New Study: The Climate May Be 5 Times More Sensitive To Solar Forcing Than Commonly Assumed

By on 21. April 2026

The climate sensitivity to a doubling of CO2 with feedbacks may only be about 1°C, with humans contributing just 30% to the global warming since 1850.

New research indicates the climate models that the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) rely upon for policy-making – and to claim humans are 100% responsible for the warming since 1850 – are fundamentally flawed.

The models cannot reproduce natural climate variability, nor can they simulate the positive water vapor and cloud feedback assumptions essential to demonstrably amplifying the warming thought incur from doubling CO2.

The assumptions about total solar irradiance (TSI), and/or solar impacts on cloud formation and cosmic rays  IPCC chooses to emphasize may underestimate the role of solar forcing in climate change five-fold.

Key points in Dr. Scafetta’s research summary include:

• Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity (ECS) estimates for doubled CO2 (280 to 560 ppm) plus feedbacks may be 1°C (0.7°C to 1.3°C) due to the lack of positive feedback from water vapor and clouds.

• The climate may be 4 to 6 times more sensitive to solar forcing factors (not just TSI alone) than presumed by models of radiative forcing.

• Human activity may only explain about 30% of the global warming since 1850, with warm biases in the land surface record explaining 20% and natural solar-induced variability factors explaining 50%.

• Variations in cloud albedo from 1983 to 2010 may explain 0.4°C of the global warming during this period.

Image Source: Scafetta, 2026

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EV Industry Reached $70 Billion In Losses In 2024 Due To Delusional Green Ideologies

By on 19. April 2026

Like everything else in the Green Movement, electric mobility too is turning into a giant money burning pit. 

Going green is only burning away good money.  Image generated by Grok AI

Germany’s online Blackout News here reports that the global automotive industry is facing a “potentially existence-threatening crisis” due to a massive financial failure in the electric vehicle (EV) sector.

In 2024, losses in the electric car segment reached approximately 60 billion euros (70 billion dollars). Major manufacturers like Volkswagen, Ford, and General Motors have had to perform significant write-downs due to overestimating the market.

Expectations crash against reality

Blackout News points to a significant gap between manufacturer expectations and reality. Customers are reportedly rejecting EVs or delaying purchases due to 1) high purchase prices, 2) limited range and long charging times, 3) uncertainty regarding battery longevity, and 4) the end of state subsidies (purchase premiums), which previously “artificially” supported demand.

Consumers aren’t cooperating

The article claims that car manufacturers prioritized political goals (such as CO₂ regulations and combustion engine bans) over market economic logic. This “ideological misdirection” led to massive investments in production capacity that the market is currently unwilling to support.

In response to these losses, companies are making sharp course corrections. For example, Ford is reducing EV investments, General Motors is adjusting production targets and Volkswagen is intensifying cost-cutting programs.

The economic consequences are profound. The crisis is leading to production cuts, halted projects, and increased uncertainty for employees and suppliers. High raw material prices and the lack of “economies of scale” (due to low volume) mean that manufacturers are struggling with low margins and overcapacity.

In summary, the transition to electromobility is a “billion-euro grave” caused by manufacturers ignoring consumer preferences in favor of following political mandates and delusional green ideologies.

Will lawmakers ever wake up?





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Reality Check: Maldives Have Actually Grown In Size Or Remained Stable Over Recent Decades

By on 17. April 2026

An article in the German TKP science site titled “Die Malediven sinken nicht” (The Maldives are not sinking) challenges the common mythical narrative that the Maldives are destined to disappear due to rising sea levels caused by climate change.

Image taken by the Advanced Spaceborne Thermal Emission and Reflection Radiometer (ASTER) onboard NASA’s Terra satellite. Source: ASTER gallery. Courtesy of NASA Goddard Space Flight Center/Japanese Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry/Japan Space Systems and the U.S./Japan ASTER Science Team

But as we have often reported here at NoTricksZone, most islands have in fact grown in size over the recent decades.

Contrary to the “sinking” narrative, the TKP article cites scientific observations (including satellite data) showing that many islands in the Maldives have actually grown in size or remained stable over recent decades rather than disappearing, This contradicts everything we’ve been told by the climate alarmists.

The TKP article explains that coral atolls are dynamic systems that can “grow” with rising sea levels as coral debris and sediment accumulate on the islands, a natural process that allows them to adapt to changing water levels.

Author argues that the image of the sinking Maldives is frequently used by politicians and activists as a symbol of climate catastrophe to justify specific policies, despite hard empirical evidence showing the islands are more resilient than portrayed.

The article points out that the Maldivian government continues to invest heavily in permanent infrastructure, such as new airports and luxury resorts, obvious evidence that even the local authorities do not expect the islands to be uninhabitable in the near future.

The article notes that sea levels have fluctuated throughout history and that the current changes are within a range that the islands have successfully navigated in the past through natural geological processes.

In summary, the Maldives are not currently being “swallowed” by the sea and that the alarmist predictions often seen in the media are not supported by the physical growth and geological behavior of the islands.





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Abrupt Climate Change Also Occurred NATURALLY In The Past …25 Times During Last Ice Age

By on 15. April 2026

Abrupt climate change also occurred naturally in the past 

The following video from the “Klimaschau” series (No. 256), published by the European Institute for Climate and Energy (EIKE), addresses the question of whether abrupt climate changes in the past were natural or man-made.

Image cropped here.

The claim of an unprecedented speed of climate change is one of the arguments from alarmists in science and journalism that has only emerged in recent years.

Proponents claim that the emission of carbon dioxide by European industry has caused the average global temperature to change more rapidly since 1850 than ever before.

But is that true?

Published studies show that science has long been aware of significantly more extreme and rapid temperature shifts throughout Earth’s history.

Researchers have been investigating rapid temperature changes in Earth’s climate. One  prominent example of this is a study titled “Global atmospheric teleconnections during Dansgaard-Oeschger events” by a working group led by Bradley Markle from Seattle University in Washington State, published in 2017 in the journal Nature Geoscience.

During the last ice age (approx. 110,000 to 12,000 years ago), there were at least 25 events where temperatures over Greenland rose by up to 16.5°C within just a few decades. These fluctuations were not local phenomena. Researchers like Bradley Markel from Seattle University demonstrated that these events had global impacts, such as the shifting of tropical rain belts or the “bipolar seesaw” effect (where warming in the North coincided with cooling in the South).

The 2017 study proves that the atmosphere reacted to changes in the North Atlantic within a few decades. Storm tracks shifted simultaneously with northern temperature jumps—well before the oceans showed a response.

The EIKE video even references research by climate alarmist Stefan Rahmstorf (PIK) from 2003, which suggested these events occurred in a regular cycle of approximately 1,470 years. At the time, Rahmstorf hypothesized an origin outside the Earth’s system (e.g., solar influences) due to the high precision of the timing.

These earlier findings clash with Rahmstorf’s more recent statements from 2022, where he claims modern warming is ten times faster than natural warming during the transition from the Ice Age to the Holocene.

Summary

The Earth’s history has already experienced massive and extremely rapid climate shifts that were entirely natural in origin.





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Cave Discovery Reveals Today’s Desert Climates Were Recently Far Warmer, Wetter, Teeming With Life

By on 13. April 2026

Fuerteventura, one of the eight major Canary Islands, was not the “desert in the ocean” it is today throughout the Early to Middle Holocene.

Scientists (Sánchez-Marco et al., 2026) have recovered the remains of several bird species known to reside at the edges of bodies of water (e.g., lagoons, lakes, rivers) with riparian vegetation and dense forests from a cave in Fuerteventura, the most arid of the Canary Islands. The bones date to ~9000 to 5000 years ago.

This discovery “unexpectedly” reveals the Holocene climate was much warmer (as much as “3 to 7°C”) than present. It was also “much wetter than it is today” a few thousand years ago, and thus regions that are today arid and largely uninhabitable were recently able to host to far more plant and animal species diversity.

The cooler Fuerteventura environment is today covered in sand dunes and classified as an arid desert, as it receives only 100-150 mm of rain annually. The island no longer supports water fowl habitat or any other species dependent on large annual rainfall totals.

“Recent ice core analysis from northern Greenland reveals that the highest Holocene temperatures would occur between 10 and 7 ka BP, 3 to 7 °C warmer than today. This suggests that the animals studied here died in warmer conditions than those prevailing today.”

“It seems likely that there was a lagoon or pond near the cave, around which large areas of riparian vegetation developed. Likewise, wooded areas with undergrowth, where there were even wrynecks, were probably also in the vicinity of the cave. The ornithological record from Cueva del Llano suggests that in the early stages of the Holocene, the dominant climate in the Canary Islands was much wetter than it is today. In Fuerteventura, there were bodies of water with riparian vegetation and more or less dense forest areas with shrubby undergrowth. Higher global temperatures than the present ones may have led to changes in the annual displacements of the Azores High and promoted a more intense rainfall regime, which fostered the maintenance of more diverse habitats and, consequently, a significantly more diverse avian fauna than today. The birds linked to these habitats likely disappeared with climate changes, which led to notably more xeric conditions.”

Image Source: Sánchez-Marco et al., 2026

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German Expert: Heat Dome Led To Record Temps In Western USA…Warmer In 1934, 1936

By on 11. April 2026

Is a Warming of 1.1 Degrees C Unusual?

April 11, 2026

Commentary by Dr.-Ing. Bernd Fleischmann on the blog post “The Warmth of March 2026 in the USA”

Symbol image, generated by Grok AI.

The cause of the high temperatures around March 20, 2026, was a heat dome, the likes of which occur in the Midwestern United States every few decades. Looking at the temperatures in Phoenix, Arizona, one finds:

    • The 105°F maximum temperature from March 19 to 21 is 5°F above previous maximums for this period, but only 1°F above the 104°F that occurred in early April 1989.

    • The highest temperature ever recorded in Phoenix was 122°F during the heat dome of late June 1990.

    • For some days, the record highs are over 100 years old (Jan 18; June 11 and 12; July 2, 3, 6, and 23; Aug 6; Sept 8 and 23). The highest May temperatures were recorded in 1910.

    • The warmest year in Phoenix was 1934, the first year of the Dust Bowl era. Some of the temperature records for several states that still stand today originate from this year and the following two.

    • The change in measurement methods—from the previously common Stevenson screens with sluggish thermometers to today’s electronic thermometers in smaller housings—makes a difference of up to 1°C for daily maximum temperatures on sunny days with little wind.

    • Finally, the Urban Heat Island (UHI) effect: The population of Phoenix has increased nearly a hundredfold from the 1930s to today. This leads to a temperature increase of up to 5°C in the city center on low-wind days.

Conclusion

A heat dome is a weather phenomenon that has led to record temperatures in the Western USA multiple times before. Record temperatures in many U.S. states still date back to the period between 1934 and 1936, even though the urban heat island effect has increased significantly since then and amounts to up to 5°C for Phoenix, Arizona, for example. Media reporting on the heat in March 2026 is alarmist because it fails to mention these facts.

Dr.-Ing. Bernd Fleischmann
Klimanachrichten 





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New Study: No Linear Warming Or Glacier Retreat Along Northern Antarctic Peninsula Since 1980s

By on 11. April 2026

The drivers of warming and glacier retreat in Antarctic climates are not aligned with a linearly-rising trend of atmospheric CO2.

Scientists (Park et al., 2026) have assessed that over the last four decades the patterns of air temperature, sea surface temperature, and glacier retreat near King George Island (just north of the northernmost tip of the Antarctic Peninsula) align with the negative to positive phases of the Southern Annual Mode (SAM) and natural ocean-atmosphere interconnections.

Phases of cooling and glacier advance are mixed with phases of warming and significant glacier retreat, but neither follow a linearly-rising pattern nor trends in greenhouse gas emissions.

The scientists identify an overall decline in glacier retreat rates from the mid-1990s until 2015, when “cooler phases slowed retreat.”

The study “demonstrates how coupled fjord geometry-ocean-atmosphere interactions govern retreat behavior.”

Human activity governs neither warming or glacier retreat.

Image Source: Park et al., 2026

Elephant Island is situated just 130 km northeast of King George Island. It is home to a large volume of penguins and seals.

A recent study (Atkinson et al., 2022) reported significant (approximately -0.75°C) surface cooling across Elephant Island (purple) since the 1990s, aligning with cooling along South Georgia, the Scotia Sea, and the overall West Antarctic Peninsula in recent decades.

Image Source: Atkinson et al., 2022

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An Inconvenient Tree: Uncovered In Alps… Europe Much Warmer Than Today 6000 Years Ago

By on 5. April 2026

Growing climate skepticism in Europe… An inconvenient tree found in the Alps shows climate was warmer 6000 years ago. 

A recent video from the German language channel Report24news features Dr. Johannes Steiner, who discusses the discovery of ancient biological material (a large tree log) under retreating glaciers and its implications for the current climate narrative.

Image cropped from Report 24

In 2014, a massive Swiss stone pine (Zirbe) log weighing 1.7 tons was found in the retreat area of the Pasterze glacier at an altitude of 2,060 meters [03:16]. The tree from which the log originates is dated to be 6,000 years old.

Dr. Steiner points out that no trees of this size can grow at that altitude today because it is currently just too cold [03:27], suggesting that 6,000 years ago, temperatures in the Alps were significantly warmer than now [07:07]. That’s evidence that climate alarmists would prefer to censor.

Natural climate cycles

The presence of such biological material is undeniable evidence that glaciers have historically expanded and retreated in natural cycles long before industrial CO2 emissions [04:10].

Dr. Steiner argues against the “climate catastrophe” label for warming, asserting that historically, “cold periods” were the true catastrophes marked by famine, while “warm periods” (like the Medieval Warm Period) facilitated cultural and biological growth where scoieties flourished [05:40].

While acknowledging CO2 is a greenhouse gas, Dr. Steiner claims its contribution to global warming is minimal compared to water vapor, which is accepted by scienitsts as the dominant and necessary greenhouse gas for a habitable planet [10:41].

The video argues that the current focus on CO2 is mostly a “political-medial” construct used by the state to justify higher taxes and to “squeeze” citizens [22:08].

Over 50% believe climate change driven naturally

Moreover, Dr. Steiner references a February 2025 Special Eurobarometer (557), noting a shift in public perception. He claims that in several EU countries (e.g., Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland), over 50% of people now believe climate change is driven by natural causes rather than human activity [16:26].

In Austria, the percentage of people attributing climate change to natural causes has reportedly risen by 13% since 2021, reaching 43% [16:44].

The discussion concludes with a critique of rising energy costs and taxes. They argue that climate-related taxes disproportionately hurt the financially weak, while politicians remain unaffected by high fuel prices [23:03].





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New Study Reports A 60% Slowdown In Greenland’s Ice Loss Rate In The Last Decade

By on 4. April 2026

Greenland’s ice mass losses have dramatically decelerated since 2012.

According to a new study (Nilsson and Gardner, 2026), from 1992-2023 the ice loss from Greenland ice sheet (GIS) and peripheral glaciers has added a total of only 1.1 cm (11 mm) to global sea levels. This is a sea level contribution rate equivalent of just 0.37 mm/yr.

Greenland’s mass losses have not followed a pattern that would suggest ice melt is driven by linearly-rising CO2 emissions. In fact, from 1992 to 2001, the GIS and coastal glaciers actually contributed to a net reduction in global sea levels, with net ice sheet mass gains amounting to +50 Gt/yr.

From 2002-2011 Greenland sustained a decade of rapid ice loss equating to -303 Gt/yr, spawning an era of alarmist “tipping point” headlines and IPCC doomsday reporting.

Since then, however, GIS loss has slowed by about 60%, to -124 Gt/yr. This slowdown has been attributed to ocean cooling and a positive surface mass balance (SMB) over the last decade.

Despite the rapid 60% deceleration in ice melt loss, there are no signs of a slowdown in GIS ice loss alarmist narratives.

Image Source: Nilsson and Gardner, 2026

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Low Intensity Tornado Wrecks Major Solar Farm, Creating A Potential Toxic Dump

By on 2. April 2026

Green energy follies: An EF-1 low intensity tornado exposes the true vulnerability of solar energy

An article from the German climate science critical Report24 reports on a major disaster involving a solar farm in Indiana that was destroyed by a tornado, underlying the fragility of PV systems as a source of energy.

Tornadoes can tear PV farms apart with little ease. Symbol image generated by Grok AI. 

On March 10, an EF-1 tornado (a relatively low-intensity storm) struck Wheatfield, Indiana. It directly hit the “Dunns Bridge I & II” solar projects, destroying a significant portion of the facility. According to Report 24, approximately 2.4 million solar modules were damaged or destroyed. Aerial footage showed rows of panels ripped from the ground and twisted metal frame.

The facility is valued at approximately $1 billion. According to sources, manufacturer warranties often exclude tornado damage, potentially leaving the operator (NIPSCO) or customers with a massive bill for reconstruction, unless the government steps in with a bailout plan.

Report24 highlights the “toxic risks” of the sdestruction, suggesting that broken panels could leak heavy metals or other hazardous substances into the soil and groundwater.

The central point of the article is a critique of “green” infrastructure, pointing out that a nearby coal power plant remained unscathed by the storm, showing that traditional energy sources are more resilient and reliable than solar energy.

Report 24 is highly critical of “climate fanatics” and “green ideology,” framing the event as proof that renewable energy infrastructure is too fragile and expensive for practical long-term use. But Germany’s leaders refuse to acknowledge this reality, insisting that green energies are plentiful, cheap, reliable and that the real problem is that not enough has been invested in them.





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New Study Finds Warming Saves Lives…Cold Temperatures 12 Times More Deadly Than Excess Heat

By on 30. March 2026

Because cold temperatures are so much more dangerous to human health than warmth, a modest 0.5°C warming could save over 10,000 lives per year in the US.

A new study indicates that from 2000 to 2020 there were 6,129 annual deaths attributable to excess summer heat across 1,514 US counties (representing 91% of the United States’ adult population).

Heat-related deaths receive the vast majority of media attention due primarily to the assumption that humans can control the temperature of the ocean and surface air by emitting more or less CO2.

However, the real health risk – even in wealthy countries like the US – is not “global warming,” but exposure to cold temperatures in winter.

This same study reveals there were 72,361 deaths per year attributable to exposure to 21st century cold temperatures in the US.

In other words, cold winter temperatures are associated with 12 times more deaths (40.1 deaths per 100,000 person-years) than deaths linked to excessive heat (3.4 deaths per 100,000 person-years).

Because the US has continued to have “extreme winter events” in the 21st century and “unusually cold winter snaps” in the South, the “cold related deaths in the US have increased by 9% per year over the past two decades.”

Non-optimal temperature-related deaths have been increasing, with cold non-optimal temperatures far more deadly.

Image Source: de Oliveira Salerno et al., 2026

Interestingly, a Google search using the data from this study and a hypothetical 0.5°C increase in mean annual US temperature indicates, per AI, that this modest warming could potentially save “several thousand to over 10,000 lives” per year.

Image Source: AI via Google

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German Science Blog Accuses PIK Climate Institute Of Hallucinating Climate Tipping Points

By on 29. March 2026

A new post from the German climate science blog Klimanachrichten titled: “The Hallucinated Acceleration: How the PIK Crafts a Climate Catastrophe Out of Data Noise” sharply criticizes recent findings and public statements released by the climate ultra-alarmist Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK).

Image created by Grok AI 

The central thesis of the Klimanachrichten article is that the PIK (and specifically certain high-profile scientists associated with it) is interpreting natural fluctuations in climate data—what the Klimanachrichten calls “data noise”—as evidence of a permanent and accelerating climate catastrophe. Klimanachrichten argues that these “accelerations” are statistically insignificant or within the realm of historical natural variability.

Klimanachrichten writes that the PIK uses selective data periods (“cherry-picking”) to create the illusion of a sudden tip in the climate system. By focusing on short-term trends or specific regional anomalies, the blog argues that the PIK ignores longer-term contexts that might show a more stable or cyclical pattern.

The “tipping point” narrative

A significant portion of the Klimanachrichten post is dedicated to debunking the concept of “tipping points” (Kipppunkte). The PIK misuses these concepts as a psychological tool to instill fear and influence policy than as a strictly proven scientific reality. Klimanachrichten describes these tipping points as theoretical constructs that lack robust empirical backing in the current observational data.

Ideological bias and “science-policy” blurring

The blog post concludes the PIK has moved away from objective science and toward political activism. It argues that the institute’s primary goal is to provide scientific-sounding justifications for radical economic and social transformations (the “Great Transformation”), and little else.

Media amplification

Klimanachrichten also criticizes the mainstream media for uncritically adopting the PIK’s “alarmist” narratives, often as settled science. Journalists fail to ask critical questions about the underlying data, leading to a public perception of a climate “emergency” that Klimnachrichten believes is not supported by the raw evidence.

Conclusion

The Klimnachricten post summarizes its position by stating that the perceived “acceleration” of climate change is a result of flawed statistical modeling and institutional bias. It calls for a return to a more “sober” analysis of climate data that accounts for natural cycles and acknowledges the limitations of current climate models. The author’s ultimate conclusion is that the “climate catastrophe” is a narrative construction rather than a data-driven inevitability.





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