A new statistical probability analysis (Hatton, 2026) using Vostok temperature data indicates the reported 1.1°C global warming over the last century (since the 1920s) is “not even unusual” within the context of the last 20,000 years, as “16% of the centuries since the end of the last Ice Age show a rise at least as big [1.1°C] as the current century.”
As modern warming rates are “quite commonplace,” this calls into question the push to attribute temperature changes to human activity.
For further context, the Northern Hemisphere is said to have warmed by 4-5°C “within a few decades” 14,500 years ago (Ivanovic et al., 2017), and during these centuries sea levels rose at rates of up to 7.5 meters per century (Smith et al., 2011), which is 20-30 times faster than modern rates.
Climate changes fostered by “unforced natural climate variability” may be more than an order of magnitude larger than the climate changes commonly attributed to anthropogenic forcing.
The warmer Greenland climate endured for centuries, and the ice sheet’s meltwater contributed to the 20-40 m of sea level rise during these interstadial periods.
Greenland’s abrupt climate changes were likely induced by circulation shifts in ocean heat storage linked to the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), which were, in turn, triggered by volcanic forcing and spontaneous, random “internal variability” or “noise”.
“…the AMOC can undergo spontaneous transitions between these [climate] states solely due to internal noise”
“…unforced natural climate variability can modulate the likelihood of a transition occurring under volcanic forcing”
In contrast to the dramatic climate shifts tied to volcanism and “unforced natural climate variability,” modern Greenland has not warmed (net) in the last 100 years despite the foreboding “anthropogenic forcing” that we have been warned about since the 1980s.
Furthermore, the Greenland ice sheet has contributed just 1.2 cm to sea levels from 1992-2020. This is a far cry from the dozens of meters of meltwater contribution induced by internal climate variability, volcanic forcing, and/or “noise” throughout the last glacial.
Media, “experts” blame global warming for surging glaciers!
The article from Germany’s online Merkur discusses a seemingly paradoxical but dangerous phenomenon in the context of climate change: glacier “surges” (sudden advances).
Symbol image of a Karakoram glacier, generated for illustration purposes only by Grok AI.
While glaciers worldwide are said to be shrinking due to global warming, there are a number of exceptions. Some are growing suddenly at extreme speeds, extending up to 100 times faster than usual.
The reported sudden advances are said to be triggered by unstable mechanical conditions inside or at the base of the glacier. For example, meltwater can act as a lubricant, causing the ice to slide. The rapid movement can cause massive amounts of ice to become unstable and break off.
Moreover, the advancing ice masses can block valleys, causing lakes to form behind them. If these natural dams burst later, devastating flood waves hit lower-lying regions.
The focus is particularly on high mountain ranges such as the Karakoram (Asia), parts of Alaska, and Svalbard. In the Karakoram, scientists observe the “Karakoram Anomaly,” where many glaciers remain stable or are exhibiting dangerous surges despite global warming.
However, researchers emphasize that these advances are not a sign of glacial recovery or an end to global warming. On the contrary: they claim that climate change is altering glacier dynamics so significantly that such unpredictable and dangerous events may occur more frequently or intensely.
They conclude that these growing glaciers are not a reason to relax regarding climate change; instead, they represent a new, life-threatening danger for mountain regions by significantly increasing the risk of natural disasters.
“The climate change is rewriting the rules of the game: Glaciers are suddenly growing and becoming hotbeds for disasters,” writes the Merkur. “These advances are not a sign of recovery, but rather a symptom of extreme instability in the ice system.”
Experts are claiming that these glacier surges are not caused by more snow falling, but by the ice becoming so unstable that it loses its grip on the ground and “slips” forward at high speed, often leading to floods and landslides.
The Sahara Desert has shrunk, satellite images confirm…evidence of a real ecological shift
For decades, the narrative surrounding the Sahara was one of unstoppable desertification—a vast, arid landscape slowly swallowing everything in its path, including Europe alarmists have warned.
In the past, satellite imagery was often too “blurry” to detect individual trees in arid regions. Sparse vegetation was frequently overlooked, leading to an underestimation of the actual biomass.
By using high-resolution satellite data and deep-learning algorithms, scientists have now been able to count individual trees and shrubs. The results are stunning: there are billions of trees in areas previously thought to be mostly barren. This isn’t just a correction of old data; it’s evidence of a real ecological shift.
Why is the Desert Greening?
Several factors are driving this “greening” effect at the world’s largest hot desert. Firstly, in certain regions of the Sahel, precipitation levels have risen over the last few decades.
Scondly, the CO2 Fertilization Effect: While rising CO2 levels are claimed to be a major driver of climate change, they are definitely a potent fertilizer for plants. Higher CO2 concentrations allow trees to use water more efficiently. They can keep their pores (stomata) partially closed to prevent evaporation.
Thirdly, shifts in how often fires occur in these regions have allowed young saplings to reach maturity instead of being destroyed in their early stages.
Why Does This Matter?
This findings have profound implications for our planet: More trees mean more carbon dioxide is being pulled from the atmosphere. Trees provide shade, reduce soil erosion, and help retain moisture in the ground, making the environment more livable for local communities.
Moreover, a greener landscape supports a wider variety of insects, birds, and mammals, strengthening the local ecosystem.
This reminds us that nature is resilient and that our understanding of the Earth’s ecosystems is constantly evolving. The desert is not just a place of sand and heat—it is a place of hidden life, slowly reclaiming its ground.
Warming across Germany in the last 3 decades can be explained by declining cloud and aerosol albedo and consequent rising solar radiation. Not CO2.
Another new study affirms clouds and aerosols play a key role in explaining trends in solar surface radiation (SSR), which is “essential for the global energy cycle driving the climate system.”
Over Germany, five independent observational datasets all agree that SSR increased by 4 W/m² per decade (~10 W/m²) from 1995-2020.
A 4 W/m² per decade increase in SSR easily explains recent warming. It especially explains warming far better than the alleged 20-times smaller clear-sky-only CO2 impact (0.2 W/m² per decade) over this span.
Supporting this new research, a 2024 study (Wacker et al.) utilizing a German “testbed site” reports total and direct shortwave (SW) radiation forcing rose by 3.5 and 9.3 W/m² per decade, respectively, from 1996-2021.
The article from Blackout News here reports on how a severe fire was triggered by an electric car at a charging station in Schwaigern (Baden-Württemberg) on February 16, 2026.
Symbol image generated by Grok AI: Electric car on fire at a charging station.
Avoid parking next to electric cars
Blackout News reports that an electric car connected to a public charging station caught fire on Monday morning and the fire quickly spread to a motorhome parked next to it. Since the motorhome contained gas cylinders, the intense heat triggered several explosions!
Multiple other cars in the immediate vicinity were damaged by the flames and heat. Two buildings were damaged as well -one directly adjacent residential house and a building on the opposite side of the street. Property damage was estimated to be in the mid-six-figure range. The report describes a local “inferno”.
According to Blackout News, extinguishing the fire proved difficult due to the burning EV battery, which required continuous cooling to prevent reignition.
Electric cars are notorious fire risks, banned in some parking garages, ferry lines
It’s little wonder that some ferry companies and parking garage operators have introduced bans or restrictions on electric vehicles (EVs). The primary reason cited is fire safety as electric vehicle battery fires are notoriously difficult to extinguish once they start, especially in confined spaces like ship decks or underground garages.
Several shipping companies have made headlines by banning or restricting EVs: In 2023, Havila Kystruten (Norway) shipping line made the high-profile decision to ban electric, hybrid, and hydrogen cars from its coastal ferries. They argued that their onboard firefighting systems were not equipped to handle a battery fire and that such an event could endanger the ship and passengers.
Since April 2024, the Greek Shipping Ministry has implemented a regulation for many ferries where EVs and plug-in hybrids are only allowed on board if their battery charge is 40% or lower. This is to reduce the risk of “thermal runaway.”
Alaska Marine Lines recently introduced a ban on EVs and plug-in hybrids on its vessels, citing the lack of specialized firefighting equipment at sea.
BC Ferries (Canada) recently introduced a policy prohibiting non-operational (towed/broken-down) EVs from boarding, due to the inability to verify if the battery has been damaged (which increases fire risk).
Parking garages
In 2024, the UK Parliament banned EVs from its underground parking facilities as a “precautionary measure” following a fire safety assessment.
At various times, small numbers of parking garage operators in Germany (e.g., in Kulmbach or Leonberg) made headlines for banning EVs after local fire incidents. However, many of these bans were later lifted or challenged because modern building codes and fire department equipment have evolved to handle such risks.
Instead of a full ban, many newer garages now require EVs to park in specific “monitored” zones near exits to allow easier access for emergency services.
Hotter, difficult to extinguish
The risk is that lithium-ion battery fires burn much hotter than gasoline fires. And when they are on fire, they release toxic fumes (like hydrogen fluoride) that are dangerous in enclosed spaces. Moreover, an EV battery can appear to be extinguished but reignites hours or even days later, which is particularly dangerous on a ship in the middle of the ocean.
Pollen-reconstructed New Brunswick (Canada) spring temperatures affirm the Medieval Warm Period or Medieval Climate Anomaly (MCA, 900-1400 CE) was 1°C warmer (3.2°C vs. 2.2°C) than both the Little Ice Age (LIA, 1400-1850 CE) and modern period (1850 to present).
Other sites in this region also show no net warming since the 1800s and 1-3°C cooling from the MCA to the LIA.
This new research also identifies a higher frequency of natural forest fires during the LIA cooling period than the warmer MCA.
Euronews.com here reports that coal is expanding rapidly as again more than fifty large coal-fired power plant units were connected to the grid worldwide.
Coal power plants rapidly came on online worldwide. Symbol image, created by Grok AI
China is showing less concern for CO2’s possible impact on the climate and went ahead and commissioned significantly more coal-fired power plants than in previous years.
“China added a total of 78 gigawatts of new coal-fired power capacity last year – a significant jump compared to previous years,” reports Euronews, citing a joint report by the Centre for Research on Energy and the Clean Air and Global Energy Monitor.
So what was behind the coal power boom last year?
Apparently China got frsutrated by blackouts in 2021 and 2022 and thus moved to build reliable coal-fired power plants. Obviously the massive quantity of installed wind and sun capacity failed to keep the lights on constantly and reliably. The 78 added gigawatts are equivalent to Germany’s total demand for power.
But that still won’t be enough. The report says the construction of a further 83 gigawatts of coal-fired power capacity also began last year.
While Europe shuts down, China and the rest of the world are expanding their coal-fired power generation rapidly.
For the last 3000 years the Beaufort Sea region has had “permanent sea ice.”
According to a new study, there was “no sea ice” in the Arctic’s Beaufort Sea from 11,700 to 8200 years ago.
During this period, summer sea surface temperatures (SSTs) averaged ~7°C, varying up to 9.6°C.
“The Early Holocene (11.7−8.2 ka) is characterized by relatively higher sea surface temperature, lower salinity, and no spring/summer sea ice until 8.5 ka on the Beaufort Sea slope.”
Modern summer SSTs average 3°C in this region, which means SSTs are at least 4°C colder than they were during the Early Holocene.
From approximately 7000 to 5000 years ago (the Mid Holocene), seasonal sea ice was present in this Beaufort Sea region.
For the last 3000 years, sea ice has been present year-round.
“…permanent sea-ice cover on the slope after 3 ka.”
This new study echoes a 2020 study (Wu et al.) indicating the Beaufort Sea had “dominantly ice free conditions” and SSTs were over 4°C warmer than today during the Early Holocene.
Tropical days at De Bilt, version 0, 1 and 2 (staves) with non-linear trendline (orange solid line).
The trendline was calculated by the LOESS-function with span=20 points. Source: Clintel
In 2016, he KNMI updated its historical temperature data for the De Bilt weather station (the national reference point). Using a process called homogenization, they had adjusted old temperature readings downward to account for changes in measurement methods and station relocation. This process effectively removed 16 out of 23 recorded heatwaves between 1901 and 1951, leading to the public narrative that heatwaves were much rarer in the past than they are today.
KNMI had overcorrected the data – cooling the past
A group of four researchers associated with Clintel, led by Marcel Crok, challenged these adjustments. They argued that the KNMI had over-corrected the data. Their primary criticisms were:
The KNMI compared De Bilt with a station 150 km away (Eelde) using a method that was arguably unsuitable for such a distance, and
The KNMI used short comparison periods, which skeptics claimed introduced bias.
After the KNMI initially dismissed a 2019 report by the skeptics, the group published their findings in a peer-reviewed journal (Theoretical and Applied Climatology) in 2021. They demonstrated that by using different, more robust parameters—such as comparing De Bilt to more than one station and using longer timeframes—the number of “tropical days” (above 30°C) was significantly higher than the KNMI’s adjusted figures.
Following years of pressure and the peer-reviewed publication, the KNMI updated its homogenization method. According to the article, the KNMI’s new analysis—which now uses multiple reference stations (Eelde and Maastricht) and longer 15-year comparison periods—has resulted in the reinstatement of seven of the lost heatwaves.
Significance: more nuanced view of warming
The is a major victory for climate skeptics and a “point of principle.” It restores several intense heatwaves (such as those in 1911, 1947, and 1948) to the official Dutch record.
Clintel proves that official climate “homogenization” can be prone to errors that exaggerate the warming trend by cooling the past.
The authors note that while the “disappearance” of these heatwaves was used to support claims of unprecedented modern warming, their reinstatement provides a more nuanced view of historical climate variability in the Netherlands.
The reinstatement of the heatwaves shows that the KNMI has admitted that its previous adjustments had been too aggressive.
It’s not even mid February, and Germany’s gas storage buffer is already down to 25.5% full, and faces rationing.
LNG Supply Blocked By Sea Ice
German authorities hope to avert a supply shortage by importing gas from the Netherlands and Norway, and shipments of LNG. However, according to Blackout News, the LNG terminal on the island of Rügen is currently out of operation due to a thick layer of ice in the Prorer Wiek and the port of Mukran. Because the shipping channel is no longer safe to navigate, LNG tankers are unable to enter or leave the terminal.
The Federal Maritime and Hydrographic Agency (BSH) reports that wind is pushing the ice together, narrowing the channels. Additionally, navigation buoys have been displaced or pushed under the ice, making safe passage nearly impossible for large tankers.
Spiegelsberger points out that gas storage levels are already very low (approx. 25.5% as of February 10) and, with a daily withdrawal rate of about 0.7% per day, they are rapidly approaching the critical limit of 20%. Below this mark, the pressure in the storage facilities drops so significantly that sufficient withdrawal becomes technically difficult, which can lead to a gas shortage, especially during cold snaps.
Consequence Of Coal, Nuclear Phaseout
Another central problem is that since the shutdown of nuclear power plants, Germany has had to use significantly more gas for electricity generation, thus diverting large amounts of gas away from the heating and industrial markets, emptying storage facilities faster than in previous years.
Germany’s energy woes were compounded by the country’s move away from coal and nuclear power as part as its transition to green energies. According to Spiegelsperger, “We have switched from nuclear and coal now mainly to gas; every day we produce an average of between 15 and 20 GW with gas-fired power plants, which naturally causes the problem that we are now in this—perhaps soon to be—gas shortage situation…”
Merz Bans Gas Debate!
According to the YouTube channel by Alexander Raue, the situation in Germany is so dismal that Chancellor Friedrich Merz has reportedly issued an official ban on debating the current gas crisis until the end of March in order to avoid negatively affecting the ongoing election campaigns.
“D–O signals [10-16°C warming events within decades to centuries] are not just seen in Greenland – they are registered globally.” – Liu et al., 2026
From 57,000 to 29,000 years ago, with Last Glacial atmospheric CO2 concentrations flatlining at ~200 ppm, there were 11 instances when Greenland abruptly warmed by 10-16°C within a span of just 50 to 200 years (Liu et al., 2026).
Wide-ranging pollen-based temperature and precipitation reconstructions affirm these Dansgaard-Oeschger (D-O) events did not just occur in Greenland, they were realized across the globe.
Winter warming intervals of 2-5°C and up to 5-20°C within decades (centuries) also occurred at pollen sites in Asia, Europe, South and Central America, Africa, Middle East, and Australia.
Thus, there is nothing remotely unusual or unprecedented about the rate or magnitude of modern global warming.
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