The preliminary data from the approx. 2000 DWD German national weather service have been tabulated for autumn (September-October-November) 2023. It is the second warmest in Germany since measurements began in 1881.
The period from January to November 2023 is also in second place with an average of 11.2 °C. Uwe Kirsche, spokesperson for the German Weather Service (DWD): “We still have to wait for December, but 2023 is also likely to be another one of the warmest years in Germany.”
Though the autumn was warm and wet, it ended on a wintry note as the country has been hit by a cold snows Arctic blast over the past week.
For example, Germany’s northern neighbor, Denmark, the city of Copenhagen yesterday saw the “coldest November night” in 100 years, reports Scott Duncan at Twitter:
Brrrrr…. We just observed the coldest November night in Copenhagen (Denmark) 🇩🇰 in over 100 years.
At 11.5 °C, the average temperature for the autumn of 2023 was +2.2 degrees above the 1991-2020 mean. “Severe frosts of -10 °C in the eastern low mountain ranges formed the wintry autumn finale,” reports the DWD.
Rainiest in over 2 decades
The DWD also reports that it was the rainiest autumn since 2002, as 257 liters of precipitation per square meter (l/m²) fell. That’s around 35 percent more than in the reference period from 1991 to 2020 (190 l/m²). November was extremely wet with around 126 liters per square meter (l/m²) – double of what is normal.
It’s safe to say that Germany’s drought is over. Much of the November precipitation will seep deep into the soil.
Autumn 2023 in Germany also was also about 25% sunnier than normal, with a mean of 392 hours of sunshine. November, on the other hand, was cloudier than normal. The sun shined just 42 hours, i.e. 25% less than normal.
…when using the same assumption-based methodology to arrive at the conclusion only 0.5% of scientific papers reject AGW.
In a new study, six scientists (Dentelski et al., 2023) effectively eviscerate a methodologically flawed 2021 study (Lynas et al.) that claims 99.53% of 3,000 scientific papers examined (by subjectively classifying papers based only on what is written in the abstracts) support the anthropogenic global warming, or AGW, position.
The Lynas et al. authors begin with the assumption that a consensus on the human attribution for global warming not only exists, it is ensconced as the unquestioned, prevailing viewpoint in the scientific literature. So their intent was to effectively quantify the strength of this assumed widespread agreement by devising a rating system that only assesses the explicit rejection of AGW in the paper’s abstract as not supporting the presumed “consensus.”
Of the 3,000 papers analyzed in Lynas et al., 282 were deemed not sufficiently “climate-related.” Another 2,104 papers were placed in Category 4, which meant either the paper’s authors took “no position” or the position on AGW was deemed “uncertain”…in the abstract. So, exploiting the “if you are not against, you are for” classification bias, Lynas and colleagues decided that the authors of these 2,104 scientific papers in Category 4 do indeed agree with AGW, as what is written in the abstract does not explicitly state they do not agree.
Interestingly, if this classification bias had not been utilized and the thousands of Category 4 (“no position” or “uncertain”) papers were not counted as supporting AGW, only 892 of the 2,718 (climate-related) papers, or 32%, could be said to have affirmatively stated they support AGW. So, simply by assuming one cannot divine the AGW opinions of authors of scientific papers by reading abstracts, it could just as facilely be said that 67% (1,826 of 2,718) of climate-related papers reject AGW.
Dentelski and colleagues also point out that by their own analysis, 54% of the papers they examined that were classified by Lynas et al. as only “implying” support (Category 3) for AGW or Category 4 (“no position” or “uncertain”) actually described a lack of support for AGW in the body of the paper itself. But since this expressed non-endorsement of AGW was not presented in the abstract, these papers were wrongly classified as supporting AGW anyway.
To fully grasp the subjective nature of the methodology employed by Lynas and colleagues, Dentelski et al. uncover the internals of the study indicating 58% of the time two independent examiners did not agree on numerical classification scale (from 1 to 7) for a paper. If two people agree just 42% of the time when classifying papers, it cannot be said that the rating system is sufficiently objective.
The Lynas et al. paper appears to be little more than an exercise in propaganda.
Europe’s best start to a ski season in a long time
Contrary to mainstream groupthink, reality is once again smacking climate alarmism in the face.
Recently, ski resorts from the French Alps down to the Italian Dolomites reported almost a meter of fresh snow, resulting in a historically early start to the European ski season.
And the forecast sees much more through early December.
Absurd notions that Europe’s favorite winter sport is a thing of the past have suffered a setback after temperatures across the region fell off a cliff in November, back to a “crisp climate like in the 1990s,” reports goodnewsnetwork.org.
Fukuoka, Japan, sees earliest snowfall in 40 years
On Sunday, November 19, Fukuoka Prefecture on the northern coast of the Japanese island of Kyushu experienced early snowfall.
Record cold and snow in recent weeks in East Asia – namely in northeast China, Mongolia and eastern Siberia – has now crossed the Sea of Japan and brought exceptionally early snowfall to the north of the country.
According to the Japanese Meteorological Agency, the earliest snowfall since November 1983 was recorded in the city of Fukuoka.
Two fatalities caused by a snowstorm in Bulgaria
A drop in temperature, strong winds and heavy rain/snow caused severe damage across much of Bulgaria on Sunday, disrupting power supplies and claiming at least two lives.
Eastern Bulgaria was the worst affected and residents said they had never experienced such extreme weather.
A state of emergency was declared in the Black Sea city of Varna as the torrential rain turned into heavy snowfall and blizzards.
30 cm of fresh snow in California
It snowed heavily at higher altitudes in California over the weekend, with over 30 cm of snow accumulating in the mountains.
Along the California/Nevada border, an early winter storm brought 30 inches of snow to Mt. Rose Ski Tahoe, another 18 inches to Mammoth Mountain Ski Base and 10 inches to Palisades. The NWS office in Reno also saw flakes fall to below 5,000 feet.
A winter weather warning was issued for the Ruby Mountains and the East Humboldt Range, where the total snowfall amounted to almost 50 cm.
Study: CO2 uptake, vegetation on the rise
Plants will have absorbed 20% more carbon dioxide by the end of the century than originally predicted, according to a new study, which even some mainstream media admits “climate models overestimate how fast the planet will warm”.
Trinity College Dublin said its study, published in the journal Science Advances, painted an “uncharacteristically positive picture for the planet” after finding that climate models had not accounted for all elements of photosynthesis.
Mainstream science had proclaimed that “climate change” was likely to weaken the process, but the new research shows that plants will continue to efficiently absorb carbon dioxide, produce extra nutrients and so continue to thrive.
Arctic sea ice is doing fine
From Antarctica to Greenland to the Arctic, global ice is doing well.
“There is a 75 percent chance that the entire north polar ice cap could be completely ice-free during some summer months within the next five to seven years,” said Al Gore in 2009.
Let’s take a look at developments up to November 20, 2023:
It’s clear to see that the Arctic sea ice extent is currently above the average for the period 2011-2020 and is rapidly approaching the average for the period 2001-2010. In fact, today’s extent of 10.019 million km² is higher than at the same time in 2009 when Gore made his prediction:
From polar bears to hurricanes, snowfall and climate-related deaths – all the theories of the climate alarmists are ultimately disproved by reality.
Climate charlatans like Gore and Gates can’t be wrong on so many issues for so long and still retain the platform they have without dubious media manipulation. The only reason the reputations of these public figures have not yet been dragged through the mud is because they 1) dutifully push the agenda and 2) believe everything printed in the legacy media.
Polar outbreaks in America, Europe imminent
The models appear to be fairly confident here: cold air of Arctic origin will affect both North America and Europe.
It’s getting colder in Brazil
According to the latest GFS runs, it will remain anomalously cold in Brazil over the next few weeks:
Chart: GFS
This is indicative of the longer-term cooling trend recorded by the country’s temperature stations.
The only weather station in Brazil with continuous data going back to 1900 is located in the eastern city of Quixeramobim in the state of Ceará, explains Tony Heller on X. According to NASA data, the temperature station in Quixeramobim shows a cooling since 1960.
Australian heat exaggerated
There is a lot of reporting about the heat and forest fires in Perth.
The exaggerations and propaganda are as captivating as the licking flames and swirling embers. But, as always, a quick fact-check destroys the scaremongering. A thin red spot [indicating heat] is not proof of a “climate crisis”:
According to the satellite data, there’s been a cooling trend of -0.13 °C per decade since 2013.
Heavy snowfall in Eastern Europe, much more expected
After three days of snowfall, the Russian Volga region was buried under 30 cm of snow – an unusually high amount for November.
The November norm for the city of Ulyanovsk, for example, is 8 cm, but a week before the end of the month, 24 cm of snow had already been measured.
Winter a month early
In Izhevsk, the capital of the Republic of Udmurtia, the snow drifts are also “a month ahead of the calendar”, reports gismeteo.ru.
Further west, Belarus has declared the danger level “orange”, as heavy snowfall is forecast over the Norwegian Sea. On November 23, strong winds and snowstorms hit most of the country. Icy roads were reported in the western regions, as well as in the capital Minsk.
Northern hemisphere snow cover trends up
These snow amounts will contribute to another above average snow season for the Northern Hemisphere:
Variations in the greenhouse effect are predominantly modulated by water vapor and cloud cover. CO2’s role in the greenhouse effect is so minor it cannot be discerned.
For decades scientists have reported that a CO2 concentration of about 300 ppm can only increase the downwelling longwave radiation (DLWR), or greenhouse effect, by about 1.5 W/m² at the surface. See, for example, the complementary studies by Ramanathan (1981) and Newell and Dopplick (1979).
“The infrared flux dominated by CO₂, as is well known, is only about 10% of that controlled by water vapor. The decrease in infrared flux from the surface to the atmosphere due to the increase in CO₂ ranges from 1.0 – 1.6 W/m².” – Newell and Dopplick, 1979
With the total DLWR value assessed as ~330 W/m² , this means that CO2’s 300 ppm (~1.5 W/m²) impact can only enhance the greenhouse effect by around 0.5%. Nearly all the rest is dominated by water vapor (and cloud).
“Carbon dioxide…increasing downwelling LW radiation by ~1.5 W/m². It is about 0.5% of the 327 W/m² of overall downwelling radiation that warms the Earth’s surface. The vast majority of that warming is contributed by water vapor. Together with cloud, it accounts for 98% of the greenhouse effect.” – Physics of the Atmosphere and Climate (textbook)
New research (Koutsoyiannis and Vournas, 2023) published in the Hydrological Sciences Journal serves to further affirm the minor, even non-discernible role of CO2 within the greenhouse effect.
Using DLWR data from 71 globally distributed sites, these scientists assesses the post-1900 increase in the CO2 concentration (from 300 ppm to 420 ppm) “has not altered, in a discernible manner, the greenhouse effect.”
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If CO2 concentration increases were to enhance the greenhouse effect – and thus be considered the driver of modern warming – there should be a change in data point distribution (displacement) in alignment with CO2 increases along the equality line as shown in the DLWR data set chart (Figure 2). This has not occurred.
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“An enhancement of the greenhouse effect, due to increasing CO2 concentration, through the years would be seen as a gradual displacement of the points from left to right with the progression of time. However, the alignment of the points of the different data sets does not show a gradual displacement from left to right. This means that the effect of the direct CO2 emission at the surface is smaller than the side effects…causing the variability in Figure 2, and thus it is impossible to discern.”
In fact, the opposite of what should happen with an enhanced greenhouse effect has been slightly more discernible in data sets. All-sky (clouds included) DLWR trends at the top of atmosphere (TOA) have actually been shown to be declining in 21st century CERES observations, as they are “slightly negative for all-sky.” In other words, the 2000-present greenhouse effect has been weakening despite increasing CO2 concentrations.
“…the negative trend of G [greenhouse effect anomalies] indicates that the atmospheric greenhouse effect is temporarily [1985-1999] decreasing, despite the fact that greenhouse gasses are increasing.” – Cess and Udelhofen, 2003
If the greenhouse effect has not been enhanced since the 1980s, it cannot be responsible for modern warming.
Overall the NOAA had been forecasting a very mild winter for this year. But that forecast has been cooled down a bit, at least the early part of the winter.
The NOAA’s latest GFS run has substantially cooled the temperature outlook for December. In its earlier projection, it saw December in Europe coming in 1 to 2°C warmer than the long-term mean:
But using the latest available intimal conditions, the NOAA has a completely new mean temperature forecast for December 2023:
The December projection for Europe as whole comes in almost 2°C COOLER. That’s quite an impressive correction.
So unstable are models that attempt to look into the nea5r future of a chaotic system that they know far more little about than they like to make the public believe.
Currently the GFS foresees “extreme cold wave around St. Nicholas in Central Europe,” reports Snowfan. “Now also the German DWD sees lots of snow. Analysis: With -20°C extreme frost on the Zugspitze and -27°C in NE Europe. ECMWF and GEM remain with plenty of snow in Germany at the beginning of December 2023. DWD: Snow low pressure “OLIVER” is on its way to Germany. ECMWF remains with early winter cold wave in Central Europe until well into December. NCEP remains with increasingly wintry cold in large parts of Europe.”
But, as the NOAA longer term weather forecasting has shown, there’s always a great amount of uncertainty. Anything under 5 days can be considered a forecast, and everything beyond 10 days is just weather speculation.
Analysis of CO2 residence times suggest 65% to 96.5% of the CO2 concentration increase since 1958 is natural.
According to a new study, the claim that increases in atmospheric CO2 are driven exclusively by humans relies on a made-up, disparate accounting model, with the residence time for natural emissions 3 to 4 years (which is consistent with actual observations), but CO2 from human sources is claimed to have a residence time of 50 to over 100 years.
The 15 to 30 times longer residence time for human emissions is an imaginary conceptualization that is wholly inconsistent with (1) bomb tests (1963) and (2) seasonal CO2 variations found in real-world observations.
Human emissions account for under 5% of the total from all sources, natural and anthropogenic. Nature’s sinks do not decide which CO2 to absorb, depending on the source. Absorption is instead proportional to the source.
Consequently, Dr. Harde insists that a “comprehensive analysis and reproduction of the atmospheric CO2 evolution requires to…treat all emissions in a consistent manner.”
When the imaginary-world 50-100+ years residence time for anthropogenic CO2 accounting method is not used, and instead natural emissions and human emissions are treated as equal (both with a residence time under 10 years), the attribution for the CO2 increase falls to as little as 3.5%, with the upper limit 35%.
Ferdinand Engelbeen, a long-time proponent of the position that humans are 100% responsible for CO2 concentration changes, published a Comment in the same journal, replying to the above study. Engelbeen claims natural emissions are always 100% balanced by natural sinks, and “there is zero contribution from natural sources and sinks to the increase in the atmosphere.”
Dr. Harde then published a Reply to Engelbeen, explaining that his position employs “circular reasoning,” and that the assumption that nature contributes zero to CO2 concentration change is “nonsense and misses any scientific basis.”
Harde further explains that treating the residence of CO2 as equal for anthropogenic and natural emissions allows for the conclusion that natural emissions add 31.2 ppm/year to the increase, whereas humans add 5.5 ppm/year. The natural contribution to the CO2 increase since 1958 is thus nearly 6 times greater than that from humans.
Hydrogen will be the technology that will ultimately solve all the world’s energy woes, so claim those who are finally realizing that a lithium battery powered economy is a pipe dream after all. And, so must the green economy show go on.
But not so fast. Hydrogen has its drawbacks
Blackout News reports that the green hydrogen project Westküste 100 in Heide, Germany, has been “halted prematurely”. The reason: It’s just plain uneconomical. Obviously, despite having been told hundreds of times already, planners are just finding out that energy from green hydrogen is just too expensive.
According to the Westküste 100 press release: “After intensive examination of all general conditions, the joint venture will not make a positive investment decision. This is due to the increased investment costs and the associated major economic risks.”
High costs
“The ‘Westküste 100’ electrolysis plant project was terminated prematurely three years after the start of the project. Raffinerie Heide, Ørsted Deutschland and Hynamics Deutschland have announced that they will not be building an electrolyzer,” writes Blackout News. “The main reason for the decision against the 30-megawatt plant is the high construction costs, according to the companies in a press release.”
The Westküste 100 project’s aim was to develop and implement a regional hydrogen economy on an industrial scale. Green hydrogen was supposed to be generated based on renewable sources of energy (wind power and photovoltaics), using a 30-megawatt (MW) electrolyzer, To achieve this goal, regional and international companies from industry, development and research merged, to produce, store, transport and utilize green hydrogen, according to Westküste’s website here.
Millions in subsidies wasted
Now it turns out that, despite millions in subsidies, the project is a money loser. The project was started in 2020 and was to be funded to the tune of 36 millions euros from the government.
“Despite the funding, the economic viability of the plant for green hydrogen production on an industrial scale is not given, according to the investor consortium,” summarizes Blackout News.
Yet, Environment Minister Tobias Goldschmidt (Green Party) insists that the “Hyscale 100” electrolyzer plant – which is 3 times larger than Westküste 100 – will continue with the support of the state government. It is still in the planning phase.
No market, costs not right
Jörg Kubitza, Managing Director of offshore wind company Ørsted-Germany, said there was no economic viability for the project and so the Danish company opted out. “The costs had to be right and a market had to be created, which was not the case here.”
The city utility in Heide had planned to provide “green heating” by mixing the green hydrogen with natural gas. “This project has now also been discontinued as a result of the electrolysis plant being abandoned,” reports Blackout News.
Appropriation of 60 billion euros ruled unconstitutional by Germany High Court
After Germany’s Ministry of Health had been granted 200 billion euros of spending to combat the Corona pandemic, it ultimately ended up spending only 140 billion, thus leaving 60 billion unused. Health minister Karl Lauterbach (Socialists) and economics and environment minister Robert Habeck (Greens) moved to spend the 60 billion euros on climate projects.
Illegal funneling
Germany’s ministers Habeck and Lauterbach tried to pull a fast one, and to funnel the unused money for other purposes, namely climate and transformation projects that would make Germany more green and climate friendly.
Unconstitutional! That’s what Germany’s top court just ruled, and the government has now imposed a “spending freeze on new expenditures, especially green initiatives,” reports euronews.com. This has thrown Germany’s budget into chaos.
At the stroke of a pen and a blink of an eye, Germany’s Ministry of Economics and Environment is suddenly missing $60 billion euros it had planned to use to finance the many green transformation projects. Germany’s climate program has just crashed spectacularly into a wall.
The government has also since ordered a “spending freeze on new expenditures, especially green initiatives,” according to euronews.com here. The consequences are horrendous.
Projects “may be on the brink of collapse”
For example, because billions are suddenly unavailable, chip factories in Magdeburg and Dresden may be on the brink of collapse, according to the online Berliner Zeitung here. “Previously, this amount had been kept aside to be used for renewable energy subsidies, energy-efficient housing, chips production and support measures for high-energy companies.” But the German top court rules it unconstitutional.
Longterm budget in total disarray
“The top court’s ruling has thrown German Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s coalition government’s 2024 budget announcement plans on Friday into disarray. The impact could also extend to financial plans until 2027, as the government now has to make do with €60 billion less,” reports euronews.com.
Nius.de here comments: “The real kicker, however, is that the Federal Constitutional Court’s decision is likely to affect not only the so-called ‘climate and transformation fund’ of the federal government, but also other ‘special funds’ of the federal government, from which it wants to pay electricity subsidies for industry, for example, after initially borrowing a lot of money to destroy the reliable energy supply in Germany.”
Millennial-scale Arctic sea ice reconstructions do not corroborate alarmist claims of unprecedented sea ice losses in modern times.
Using sea ice biomarker proxy (IP25), scientists (Kolling et al., 2023) have determined that the sea ice extent in the Labrador Sea was nearly absent throughout the year (close to 0.0 μg/gTOC) for much of the last 9,000 years. The sea ice was lowest (~0.1 μg/gTOC) 9,300 to 8,900 years ago, and low (~0.4 μg/gTOC) from 7,500 to 4,000 years ago.
In contrast, modern sea ice now lasts 23 weeks per year and is the highest in the last 9,000+ years (~1.6 μg/gTOC).
The lack of a trend in sea ice loss across the Labrador Sea is consistent with observations that show the region has not warmed in the last 70 years (Yashayaev and Loder, 2017).
Other scientists (Wu et al., 2020) determined that from about 14,000 to 8,000 years ago, when CO2 lingered near 250 ppm, the Beaufort Sea (Arctic) was “nearly ice free throughout the year” (<0.2 PIP25) and ~4°C warmer than today in winter.
With modern (1988-2007) CO2 at ~400 ppm, this region is 70-100% ice-covered (>0.8 PIP25) for 10 to 11 months per year.
Svalbard sea ice has expanded to its highest extent of the Holocene (11,700 years ago to present) during the last 500 to 700 years (Allaart et al., 2020).
The Holocene’s sea ice maximum just developed during modern times, as the authors note there has been an “increase in IP25 concentrations after c. 0.7±0.2 cal. ka BP, with a maximum in the modern sediments.”
A study site northeast of Svalbard, scientists (Brice et al., 2020) find today’s sea surface temperatures of “<0°C” are at least 4°C colder than they were just a few thousand years ago, when the Arctic was sea ice free for all but “a couple of months” every year.
Today’s sea ice monthly duration (~11 months per year) and summer sea surface temperatures (zero degrees Celsius) are among the highest and lowest (respectively) of the Holocene.
The real target isn’t your convenience or climate protection. Instead it will be the ability for them lock people down whenever they want.
There’s a lot of talk about 15-minute cities. Everything you need will be located within a 15-minute walk from where you live. Who would not want that kind of convenience!
Often shown are promotion images of 15-niunte city dwellers, happily pedaling the bikes under blue skies, carrying out their daily lives with ease and comfort.
However, EU Parliamentarian Christine Anderson warns what 15-minute cities are really about: the total control of people via QR codes.
Target: lockdowns anytime they want
“Make no mistake. It’s not about convenience,” says German EU Parliamentarian Christine Anderson. The 15-minute cities are what will be needed, however, before they can implement the real target: locking people down anytime they want.
In Great Britain: “They will be able to impose a climate lockdown. That’s the next step; that’s what we’re talking about. ”
Anderson predicts: “It will be a complete impoverishment and enslavement of all the people.”
The biggest lie about 15-minute cities is the promise you’ll have access to “everything you need” will be practically right next door. The truth will be, however, “everything you need” will be defined as inly the bare essentials needed to stay alive: water, 1200 calories a day and a controlled temperature. Anything else will not necessarily be a short distance away, and could involve substantial obstacles to procure – possibly even involving government-issued permits to purchase.
A giant concentration camp
If you consider the Saudi Arabian NEOM project, as Anderson explains, one can easily imagine what a hell and prison they could turn into.
Is it ever going to work?
It’s 99.9999% sure it’ll never work. Already cities and communities are beginning to roll out their 15-minoute concepts. Wait a year or two after their implementation, and it’ll quickly emerge what a naïve idea it all is. Everywhere else will quickly realize what a failure these cities are and will rise up and resist following along.
The 15-minute cities are just the latest wacky idea from far-out political loonies. In truth they will become fertile grounds for rebellion and revolution, and this time it’s not going to take 70 years for the people to wake up.
The timing of the dramatic Antarctic sea ice decline during the last deglaciation suggests solar forcing and sea ice retreat “instigated” century-scale climate warming and atmospheric CO2 change. This would appear to challenge the perception CO2 plays a causal role in glacial-interglacial sea ice and climate changes.
From ~21,000 to 19,500 years ago, when CO2 was thought to have been at its lowest point in the Quaternary ice age (~180 ppm), the sea ice surrounding East and West Antarctica completed 50% of its eventual deglaciation-era decline (Sadatzki et al., 2023).
“[I]ndependent lines of evidence supporting that early sea ice and surface ocean changes in the Southern Ocean initiated as early as ~19.5 ka ago (with signs of summer sea ice retreat in our reconstruction as early as ~21 ka ago) and thus (at least) about 2 ka before major deglacial changes in global ocean circulation, climate, and atmospheric CO2.”
The increase in 65°S insolation during these millennia was deemed sufficient to drive this magnitude of sea ice retreat.
“This early increase in local integrated summer insolation at 65°S, which is independent of the longitude, may have thus provided enough energy to initiate melting of the near-perennial sea ice cover in late glacial.”
As the authors of the study point out, the timing of this early sea ice recession was at least 2,000 years before the Antarctic climate began warming (by a magnitude of an eventual 8°C), and before CO2 began rising (by 80 ppm) over the course of the ~5,800-year deglaciation phase (~17,500 to 11,700 years ago).
The millennial-scale lag not only suggests CO2 was not a contributing factor in Antarctic sea ice retreat, but that the the sea ice retreat may have been the factor sequentially “instigating” Antarctic warming and CO2 rise.
“Our findings underpin the instrumental role of changes in the Antarctic sea ice cover in contributing to and possibly instigating changes in Southern Ocean overturning, atmospheric CO2, and Antarctic climate at the last glacial–interglacial transition.“
America’s first Arctic air blast of the season broke hundreds of low temperature records and led to the largest snowpack extent there in early November in NOAA records.
A high snowpack blanketed the Rocky Mountains, northern Plains, Great Lakes and northern New England, resulting in 17.9% of the Lower 48 under a blanket of snow as the calendar turned to November – a new record in the books dating back to 2003.
Many places recorded their snowiest Halloweens ever.
At 22 inches, Muskegon, MI, not only recorded the snowiest Halloween ever, but also the snowiest October day and month. Glasgow, MT, recorded the snowiest start to the season with 36 inches.
The cold broke hundreds of low temperature records across the country, from Texas to Maine, dropping the average temperature in the Lower 48 to -0.5°C – more than 5 degrees Celsius below normal.
Historic November cold grips Argentina, Australia
A late cold spell has hit large parts of South America, especially Argentina. The country recorded the lowest November temperatures since records began.
A number of records for highs and lows have fallen. New lows include the 0.1°C at Córdoba Airport, which broke the record of 2°C set on November 4, 1992, the 1.6°C in Chamical, which broke the record of 4.5°C set on November 9, 2010, and the 2.8°C in Mendova, which beat the 3.2°C set in 1992.
New lows include Gualeguaychú’s 13.8°C, which broke the old record set in 1992, and Paraná’s 13.5°C, which beat the record set in 1936.
The cold was severe, up to 24 degrees Celsius below normal, and it was also widespread, affecting most of Argentina:
Chart: GFS 2m temperature anomaly (°C) from November 2. [tropicaltidbits.com].
In Australia
While it was really hot in the west, the east was freezing. New November lows fell in New South Wales, including -2.5°C in Young and -0.1°C in Parkes.
Cold October in Uruguay
The South American frost at the beginning of November also hit Uruguay, continuing the anomalously cold October. October 2023 averaged between -0.5 °C and -1 °C below the multi-year norm.
Snowstorm claims the lives of shepherds in Mongolia
Last year, cold and snow disrupted the seasonal migrations of shepherds in northern China, Kazakhstan and Mongolia.
Last November, herders in the northwestern Chinese region of Xinjiang died in the lowest temperatures since the 1980s. Hundreds of cattle and sheep froze to death as snowstorms and temperatures as low as a record -48.6°C blew in from the north.
The winter capers in China and Mongolia (which appear again in a news item below) also found their way back into the alarmist blog wetteronline.de.
Record snowfall in China
Trains and buses were canceled and schools closed across northern China as the first major snowstorm of the season hit the country. According to the weather service, the cold front is expected to bring record-breaking snowfall.
Major highways in northeastern cities such as Harbin, the capital of Heilongjiang province, are closed and flights have been canceled, according to Chinese state broadcaster CCTV.
Lots of snow in Anchorage
Anchorage also saw its first major snowfall from Sunday to Monday, with more than 15 cm falling on November 5 alone.
According to the National Weather Service, this was the most fresh snow ever to fall in the city on November 5. The previous record of 10 cm from 1964 was thus clearly surpassed.
New study: Antarctica cools more than 1°C since 1999
Significant cooling in the 21st century in the Central Pacific, East Pacific and almost the entire Antarctic “implies considerable uncertainties in the future temperature projections of the CMIP6 models”. – Zhang et al, 2023
As reported by notrickszone.com, new research indicates that mean annual temperatures in West Antarctica fell by more than -1.8°C between 1999 and 2018. The cooling was most pronounced in spring, with the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) cooling at a rate of 1.84°C per decade.
According to the results of Zhang et al., most of the Antarctic continent has cooled by more than 1°C in the last two decades. See, for example, the cooling trend of ~1 °C per decade for East Antarctica (2000 to 2018) shown here:
It has snowed heavily in the European Alps this week. “It’s looking good,” reports planetski.eu.
Snowfall amounts have exceeded one meter in some areas, with the zero degree line dropping to 1,500 meters.
High levels have been recorded in the northern French Alps, such as the ski resorts of Tgnes, Le Arcs, La Rosiere and Chamonix, while in the western Swiss Alps Glacier 3000 and Verbier, as well as Courmayeur and La Thuile in north-western Italy, have recorded incredible early winter levels.
Numerous European ski resorts have already opened their slopes: 2 in Finland, 1 in Norway, 7 in Austria, 3 in Italy and 3 in Switzerland. More ski resorts were due to open this weekend, including Verbier in Switzerland (on Fri, November 10).
Operators in France are also preparing for an early opening, as the number of requests has increased following the heavy snowfall.
90% of Russia covered by snow
According to the scientific director of the Russian Hydrometeorological Center Roman Vilfand, 90% of Russia is covered in snow.
All of Siberia and the south of the Urals are covered with snow, including Transbaikalia; in the Khabarovsk Territory and Primorye there is an average of 20 cm of snow; on Sakhalin it is up to 8 cm.
Most of Karelia is covered in snow, as is the northern half of the Arkhangelsk region, including Arkhangelsk itself; snow has been accumulating in the Komi Republic for a long time, while in the north of the Perm Krai the snow cover persists.
On the European side, the border of the snow cover runs north of Moscow and St. Petersburg, according to a report by hmn.ru.
“Now we can say that 90% of the territory is covered in snow,” said Vilfand to illustrate the situation.
More record-breaking snow in China
A record-breaking early snowfall has hit northeast China this week, leading to flight cancellations, road closures, train cancellations and school closures.
According to a senior meteorologist at the National Meteorological Center, the first snowfall in northeast China usually occurs between late November and early December, so this week’s snowfall came exceptionally early.
Harbin issued a very rare “red” blizzard warning – the highest in China’s four-tier warning system.
Heavy snowfall hit a number of Chinese provinces, causing widespread disruption.
China’s National Meteorological Service has issued an orange blizzard warning for the provinces of Jilin, Heilongjiang and Inner Mongolia.
The lingering cold is the next problem and workers are now scrambling to restore power and clear snow-covered roads.
This is a ‘proper’ early winter Arctic storm – no wonder the western media won’t touch it.
–40°C in Russia
Following the news that 90% of Russia is covered in snow [see above], the low temperatures are also making an early and ubiquitous appearance.
“The Russian winter is taking its course”, reports gismeteo.ru.
The first -20 °C of the season were measured in Russia on October 11, and the first -30 °C were recorded on October 17.
And now the continental cold has reached a new peak: -40°C.
Last weekend in the Tuguro-Chumikansky district of the Khabarovsk Territory it was -40°C. This weather is considered “very cold” even in the depths of winter, let alone in early November, even by Russian standards.
The cold was not an isolated case either: on November 7, -40 °C was also measured in Tomponsky Ulus in Yakutia:
Source. Gismeteo
According to Gismeteo, this frost will not disappear. On the contrary, it will intensify in the coming days and spread to new areas.
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