Climate Change Blamed For Lake Victoria Record High Levels (After Being Blamed For Low Levels)!

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Science absurdity…

“Climate experts” blame climate change for Lake Victoria record high levels, after blaming climate change for the low levels in 2006. 

Today we look at one particular segment of Dr. Sebastian Lüning’s highly interesting, newly released climate change news show Klimaschau (Climate View).

Very low level in 2006

In it he examines Lake Victoria in Africa.

Some years ago, in 2006-2007, Lake Victoria in Africa reached near record low levels. The culprit of course, according to the world’s leading “experts”, was climate change due to manmade CO2 emissions. For example, Global Nature Fund Director Udo Gattenlöhner warned (translated from the German):

We are seeing the first effects of climate change on Lake Victoria and other lakes around the world. Without a rapid reduction in greenhouse gases by the industrial countries, the basis for life for millions of people is threatened.”

Austrian national daily Der Standard warned that the African lake was “drying out” in an article titled: “When a lake disappears”.

Today: “historic high level”

But then last summer, after months of rains, it was reported by EOS that Lake Victoria levels had since reached a “historic” high level:

Lake Victoria water level changes from 1950 to 2014.

In his video, the German geologist says that the cause of the high level was the positive phase of the Indian Ocean Dipole, which lead to a doubling of the rainfall in the region.

Lake Victoria in fact recorded its lowest level in the early 1920s, bac when atmospheric CO2 was at levels near 300 ppm.

Climate change also blamed for high lake level

So why has Lake Victoria reached record high levels and flooded homes and hotels? According to Lüning, the “experts”, like Dr. Ramond Omollo, are again blaming (you guessed it!) climate change.

Lüning summarizes the science behind Lake Victoria:

No matter if it’s high or low, manmade climate change will be blamed for all the water level changes in Lake Victoria. But serious scientists remind that the natural fluctuations need to be taken into account in order to avoid contradictory conclusions in the future.”

All images cropped from Klimaschau, Ausgabe 3




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Huge Database Of Studies Documenting Meters-Higher Mid-Holocene Sea Levels Swells Again In 2020

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In 2020, scientists continued to publish papers affirming global sea levels are today about 2 meters lower than they were a few thousand years ago.

During the last interglacial (~116 to 128 thousand years ago), when CO2 peaked at just 280 ppm but surface temperatures were so much warmer that much less water was locked up on land as ice, sea levels were “at least ~7 m to ~9 m above present” and they “could have been as high as 11-13 m above present” at some locations (Muh et al., 2020).

“Corals with closed-system histories collected from patch reefs on NPI have ages of 128-118 ka and ooids/peloids from beach ridges have closed-system ages of 128-116 ka. Elevations of patch reefs indicate a LIG paleo-sea level of at least 7 m to 9 m above present. Beach ridge sediments indicate paleo-sea levels of ∼5 m to ∼14 m (assuming subsidence, 7 m to 16 m) above present during the LIG. …. Results of this study show that at the end of the LIG paleo-sea levels could have been as high as 11-13 m above present (at localities close to North American ice sheets) to as little as 5-8 m above present (at localities distant from North American ice sheets).”

During the Mid-Holocene sea surface temperatures were also considerably warmer despite CO2 levels only reaching ~265 ppm. Yet at that time sea levels were about 2 or more meters higher than they are today according to an ever-accumulating body of paleo-evidence.

Since 2019, over 40 new studies have been added to the NoTricksZone sea level database:

Holocene Sea Levels 2+ Meters Higher

Below is a sampling from this past year’s additions.

Bhattacharya, 2020  Western India, +2 m higher than present

“The Mid-Holocene SL [sea level] that is radiocarbon dated to 7.3 cal yr BP and 5.1 cal BP was ~2 m higher than the present sea level.”

Toniolo et al., 2020  Brazil, +2.9 m higher than present

“In South Brazil, vermetids indicate sea level fall of 2.9 m during the last 4.0 ka. …  [T]he last 4.0 cal ka BP, with maximum elevation of + 2.9 m around 4.0 cal ka BP (oldest sample), minimum of + 0.5 m at 0.9 cal ka BP (youngest sample) and average sea level falling velocity of 6.6 cm per century. … The RSL variation curve of São Francisco do Sul (SC) shows smooth fall trend from 2.9 ± 0.5 m at 4.0 cal ka BP until the modern sea level (zero), which is in accordance with the paleo-sea level data obtained from vermetids and compiled by Angulo et al. (2006) for the Brazilian coastal region between 3°S and 28°S (Fig. 6).”

Tanabe, 2020  Japan, +2-3 m higher than present (rate: 40-70 mm/yr)

“During 7-4 ka, the sea level was 2-3 m higher than the present level, and at 3 ka, it fell to -2 m TP. After 2 ka, the sea level stood at the present level. … The following durations, vertical displacements, and rates of sea-level rise have been inferred for MWP1D: 7.6-7.5 ka, 6 m, and 60 mm/yr in the Caribbean Sea (Blanchon et al., 2002) … The rates of three sea-level jumps in Tokyo Bay were >40-70 mm/yr for TB1, >20-50 mm/yr for TB2, and >20-30 mm/yr for TB3.”

Damien et al., 2020  Arabian Gulf, +2.5 m higher than present

“These different trends can be explained by different local conditions. Recent work carried out in northeastern Kuwait estimated a +3.5 m asl [higher than present] highstand (~ 5000–3500 cal. years BP) from beach ridges studied (Reinink-Smith 2015). This highstand is about 2 to 2.5 m higher than the previous maximum identified in the area (Gunatilaka 1986). This new result seems more in line with our data, pushing back the Holocene highstand dating. … [L]andforms associated with this highstand [about 6000 years ago] are today located between 1 and 3 m above the current sea-level.”

King et al., 2020  New Zealand, +2.65 m above present

Regional tectonics dominate the relative sea-level signature across much of New Zealand, and trends of uplift and subsidence can vary significantly depending on the timescale of analysis. … Clement et al. (2016) addressed the problem of regional variations in relative sea-level history by integrating a broad selection of mostly published preexisting local sea-level proxy data to generate a series of relative sea-level curves for different parts of New Zealand. … In their study, a highstand in the northernmost North Island was identified from 8.1–7.3 ka BP (0.6–1.4 kyr prior to Gibb (1986) in agreement with Australian records (e.g. Horton et al. 2007; Lewis et al. 2013)), reaching 2.65 m above present mean sea level, before falling to present values between 7.8 and 6.4 ka.”

Areias et al., 2020  Brazil, +4 m higher than present

“At 3700 cal. years BP the RSL was localized at around +4 m above the present sea level, representing the Holocene eustatic maximum for the Rio de Janeiro coast. Estimated SST obtained from the stable isotopes of the aragonitic vermetids was ~20 °C. At ~3300 cal. years BP during the RSL fall the SST reached its upper-Holocene maximum temperature of ~22 °C. At ~2000 cal. years BP, the RSL was +2 m and an intensification of the upwelling events brought about lower SST (~17 °C) in the intertidal/supratidal settings than offshore. … The following period (from ~1900 to ~1300 cal. years BP), characterized by a continuous sea-level fall, recorded a SST of ~20.5 °C, higher than before. …  These data show that in the southeastern Brazilian coast the RSL passed from ~ + 4 m at around 3700 cal. years BP to ~ + 1.30 m at 1300 cal. years BP (e.g., Spotorno-Oliveira et al., 2016).”

Martins et al., 2020  SE Brazil, +2.4 m above present

“In Armação dos Búzios city, north of Rio de Janeiro State (SE Brazil), Jesus et al. (2017) recognized recently the following evolutionary stages of sea level during the Holocene: a sea-level lower than the current between 8148 and 6300 cal yr BP; a rise in sea level between 6300 and 4500 cal yr BP; a transgressive maximum of about 2.4 m above the present level at 4700–4500 cal yr BP; a sea-level drop from 4500 cal yr BP until the present.”

Parker et al., 2020  East Saudi Arabia, +2.8 – 3.75 m higher than present

“The sediments record rapid transgression during the early Holocene with a mid-Holocene high-stand immediately prior to 6880-6560 cal. BP when the upper limit for the palaeo Mean Highest High tide water (MHHW) was 2.8-3.10 m above present day mean sea level. Transgression continued until shortly after 5575-5310 cal. BP with an upper limit to the palaeo-MHHW of 3.75 m above present sea levels.”

Amato et al., 2020  Italy, current coast still underwater just 300 years ago (0.3 ka)

“During MIS5‐2 shallow marine‐coastal environments turned into fluvial‐marshy environments in response to the last glacial sea‐level fall. At the beginning of the Holocene, rapid sealevel rise caused a marine transgression that carved a steep cliff >300 m inland (Figure 9a). The MFS, dated at ca. 7.0 ka, was followed by the establishment of an open natural coastal environment that persisted until Roman age. The small sheltered bay of the Fusandola S. paleomouth may have hosted the Roman harbor (Figure 9b). … In 1260 CE, a new harbor with a long quay existed, probably that built by Manfredi di Svevia (Figure 9c). Our chronological and geochemical data evidence the construction of a later new harbor during the 17th–18th centuries, providing independent support to the iconographic evidence from 17th to 18th century CE maps (Figure 9d). During the last century, the harbor structures were covered once again. The latest phase of coastal restoration took place in 2016 CE (Figure 9e).”




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Number Of Global Wild Fires Trending Down Since 2003. Northern Ocean Heat Content Drops Since 2010

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Dr. Sebastian Lüning recently started his own weekly YouTube videos on climate news in German: Klimaschau.

Global wild fires on the decline 

In his latest video the veteran geologist looks at wild fires worldwide and the CO2 they emit. He reports that both have been decreasing.

Citing the results of the European Copernicus satellite atmosphere monitoring service (CAMS), total wildfires globally have fallen steadily, along with their corresponding CO2 emissions:

The European agency credits better forest management and prevention practices.

According to Lüning: “The encouraging global trend to steadily less wild fires contradicts the increasingly alarmist media reporting on individual wildfire catastrophes.”

Northern Ocean Heat Content falls

Also later in his Klimaschau, citing data recorded from the University of California in San Diego measurement buoys, Lüning reports the northern ocean (55°N to 65°N) heat content has fallen.

The data stem from 4000 ARGO buoys, 0 – 1900 meters depth. The cooling was focused in the North Atlantic. Lüning points out, however, that the overall measured heat content worldwide has risen.

Impact on Arctic sea ice? 

Though Lüning does not go into what impact this could have on Arctic sea ice, it will certainly contribute to slowing down, if not arresting or even reversing, sea melt in the Arctic.




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Sayonara To Warming: Tokyo, Hachijō-jima Mean Annual Temperatures Continue COOLING Trend

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Tokyo and its Pacific Hachijojima island have not seen warming in decades.

By Kirye, and Pierre

Many urban areas, experts argue, have seen their mean annual temperatures rise due to the growing urban sprawl of concrete, asphalt and steel, and not so much because of greenhouse gases.

This affect is the so-called urban heat island affect (UHI).

But even with this phenomenon, some places still did not manage to warm up – like Tokyo, Japan, for example.

Here we plot the December mean temperatures for the Japanese megalopolis since 1976, using the unaltered data from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA)!

Data source: JMA.

Surprising to global warming alarmists, we see that the start of winter in Japan has been cooling the last 44 years.

But not to be accused of cherry-picking, we look at the mean annual temperatures for Tokyo more than a quarter century:

Data source: JMA.

The mean annual temperature in Tokyo has been falling a bit since the release of the 2nd IPCC climate warming report in 1995! If we factored in the UHI affect, the trend would likely be even cooler.

Hachijō-jima island

Even more interesting is looking at the temperature trends for the Tokyo island of Hachijō-jima, located in the Philippine Sea some 287 kilometers south of Tokyo, thus far away from all the urban sprawl and heat island affects.

First we examine the JMA plotted mean December temperature data since 1923:

Data source: JMA.

As the chart above depicts nothing has fundamentally changed over the past century. Climate change? Not here!

No trend!

Next we look at the mean annual (NASA GISS unaltered) temperature for Hachijō-jima since 1950:

 

Data source: JMA.

The mean annual temperature of Hachijō-jima has not really changed in 70 years. No warming.

So we have to wonder why much of the Japanese media and others keep talking about climate change and warming in Tokyo when it hasn’t even happened. It’s false science and media communication to the public, who deserve better.




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AGW Skeptic Marc Morano Receives DEATH THREAT From Sorbonne University Professor’s Email Address

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NOTE: The term e-mail “account” has been changed to email “address”, as some readers have pointed out the two are not the same. 

================================================

“Even in the USA, we have friends waiting to massacre you”… “a killer will always be very close”

Two days ago, December 30th, anthropogenic global warming (AGW) science skeptic Marc Morano received yet another email threat through the Contact form submission on his Climate Depot site.

Climate researcher Prof. Jean-Luc Melice’s email address as the source of a crude death threat aimed at prominent climate science skeptic, Marc Morano.

Professor at Sorbonne University

The death threat was made using an email address belonging to Prof. Jean-Luc Mélice, a distinguished climate modeling researcher and Director at the Pierre-Simon Laplace Institute, Sorbonne University in Paris, France.

It’s the latest in a series of threats aimed at Marc Morano of Climate Depot, see background here.

What follows is the content of the most recent email threat, translated to the English (Warning: disturbing language):

From: Anonymous
Email: jlmelice@hotmail.fr
Message: So, the little shit of Morano the Moron, the negroid from Africa, you have to start shitting in your pants. With your filthy monkey mouth. As soon as you set foot in Europe, we’ll demolish with a baseball bat. Even in the USA, we have friends waiting to massacre you. You have no place to hide anymore. We have your address and we follow you step by step. You will never be able to rest… a killer will always be very close

Of course asshole, you do not have the intellectual level and the brain to understand french, wich is once again the language of every educated person…”

Not only does the message contain graphic threats of death, but also racial hatred. According to Prof. Jean-Luc Mélice’s LinkedIn account, he is a faculty member of the University of Sorbonne.

No comment from Prof. Mélice

In an attempt to clear up the matter, NTZ  sent an email directly to Prof. Mélice to ask if he was aware that his email account was being illegally misused:

Dear Prof. Mélice,

Please check your email account because it is being used to send out improper emails and messages, especially to people who are looking at climate science critically. Perhaps a hacker has breached your account and is using it illegally.
Hope this helps you out and that you are well.
Best wishes for 2021,

Dipl.-Ing. Pierre Gosselin
https://notrickszone.com

So far no reply has been received. Meanwhile Marc Morano said he would be taking the threats seriously and would contact the authorities.

Unfriendly comment to NTZ

Earlier on the same day, December 30th, NoTricksZone.com also had received an unfriendly comment from someone claiming to be Prof. Mélice:

In English:

So Pierre Gosselin,

Are you trying to play intelligent?

I believe the only solution for you is to quickly enter an old folks’ home.

I’d love for you to send me your CV, which must be lousy…as well as your scientific publications.

Regards, Jean-Luc Mélice.

Cyber-crime

It’s not clear whether the crude threats aimed at Marc Morano are really coming from Prof. Mélice, or from a hacker. If they aren’t, Prof. Mélice has the minimum obligation of making sure his account does not get used to commit criminal acts and hopefully will notify the authorities to get this situation under control.

And hopefully the authorities will act and execute justice.

Disgrace

Taken altogether, such threats using the email account of a professor is a disgrace to the academic community and to Paris-based Sorbonne University.

And it would be an even bigger disgrace if the authorities failed to act.




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Alarmism Dies In The Great Barrier Reef As New Study Documents Reef Growth Since The 1970s

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A new study affirms coral reefs grow when seas are warm and rising. Growth “shuts off” during colder, falling sea level periods. Consequently, the Great Barrier Reef has experienced growth in the last 150 years – especially in recent decades.

During the Last Glacial Maximum (~30,000 to 15,000 years ago), when Great Barrier Reef (GBR) sea surface temperatures (SSTs) were sometimes 3-5°C colder and sea levels plummeted to 120 m lower than today, reefs experienced at least 5 “near death events” (Yokoyama et al., 2019).

Image Source: Yokoyama et al., 2019

As SSTs warmed and sea levels rose during the post-glacial period, GBR growth was “vigorous” (Humblet et al., 2019). The health of coral communities is significantly determined by sea level changes, with growth associated with rising sea levels and growth shut downs occurring as sea levels fall.

Image Source: Humblet et al., 2019

Coral reefs have thrived (“switch-on” phases) during warm periods with rising sea levels such as the Holocene Thermal Maximum, the Medieval Warm Period, and Current Warm Period (Yan et al., 2019). Growth dramatically ceases (“switch-off” phases) during cold periods like the Dark Ages Cold Period and Little Ice Age.

Image Source: Yan et al., 2019

A new GBR study (Leonard et al., 2020) suggests this region enjoyed “~1-2 °C warmer than present” temperatures and 0.7 to 1.0 m higher sea levels at multiple intervals during the last 7,000 years.

Coral growth occurs during warmer, rising sea level periods. Periods when coral growth “turned-off” are “associated with a rapid relative sea level fall” and colder SSTs (i.e., the Little Ice Age). Consequently, the GBR has experienced growth in the last 150 years – especially since the 1970s.

“It is notable that reef accretion at Middle Island appears to have increased in the past ~150 years, especially since the late 1970’s to early 1980’s, coincident with the onset of increasing SSTs on the GBR.”

Image Source: Leonard et al., 2020



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World Leading Engine Expert: Combustion Engine Remains The Future, “Hydrogen Will Be Nada”

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Also: lithium battery e-vehicles not practical, not affordable…future of e-mobility still “wishful thinking”. 

In a very recent interview, Germany/Austria’s top automobile engine expert Prof. Dr. Fritz Indra says hydrogen fuel cars will amount to “nada” because of the high inefficiency and costs. The same applies to e-vehicles.

No to government engineering

The Austrian engineer also says German and European policymakers are making a big mistake by prescribing to the industry what drive technology to use. “They can give us the targets, but they have to leave it up to engineers to find out how to best reach the targets, and to build a car that is affordable to the buyer.”

Electric battery cars no match for the combustion engine

Indra also says electric cars offer little to be desired, saying that although the efficiency from battery to transmission is high, no one is looking at what happens before the battery and after the transmission, which he calls “an inexcusable error.” In the assessment of battery powered vehicles, Indra describes the problems of range and battery disposal that still profoundly plague electric battery vehicles.

Bosch backs out of lithium ion batteries

“When it comes to batteries, what has company Bosch done? Bosch, about one year ago, stopped research in the lithium ion battery. That means they have backed out completely from the topic of batteries,” says Indra. “That’s an unbelievable decision, because that’s a global company.”

Hydrogen as a fuel will not be feasible as well, Indra explains: “On the subject of hydrogen cars, we have to look at Daimler, Mercedes,” says Indra. “On the subject of hydrogen, Mercedes was always way ahead. […] About half a year ago, Mercedes announced that it was getting out of hydrogen. That means that as a way for mobility, they see no chance for it.”

Hydrogen fueling stations impractical

According to the Austrian engine expert, hydrogen as a fuel for fuel cells is plagued by too many efficiencies and dangers, describing how a fueling station would need three stages of piston-type compressors to get the fuel into the car at the “unimaginable” 1000 bars of pressure – never mind the technical obstacles building such a car poses.

A quarter to one third of the energy offered by hydrogen would be consumed just to pressurize the gas, Indra reminds.

Moreover, hydrogen refueling stations would need to be supplied by tankers transporting the highly explosive gas at 50 bars of pressure.

Indra notes, however, that the hydrogen technology may have a chance for use in cargo vehicles.

China controls the lithium raw material market

Indra also sees no chance for Germany playing an important role in the electric battery market, explaining that China has already secured all the raw materials, in countries such as Congo and Chile, and thus “practically controls the market”. Germany will never ever be able to produce the lithium ion batteries at a cost like that in China.

Recycling is very expensive

Indra sharply criticizes claims that lithium batteries can be recycled: “But for those who don’t know, the recycling of lithium is an unbelievably difficult and expensive process.”

He adds that electric cars also will also never be able to meet Europe’s recycling directives, which call for minimum 80% of devices be recyclable.

Indra thinks policymakers are blowing large sums of money when it comes to subsidizing e-mobility. “It’s an absurdity to subsidize something that doesn’t make any contribution to climate protection,” he says.

Combustion engine still the future

He sees China’s strategy of “giving every technology a chance” as the way to go, and to not become dogmatically stuck on one such as e-mobility, which he feels will never lead to an economic boost in Germany.

Indra sees a cleaner combustion engine with new fuels as the future, and finds it’s a pity that this is not being supported by the German government.

“A combustion engine car with synthetic fuel a is much cleaner and can be used much longer than electric cars,” Indra says. The retired engineering expert also says countries who have declared an end to the combustion engine are “full of politics” and predicts they will push off their targets, if not completely abandon them as reality hits.

In summary: the combustion engine will be around for a long time because it is cleaner, extremely practical and affordable.




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Greenland Fall Temperatures Unchanged. Proxy Data Show No Warming At 8 Of 9 Antarctic Peninsula Sites Since 1830!

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By Kirye
and Pierre Gosselin

Before looking at Antarctica Peninsula, we first take a look at Greenland, which also is considered by the global warming alarmists to be part of the most threatening tipping points. If the ice on Greenland ever melted, like they warn it will, sea levels globally would rise some 6 meters. (Never mind this scenario would take many centuries).

Today we look at the November and autumn trends in Greenland. First we look at November mean temperatures for which the Japan meteorological Agency (JMA) has sufficient data to compute a trend going back to 1999.

Data source: JMA

Four of the 6 stations examined show cooling or no warming trend.

But that’s only for one month, and so doesn’t really tell us a whole lot. So next we look at autumn mean temperatures for these six stations. If autumn is warming then we no that is not ideal for the overall ice formation season.

Data source: JMA

Four of the 6 stations have had no warming, but rather have been cooling slightly. The colder stations up north have warmed.

But this too is only a trend since the start of the 21st century. Alarmist readers might accuse us of cherry picking. So next we look at NASA unadjusted data from 4 stations going back almost 100 years:

Data source: NASA

Here we see that these four stations have not warmed in almost 100 years. Nothing is “tipping” there.

To summarize, not much has really happened in Greenland. To speak about an approaching tipping point is nothing but misleading and over-indulgent alarmism.

Antarctic peninsula sites not warming

Next we move our attention to the opposite pole of the earth, and look at some interesting news about another potential “climate tipping element” that threatens to doom the entire planet: the Antarctic Peninsula:

Our regular guest author Kenneth Richard found a recent paper on the results of proxy data from the peninsula region going back 240 years, with a focus on the Bransfield Strait.

Chart: Vorrath et al 2020.

The paper finds that the climate system down there is far more complex than most of us would think and a long way from being understood.

Image: Vorrath et al, 2020

Yet, they find that eight of 9 sites examined show summer sea surface and subsurface temperatures over the past 240 years cooling or staying steady. Today nothing unusual is happening.

The authors admit that are major discrepancies between the model, instrumental and proxy datasets, and that there’s still plenty to sort out.

But as it stands, there’s nothing unusual happening at our poles and all the talk about tipping elements is a bit premature.




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2020 Review: Observational And Modeling Studies Show Temperature Falls As CO2 Rises

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A 2020 observational study (Zhang et al., 2020) determined “temperatures of atmospheric air with substantially higher CO2 concentration (ranging from 3200 ppm to 16,900 ppm) were lower than that with the lower CO2 concentration (480 ppm)” and a 2020 modeling study (Drotos et al., 2020) assessed that when CO2 goes beyond 4 times preindustrial – 1,120 ppm – “climate sensitivity decreases to nearly zero” because the climate cyclically cools by 10 K.

So the science is settled, right?

Image Source: Zhang et al., 2020 (abstract) (pdf)

Image Source: Drotos et al., 2020
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Autumn In United Kingdom, Ireland Has Not Warmed Since 1995 …Cooling Tendency

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By Kirye
and Pierre Gosselin

Global warming activists like to remind us how so many places on the globe are warming faster than anywhere else. And if every region is warming, then we would expect the spring season to be arriving earlier and fall starting later, meaning an extended summer season.

Today we look at fall (Sept – Nov) mean temperatures at stations across United kingdom and Ireland. We use data from Japan Meteorological Agency at the stations for which there are enough data going back to 1995 or earlier. These data are untampered, unlike the NASA GISS data.

United Kingdom: 8 of 14 stations cooling, no longer warming 

First we start with fall mean temperature data from 14 stations scattered across the United Kingdom:


Data source: JMA

Taken as a whole, above we see no real warming having taken place in the United Kingdom since 1995. Eight of the 14 stations in fact show cooling or no warming trend.  Though the mean fall temperature rose over the course of the 20th century, it hasn’t risen this century. This defies the often heard media claims  of warming by the climate alarmists.

Ireland

Next a plot of the mean fall temperature for Ireland also shows the same story: no real change in over 30 years. Here we have 6 stations for which the JMA has data going back to 1989.

Data source: JMA

Four of Ireland’s 6 stations show cooling temperatures. Two are warming, but not significantly by any measure.

So why have the mean fall temperatures stalled in the United Kingdom and Ireland? Global warming alarmists don’t want you to know this, but there are so called oceanic cycles that dominate regional climates on a decadal scale. For Western Europe especially the AMO has an impact:

No wonder fall temperatures have stalled. The warm phase of the AMO has peaked and has been heading down since 2008. CO2 is not what is driving the climate.




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Climate Of Violence: Prominent AGW Skeptic Threatened With “Baseball Bats”…”Smash Your Face”…”Bye Bye Family”

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NOTE: The term e-mail “account” has been changed to email “address”, as some readers have pointed out the two are not the same.
============================================

Over the recent weeks, leading AGW science skeptic Marc Morano of Climate Depot has received messages threatening him and his family with bodily injury (or worse).

WARNING: PROFANE LANGUAGE!

Copies of the criminally threatening messages have been made available to NTZ and other skeptics. The threats of bodily injury to Mr. Morano and his family members made in the messages meet the criminal threshold in Europe, experts say.

Thanksgiving threats

In the first message, an e-mail sent from a fake email address on 27 November, 2020, the sender claimed to be “Dr. Prof. Jean-Luc Edouard Germain Michel Mélice”, a “spécialiste en modélisation du climat et des océans.” That email included two files: 1) a purported UN history of Dr. Melice (top) and 2) an unfriendly appearing photo of Dr. Melice (bottom):

Did criminal threats aimed at prominent AGW skeptic Marc Morano come from a distinguished researcher or someone who stole his identity? Photo: Dr. Prof. Jean-Luc  Mélice. 

Stolen identity?

It is unclear whether the criminal threat came from Dr. Melice himself or more likely from someone who had stolen his identity. If it did not come from Melice, then he really needs to be concerned about another malicious party stealing his identity and using it to conduct criminal activity.

Among ethnic insults and slurs written in the November 27 email, the author also wrote (excerpt, emphasis added):

You must must remember me…if your brain is not completely fucked…”

I am going to write you in french, remember that french is the language of every educated gentleman… which is not your case.”

Je suis français et spécialiste en modélisation du climat et des océans, est-tu capable de comprendre ce que j’écris ?”

You are getting very old now, your also bald, looking more and more like the Donnie the con, the orange agent.”

In fact, you are typically an old mafiosi-type italian immigant.”

Of course, you have no scientific training, your brain is to small to understand science, your IQ is under 100 (I have that information)”

[…]

My scientist friends here in France welcoming  you … with a baseball bat.…Funny, we are all waiting for you if you have the stupid idea to travel to Europe”…

I am a NASA expert and travel many times in the USA…I know the addresses of your kids and of of yourself. So, try to be very careful...”

Donnie the don is terminated, this will be he case with yourself and the oil industry…”

Dr. Prof. Jean-Luc Edouard Germain Michel Mélice”

As the text indicates, the author of the threatening email masters the French language, but not so much the English language, so it was likely written by a native French speaker.

“Smash your ugly face”

In a subsequent email sent a day later, on November 28, the same author added yet more ethnic hate slurs, among these comments (emphasis added) were (excerpts):

The origin of your name comes from Calabria in Italy…lots of mafiosi over there!!!”

Morano in Spanish means north African nigger. I now understand your complex of inferiority, and your ugly face. Indeed, you are not of WASP origin.”

[…]

Note that I was living in the USA during the Kennedy time. I remember very well the 3 dark days after he was shot by a fucking moron as yourself. At that time, I was in an american high school and the Americans were not anti-science as they are now.”

Besides aSouth African nationality, I have also an US passport.”

Please also that I have worked as a diplomat, besides being a super top scientist.”

I would love to be in front of you during a FOX interview. I would destroy you in a few seconds…”

Remember, we are following you, and are very keen to smash your ugly obese face with a baseball bat.”

Just fokoff … as we say in afrikaans…”

Again to remind readers, the email likely came from a 3rd party who is using Dr. Melice’s identity to conduct his criminal threats. Don’t assume anything!

Hateful past

Coincidentally, Dr. Melice does appear to have a history of making aggressive and angry comments directed at skeptics of AGW science. The whole affair needs to be cleared up.

The real person behind the threats and potential identity misuse needs to be dealt with legally. In Europe such vicious threats are criminal acts.

Christmas threats

Then just two days ago, on December 24th, Marc Morano received yet another criminally threatening text message, but this time by a person not providing any identity. In that text message the author wrote:

Go fuck yourself and eat shit, you fucking most corrupt ass piece of shit fucking ass cunt as THOSE GROUPS FUCKING HATE YOU!”

Worst-Case Scenario! Bye-bye political establishment! Bye-bye media! Hollywood, bye-bye! Tissues! How bad? So bad! How much death? So much death!”

Worst-Case Scenario! Watch your back bitch! You can run but you cannot hide! Bye-bye you corrupt fucking cunt ass piece of shit! Bye-Bye family!”

The tone and hate level are similar to that seen in the earlier emails of November 27 and November 28, but it is impossible to determine if it originated from the same author.

Threats becoming more frequent

When asked if such graphic threats have been increasing, Mr. Morano replied by email: “Yes. They are increasing. My books and movies and Congressional testimony have increased the flow.”

Earlier in 2019 Mr. Morano also received an angry threat delivered to his home address by regular post, postmarked Eureka, California. That letter blamed skeptics like Morano for the Arkansas River flooding. It contained:

Real threats, or not to be taken seriously?

It would be very easy to dismiss these threatening messages as something coming from a sick-minded coward, a bitter person in a basement, hopelessly engulfed by hatred.

Yet on the other hand, they also show us the person making the threats is mentally unstable, perhaps unpredictable, and so capable of any act, thus posing a real danger.

One thing is clear: sending someone such messages is a criminal offence in Europe.

Anyone receiving such terrible threats needs to take them to the responsible authorities for investigation. It’s wrong for people to steal identities and/or to criminally act in this way.

We have multiple potential victims here: Marc Morano, his family, his colleagues, science free speech and even the researcher who maybe had his identity stolen and used to conduct criminal acts.




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Stuttgart Air Quality Measurements Show Diesel Engine Bans Have Had No Impact!

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Green lie gets exposed…

With a Corona lockdown in Stuttgart and diesel engine bans, one would think the fewer diesel cars on the streets would lead to less air pollutants. But far from it! Air measurement values remain unchanged through the significantly reduced traffic volume!

The article first appeared at TE here, hat-tip EIKE.
(Translated/edited by P. Gosselin)

Diesel car driving bans together with the reduced car traffic caused by the lockdown have shown to have had no effect on the values provided by air measuring stations.

Reduced traffic volume shows no affect

The diagrams for nitrogen dioxide of the past days show fluctuation around values of between 40 and 50 µg/m3. Germany’s most famous measuring station, the Stuttgarter Tal Am Neckartor, showed a nitrogen particulates concentration of 44 µg/m3 at 10 a.m. on Dec. 21st.

Similarly, NO2 emissions at the monitoring station in Bad Cannstatt fluctuated about 40 µg/m3. Incidentally, the 12-month mean value there is given as 23 µg/m3, i.e. well below the applicable limit values: 40 µg/m3 for the annual average, 80 µg/m3 for indoor areas, and as much as 950 µg/m3 at the workplace.

In the United States, at 100 µg/m3, limits are even more than twice as high as on German roads.

Daily NO2 particulates measurements at Stuttgart Am Neckartor. Values fluctuated about 50 µg/m3, well below the 200 µg/m3 limit. 

This is also the result reached by measurement specialist Martin Schraag, who has also compared the values with the reduced traffic flow. He summarizes: “The daily pattern of the traffic measuring points Am Neckartor and Pragstraße has practically not changed since the lockdown started” on December 16th.

At Pragstraße, a long incline from Neckar to Pragsattel, the peak occurred on Dec. 18 at 5 p.m. after the lockdown had started. Otherwise, we see values fluctuating around 40 µg/m³ here as well, with typical maxima occurring at 5 p.m.”

Schraag comments on the far-reaching driving bans in Stuttgart:

It is unlikely that these values are caused by diesel cars. Even the Euro 5 class diesel cars have been banned from the small green zone of Stuttgart for months! During the lockdown in April, Euro 5 diesel cars were only banned on single routes, and control was still lax.”

Strict vehicle regulations

In addition to the lockdown, Stuttgart has probably the most extensive driving bans in German cities: diesel vehicles of the Euro 3 and 4 standard have not been allowed to enter the capital of Baden-Württemberg since January 1, 2019. Affected by the driving ban are not only some particularly busy streets in the city center as in other cities, the ban zone extends to Kornwestheim, Gerlingen and applies to the suburbs, which are located up on the Fildern – rather rural areas with lesser development. Even new Euro-5 diesels have been banned from downtown Stuttgart since July 1, 2020.

Bans based on false assumptions

The reason for the bans given by Baden-Württemberg’s Transport Minister Winfried Herrmann (Green Party) was that the underlying calculation models were very good. He also used the not particularly accurate readings at Pragstraße obtained with old passive recorders – a continuously measuring station had only existed there since October – and a computed projection for the year 2021 as justification for barring Euro-5 diesel from Stuttgart.

In doing so, he ignored the fact that the new Rosenstein Tunnel would transfer considerable traffic flows underground from 2021 onwards and would make a significant contribution to relieving traffic on the Pragstrasse. The city of Stuttgart had even described this in its clean air plan some time ago.

Forcing drivers out of their cars

The head of the Deutsche Umwelthilfe e.V. (German Environmental Aid Association) and frequent flyer Jürgen Resch has also been overrunning Stuttgart with lawsuits because the extremely low limit values were being exceeded. Only driving bans for diesel vehicles could lower the values and save human lives, he argued. And the administrative judges waved such lawsuits through.

The economic consequences in the city have been dramatic. Car owners have had to sell off their three or four-year-old cars. Many of which are now being driven in countries in Eastern Europe.

No change

So after this fundamental fight against diesel in the city where the car was invented, one would expect air quality levels in the city to have changed significantly due to the lockdown and the drastically reduced car traffic.

But that is not been the case!

The widescale “Corona car lockdown” test shows: Diesel cars it cannot be. Yet the diesel lie continues.

The article first appeared at TE here.




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