Economic Hardship Coming To Germany As Country Locks Down, January CO2 Tax Looms

Share this...
Share on Facebook
Facebook
Tweet about this on Twitter
Twitter

Starting tomorrow another Corona lockdown goes into effect in Germany

By A.R. Göhring
(Text translated/edited by P. Gosselin)

The government factions and the Greens decided on a significant increase in CO2 price – from 10 euros per ton up to 25 euros. Not only heating and filling the gas tank will become even more expensive from January 2021, but other sources of energy as well.

In the “climate package” of Autumn 2019, a price of 10 euros per ton of emitted CO2 was agreed upon, but this was criticized by the German Greens and their affiliated Fridays for Future organizations and numerous editorial offices because a curbing effect would not result from the low price.

In plain language, it probably means that not enough money is coming in to pay the profiteers, and therefore the many green lobbyists put pressure to raise the carbon price significantly. And with success: the German Parliament decided to more than double the price to 25 euros per ton.

And since the lockdown has already ripped huge holes in the wallets of many employees and self-employed persons since March, the rising prices of consumer products across the board will put German citizens economically under even more pressure.

Although taxpayers saw some relief from the lowered  value added tax to 16%, it is of no use: the reduction expires already on New Year’s Eve.

But, the additional additional revenue from CO2 taxes is also aimed at reducing the burden on citizens, for example the EEG feed-in levy to promote green electricity will be lowered and the commuters will be given tax breaks. But this does not benefit producers, which is why the German Chamber of Industry and Commerce has demanded subsidies. Not without reason: Otherwise, our companies could migrate to nearby foreign countries where no fanatic climate activists are at work.




Share this...
Share on Facebook
Facebook
Tweet about this on Twitter
Twitter

Bureau Of Meteorology: Central, Eastern Tropical Pacific “Coolest Since La Niña Event Since 2012”

Share this...
Share on Facebook
Facebook
Tweet about this on Twitter
Twitter

Data recorded from the equatorial Pacific show a substantial La Nina in place, and falling temperatures with it.

The Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) here reported on October 27: “All of the international climate models surveyed by the Bureau indicate the current La Niña will persist until at least January 2021. Most climate models reach their peak in December, before starting to weaken.”

Strong sea surface cooling developing in the equatorial Pacific. Image Tropical Tidbits

“Some models indicate that the current La Niña could possibly reach similar strength to the La Niña of 2010–12,” reports the BOM. “Sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern tropical Pacific are the coolest since the end of the La Niña event in 2012, but they are not as cool as during October 2010.”

The following chart shows the latest sea surface temperature anomaly for the Pacific El Niño equatorial regions of 3 and 4:

Image: Tropical Tidbits

The substantial La Niña event will likely cause the global mean temperature to drop a few tenths of a degree Celsius.

Low solar activity

Another factor that could spell trouble, especially for Europe, is the currently very low solar activity. Harsh European winters have been found to be linked to low solar activity.

Indeed, as in previous calculations, the experimental numerical NOAA model CFSv2 recently predicted a cold and long winter in large parts of Europe, especially from January 2021 until May 2021, see the following chart:

Source: Meteociel CFSv2 forecasts winter 2020/21 Europe

Hat-tip: SnowFan

The more recent runs have backed off a bit on the intensity of the cold.

Of course these seasonal forecasts are fraught with uncertainty, but should these come true, it could be an especially long 2020/21 winter in Europe. This would only further exacerbate the COVID-19 epidemic.

The unusual record-setting winter cold blast just seen across North America may be a trailer of what’s in store for other parts of the northern hemisphere this winter.




Share this...
Share on Facebook
Facebook
Tweet about this on Twitter
Twitter

Analysis Suggests Elon Musk’s Vision Of A Battery-Powered Society Remains An Unworkable Fantasy

Share this...
Share on Facebook
Facebook
Tweet about this on Twitter
Twitter

Our energy supply system finds itself in a transformation over to a far greater share of renewable energies. Though some have been fooled into believing the transformation can be done completely in just a matter of a few years, sobriety tells us it’s going to take considerably longer, and batteries are not the answer to the supply volatility problem.

Battery storage “still needs to demonstrate that it eventually can become cost-effective and reduce its significant ecological footprint,” says Dr. Sebastian Lüning.

Wind and solar energy’s high supply volatility require mass storage capacity whose solution remains off in the future. Chart above depicts Germany’s demand and supply by wind in sun. 

What follows is the abstract of a review of renewable energies (starts on page 204) by Dr. Sebastian Lüning (emphasis added).

Abstract

As the share of renewable energies keeps rising in the global energy mix year by year, volatility of wind and solar energy sources needs to be carefully counterbalanced with adequate Electrical Energy Storage (EES). Suitable storage solutions need to have mass storage capacity to supply whole countries for several days to weeks during renewable supply gaps. At the same time, storage needs to be cost-effective and full-cycle energy losses need to be minimized. Stimulated by the wish to achieve decarbonization as quickly as possible, significant research efforts are currently underway worldwide to come up with solutions to the energy storage challenge. This article summarizes the most promising technologies to fill the EES gap, highlighting advantages, challenges and chances of mid-term technological breakthrough. In order to facilitate the discussion, the storage technologies are grouped here into the following categories: (1) Rechargeable batteries, (2) Pumped hydro energy storage, (3) Power-to-gas and power-to-liquid, (4) Compressed air, (5) Thermal, and (6) Flywheels.

Whilst all technologies will be useful for specific applications, artificial fuels (power-to-liquid and power-to-gas) appear particularly promising to take the energy transition to a new level. Artificial fuels can be stored and transported using established transportation logistics from the hydrocarbon industry. Systems are easily upscalable so that renewable supply gaps of several days or even weeks can be effectively bridged. Artificial fuels can be exported to customers over great distances without major losses, opening up the chance to not only capture surplus electricity for domestic storage but also to specifically produce energy for the export market. The latter applies particularly to sun- and wind-rich regions.

A second promising technology for the energy transition is thermal energy storage (TES) which may soon allow 24 hour operations of solar plants as well as energy storage between the seasons with only small losses.

Battery storage has also got potential but still needs to demonstrate that it eventually can become cost-effective and reduce its significant ecological footprint. Clearing the energy storage bottleneck will be the key challenge for a full-blown switch to renewable energy societies and a robust commercial basis for energy producers, with no recourse to state subsidies.

Clearly there’s a long way to go before a zero-carbon energy supply can be achieved. People who say it can be done by 2025, 2030 or even 2050 don’t know what they’re talking about.




Share this...
Share on Facebook
Facebook
Tweet about this on Twitter
Twitter

3 More New Studies Show Modern Arctic Sea Ice Extent Is Greater Than Nearly Any Time In The Last 10,000 Years

Share this...
Share on Facebook
Facebook
Tweet about this on Twitter
Twitter

For years scientists have been using biomarker evidence (IP25, PIP25) to reconstruct the Arctic’s sea ice history. The evidence shows modern (20th-21st century) Arctic sea ice is at its greatest extent since the Holocene began.

Scientists (Wu et al., 2020) have determined that from about 14,000 to 8,000 years ago, when CO2 lingered near 250 ppm, the Beaufort Sea (Arctic) was “nearly ice free throughout the year” (<0.2 PIP25) and ~4°C warmer than today in winter.

With CO2 at ~400 ppm, this region is 70-100% ice-covered (>0.8 PIP25) for all but 1-2 summer months in the modern (1988-2007) era.

Image Source: Wu et al., 2020

Interestingly, another study of this same Beaufort Sea region (Durantou et al., 2012) revealed the late 1800s to 1930s were up to 3°C warmer than the late 20th and early 21st century averages and sea ice was present for 1.1 fewer months per year during these earlier periods.

Image Source: Durantou et al., 2012

Another new study (Allaart et al., 2020) concludes that from around 10,000 to 5,000 years ago, Arctic Svalbard (Wijdefjorden) glaciers had retreated many km further back than their modern positions. And the smaller ice caps had “disappeared” from the region.

In contrast, during the last 500 to 700 years Svalbard sea ice has expanded to its highest extent of the Holocene (11,700 years ago to present).

The Holocene’s sea ice maximum just developed during modern times, as the authors note there has been an “increase in IP25 concentrations after c. 0.7±0.2 cal. ka BP, with a maximum in the modern sediments.”

Image Source: Allaart et al., 2020

A study site northeast of Svalbard (Brice et al., 2020) reveals today’s sea surface temperatures of “<0°C” are at least 4°C colder than they were just a few thousand years ago, when the Arctic was sea ice free for all but “a couple of months” every year.

Notice the graphics that show today’s sea ice monthly duration (~11 months per year) and summer sea surface temperatures (zero degrees Celsius) are among the highest and lowest (respectively) of the Holocene.

Image Source: Brice et al., 2020



Share this...
Share on Facebook
Facebook
Tweet about this on Twitter
Twitter

New Paper: Sea Levels Higher 4000 Years Ago With Reefs Adapting

Share this...
Share on Facebook
Facebook
Tweet about this on Twitter
Twitter

A new in-press journal pre-proof paper by Hallmann et al examines reef response to sea-level and environmental changes in the Central South Pacific over the past 6000 years.

Hat-tip: Reader Mary Brown

The paper documents that sea levels globally saw a single short-lived sea-level highstand between 4100 and 3400 yr before present and coral reefs adapt to changes.

A pristine reef in American Samoa, Credits: NOAA/NMFS/PIFSC/CRED, Oceanography Team, public domain

Abstract

Geological records of coastal system evolution during past higher and/or rising sea levels provide an important baseline for developing projections regarding the response of modern coastal systems to future sea-level rise. The mid-late Holocene corresponds to the most recent window into natural variability prior to the Anthropocene and involves slow-rate and low-amplitude sea-level changes that were mostly governed by a limited glacio-eustatic contribution, most likely sourced from Antarctica, and ‘glacial isostatic adjustment’ processes.

This paper documents in unprecedented detail the response of coral reefs and coastal systems to changing accommodation space in relation to mid-late Holocene sea-level changes in French Polynesia.

The sea-level curve that underpins this study has a global significance and documents a single short-lived sea-level highstand between 4.10 and 3.40 kyr BP. The amplitude of the highstand is less than one metre, within the range of the predicted sea level at the end of the current century. The reported relative sea-level changes are characterized by slow rates ranging from a few tens of millimetres per year to up to 2.5 mm/yr and by significant sea-level stability (stillstands) lasting more than a century and up to 250 years, defining a step-like pattern. Sea-level variability probably driven by climatic oscillations on interannual to millennial time scales is evidenced during the entire time window.

The detailed reconstruction of reef development over the last 6000 years brings valuable information regarding coral reef dynamics and coastal processes during periods of higher sea level and wave energy regimes. The persistence of stable and optimal depositional environments over the last 6000 years is demonstrated by the constant overall composition and diversity of reef communities and the almost continuous development of coral microatolls. The facies distribution as well as the lateral extension and shift of facies belts have been governed by variations in accommodation space, which are controlled by relative sea-level changes and antecedent topography. The widespread development of mid-late Holocene reef deposits in coastal areas suggests that they have played a prominent role in global processes related to the formation and shaping of modern islands.




Share this...
Share on Facebook
Facebook
Tweet about this on Twitter
Twitter

Battery Issues Continue To Plague Electric Cars…BMW Orders “Large-Scale” Recall Of Plugin Hybrids

Share this...
Share on Facebook
Facebook
Tweet about this on Twitter
Twitter

Technical snafus lead to mass recall of BMW hybrid vehicles. Image: Mario Roberto Durán Ortiz jCreative Commons Attribution-Share Alike 4.0 International license.

Explosive car batteries? BMW recalls large number of electric hybrid cars

By A.R. Göhring
(Translated by P. Gosselin)

Reader M.P. points out how ‘auto motor sport’ and other magazines are reporting that BMW is recalling its plugin hybrids on a large scale. What is the problem?

Since August this year, BMW has been recalling its plug-in hybrid electric vehicle (PHEV) models X1 to 3 and X5, 3 Series, 3 Series Touring, 2 Series Active Tourer, 7 Series, 5 Series (incl. Touring) and ‘Mini Countryman’.

The reasons given are production errors during welding and impurities, some of which may cause short circuits in the high-voltage battery (i.e. the traction battery). Production batches from the period January 20 to September 18 are partially affected.

In addition to the recall, there is also a delivery stop. More than 25,000 cars are affected worldwide, 8,000 of which are in the hands of customers (Germany: 5,300/1,800). The models already sold currently may not be charged; during trips  only with restrictions. This should not be a problem, as many customers do not load their company cars off the grid.

At the end of October, the Federal Motor Transport Authority will start a check of the cars sold. The procedure will take about 30 minutes without repair, if necessary.

Not only BMW has the PHEV problem. Ford, too, has already had to call back its Kuga model. The reason was a memory error with fire hazard, which prohibited recharging the battery.

Read more: europe.autonews.com/hybrids-fire-risk-samsung-battery.




Share this...
Share on Facebook
Facebook
Tweet about this on Twitter
Twitter

Scientists Have Determined A 5°C Warmer Earth ‘Would Provide More Habitable Conditions’

Share this...
Share on Facebook
Facebook
Tweet about this on Twitter
Twitter

In a new study, scientists insist that since the Earth’s highest biomass and biodiversity exist in the warmest regions, “higher temperatures than currently existing on Earth” and a “higher water content (absolute humidity) in the atmosphere” seem to be “more favorable” to the planet’s inhabitants.

Until a few thousand years ago, when mammoths and wild horses ate exposed grass year-round along the coasts of the Arctic Ocean, the Sahara was grass- and lake-covered, teeming with fish and megafauna and even ancient civilizations. These much-warmer periods were obviously more hospitable to plants, animals, and humans.

Image Source: LiveScience

In addition to being several degrees warmer, the Earth’s climate was also much more humid and rainforest-like during the Early Holocene, or up until about 5,000 years ago. Rainforests have far more biodiversity than cooler climates do, of course. This is likely why this period is referred to as the “Humidity Optimum” by geologists (Ramos-Roman et al., 2018).

Image Source: Ramos-Roman et al., 2018

In a new study (Schulze-Makuch et al., 2020), scientists acknowledge that the “highest biomass and biodiversity is present in tropical rainforests, and the least in cold polar regions.” Therefore, higher temperatures – about 5°C warmer than today – would be more “favorable”  and “provide more habitable conditions.”

Unfortunately,  we humans have not demonstrated we have the capacity to significantly affect the climate in recent decades, and thus we will continue to stand idly by as the Earth’s climate changes without us.

Image Source: Schulze-Makuch et al., 2020



Share this...
Share on Facebook
Facebook
Tweet about this on Twitter
Twitter

Greta, Green Movement, Let Mask Slip. Tweet Exposes Their True Face: Tyranny With No Choices

Share this...
Share on Facebook
Facebook
Tweet about this on Twitter
Twitter

Greta Thunberg, the “sad and angry” Swedish teen climate activist, put up a survey at Twitter pertaining to Europe’s Common Agricultural policy (CAP). It unwittingly exposes how she and her movement really think:

Like a true tyrant, only one choice is provided and tolerated: her own.

That’s the fundamental characteristic of the green climate movement: “Shut up and do as we tell you. We understand the world, and you’re too stupid to do so. So we’ll make the choices for you.”

Here are other surveys one could expect from Greta:

What is the only right way for people to travel?
A. By foot
B. By bicycle
C. All of the above

What is the only right thing for people to eat?
A. Only plant-based foods
B. No animal products at all
C. All of the above

Who should be elected president of the USA?
A. Joe Biden
B. Not Trump
C. One of the above

What is the only right tax rate?
A) Government takes all
B. Workers should keep nothing
C. All the above

These are the “choices” you see under tyrannies. NO CHOICE. It’s the only way they get the result they want because they lack the arguments to convince a majority that their extreme ideas and experimentation proposals are practical.




Share this...
Share on Facebook
Facebook
Tweet about this on Twitter
Twitter

Great Britain September Mean Temperatures Cooling. Also: Models Suggest Harsh, Long Winter Ahead

Share this...
Share on Facebook
Facebook
Tweet about this on Twitter
Twitter

By Kirye
and Pierre Gosselin

Compiled data show Great Britain early fall has been cooling over the past quarter century and models showing a harsh Europe 2020/21 winter in the works. 

Compiling September data for Great Britain recorded by 14 stations for which the Japan meteorological Agency (JMA) has sufficient data, we plot the trends as follows:

Data: JMA

11 of 14 stations show September mean temperatures have been cooling or no trend for 25 years. This suggests that fall is approaching earlier instead of later, thus co0ntradicting alarmist claims of warming.

The cause of the cooling cannot be linked to CO2 and is likely driven by natural factors, such as oceanic cycles (Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation) and solar activity.

Source: NCAR UCAR

Frigid European winter in the works?

Meanwhile, the latest CFSv2 forecast for the coming winter suggests frigid conditions for Europe. Hat-tip: SnowFan

Source: Meteociel CFSv2 forecasts winter 2020/21 Europe

The experimental numerical NOAA model CFSv2 sees a cold and long winter in large parts of Europe. The temperatures in about 1500m (850hPa) will be mostly and partly strongly below the WMO mean 1981-2010, especially from January 2021 until May 2021. If these of course still very uncertain repeated cold forecasts come true, it could become a historically cold and especially long winter.




Share this...
Share on Facebook
Facebook
Tweet about this on Twitter
Twitter

Greta Melts Down In Reaction To EU Parliament Vote In Favor Of CAP. “We Won’t Forget”!

Share this...
Share on Facebook
Facebook
Tweet about this on Twitter
Twitter

Teen activist Greta Thunberg is having another temper tantrum right now, and suggests in a tweet there will be retaliation! 

Her indignation is a reaction to today’s European Parliament failure to vote down Common Agricultural Policy’s (CAP) watered down changes that include making money available for landscapes that benefit biodiversity, environmental and climate-related measures and direct direct payments for eco-schemes.

The EU Parliaments voted for its plan by a vast margin 425 – 212, with 51 abstaining.

The WWF EU tweeted that the CAP deal has “no environmental credibility”: 

WeMove Europe tweeted:

The EU Parliament’s decision to approve the CAP signifies climate protection is not as serious an issue as it often makes it out to be. Greta and her cult followers are fuming.




Share this...
Share on Facebook
Facebook
Tweet about this on Twitter
Twitter

New Study Finds A Robust Link Between European Temperatures And Solar Activity Via AMO/NAO Modulation

Share this...
Share on Facebook
Facebook
Tweet about this on Twitter
Twitter

European winter temperature variability is “dominated” by the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), which is, in turn, modulated by solar activity.

Even proponents of anthropogenic global warming (AGW) agree natural processes (AMO, NAO, ENSO, solar forcing, volcanism) drive temperature variability. But they insist the rising temperature trend is human-caused.

So if we don’t have a regional upward trend, is the non-warming natural or anthropogenic?

Lüdecke et al., 2020 find temperatures across Europe have been oscillating, not rising in linear fashion, for the last century. The timings of the temperature undulations correspond quite closely to natural ocean cycles (the NAO and AMO). The authors detail a non-linear and indirect solar activity impact on these ocean cycles, and ultimately to the European climate.

Image Source: Lüdecke et al., 2020



Share this...
Share on Facebook
Facebook
Tweet about this on Twitter
Twitter

Environment Of Terror – 75% Would Not Publicly Post Mahomed Caricatures With Their Name, Address

Share this...
Share on Facebook
Facebook
Tweet about this on Twitter
Twitter

Last week the beheading of a French school teacher by an Islamic terrorist in broad daylight shocked the world. Barbaric attacks on free speech and the exchange of ideas are taking place in Europe. Similar acts have occurred in other western countries in recent years.

The grisly death of the French teacher sends a clear message: Western citizens cannot feel safe expressing their views, not even at home – on their very own soil. Our governments have failed.

At Twitter I started an unofficial small survey, below, to get an idea of the extent of fear people harbor when it comes to expressing controversial views. According to Google Analytics, the vast majority of the readers at this site reside in Europe and North America.

The results, though not representative, are somewhat shocking. 75% say they would not post the Mahomed caricatures together with their name and address because they fear retaliation. This, in their home countries.

The terrorists have won the first battle in Europe

This tells us the terrorists are indeed winning and that our governments are failing to provide us with a sense of security when it comes to expressing views on controversial topics that need to be openly discussed.

Though the French police are clamping down hard on the radicals behind the heinous crime, citizens will remain convinced that free speech on particular topics is no longer safe and that the governments are unable to protect us.

Western citizens now believe that radical elements exist among us and that our governments have failed to keep them out and unable to do anything about until after tragedy happens. Radicalism has been allowed to stream through our borders and now it here terrorizing us. It’s here and it’s not going to go away. Our governments have absolutely no concept on how to uproot it. Now 75% are afraid to speak up publicly. How sad.

Freedom of expression and open discussion has already lost the first battle.

Additional reading (in German): www.spiegel.de




Share this...
Share on Facebook
Facebook
Tweet about this on Twitter
Twitter

By continuing to use the site, you agree to the use of cookies. more information

The cookie settings on this website are set to "allow cookies" to give you the best browsing experience possible. If you continue to use this website without changing your cookie settings or you click "Accept" below then you are consenting to this. More information at our Data Privacy Policy

Close