Europe's Green Energy Plans Stall As Leading Companies Reduce Expansion Plans

Europe’s Green Energy Plans Stall As Leading Companies Reduce Expansion Plans

Green energies in turmoil…projects being postponed, scaled back…

Europe’s largest green energy producer drastically reduces expansion plans for wind and solar energy

Europe’s green energy projects are in the doldrums. Photo: P. Gosselin

Europe’s leading green energy producer, Statkraft, is drastically scaling back its plans for new wind and solar power plants – due to falling electricity prices and rising costs, so reports Germany’s online Blackout News, a leading site for independent German energy news.

According to company CEO, Birgitte Vartdal, market conditions have become more difficult as the company’s ambitious targets for wind energy and solar power are now being called into question.

The new Statkraft target is two to two and a half GW instead of an originally planned 4 gigawatts annually.

“In the offshore wind energy sector, the Group is now planning a total output of six to eight GW. The original target was ten GW,” Blackout News adds.

The scaleback follows other Europeans countries’ plans to reduce expansion, including Danish energy company Orsted, which “has lowered its targets by more than ten GW” and has also “canceled two offshore wind projects in the USA and reported impairments amounting to 28.4 billion Danish kroner (approx. 3.8 billion euros).”

Portugal’s largest energy supplier, Energias de Portugal (EDP), has also reduced its investment plans – due to the “deterioration in market conditions.” Moreover, French energy supplier Engie earlier had postponed developing hydrogen projects.

Leading officials blame projects having become “much more challenging” and offering “no relative returns.”

As a result, solar and wind equipment manufacturers have seen their values plummeting and ESG equity funds have “recently suffered outflows of 38 billion dollars,” reports Blackout News.

Blackout News is operated by an independent and non-partisan small group of engineers with experience in energy management.





New Study: 1979-2013 Southern Ocean And Southeast Pacific Cooling Driven By…Warming?

Scientists attempt to explain why approximately one-third of the global ocean’s sea surface temperatures cooled since the late 1970s.

The 50-70°S Southern Ocean and 160°W to 80°W southeastern Pacific cooled by about -0.35°C (-0.117°C per decade) from 1979-2013 (Yao et al., 2024). (The cooling also continued to 2019, but the authors chose to use 2013 as their end point.)

In the paper the scientists expend a great deal of effort to “argue” that warming in the North Atlantic forced 35+ years of cooling from 50 to 70°S and 160°W to 80°W.

“We argue that North Atlantic warming is decisive for driving the observed multidecadal SST cooling of the southeastern Pacific sector.”

However, they simultaneously acknowledge both (a) internal variability and (b) increases in cloud cover leading to reductions in downwelling shortwave radiation can explain the cooling in this region. These would appear to be much more plausible explanations for multi-decadal cooling than the warming-forces-cooling mechanism they propose.

Image Source: Yao et al., 2024

DWD Data Show June 2024 German Weather Was Close To Normal

No (predicted) “hellish summer” in sight. June saw near normal temperature, a bit wetter

Germany’s DWD national weather service just issued the preliminary weather results for the month of June (2024).

June in the Central European region was highly variable with periods of both cool and summery weather. The final phase of June saw the sunniest and warmest days of the year so far.

0.4°C Warmer than the mean

The preliminary results of the country’s approximately 2,000 measuring stations, the June mean temperature was 16.8°C, making the month 0.4°C warmer than the reference period 1991 to 2020. The beginning of the month saw cold, single-digit lows. On June 12th, a minimum of 1.4 °C was recorded in Meßstetten. However, late in the month temüperatures rose to summerlike levels for several days.

20% Wetter

In terms of precipitation, June was wetter than normal. a mean of around 91 liters per square meter (l/m²) fell, making the month 20% wetter than normal compared to 1991 to 2020 reference period (76 l/m²). The month began with heavy rainfall and severe flooding in parts of Baden-Württemberg and Bavaria.

June precipitation, 2023. Source: DWD.

On June 3rd alone, 137 l/m² fell in Raubling-Pfraundorf, Upper Bavaria.

The highest monthly amounts of over 250 l/m² were recorded along the Alps. Heavy rainstorms and, in some areas, supercells with large hailstorms raged across the country. June remained drier in some Eastern regions, especially in northern Brandenburg which saw less than 20 l/m².

Normal Sunshine Hours

Germany also so saw a mean of 210 hours of sunshine in June, thus slightly less than the 1991-2020 mean of 216 hours. The northeast and east saw over 250 hours while the Black Forest and the Alps reported the lowest values, with around 150 hours.





German Professor Shows That The Road To Green Hydrogen Is Long, Expensive

The long road to green hydrogen

An article on NDR German public broadcasting clearly conveys the dimensions of hydrogen. It reports on a planned factory for green hydrogen in Neumünster.

A hydrogen factory with an output of 50 megawatts corresponds to the output of ten wind turbines, which means that the output of ten wind turbines can be stored. A hydrogen factory of this size could produce 3,000 tons of green hydrogen with an energy content of 100 gigawatt hours, says Prof. Oliver Opel from the West Coast University of Applied Sciences (FHW) in Heide. If the green hydrogen were burned, it could be used to heat 5,000 single-family homes per year. And the waste heat could be used to heat a further 2,500 houses, according to Opel. If electricity is made from the green hydrogen again and heat pumps are used, 7,500 single-family homes could be heated, as well as another 7,500 homes with the waste heat.”

To put this into perspective: Schleswig-Holstein has around 650,000 single-family homes, 80,000 two-family homes and 95,000 multi-family homes.  It is in any case no surprise that high German electricity prices are an obstacle.

Prof. Oliver Opel heads the Institute for the Transformation of the Energy System, ITE, at the West Coast University of Applied Sciences in Heide. He says that the construction and operation of electrolysis plants are still too expensive. One crucial aspect is the high price of electricity. Opel explains: ‘In other European countries, the electricity price is much better. One option could be a division according to geographically different electricity price zones, as already exists in other countries.’

Opel also points to another problem: ‘The purchase prices for electrolysis systems have continued to rise, as they are nowhere near mass production.'”

The question of what the hydrogen and the electricity generated in this way will ultimately cost remains unanswered in the article. In any case, the country’s plans are ambitious. It would be a factor of 30 of the first project.

Schleswig-Holstein wants to achieve an electrolysis capacity of 1.5 gigawatts (1,500 megawatts) by 2030, according to the state government’s updated hydrogen strategy. The federal government has also set itself a target. By 2030, the government wants to achieve an electrolysis capacity of 10 gigawatts (10,000 megawatts) to cover the demand of 95 to 130 terawatt hours of electricity per year.

And according to the energy expert at the West Coast University of Applied Sciences, Oliver Opel, this is a real challenge, precisely because of the current poor framework conditions.”

So the road is not only long, but also expensive.





People Living Near Wind Turbines Vacate Their Homes Due To Harm To Pets, Livestock, Water Supply

A new study documents the detrimental effects linked to living in close proximity to wind turbines.

Living within 10 km of a wind turbine may be associated with serious consequences to the health and safety of people and animals.

Examples include:

limb deformities in horses

• birth defects (born with missing eyes and tails) in cattle, chickens born with crossed beaks

• 264% higher cortisol (stress) levels in forest animals

• enhanced aggression and erratic behavior in pets and livestock (such as kicking newborn calves)

• higher rates of cancer

• stillbirths and miscarriages, fertility declines, prolapsed birthing

• contaminated, gray water wells with 14,000 times higher levels of black shale

Image Source: Krogh et al., 2024

Expert’s Prediction Of “Summer of Hell” For Central Europe Hasn’t Materialized Yet

Summer-of-Hell Check

By

We are almost 1/3 of the way through the meteorological summer. Time to remember the prediction made by suspect biologist Marc Benecke in spring 2024. He had predicted “a summer of hell with almost complete certainty”. We reported. As early as March 2024, some meteorologists raised concerns about this forecast.

Shortly after Benecke gave his lecture, Kachelmannwetter created a video explaining the weather conditions needed for a warm or even hot summer. This is done very calmly and the video is correspondingly cautious with forecasts. However, it is well explained that summers in our latitudes have been getting warmer for years. Germany is indeed in for a warm week, but this could end at the weekend if a cold front pushes through from the north-west.

It is not possible to reliably predict how July and August will turn out. According to Wetterkontor, June 2024 has so far been slightly too cold in Germany compared to the statistical average.

(Image: Screenshot Wetterkonto.de)





Scientists Admit Cloud Radiative Properties Are 3D But Studies ‘Ignore’ This And Use 1D Simulation Data

Modeling the main factors driving climate is riddled with and precluded by observational error. Some scientists now acknowledge this.

Clouds are a main factor – even the “most important factor” – controlling changes in the Earth’s radiation budget, or climate (Sfîcă et al., 2021, Lenaerts et al., 2020).

Image Source: Sfîcă et al., 2021 and Lenaerts et al., 2020

But as scientists acknowledge in a new study (Ademakinwa et al., 2024), substantial errors in calculating cloud effects on climate are inevitable because three-dimensional (3D, vertical and horizontal) cloud affects are reality, and current calculations only consider one-dimensional cloud properties (1D, vertical).

“Failed retrievals” in radiative property simulations of cloud effects occur over 40% of the time. This leads to biases, errors amounting to ±36 W/m².

Considering this error margin of 72 W/m² is 360 times larger than the total forcing from CO2 over the span of 10 years (0.2 W/m²) for an imaginary clear-sky-only (cloudless) Earth (Feldman et al., 2015), it is not possible to detect the real-world effect of CO2 forcing in any radiative transfer calculation.

Summary:

“Since clouds in reality have three-dimensional (3D) structures, the simulation of radiative transfer (RT) in clouds should ideally consider the transport of radiation in both vertical and horizontal directions (referred to as ‘3D RT’).”

However, “operational bispectral cloud retrievals are almost exclusively based on the one-dimensional (1D) RT theory that considers only the vertical and ignores the net horizontal transport of radiation.”

Consequently, “the radiative properties of clouds under 3D RT are substantially different from those under 1D RT.”

Image Source: Ademakinwa et al., 2024

Claims Of Revolutionary Batteries Turn Out To Be Unfounded Hype By “Uncritical Media”

Claimed revolutions in battery technology are somewhat symptomatic of how the media work and fail.

Japanese company TDK reports progress in battery technology. The company’s new batteries are said to have an enormous energy density, said to increase by an incredible factor of 100. That would indeed be a sensation; a cell phone would only need to be recharged three times a year. E-cars could cover very long distances. The FAZ (paid article) immediately jumped on this news.

Japanese Apple supplier TDK promises significantly longer battery life for small devices such as headphones, smartwatches and hearing aids thanks to a new battery technology it has developed. The solid-state batteries, for which the company has now announced a technological breakthrough, enable an energy density 100 times higher than the current solid-state batteries from TDK. “We believe that our newly developed material for solid-state batteries can make a significant contribution to the energy transition,” said TDK CEO Noboru Saito.”

No miracle

Apparently the figures were never checked for plausibility. This progress seemed strange to Golem and they searched the original report. The miracle was not a miracle, but even less than batteries from other manufacturers can already achieve.

According to the press release, Cera Charge achieves an energy density of 1,000 Wh/l, which is comparable to other batteries that have been presented with this technology in recent years. Meanwhile, the peak values of Chinese battery technology are around 1,600 Wh/l, not only in research laboratories but also at industrial battery manufacturers, so the claimed hundredfold increase in energy density could not have taken place, at least not in comparison to conventional battery technology. Nevertheless, media such as the FAZ, Handelsblatt and the Association of German Engineers, as well as many others, are uncritically reporting an implausible breakthrough of a mega-material in battery technology.”





Reminder: Historical Natural Warming Rates Dwarf Modern Climate Change

Greenland has not warmed (net) in the last 90 years.

From 80,000 to 20,000 years ago Greenland warmed by 10-15 Kelvin within a span of “a few decades” 24 times (Kypke and Ditlevsen 2024).

These abrupt warming periods occurred without concomitant CO2 concentration changes. And, of course, without human interference.

Image Source: Kypke and Ditlevsen 2024

In contrast, Greenland has not warmed (net) since the 1930s, or since CO2 levels rose from 310 ppm to 425 ppm (Mikkelsen et al., 2018).

Image Source: Mikkelsen et al., 2018

And Greenland warming is “not evident during the last two decades” either (Matsumura et al., 2021).

Image Source: Matsumura et al., 2021

Climate Alarmists Fretting Over European Cup 2024, Summer Festival Emissions

490,000 tonnes of CO2

It’s the European Cup soccer championships and fans across the continent and beyond are celebrating the event. But there are some party-poopers out there who worry about the impact on the climate. 

By Klimanachrichten

Soccer fans should have a guilty conscience. The mdr public broadcasting here calculates what environmental idiots the fans are. What a contrast to the 2006 World Cup!

Nevertheless, the major event is likely to be anything but sustainable: 490,000 tons of CO2 equivalent, i.e. the annual emissions of a city like Weimar, was calculated in advance by the Ökoinstitut (institute for Ecology) in a feasibility study commissioned by the German government.

There is still room for improvement through climate-friendly measures. However, the biggest factor in this climate balance is the one that can be controlled the least.

Traffic is once again the culprit.

Traffic accounts for around 350,000 tons. That is more than two thirds of the previously calculated carbon footprint. And international fans are the biggest offenders. Their arrival and departure accounts for almost three quarters of the entire balance for this very transport sector. This is despite the fact that they only make up 32% of total visitors in the study. This is in line with the figures from the first ticket sales phase (where they accounted for 35 percent of ticket applications).”

According to the Mission Climate podcast, visitors to music festivals should also feel guilty. They mainly take place in summer and are hardly surprised that the organizers actually take the number of electrical devices a band uses into account when planning.

But help is at hand. If the solar panels that supply the electricity at a festival in Hamburg don’t deliver anything, which happens regularly from sunset, there is electricity from green hydrogen. That’s a small foretaste of what’s to come – one kilowatt hour costs a whopping 3 euros. But it gets even better, even bicycles are used to generate electricity. Maybe that’s enough for a coffee machine?





Central Italy Was 3-4°C Warmer Than Today About 10,000 to 12,000 Years Ago

In a new study, scientists use the new “ostracod-clumped isotope thermometer” to reconstruct a much warmer Late Pleistocene/Early Holocene Mediterranean climate.

Today’s average summer and winter temperatures are 22°C (21.4°C) and 8°C, respectively, at Central Italy’s Lake Trasimeno.

Around 11,000-12,000 years ago, when CO2 hovered in the 220-230 ppm range, summer temperatures averaged 25°C, sometimes rising to 27°C. This is at least 3°C warmer than today.

As CO2 concentrations rose into the Early Holocene (9,000 to 10,000 years ago), the ostacod-clumped isotope thermometer indicates summer temperatures at this location dipped to 23°C (22.5 to 23.2°C).

During this same period winter temperatures averaged 12°C (11.8°C), which is “4°C warmer than today.”

Image Source: Marchegiano et al., 2024

Germany May Sales Of Electric Cars Plummet 30.6% Compared To Year Earlier

Back to fossil fuels!

The figures for the registration of new electric cars in Germany are looking increasingly awful. In May 2024, the Federal Motor Transport Authority (KBA) reported that it had registered only 29,708 vehicles with electric motors.

May e-car sales in Germany plummet more than 30% compared to a year earlier. AI image Chat GPT. 

That is 30.6% down on the result for the same month last year.

CO2 emissions of new German cars also rose 3.3%…indicating the green transition has stalled and is reversing.

Hat-tip: Blackout News

The KBA also adds that 89,498 passenger cars were equipped with a gasoline engine – an increase of 2.1 percent compared to the same month last year.

44,893 new cars were diesel-powered, an increase of 3.2 percent compared to the same month last year.

71,451 new cars had a hybrid drive in May 2024, accounting for a share of 30.2% (-0.3%), including 14,038 plug-in hybrids (+1.7%/5.9%).

According to the KBA, the average CO2 emissions of new passenger car registrations rose by +3.3% and amounted to 124.0 g/km.





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