A new study (Kumar et al., 2021) reports the “overall SST trend in the Weddell Sea is negative” since 1979 and this has occurred in tandem with “the expansion of SIE [sea ice extent].” Another new study (King et al., 2021) reports the oldest temperature stations in Antarctica show a cooling/non-warming trend since 1956.
Antarctica and the Southern Ocean sea ice extent surrounding it continue to defy the government-endorsed modeling that says “polar amplification” should dramatically amplify the global warming signal due to rising greenhouse gases
The green energy future is not green at all, a stunning new documentary shows how corrupt and destructive it is to our environment.
A former KPMG employee in London realizes that the green energy movement is corrupt throughout.
“The whole time things started feeling funny. It was like a glitch. It’s like, this doesn’t feel right. These people are doing these big projects, making lots of money. But they’re not sustainable. You know, these are some of the most ego-driven monsters. There is a lot of dark stuff in these companies’ supply chains. It’s all about money, and they’re using the sustainability agenda as just another tool, another stick to beat their suppliers with.” – Alexander Pohl, former employee, KPMG London. “These people are everywhere. it’s a systemic corruption.”
The Green Movement is based on lies: Man has not become the biggest climate driver, and green energies are not rescuing the environment. The opposite is what’s real.
Marijn Poels latest film, Headwind, shows us that much of the green energies now being installed are irreversibly ravaging the environment and how it’s about corporations making tonnes of money.
What we are told are solutions today will be the environmental disasters of tomorrow.
Shocking threats in Germany…250 on a ‘death list’ are predominantly prominent German conservatives and libertarians, but also include Jews – among them one Holocaust survivor!
Origins appear to be “left-wing extremist circles”
Last Thursday, September 23, a “list of the 250 biggest German misanthropes” began circulating on the Internet and suggested their death as a solution.
The list included critical writers, publicists, doctors, politicians and stars from several political parties who have criticized this or that measure of the Merkel government.
Penned by leftwing extremists?
According to Swiss publicist Roland Tichy, who is on the list, the only consistent common ground is that these people have expressed themselves critically on a variety of issues like immigration, green energies, COVID vaccines and lockdowns.
“Any criticism is dangerous,” says Tichy.
The list is reported to also include German actor Til Schweiger and pop superstar ‘Nena‘ and is suspected to “likely to have been penned by left-wing extremist circles, reports the Austrian exxpress.at. “The authorities are already investigating.”
ZDF’s Jan Böhmermann
Earlier, prominent German ZDF public television contributor Jan Böhmermann started such lists. Many of the names on the latest death list are from his lists.
“I have received several death threats. So far, I have not reacted to them, but I have reinforced doors, secured windows, changed my address,” writes Tichy at his site.
Böhmermann recently popularized the term “misanthrope” in a public discussion with late-night German talkshow host Markus Lanz to forcibly discredit critical positions and people and to exclude them from the discourse. Böhmermann, financed by mandatory public television fees imposed on citizens, introduced the creation of enemy lists, which especially include critics of lockdowns, medical segregation and the COVID vaccines.
“This shows how irresponsibly public television now deals with agitators and haters in their own ranks,” reports Tichy. Böhmermann of the ZDF even (jokingly) called for the murder of publicist Roger Köppel of the Zurich-based Weltwoche, a conservative publication.
“Tremendous brutalization”
“We cannot document the list and the text that goes with it, because we would possibly make ourselves liable to prosecution,” Tichy adds. “For me, it is an expression of the tremendous brutalization of the left-green milieu that dominates this country. I consider it an honor to be on this list.”
Preemptive murder to save future lives?
Conservative Birgit Kelle, also on the list, tweeted an excerpt of the message accompanying the “death list” of the “250 greatest enemies of humanity”:
In the excerpt, the author asserts that the 250 people “are much more dangerous than any animal” and then goes on to wonder: “Would it really be a crime to eliminate 250 people in order to save tens of thousands?”
One Holocaust survivor on the list – left speechless
COVID lockdown critic and independent journalist Boris Reitschuster, also on the list, added a postscript at his site here:
PS: Andrea Drescher, daughter of Jewish concentration camp survivors, just wrote me about this article: ‘On the death list of evil Nazis, besides Henryk Broder and Elias Davidson, two Jews living in Germany, there is also Vera Sharav, a Jewish Holocaust survivor. So Jews are once again being threatened with death by Germans because they don’t fit a narrative. A detail that may have escaped you. Half my circle of acquaintances is on the list, about 100 I know personally. I don’t even know what to say to that anymore!”
Let’s hope that the German authorities rise above politics and do their jobs and root out the author(s) of this dangerous threat. Some parts of history don’t need repeating.
Snowfan rreports here of how parts of western Germany have had 4 nights in a row of surface frost and how new models are even projecting snowfall already in mid October. If that occurred, it would be unusually early.
Globe cooling off
Overall the globe has cooled substantially since the last El Nino ended in 2016, and it now appears the cooling trend will persist another year as the CFSv2 is forecasting a La Niña to continue into spring 2022.
The latest NOAA/CFSv2 projection dated September 23, 2021, indicates La Niña-conditions over the Nino-region 3.4 of the equatorial Pacific.
NOAA forecast from September 13, 2022.
“As a result, the globe will cool further well into the coming year as it has done since 2016. That will mean no warming like the German Greens like to claim for about 7 years,” reports Snowfan.
Scientists continue to find regions of the world where modern “global” warming has not occurred.
Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the South Atlantic (south of South Africa) and Southern Ocean (New Zealand) are colder today than they have been at any time in the last 12,500 years (Shuttleworth et al., 2021).
SSTs were multiple degrees warmer about 4,000 to 5,000 years ago, when CO2 concentrations were lingering near 265 ppm.
At the opposite end of the world, scientists (Allan et al., 2021) have determined the “optimal thermal conditions” for southwestern Greenland were when summer sea surface temperatures averaged about 12°C from 9,000 to 5,500 years ago. This is substantially (6-7°C) warmer than modern summer temperatures (4.0-5.2°C) for this region.
German Green Party chancellor candidate Annalena Baerbock warn sea levels will rise 7 meters by the year 2100…
The German Greens, who weeks earlier surged to the No. 1 position in opinion polls, before falling back behind the socialists and conservatives, like to tell us that we have to follow the science when it comes to policymaking.
That wouldn’t be bad advice, were it not for all the absurd alarmist science out there.
Huge debate gaffe
One example of obscenely absurd junk alarmist science was witnessed during last Sunday evening’s televised debate in the run-up to the September 26 German national elections. Green Party chancellor candidate Annalena Baerbock couldn’t resist the temptation of scaring voters to vote for her Green Party.
She told millions of viewers that global sea levels would rise 7 meters (way over 20 feet) by the year 2100 (unless they voted for her)!
Seven meters of course is far beyond even what the most alarmist experts, like Stefan Rahmstorf of the Potsdam Institute or the NOAA project.
Chancellor candidate Annalena Baerbock’s grossly absurd sea level rise projection compared to scenarios by the NOAA. Many scientists see a rise of only under 0.4 meters, which is a tiny fraction of Baerbock’s preposterous 7 meters.
“The Greens, a party of science? We have deliberately refrained here from evaluating the three encounters between the candidates for chancellor and the candidate so far. We will make an exception for the last debate before the election. It is about a statement by Annalena Baerbock that the sea level will rise by 7 meters by 2100:
‘You are telling a child born today who is 80 years old in 2100, 7 meters of sea rise.’
She presumably means the rise in sea level; we chalk it up to her word-finding disorder. Baerbock was apparently referring to a study by the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research and a university in Norway. The study has been circulating since May. It contains everything one might expect from PIK, namely many tipping points and lots of subjunctives.
Baerbock, however, took it at face value and not as a scenario, by the way, one that the IPCC in its latest report does not even provide for according to the most implausible scenario RCP 8.5. What a pity that the moderators do not prepare themselves for such a program and intervene immediately. Thus, many viewers will probably have already taken a look at the elevation maps of their place of residence, because Annalena Baerbock proclaims an outsider’s thesis as the new truth. It lies thereby however around the factor 7 over the already unrealistic prognosis of the IPCC. No matter, just go after votes with a little fear.”
Last month we looked at July mean temperature data from the stations in northern Europe for which the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) have enough data and found northern Europe (Norway, Sweden and Finland) had seen no mid summer warming in 20 years.
Now the JMA has the data for the same stations for August. Again the trends show late summer has been cooling, and not warming.
What follows are the trends for Finland since 1996:
In Finland, all six stations for which the JMA has sufficient data show a slight to notable cooling since 1996. None have shown warming for the month of August.
Sweden
Next we look at Sweden, home of teen climate doomsday alarmist, Greta Thunberg:
Seven of of 11 stations in Norway have seen cooling. So summers over far northern Europe obviously are not extending further into the fall. Quite the opposite seems to be the trend: fall is encroaching into summer.
And how is September, 2021, shaping up? The following anecdote provides a hint.
September may be “perhaps the coldest of the 21st century”
Earlier today at Twitter Mika Rantanen posted how frost has gripped much of Finland this morning, with temperatures falling to a wintry -6.4°C.
Last night was the coldest one so far during this autumn, with -6.4°C measured in Ylivieska airport.
September 2021 is on its way to perhaps the coldest of the 21st century in Finland. pic.twitter.com/kc3J6ci4CB
A new study shows ocean pH (“acidification”) levels naturally vary seasonally and decadally at rates and magnitudes far exceeding those attributed to anthropogenic activity.
In recent decades the oceans’ average pH level has fallen to 8.1 according to NOAA. This pH value is said to be about one-tenth of a unit lower than it was before modern industrialization (8.2).
Because the oceans are less alkaline than they were at one point in time, the directionality of these pH changes is referred to as an ocean acidification process. Of course, humans are said to be responsible for this. We are allegedly acidifying the oceans, or facilitating the 8.2 to 8.1 decline over the course of the last few centuries, because we humans have caused atmospheric CO2 levels to rise from 280 ppm to 415 ppm since 1750. That’s the allegation, anyway.
But these assumptions seem to be challenged by the results shown in studies authored by the very scientists promoting the human-caused ocean acidification narrative.
For example, a new study shows pH levels were lower in the 1730s and 1930s-’40s than in 2000, and that the highest pH levels (i.e., less acidic) of the last 300 years occurred in the 1960s to 1980s. Anthropogenic CO2 emissions were negligible to non-existent in the 1730s, and by the 1930s they were only hovering around 1 GtC/year. In the late 20th century, human emissions rates reached about 5 or 6 GtC/year, and yet it was these decades that had the highest pH levels since the early 18th century.
Further, seawater pH in the South China sea varies seasonally, or from about 8.1 in winter to 7.6 in summer. So, within a span of months, the ocean pH varies far more than it allegedly has due to human activity over centuries.
A few other graphs from the Wei et al. (2021) paper show just how ordinary and unexceptional the modern atmospheric CO2 and ocean pH levels are relative to the past.
In the main graph from the below image, notice how minuscule a 400 ppm atmospheric CO2 level and 8.2 to 8.1 pH change (circles on the top left and right) look relative to the changes over the last 25 million years (Ma).
Then notice the wild variations in CO2 reaching 2500 to 3500 ppm between 40 to 60 Ma, and the pH values dipping to 7.4 or 7.5 during this same era. The top right graph shows pH levels dipping to 7.2 and atmospheric CO2 fluctuating by ±1000 ppm from about 182 to 185 Ma.
Given today’s alarmism about ocean acidification driven by high atmospheric CO2 levels, these images beg the question:
How did marine animals manage to survive in such “acidified” waters (7.2 to 7.5) if it’s believed the modern biosphere is threatened by a pH value of 8.1?
The IPCC 6th Report seems to have missed a lot, hasn’t it? Recent publications since the 5th Report show ALL OF ANTARCTICA, including the peninsula, has cooled since the late 1990s.
Friday I wrote about how the entire continent of Antarctica (except its peninsula) was found by leading scientists to be cooling significantly.
The publication by Zhu et al, however, found that the Antarctic Peninsula had been warming – but not a statistically significant rate – over the past 4 decades.
Now in a reader comment Kenneth has brought to our attention to three scientific publications that show the peninsula has in fact been cooling since the late 1990s, after having warmed since the early 1950s!
Here are the three terribly inconvenient papers for those still believing the lie the South Pole is warming, when in reality it is cooling at a “statistically significant” rate.
According to Kenneth: “The cooling since the 1990s hadn’t fully taken over the warming from 1979-1999 yet, so that’s why the overall trend is still a slight, statistically insignificant warming when referencing the entire 40-year period.”
East Antarctica, which covers two thirds of the South Pole, has cooled a whopping 2.8°C over the past 4 decades; West Antarctica approximately 1.6°C. ..only tiny Antarctic Peninsula saw statistically insignificant warming.
The European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) released its latest ERA5 reanalysis dataset in 2017 and Zhu and his researchers compared the near-surface temperature data from ERA5 and ERA-Interim with the measured data from 41 weather stations.
They found that the temperature trend from ERA5 is consistent with that from observations. The result: a cooling trend dominates East Antarctica and West Antarctica while a warming trend exists in the Antarctic Peninsula. Note that the regions of east and West Antarctica combined are vastly larger than the tiny Antarctic Peninsula.
Substantial cooling
The results are summarized as follows (cropped from Die kalte Sonne):
The table above shows East Antarctica, which covers two thirds of the continent, saw a cooling of 0.70°C per decade over the past 40 years. In total that particular region has cooled about 2.8°C since 1980.
West Antarctica has cooled at a rate of 0.42°C per decade over the past 40 years.
Die kalte Sonne finds the results “surprising” and “statistically significant”. And though the Antarctic Peninsula has warmed moderately, Die kalte Sonne sees nothing significant happening over this comparatively small region.
This of course should be seen as good news for the global warming alarmists who fear the South Pole might melt.
The Canadian Arctic’s surface temperatures have been up to 15 to 25°C warmer than today during the geologically recent Holocene, Pleistocene, and Pliocene epochs.
Scientists (Campbell-Heaton et al., 2021) assessing the ratio of winter temperature at the ground surface to that in the air (the “freezing n-factor”) suggest ground surface winter temperatures now (1981-2016) average -33°C in the Canadian Arctic’s Eureka Sound Lowlands.
About 9000 to 10,000 years ago, ground surface temperatures reached -18°C at this location, which is 15°C warmer than present. Winter air temperatures, were, on average, “6-8°C warmer than today” at this time too.
Other sites in this same region of the Canadian Arctic (Eureka, ~78°N) were 22-25°C warmer than today during the Pliocene (Fletcher et al., 2017), or 3-4 million years ago (Ma).
Mean annual temperatures (MAT) for the neighboring Meighen Island, for example, were about 4°C during this period, which is approximately 2°C warmer than the current MAT in Anchorage, Alaska (2°C). Today’s MAT at this location is around -20°C.
It was during the Pliocene and the early stages of the Pleistocene ice age (2.6 Ma to 11,700 years ago) that it was warm enough for camels to wander about in the Canadian Arctic in MAT 18.3°C warmer than present (Rybczynski et al., 2013).
It was during the Pleistocene that the Greenland ice sheet – which is today covered in 2 to 3 kilometers of ice (height) – was so warm it periodically melted to the ground, meaning the ice “disappeared on several occasions” (Young et al., 2021).
The peak CO2 values during the Pleistocene are alleged to be 280 ppm, which is lower than it was during the latter stages of the recent Little Ice Age period (~290 ppm).
These temperature reconstructions thus strongly suggests CO2 concentrations have little or nothing to do with mean annual surface temperatures in Arctic regions.
Global Warming Driven by Relative Humidity Decrease, Not CO2 GHG! Solution: More Ocean Evaporation
By David R. Motes
Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW) is quantitatively driven by a steady relative humidity decrease of 0.13%/year throughout the troposphere since 1970 per the chart below, and not CO2 GHG (Green House Gas). The resulting evaporation reduction is a 3 factor larger AGW driver than CO2 GHG theory. These quantitative facts are based on calculations using consensus scientific data and diagrams from CO2 GHG proponent sites such as the IPCC, NASA, NOAA, and the International Energy Agency. The main points of the linked 29-page paper pdf follow:
Global relative humidity throughout the troposphere has fallen steadily since 1970.
Warming will reverse only when the relative humidity decrease is reversed.
Relative humidity drives precipitation and evaporation which is responsible for absorption and dispersion of 24% of the solar energy reaching the earth’s surface per the below NOAA solar energy balance. Evaporation transports this energy to the upper troposphere for radiation to space. 1. This evaporation reduction (ER) radiative energy imbalance (watts/m2) from the above 0.13%/year relative humidity decline is calculated to be a 3 factor higher than the IPCC CO2 GHG energy imbalance. 2. This same ER generates a calculated temperature rise 2.6 times more than the actual measured temperature rise since 1975 using the IPCC Climate Sensitivity factor.
Above evaporation reduction is driven by CO2 induced plant water use efficiency (WUE) increase.
81% of the above ER radiative energy imbalance is generated by a CO2 induced 0.70%/year plant water use efficiency (WUE) increase. In the photosynthesis reaction, higher CO2 allows plants to transpire less water. The WUE increase and resulting ER decrease are anthropogenic since man generated the atmospheric CO2. This better explains the correlation between CO2 and temperature since 1900 than CO2 GHG.
Only evaporation reduction fits all the scientific data, not CO2 GHG theory.
This novel ER science provides an explanation for the undeniable AGW since 1900 that fits all the scientific data as explained in the paper: temperature / CO2 historic correlations, the relative humidity decrease above, solar energy balance above, hydrologic balance above, carbon mass balance below, carbon source for CO2, GHG parameters, etc. All the ER quantifications are scientific fact and explain the 2 different historic correlations between CO2 and temperature: 1. 1900+ anthropogenic correlation 2. the prior million-year plant biomass correlation. Engineering quantifications were performed using existing consensus data. Granted, other climate drivers also exist such as solar effects.
Conversely, CO2 GHG theory remains a largely unquantifiable, problematic theory. By example, eleven CO2 GHG theory problems are quantified and graphically presented (all resolved by ER science). Our focus was on engineering quantification versus the hereto date presentation of GHG data and theories.
Increasing ocean evaporation is less expensive and more effective than simply reducing annual fossil fuel CO2 emissions.
Quantified problems with the proposed CO2 annual emission reduction plans are:
Focuses on the 1%/year annual contribution and illogically ignores the 99% existing atmospheric CO2.
Focuses solely on reducing the 8% CO2 emissions driver, while ignoring the 92% plant life CO2 driver.
This fresh chemical engineering perspective from a high-altitude sheds new light on an old subject. The above hydrologic balance, above energy balance, below carbon balance, and other calculations detailed in this study have not previously been quantified and summarized as presented. Again, the full 29-page paper pdf may be viewed or downloaded at docudroid.com which includes a 2-page Abstract of the key points. All calculations, details, explanations, references and contacts are contained in the linked pdf
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David Motes is a 43-year professional chemical engineer residing in Houston, Texas.
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