Germany’s EIKE Institute Calls “Global Tipping Points Report” Overly Fixated On CO2

By on 9. November 2025

Klimaschau 235, presented by the Germany-based European Institute for Climate and Energy (EIKE) analyzes the new “Global Tipping Points Report 2025” and puts the alarmist reports into perspective.

Just in time for the 30th UN World Climate Change Conference in Belém, Brazil, the second “Global Tipping Points Report 2025” was presented by around 100 scientists, including those from the University of Exeter and the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research.

The report warns of so-called tipping points—stages of negative development from which a process becomes irreversible and self-reinforcing. The purpose of course is to spread urgency.

The central message of the report: The 1.5°C warming limit could be exceeded in the next decade, entering the world into a “high-risk phase.”

Tropical coral reefs, especially the massive Great Barrier Reef off the coast of Northeast Australia, serve as one of the central examples in the report. The narrative suggests the reef has been dying since the 1980s due to CO2, heat, medicinal residues, and sediments from agriculture.

However, the video highlights a counter-position. The real dangers to the corals are primarily tropical cyclones, which occasionally devastate parts of the reefs.

EIKE also calls the claim that the thermal tipping point for warm-water coral reefs— 1.2 °C warming above pre-industrial levels—has already been exceeded and the upper threshold of 1.5 °C could be reached within the next 10 years into question.

Natural recovery occurs

Graphics show living coral coverage reveal natural, cyclical variations. A massive die-off around 2010 (cyclone-induced) was significantly worse than current events, yet the corals recovered as nature finds a way back toward equilibrium.

The drop in coral coverage in 2024 (El Niño-induced) also does not provide grounds to claim a tipping point has been reached. The mass mortality is reversible.

Iffy model projections

The dramatic projections that predict coral bleaching—the expulsion of the coral’s plant symbionts due to excessively warm water—will become extremely frequent in the future (up to the 2090s) are based on computer models of sea temperatures and pH values (e.g., CMIP6). Models, especially those used for future projections, are wrong extremely often.

Klimaschau heavily criticizes these models for their “one-sided fixation on CO2” and the resulting “runaway” predictions. It cites NASA researcher Gavin Schmidt, who emphasized that the scientific community must move away from viewing the raw model average as conclusive.

Conclusion

EIKE summarizes in the video that the panic surrounding corals, released shortly before the UN Climate Change Conference, is mostly “flashy headlines but little substance.”





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2025 Hurricane Forecast Was Overly Alarmist (Again)…Atlantic Season Ending Near Normal

By on 8. November 2025

The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) predicted that an above average Atlantic huricane seacon for 2025.

Now that the season is winding down, we are able to start concluding and summarizing the season: it’s going to come in as near normal activity. The forecast made earlier this year was a bit on the hyped side.

Huricane season forecasts have not really improved, despite all the claims that models are better than ever:

“In my 30 years at the National Weather Service, we’ve never had more advanced models and warning systems in place to monitor the weather,” said NOAA’s National Weather Service Director Ken Graham. “This outlook is a call to action: be prepared. Take proactive steps now to make a plan and gather supplies to ensure you’re ready before a storm threatens.”

NOAA’s outlook for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, which goes from June 1 to November 30, predicted a 60% chance of an above-normal season, and a 10% chance of a below-normal season. The agency forecast a range of 13 to 19 total named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher). Of those, 6-10 were forecast to become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including 3-5 major hurricanes (category 3, 4 or 5; with winds of 111 mph or higher).

Near average season

According to data from the Univestity of Colorado, the season is now slghtly above average (November 7) in terms of accumulated cyclone energy:

Source: University of Colorado. 

Though more activity may occur before the end of the month, currently there are no signs of tropical storms in the Atlantic.

Global overall trend

Alarmists have claimed tropical storm activity would increase with the onset of global warming. Though the globe has warmed over the past 50 years, global cyclone activity has not escalated as feared:

Twleve-month running average counts of global hurricanes (top) and major hurricanes (bottom), 1980 to March 10, 2025. Source: Ryan Maue.

Quite to the contrary, the overall trend has been somewhat downard since 1990, with no real trend since 1970:

Total annual global ACE (which integrates frequency and intensity) 1970 to March 10, 2025. Source: Ryan Maue.

The reality hasn’t cooperated with the alarmist climate hype. It’s been a disapoointing season for catastrophe prophets.





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Greenland Continues To Defy Alarmist Warming And Ice Melt Narratives

By on 6. November 2025

According to a new study, Greenland temperature stations indicate there was an abrupt 2.9°C warming trend from 1922-1932 (10 years) that was almost identical to the 3.1°C warming trend from 1993-2007 (14 years).

Between the two warming periods (identified as WP1 and WP2 in the study) was an overall ~3°C cooling from 1933-1992.

Thus, as the temperature charts from the study illustrate, there has been almost zero net warming across Greenland in the last century.

This temperature trajectory is consistent with the Box (2009) analysis that said “the annual whole ice sheet 1919–32 warming trend is 33% greater in magnitude than the 1994–2007 warming.”

“The course of the AT [air temperature] anomaly between 1900 and 2015 relative to the reference period (1986–2015) at the stations UPV, ILU, NUK, QAQ and TAS, the 20CRv3 area average for the globe, the Arctic, Greenland as well as 20CRv3 interpolated to WEG_L shows two distinguished WPs [warm periods]. These two periods are observed at all stations and show a continuous increase over more than 5 years. Based on this, we determine WP1 between 1922 and 1932, and WP2 between 1993 and 2007. During WP1, the AT anomaly increased on average by 2.9 °C across stations, while in WP2, it increased by 3.1 °C, though WP2 spans a longer period (14 years compared to 10 years for WP1). The average annual increase for both WPs across all stations is 0.2 °C yr−1.”

Interestingly, the authors estimate Greenland ice sheet (GIS) melt has added just 1.08 cm to global sea levels since 1900. This is too small to justify alarmist narratives about dramatic warming and ice melt contributions to sea level rise.

Image Source: Schalamon et al., 2025 (supplemental data)

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Bill Gates, 893 Companies Ditch Climate Initiative…Call For “Return to Economic Rationality”

By on 1. November 2025

Nearly 900 companies—including dozens of large international corporations—have quietly withdrawn from the Science Based Targets Initiative (SBTi), reports Blackout News here.

The move is being touted as an “overdue return to economic common sense.”

Symbol image created by Grok AI. 

The SBTi requires its members to set scientifically validated climate targets, essentially aligning their emissions goals with international standards.

The recent exodus of 893 firms signals a growing discontent. According to the reporting, many companies are questioning the practical feasibility of the initiative’s stringent requirements. The core argument?

Political climate policies that ignore technical and financial limitations end up jeopardizing long-term economic viability and weakening global competitiveness.

ENTIRE ARTICLE AT BLACKOUT NEWS

The message to policymakers is clear: excessive regulations often translate directly into higher operating costs, stalled investments, and declining market competitiveness. For many corporations, their commitment to the SBTi began to feel like “symbolic politics” rather than a sustainable business strategy. The withdrawal is therefore a strategic move—a shift back toward focusing on operational stability and profitability as the bedrock for any meaningful long-term investment.

Great Britain, the USA, and China have seen the highest number of companies ending their participation.

The hundreds of corporate withdrawals mark a pivot toward economic realism and suggests that self-determined, pragmatic strategies are replacing politically mandated ones, asserting that a credible, long-term environmental policy must first respect economic strength.

Bill Gates calls off “humanity’s demise”

Bill Gates’s recently called for a “strategic pivot” in climate change, shifting the world’s primary focus from near-term emissions goals and “doomsday” scenarios to improving human welfare, fighting poverty, and preventing disease in the world’s poorest countries.

He laid out this perspective in a recent memo titled “Three tough truths about climate”. Gates argues that the central metric for global efforts should be improving lives and that climate change, will not lead to “humanity’s demise,” and that a “doomsday outlook” is diverting limited resources from interventions that would have the greatest immediate impact on human suffering.

He also stressed that climate and health efforts often compete for funding in national budgets. He gave an example of this pragmatic view by stating he would choose to: “let the temperature go up 0.1 degree to get rid of malaria” if forced to choose between the two.





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The Antarctic Peninsula Has Cooled By Over 2°C Since 2003

By on 31. October 2025

A new study indicates the Antarctic Peninsula has cooled -2.2°C (-1.2°C/decade) from 2003-2021.

Of the 12 regions of Antarctica analyzed for temperature trends from 2003-2021, 6 cooled and 6 warmed.

These trends undermine alarmist claims of CO2-induced “polar amplification.”

Image Source: Nielsen et al., 2025

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World Getting Fed Up With Europe’s Unsustainable Climate Sustainability Act

By on 29. October 2025

Germany’s online Blackout News reports on a brewing showdown: US and Qatar threaten EU LNG supply over new sustainability law

The European Union’s push for stricter environmental standards is now clashing head-on with its need for energy security.

The EU’s two largest Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) suppliers, the United States and Qatar, have issued a strong warning, threatening to halt critical gas deliveries over the bloc’s proposed Sustainability Act (Nachhaltigkeitsgesetz).

Europe’s Guide to drive out its industry. 

The core issue is the EU’s new due diligence legislation. This law is designed to force companies to scrutinize their global supply chains for environmental and human rights violations, and prove how they plan to align their emissions with the Paris Agreement targets by 2050.

It’s the ever more irrelevant Europe’s way of demanding the rest of the world do as it says. Non-compliance could result in severe penalties for companies, potentially up to 5% of global annual turnover. But the rest of the world is  t about to take it.

Harsh sustainability directive

Europe’s Corporate Sustainability Due Diligence Directive, CS3D) is a proposed regulation that aims to make companies accountable for their impact on people and the planet. In short, it requires companies 1) to scrutinize their global supply chains to identify, prevent, and mitigate adverse impacts on human rights and the environment, and 2) to show how they will align their emissions with the Paris Agreement climate targets by 2050.

But both Washington and Doha view the regulation as a damaging intrusion into free trade and a risk to Europe’s energy supply. They have warned that the current form of the law could lead to a sensitive loss of energy security for the continent.

Already there’s been a mass exodus of industry out of Germany as political leaders remain stuck in climate protection fantasies.

Ultimatum from Key Energy Partners

Qatar’s Energy Minister, Saad Sherida Al-Kaabi, stated that the national energy giant, QatarEnergy, could simply withdraw from the European market if the legislation is implemented as is, calling the potential fines “unacceptable.” This move would place serious strain on Europe’s energy supplies, especially as the EU seeks to completely phase out Russian gas by 2027.

The US is also not going to put up the meddling and with the threat of fines. The US Energy Secretary warns that the regulation could endanger the 2020 transatlantic energy partnership and “impair investments” across partner nations, potentially jeopardizing the supply of American LNG.

Europe will likely stonewall, buy time

The EU now faces a high-stakes balancing act. The proposed law is crucial for upholding the bloc’s global climate goals, but enforcing it would trigger a serious energy crisis and trade conflict with its most vital energy partners. Pressure is mounting within Europe, with key leaders reportedly calling for a delay to the law’s introduction to safeguard fragile energy security. The coming weeks will determine whether Brussels can navigate this complex situation without sacrificing either its climate agenda or its energy stability.

Europe’s strategy will likely involve biding its time while hoping Democrats regain power over the next election cycles.

Article at Blackout News.





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New Study: Great Barrier Reef Coral Cover ‘At Its Highest Since Monitoring Began In 1985’

By on 28. October 2025

Another alarmist narrative debunked by observations.

Coral coverage was supposed to be existentially devastated by the modern tenths-of-a-degree increases in sea surface temperatures and recurring bleaching events.

However, a new study points to assessments of coral cover percentages in the Great Barrier Reef and concludes is “at its highest since monitoring began in 1985.”

Further, the analysis reveals there is “no consistent correlation between rising temperatures and reduced coral cover,” and that “most corals [are] demonstrating rapid recovery” from bleaching.


Image Source: Boretti, 2025

The Australian Government also documents significant decadal variability in coral cover, but no overall trend or decline in coral coverage since the early 1980s.

Image Source: aims.gov.au

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Recent Global Warming Mostly Due To Natural Factors, New Study Finds

By on 26. October 2025

Recent warming is mostly due to natural climate factors…only 1/3 is attributable to the rising GHG concentrations. 

CO2’s impact on warming is likely wildly overstated. 

A recent paper by Ad Huijser, “Global Warming and the ‘impossible’ Radiation Imbalance,” published in Science of Climate Change, presents a detailed analysis that challenges the widely held assumption that rising greenhouse gas (GHG) concentrations are the sole, or even the primary, drivers of recent global warming.

Hat-tip Report 24.

By comparing observed energy trends with theoretical forcings, the study concludes that natural factors play a significant and dominant role in the warming observed since the mid-1970s.

The Discrepancy: GHG Forcing vs. Observed Warming

The study scrutinizes the Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW) hypothesis, which attributes all observed warming solely to human-caused GHG emissions. Using satellite data from the CERES program and Ocean Heat Content (OHC) data from the ARGO float program, the author analyzed the Earth’s Top of Atmosphere (TOA) radiation imbalance—the net energy flux into the Earth’s thermal system.

Natural factors dominate

The central finding is that the assumed radiative forcing trend from GHGs is insufficient to account for the magnitude of the observed TOA radiation imbalance. The discrepancy suggests that another, significant factor must be involved in heating the planet.

The analysis points strongly toward natural forcings, specifically a long-term increase in incoming shortwave solar radiation, as the significant, dominant factor.

The paper’s findings:

Two-thirds of the observed global warming must be attributed to natural factors that increase incoming solar radiation. This is due to a natural forcing trend of about 0.035 W/m2.

Only one-third is attributable to the rising GHG concentrations. This is due to a GHG-related forcing of about 0.019 W/m2.

This increase in incoming solar energy is likely due to natural changes in factors like cloud cover and surface albedo (the reflectivity of the Earth’s surface). The study argues that the observed radiation imbalance correlates strongly with these natural processes, appearing largely unrelated to GHGs.

Implications for Future Climate Policy

The study’s findings show the planet’s warming is largely being driven by external factors (increased solar input) and not solely by an internal atmospheric resistance (GHGs), thus implying a much lower climate sensitivity than that suggested by most IPCC-endorsed Global Circulation Models (GCMs).

This new paper questions the alarmist claims about “heat in the pipeline” and suggests that future warming will be driven by natural forcings as long as they are acting, rather than historical emissions.

It underscores the importance of fully accounting for natural variability, especially in solar input, when evaluating both historical warming trends and the effectiveness of future climate mitigation policies.





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Antarctic Amundsen-Scott Station Sees Coldest October in 44 Years…Mainstream Media Silent!

By on 24. October 2025

This is not supposed to be happening, according to the climate models.

Symbol image: NASA

While the headlines relentlessly holler about “exploding global warming” and “dramatic melting” of the polar caps, the South Pole is telling a starkly different story.

Here reports Germany’s Report 24.

On October 15, the Amundsen-Scott South Pole Station registered an astonishing temperature of minus 61.3 degrees Celsius and it isn’t even winter there. It’s springtime and temperatures  should be on the rise.

Coldest October since 1981

According to Report 24, the numbers are clear: It was the coldest October measured at the station since 1981.

This extreme cold is not an isolated event. As the article points out, even CNN reported in 2021 that the continent had experienced its coldest winter since records began.

The data from stations like Amundsen-Scott, Vostok, and Dome C show that instead of a linear, CO₂-driven heating trend, the South Pole is dominated by naturally occurring, extreme temperature fluctuations, including pronounced cold snaps.

Natural factors dominate

This directly contradicts the dominant narrative that “extreme heat is the new normal” and challenges the core assumption that the trace gas CO₂ is the overwhelming, all-determining factor in our climate system. Climatological mechanisms like stratospheric waves, polar vortex stability, and cloud cover appear to be the actual drivers of weather events.

Even growing colder

For decades, we’ve been told that polar regions would experience the strongest warming. Yet, the Antarctic region has stubbornly resisted, in some parts even growing colder.

The Report 24 article argues that this recurring cold record is a “nail in the coffin of the CO₂ dogma.” If carbon dioxide were truly the dominant climate control knob, such an extreme, decades-long cold minimum shouldn’t be happening.

The underlying models—like the IPCC forecasts from the 1990s—have systematically overestimated temperature trends. When faced with such real-world deviations, one must ask: are the climate models flawed, or is the CO₂-centric theory of climate incomplete?

For those politicians and policymakers who are basing sweeping, economy-altering decisions on the idea that the “science is settled,” the stubborn cold of the South Pole presents a critical challenge that can no longer be ignored.

See full article at report 24 





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New Study Determines It Is ‘Impossible’ For CO2 To Be The Driving Mechanism In Global Warming

By on 24. October 2025

Approximately 75% of the increase in the global ocean heat content must be natural, or attributed to an increase in solar forcing.

The manifestation of what is commonly referred to as “global warming” is predominantly (93%) depicted as an increase in ocean heat content (OHC). Only 1% is indicated by an increase in surface air temperatures. Rising OHC is the parameter of modern warming.

According to Levitus et al. (2012) the 1955-2010 temperature increase corresponding to the rise in OHC amounts to just 0.09°C in the 0-2000 m layer.

A new study calls attention to the abrupt warming and cooling OHC trends since 1955 in this dataset that cannot be attributed to linearly-rising CO2 emissions.

The OHC changes manifest short-term “periods with a very strong +0.8 W/m² (1970-1980) as well as a very strong negative -0.7 W/m² radiation imbalance (1963-1970). But also a period with an almost perfect radiation balance (1980-1990).”

In contrast, the increase in forcing from the gradual rise in CO2 is wholly inconsistent with these dramatic decadal-scale fluctuations.

“[T]he almost constant forcing rate from GHGs [greenhouse gases] cannot have triggered these abrupt radiation imbalance shifts [and therefore] the dramatic radiation balance shifts must have been triggered by natural events.”

It is estimated that ¾ of the rising ocean heat content (OHC) trend since 1955 must be natural, or due to the “rising solar input” associated with the decline in cloud (and aerosol) albedo. In sum, rising CO2 “cannot explain the observed [OHC] trends.”

Image Source: Huijser, 2025

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Energy Expert Vahrenholt: Hamburg’s Zero CO2 By 2040 Is “A Fundamental Attack On Prosperity”

By on 17. October 2025

“Catastrophe in the Making”

Hamburg’s lunatic referendum result will devastate it as an industrial city, ban conventional heating systems…add 350 euros a month to residential rental costs by 2040!

In a recent interview with Apollo News, published just after the October 12th climate referendum in Hamburg, Germany, climate expert and former Hamburg Senator for the Environment Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt provided a scathing assessment of the city’s decision to pursue climate neutrality by 2040, calling it a ‘Catastrophe in the Making’.

Will mean an end to the city’s prominence

Vahrenholt immediately labeled the outcome—approved by just 23% of eligible voters—as a “catastrophe.” Vahrenholt, a member of the SPD socialist party, argues that making Germany’s largest industrial city carbon-neutral by 2040 means a devastating end to essential economic activities.

The referendum’s outcome will effectively ban diesel-powered container ships and forces the closure of production in aluminum, copper, steel, and the city’s refinery operations.

Ban of conventional heating systems

Beyond industry, the resolution dictates a shift away from gas and oil heating and bans combustion engine vehicles. Prof. Vahrenholt warns that the necessary retrofitting and conversion of housing will result in average rent increases of approximately €350 per month, a significant burden on tenants.

Other experts comment that most of Hamburg residents don’t realize what the decision will really mean.

Huge price…absolute zero impact on global climate

From a geopolitical standpoint, Vahrenholt argues that Hamburg’s climate goal is completely ineffective, noting that since Hamburg contributes a tiny fraction (0.001%) to global CO₂ emissions, the city’s savings will simply be burned elsewhere in the world, where gas and oil become cheaper due to reduced demand. The practical outcome, he stresses, is that the city’s industry will lose its competitiveness. Jobs will be outsourced to other parts of the world, like China or the US, where production is cheaper, thus undermining the local economy without benefiting the climate.

Hamburg mayor caters to yuppies – must resign

As a long-time member of the Social Democratic Party (SPD), which historically championed the working class, Vahrenholt directed his harshest criticism at the current political leadership. He accuses Hamburg’s Mayor Peter Tschentscher (SPD) of “dodging” and failing to issue a single critical statement during the crucial decision-making process. Vahrenholt claims this negligence was the main reason the referendum narrowly passed.

Citing a “fundamental failure” in a critical question that impacts thousands of workers and tenants, Vahrenholt outright demanded the mayor’s resignation.

SPD socialists have long alienated working class base

The climate and energy export attributes the party’s current stance to a structural change in its membership, arguing the SPD has alienated its working-class base and is now dominated by young, urban professionals who “live off the work of others.” In his view, the SPD has deliberately chosen to subordinate the interests of industrial workers to the “climate diktat.”

“Madness” will be rejected

Despite the law being passed, Vahrenholt is convinced that the resolution will not stand. He predicts that once the “actual madness” and “fundamental attack on the prosperity” of the city’s residents become tangible—when heating bills skyrocket and jobs vanish—there will be a “fundamental rollback.”

He expects the citizens to hold the supporting parties (the ruling coalition of SPD and Greens) politically accountable, stating they will be kept far away from the city’s levers of power for years to come.

Vahrenholt is not alone. Other critics, who see a silver lining, have pointed out that Hamburg will serve as the sacrifice city that will showcase to the rest of Germany the absurdity of mandating a carbon-free society.





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New Study Contradicts The Alarmist Narrative That Says The AMOC Is Catastrophically Collapsing

By on 16. October 2025

Alarmists claim that, due to anthropogenic climate change (AGW), the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is weakening to the point that it’s on the verge of collapsing. It’s claimed this will lead to abrupt cooling and extreme weather in the North Atlantic region.

But the author of a new study points out that changes in sea level trends are a useful proxy for detecting AMOC variability over time.

Interestingly, from one side of the Atlantic to the other, or, specifically, from the coasts of New York to the coasts of France, mean sea level rise has been stable, not accelerating, since 1960.

This affirms the stability of the AMOC and contradicts the narrative that the AMOC is on the cusp of collapse.

“…a negligible difference in absolute sea level rise between these locations [The Battery, New York, and Brest, France] reinforces the stability of the AMOC within the period 1960 to 2024. These findings challenge claims of AMOC weakening.”

Image Source: Boretti, 2025

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