Summer Refuses To Appear Over Much Of Europe...Snow Disrupts Tour De Suisse

Summer Refuses To Appear Over Much Of Europe…Snow Disrupts Tour De Suisse

Where’s summer?

Glaciers in German Alps get a boost as winter appears in June. Image: Zugspitze webcam shot, June 12, 2024 ca. 9 pm.

By Klimanachrichten

The German DWD Weather Service is asking itself the this question and has no summery prospects until mid-June 2024.

The unsettled, sometimes very wet and predominantly cool weather of the last few weeks will continue in the coming days. But when is an end to this general weather situation in sight and where in Europe is there currently bathing weather with summer temperatures? The general weather situation in Europe has been pretty entrenched for weeks. A constantly regenerating high-altitude trough over western and central Europe has ensured a cool and sometimes very wet weather phase. Over the past few weeks, this has led to precipitation in some areas, some of it heavy, which led to flooding in the south and south-east last week, as well as in the south-west in May.

At the weekend, a weak intermediate high pressure system ensured stable and warm early summer weather, at least in some areas. Yesterday, the summer mark of 25 degrees was reached or just exceeded in some areas, especially in the south and east in the lowlands. The front-runner was Simbach am Inn with 28.4 degrees. But even that will be over again in the coming days. The reason for this is a new extended high-altitude trough, which is gradually spreading from Scandinavia to Central Europe. Another wave of subpolar air will flow into western and central Europe on Tuesday. This will cause temperatures at 850 hPa (around 1.5 kilometers above sea level) to drop below 0 degrees in some places, meaning that highs in large parts of northwestern and central Europe will mostly be below 20 degrees in changeable weather conditions.”

  1. The cold weather also has an impact on cycling. The Tour de Suisse has to be changed because some passes are still not free of snow.

“The sixth of eight stages of the Tour de Suisse with finish in Blatten-Belalp has to be shortened. The stage that was originally planned as the queen’s stage will start on Friday, June 14, at the Goms Nordic Center in Ulrichen and will not cross any Alpine passes. Originally, the stage should have led from Locarno over the Nufenen Pass, which at 2421 meters above sea level would have been the roof of the tour, into Valais. However, because the heavy snowfall made it impossible to cross, an alternative route via the Gotthard and Furka passes was considered.”

We recently reported on the snow situation in the Alps.

New Study: East Antarctica’s Ice Sheet Thickening, Gaining Mass – Especially Since The 1980s

A collection of 85-year-old photographs reveal “growth and stability” of the East Antarctic ice sheet.

Per a new study, more than 2200 historical aerial photos of a 2000 km stretch of ice in East Antarctica have been recently uncovered. The rare images reveal what the glaciers in this region looked like in 1937.

Interestingly, the photos show all these East Antarctic glaciers have remained stable, thickened, gained mass, and/or increased in elevation over the last 85 years, with much of the growth and mass gains occurring since 1985.

There has been no warming in this region since the 1950s. This suggests that “global warming” plays a minimal role in ice thickness changes.

“The terrestrial regions of the EAIS respond mainly to atmospheric forcing. Overall, there has been no significant trends in annual or seasonal mean air temperature in East Antarctica since the 1950s, and mean austral summer air temperature (December to February) from stations in all regions rarely exceeds 0 °C (Fig. 4C). This suggests that surface melting have played a minimal role in the documented ice thickness changes overtime.”

Image Source: Domgaard et al., 2024

Deputy Leader Of Germany’s Centre-Right Party: Country In A “Green Fairy Tale World”

The Deputy Leader of Germany’s Christian Democratic Union Jens Spahn warns that the current socialist-green government is leading the country into a “green fairy tale world” and sharply citicizes the country’s the nuclear phase-out.

CDU deputy leader, Jens Spahn. Image cropped here.

In an interview with on Deutschlandfunk radio, he said: “It was a green fairy tale world where the facts were twisted.”

“The CDU and CSU parliamentary group executive has decided to set up an investigative committee. The parliamentary group still has to vote on this. At least a quarter of the members of the Bundestag must vote in favor – the CDU/CSU has enough seats to make this possible,” reports Germany’s Blackout News here, citing (welt: 04.06.24).

The CDU’s change of heart on nuclear power comes as a surprise to voters who still have a memory: It was Angela Merkel’s CDU party that led the phaseout of nuclear power in a panic response to the nuclear disaster at Fukushima in March, 2011. The CDU’s recent reversal is a strong indication of just how dire Germany’s energy situation has become.

Spahn also criticized the current socialist green government, saying its ministries are run like NGOs and asked “whether there was a green system of governance that placed party interests above those of the country.”

The CDU deputy leader also accuses the current government of “dishonesty” and says transparency is urgently needed.

Merchants Of Panic. Data Reveal That Damages From Weather Have Not Risen

At the online Die Welt, science journalist Axel Bohanowski reports on: “How insurance companies and the media are misleading with weather disasters.” 

Image cropped here

Hat-tip: Klimaschau here.

The rise in property damage often gets blamed on climate change, especially by click-baiting media and greedy insurance companies.

But Bojanowski says it’s misleading to blame climate change, noting: “Global economy has grown by more than 400 percent since 1990, and so there’s a correspondingly greater amount of property. Moreover, the global population has risen by 3 billion people since the 1980s, thus a weather event hits more people and residential areas than before and so more damage is caused.”

Other factors driving up the amount of damage is inflation. Bojanowski reports: “Studies have been showing for a long time that this not much increase in damage is left when increased property values and inflation get deducted from the weather damages.”

The Die Welt article also quotes Prof. Roger Pielke Jr. of the University of Colorado, who said: “There’s no indication that economic damage is increasing due to weather and climate catastrophes.”

When all factors get correctly taken into account, there in fact appears to even be a decrease in economic damage.

Bojanowski’s article has been online for over a year, yet no one has come out to rebut this good news.

It turns out that climate panic is good business for media and insurance companies, but it is not based on fact or real data. It’s more a scam than science. The climate catastrophe is nothing more than a lucrative business model.

New Study: Western Greenland Was ‘1.5-2°C Warmer Than Today’ During Medieval Warm Period

A new West Greenland temperature reconstruction (Strunk et al., 2024) finds the region was 1.5 to 2°C warmer than today from 560 to 1100 CE, encompassing the Medieval Warm Period (MWP).

The LOI (vegetation abundance) record reflects a much wetter, greener landscape during the MWP.

Image Source: Strunk et al., 2024

Author Of New Paper: No AMOC Collapse…”Should Dissuade People From Climate Doomism”

The ice sheet and the Atlantic overturning circulation (AMOC): No Alarm

AMOC. Source: Woods Hole

By Frank Bosse

We hear it over and again: the melting ice in Greenland due to warming will soon lead to a collapse of the AMOC, making it difficult for it to “restart”.

The salt content in the north is critical because the salt-rich tropical water cools down and sinks due to the higher salt content, which is the “pump” that makes circulation possible in the first place. It also transports very large amounts of heat into the North Atlantic.

Scenarios  have been published that calculate a drastic cooling of the greater area (especially Europe) around it if the AMOC is “switched off”. The “Day after Tomorrow” scenario.

A more recent summary of these “tipping point” assumptions comes from Prof. Rahmstorf. It refers to reconstructed phases of such collapses, especially during “Heinrich Events” in the last ice age. At that time, large quantities of icebergs advanced far to the south, where they melted and thus probably brought the AMOC to a standstill through sweetening.

New paper finds no alarm

A completely new paper sheds light on these events in detail and reconstructs the freshwater inputs very precisely. A very detailed discussion can be found here.

It finds a decisive difference in the situation during the last ice age and the present: whereas at that time the ice entered the Atlantic primarily in the form of icebergs from the large continental ice sheets, in the present it is Greenland – the island supplies the lion’s share of the freshwater. This has consequences: as the glaciers continue to melt and retreat further inland, fewer and fewer icebergs are released and more and more liquid water is released. This has a major impact on the AMOC. Icebergs are much more “effective”. They briefly freeze the surrounding surface seawater, which leads to warming of the water below, as ice insulates against temperature loss to the (cold) atmosphere. Due to the large mass of the icebergs, they also travel much further south before they melt and finally disappear, leading to much larger-scale sweetening.

The paper concludes that the iceberg discharges from Greenland will not last long enough to drive the AMOC into collapse. Another reason for this is that it was much weaker in ice ages than at present anyway. The lead author of the study is quoted as saying:

This is good climate news that will hopefully dissuade people from climate doomism.”

So whoever reads something about the “soon to dry up North Atlantic Current” and the catastrophic effects in the future: The current piece in “Science” files this under doomsday fantasies (“doomism”).

The Claim ‘Exxon Knew’ Their Products Induced ‘Catastrophic Climate Impacts’ In The 1970s Is Bunk

In the 1970s and 1980s ExxonMobil did not know that their reports would be so wrongly misinterpreted in the 2010s.

Since 2015, when “investigative journalists” uncovered reports written in the late 1970s by ExxonMobil’s Science Advisor J.P. Black, it has been a common talking point in alarmist circles to insist that “Exxon Knew” about the looming climate catastrophe imposed by continuing to use their petroleum products.

“ExxonMobil had known that burning fossil fuels would lead to potentially catastrophic climate impacts as early as the late 1970s.”

Exxon disputed climate findings for years. Its scientists knew better.

The accusation is that Exxon was pushing their products knowing full well – with certainty – how much damage they caused.

Exx0nMobil 1977 Report

But if one were to actually read these internally published scientific reviews, it would be difficult to find even a hint of this definitive certainty pertaining to the science of climate change in the 1970s.

In the most notorious 1977 review (the written report was published in 1978), J.P. Black emphasized there is considerable uncertainty whether the increase in CO2 was all or even mostly due to fossil fuels. The fundamental claim that fossil fuels drive CO2 level changes was still considered a never-validated assumption, as nature may contribute more to CO2 increases than human  fossil fuel emissions do.

“The CO2 increase measured to date is not capable of producing an effect large enough to be distinguished from normal climate variations.”

“A number of assumptions and uncertainties are involved in the predictions of the Greenhouse Effect. At present, meteorologists have no direct evidence that the incremental CO2 in the atmosphere comes from fossil carbon.”

“There is considerable uncertainty regarding what controls the exchange of atmospheric CO2 with the oceans and with carbonated materials on the continents.”

“The conclusion that fossil fuel combustion represents the sole source of incremental carbon dioxide involves assuming not only that the contributions from the biosphere and from the oceans are not changing but also that these two sources are continuing to absorb exactly the same amount as they are emitting. The World Meteorological Organization recognized the need to validate these assumptions…”

“…biologists claim that part or all of the CO2 increase arises from the destruction of forests and other land biota.”

“…a number of other authors from academic and oceanographic centers published a paper claiming that the terrestrial biomass appears to be a net source of carbon dioxide for the atmosphere which is possibly greater than that due to fossil fuel combustion.”

Image Source: Black, 1977 (ExxonMobil Science Advisor)

The report also says that if the globe warms as predicted by models of doubling the CO2 concentration:

“…there will probably be no effect on the polar ice sheets.”

The Greenland ice sheet will experience “increased precipitation and actually result in the growth of this ice sheet.”

For East Antarctica’s ice sheet, doubled CO2 “would not affect this very large glacier and…it too might increase in size.”

Climate models are “primitive” and incapable of handling important aspects of climate.

“Modeling climatic effects is currently handicapped by an inability to handle all the complicated interactions which are important to predicting the climate. In existing models, important interactions are neglected.”

And there are benefits of a warmer climate around the world.

In a warmer world, “precipitation would increase. On a global scale, this should result in the lengthening of the growing season. Growing seasons are expected to increase about ten days for every 1°C increase in temperature.

Exx0nMobil 1982 Report

The 1982 ExxonMobil report continued to express uncertainty about the origins of the CO2 increase, saying nature may be a net source of CO2 to the atmosphere.

There was also no consensus on the detection of a CO2-induced temperature warming, as a majority of climatologists at the time thought CO2’s impacts would not be detectable until 2000.

“A number of climatologists claim that they are currently measuring a temperature signal (above climate noise) due to a CO2 induced greenhouse effect, while the majority do not expect such a signal to be detectable before the year 2000.”

And most importantly, Exxon still did not know climate catastrophe was the inevitable consequence of using petroleum products in the 1980s. They suggested otherwise, saying we can adapt to the changes. The consequences of fossil fuel burning are uncertain and in need of further study. No “specific actions” need be taken until we learn more.

“…society can adapt to the increase in CO2 and this problem is not as significant to mankind as nuclear holocaust or world famine.”

“Given the long term nature of the potential problem and the uncertainties involved, it would appear that there is time for further study and monitoring before specific actions need be taken.”

Image Source: Glazer, 1982 (ExxonMobil Manager, Environmental Affairs)

Half Of German E-Car Buyers Regret Their Purchase Or Lease!

Many Germans regret their purchase or lease of an e-car and Germans overall are increasingly unwilling to consider them. 

Citing an article published in the online, Blackout News reports: “Half of German e-car owners regret their purchase or lease”.

Apparently German e-car owners are disappointed due especially to “rising electricity prices”.

Recently we reported here that the German e-car industry was “a crisis headed for a catastrophe” and that sales were plummeting.

Q1 2024, EV sales declined some 14.1% compared to Q1 of 2023.

e-car targets now a fantasy

Meanwhile sales of conventional engine cars have risen strongly over the same period. According to Blackout News, the share of electric cars sold from the entire automobile mix was just 12.2 percent. and new e-car registrations in the current year are “down significantly”.

Customers overall remain wary of e-cars and no sales boost is in sight. This means Germany will fall far short of its electric car targets.

According to Renate Köcher from the Allensbach Institute for Public Opinion Research: “In the long-term trend, e-mobility has always been in the minority, but now we have reached a new low.”

Oops…Cleaner Fuels Mean Less Clouds, More Warming!

Better air temporarily warms the atmosphere

Earth's atmosphere

Image: NASA (pubic domain)

By Klimanachrichten

An interesting article in Spektrum about a development that we have already reported on here. Apparently there is a connection between cleaner fuels for ships and cloud formation, which means more sunshine and higher temperatures.

However, the reduced content of atmospheric sulphate aerosols has ensured that the cloud droplet density has decreased considerably. This in turn led to a darkening of the sea clouds, which reflected less solar radiation back into space. The team calculated the greatest reduction in aerosol concentration for the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea and the South China Sea – regions with the busiest shipping routes. According to the study, the new regulation represents a strong temporary shock to the planet’s net heat uptake. “The effect is consistent with the recently observed strong warming in 2023 and is likely to make the 2020s anomalously warm,” the researchers say. Accordingly, IMO2020 could give global warming a significant boost in the coming years. According to the modeling, a warming rate of 0.24 degrees could be expected for the decade – more than twice as much as the average since 1880.”

And because what should not be cannot be, the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research warns. What a surprise.

Independent researchers are critical of the study, however, as the observation period is too short. In addition, the increase in man-made greenhouse gases continues to play the decisive role in climate change. ‘Caution is required,’ Anders Levermann from the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) told dpa. If you look at an effect for such a short period of time, it is generally more prone to error than for longer periods of time.”

Megafossil Carbon Dating Indicates Sweden Was 2-3°C Warmer Than Today During The Last Glacial

“Modern warming is within natural Holocene climate variability” – Kullman and Öberg, 2024

From about 16,800 to 6000 years ago warmth-dependent tree species grew 300-700 altitudinal meters higher than they do today on Mt. Åreskutanthan, Swedish Scandes.

Due to the well-known warmth threshold for boreal tree species and the lapse rate (0.6°C per 100 m), recovering birch, spruce, and pine megafossil remains at much higher elevations than today’s treeline altitudes affirms much warmer-than-today climates during the late last glacial and through the early Holocene, when CO2 ranged from 190 to 255 ppm.

“It is increasingly evident that common boreal tree species grew close to this summit in a climate, 2-3°C warmer than at present, during the Lateglacial and early Holocene periods 16 800- 6000 years ago.”

The scientists point out that such early dating for warmer-than-today climates has been viewed as controversial, as it is assumed the Earth had not sufficiently warmed or deglaciated until about 11,000 years ago, near the official starting timeline for the Holocene. But the carbon-dating of tree megafossils is regarded as a much more reliable data collection method than pollen analysis and terrestrial cosmogenic nuclide analysis, so these results are robust.

“Moreover, Mt. Åreskutan has been in the centre of a controversy concerning the date of deglaciation and late-glacial arboreal performance. Kullman (2000, 2002) presented robust megafossil data, showing unequivocal presence of mountain birch (Betula pubescens ssp. czerepanovii), spruce (Picea abies) and pine (Pinus sylvestris), as early as about 16 000 cal. a BP, close to the summit 300-400 m higher than present-day treelines.”

While there has been warming in this region recently, the warming is “within natural Holocene climate variability” and poses no threat to these landscapes. Instead, warming may enhance biodiversity in this region.

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) promulgates a contrasting “alarmist and dystopic” viewpoint of warming as a “serious and imminent threat to man and planet Earth” as they simultaneously “downgrade natural climate history and rely more on immature and unvalidated numerical models.”

Image Source: Kullman and Öberg, 2024

For good measure, another new Scandinavian study (Salonen et al., 2024) indicates today’s temperatures in northern Finland are among the coldest of the last 8000 years (see “Present-day value” dashed line). Much of the Holocene – as well nearly all of the last interglacial (LIG) – was 2 to 2.5°C warmer than present.

Image Source: Salonen et al., 2024

Met Office Warns: Extremely Wet Summer…After Warning Droughts Would Become More Frequent

Climate science keeps contradicting itself

Climate change causing both wetter and drier summers? UK’s Met Office warned government that the 2024 summer could see 50 days of rain!

In the summers of 2018 and 2022, for example, Europe was hit by drought, and government-paid experts and media blamed man-made climate change. Many claimed that drought would be the future for British and European summers.

For example, the UK’s Met Office warned:

As global temperatures rise, there is a risk drought will become more frequent in the UK. Data available here.

Winters across the UK are projected to get wetter, while summers are expected to become drier. However, it is the distribution of this rainfall that will determine future UK drought risk.

Today: prepare for “at least” 50 days of summer rain!

Ironically, it has just been reported by news site LBC here that the Met Office now has warned the government “to prepare for at least 50 days of rain in the next three months, leading to fears over further flooding in the UK and dashing any hopes of a warm British summer.”

All the talk of climate-change induced droughts has shifted to drenched summers!

“Last summer saw 40 days of rain, but the Met Office expects this summer to be even worse, jeopardising popular summer events such as Wimbledon, Trooping of the Colour, Royal Ascot and many festivals including Glastonbury,” LBC adds.

More rain and more drought in the summer

The reason for all the expected rain, according to the LBC site: global warming.

“Climate change is largely to blame for the UK’s wetter weather. As the atmosphere warms, it holds more moisture – around 7% for each degree.”

Ironically, the wettest ever summer ever in the UK occurred in 1912, which saw rainfall on more than 55 days. At the time, the UK was about a degree Celsius cooler and so the atmosphere was capable of holding 7% less water. Why would it rain more back then?

Met Office concedes forecasts are not possible

It’s becoming glaringly clear that climate science is indeed full of contradictions and theoretical errors. Climatic statements can’t be taken seriously anymore.

Hours later, the Met Office tried to backpedal, telling here that it “has had to come forward to shut down reports that the UK is reportedly set for 50 days of rain this summer” and: “It is not possible to forecast a specific number of days of rain for the whole of summer.”

“When looking at forecasts beyond five days into the future, the chaotic nature of the atmosphere starts to come into play – small events currently over the Atlantic can have potentially significant impacts on our weather in the UK in several days’ or weeks’ time,” the Met Office told Tyla.

New Study: China’s Loess Plateau 7-8°C Warmer Than Today For Much Of The Last 4000 Years

Scientists refer to the Middle and Late Holocene’s much warmer and wetter regional climate as “favorable,” “optimal” and “the best.”

New research from a Loess Plateau study site identifies mean annual temperatures as 9.86°C today, while annual precipitation averages 531 mm. These values are shown to be among the coldest and driest of the last 5000 years.

In contrast, for the period extending from 2700 years ago to the last few centuries the mean annual temperatures were 17.02°C. This is 7.16°C warmer than present. The mean annual precipitation was 903 mm for this Late Holocene period, which is about 70% higher than today’s.

From about 4700 to 3900 years ago there were periods when mean annual temperatures varied up to 18.46°C, which is 8.6°C warmer than present.

The authors of this temperature and precipitation reconstruction note that the naturally warmer and wetter Middle and Late Holocene millennia were “the best,” most “favorable,” and “optimal” climate period when compared to the drier and colder climates of recent centuries.

Image Source: Guo et al., 2024

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