooking for climate protection. Very simple and very necessary. The atmosphere is heating up from our dietary habits more than it is from automobile or air traffic. The best ingredients for culinary climate protection are: local organic food, less meat and dairy products – and seasonal fruits and vegetables instead of imported finished products. How this can be done in a tasty way is illustrated by the book with its 55 recipes and many vegetarian and vegan variants. There are also lots of information explaining how we impact the climate with our nutrition, and tips on sustainable grocery shopping. Cook and enjoy.”

Let’s be honest here. Some points have merit, like eating more vegetables, and less highly processed foods. However as mentioned above, recent- cleanly executed scientific studies are showing that meats and animal-based fats, like cheese and butter, are necessary for the healthy development of the human body, and have in fact been the cornerstone of the human diet for some 3 million years. The dietary advice now being promoted by the German BMU is a recipe for mal-nutrition and poorer health.

The timing of the WHO organization recently released report claiming processed meats are cancer-causing and putting them in the same category as tobacco and asbestos should not be wonder. The WHO report was immediately slammed and dismissed from all sides. The aim is to get humans to away from meat, and to switch to insects wit the hope of appeasing the climate gods.

Another interesting aspect is that the promotion of nutritional guidelines and dietary fads (this one put together by a gaggle of activists, no less), is not the responsibility of the Ministry of Environment, but rather instead that of the Germany Ministry Of Agriculture and Nutrition. The BMU is way out of bounds here.

Unfortunately, as is the case with United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) the German Ministry Of Agriculture and Nutrition guidelines are outdated by decades as well, and are still promoting the notoriously dangerous high-carb, low-fat diet and continues to villianize foods like butter and eggs.

This is all cult gone amok.


Northern Hemisphere Fall Ice/Snow Cover Explodes…9 Million Sq Km More Than In Hansen’s 1988

German climate website wobleibtdieerderwaermung here writes a post showing that the poles are not aware of global warming. The once high hyped canary-in-the-coal mine Arctic is just not getting much attention this year from the alarmists this year – because it is doing the very opposite of what they predicted!

The German skeptic site writes (translated/edited by P Gosselin):

With an ice extent of 8 million square kilometers at the start of November, the Arctic has reached the highest sea ice extent of the last eleven years. A chart from the Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI) clearly shows the highest extent for sea ice cover with 30% or more ice on 7 November 2015:

(Click to enlarge)

Die DMI-Grafik der Meereisflächen mit mindestens 30% Eisanteil sind am 7. November 2015 deutlich gößet als in den zehn Jahren bis 2005 davor. Quelle:
The DMI chart for sea ice extent (30% and more) shows that it is now (7 November 2015 – black line) considerably more than at any time for the date over the past 11 years. Source:

This chart comes as no surprise for those who have been monitoring the weather and ice developments in the North Atlantic and Greenland.

You’ll find the latest on this at: Global Warming” Reality Check October 2015 – global cooling since 1998 continues: RSS 0.44

“…The net growth of the Greenland ice sheet, which surely is a surprise for many, saw an increase in October of approximately 200 km³ (200 billion cubic meters) since September 1, 2015, i.e. in just 2 months:

Die Massebilanz (Brutto) des Grönlandeises ist vom 1, Septzember bis Anfang November 2015 um rund 200 km³ (Kubikkilometer) oder 200 Milliarden Kubikmeter gewachsen. (blaue Linie in der unteren Grafik). Quelle: wie vor
The gross mass balance of Greenland’s ice shows a growth of 20o cubic kilometers just since September 1 2015 (blue line in the lower chart). The brown line in the lower chart ends on the right side at 31 August 2015 and shows a gross ice mass growth of approximately 230 km³. Source: same as above

Also take a look at the: Surprising NASA study: The Antarctic ice sheet is growing! IPCC 2013 report is wrong!

Moreover snow coverage of the northern hemisphere is telling us the same story. In October 2015, at 21.4 million square kilometers, it was the fourth greatest extent since measurements began in 1967, and is 4 million km² above the international WMO 1981-2010 mean:

Die Schneeflächen der NH sind im Oktober 2015 rund vier Millionen km² (Quadratkilometer) gößer als im international üblichen modernen WMO-Klimamittel 1981-2010. Quelle:
Northern hemisphere snow and ice coverage in Octoaber 2015 is close to 4 million square kilometers above the WMO 1981-2010 mean, placing it at no. 4 since recordkeeping began in 1967. DieThe chart shows an increase in October northern hemisphere snow coverage of close to 9 million square kilometers. Source:”