Spiegel: Scientists Hopelessly Stumped By Present Ocean Cooling, Still Insist They Are Certain About The Future!

Right now we have over 65% more Arctic sea ice area, a record high sea ice area around Antarctica, a record low tornado season, record late start start hurricane season, 15 years of no global warming, a cooling tropical Pacific and a “strongly cooling Southern Ocean”.

Bojanowski

At Twitter Axel Bojanowski links to his Spiegel article describing a climate science that is more confused and uncertain than ever.

The above are just some examples illustrating just how embarrassingly wrong climate science has been. But hey! The PIK says Munich had a record warm Christmas day last year!

Just breaking is the study that blames a cooling tropical Pacific for the stall in global warming, and it is hitting the climate science community like a meteor. If anything, it confirms that natural climate cycles do dominate after all.

Meteorologist Joe Bastardi commented: “You gotta love these guys ‘discovering’ what all of us have been saying.”

Spiegel: Hockey Stick “has lost its weight”

Reaction is now coming from Spiegel. Axel Bojanowski starts by reminding readers: “The climate has not warmed further in 15 years” despite rising atmospheric CO2 concentrations. The temperature hockey stick is also broken. Here Bojanowski writes that “the recent climate development means that it has lost its weight” and that 98% of the climate models had made false forecasts, citing a new study by German scientists.”

Bojanowski explains how the oceans appear to be absorbing heat and keeping the global atmospheric temperature stable, saying that most of the energy ends up in the oceans; “They absorb about 90% of the heat.” But this is not a discovery, and is something the skeptics have been saying for years. It’s actually one of Fritz Vahrenholt’s and Sebastian Lüning’s central themes in their book THE NEGLECTED SUN, for which they were viciously attacked and ridiculed by the German science and media establishment just last year. Now we see they were right.

Recall that the strong El Nino events of the 1980s and 1990s were ominous signs of global warming as heat trapped by CO2 was warming the ocean surface. Now, suddenly when things are cooling, it’s the other way around: the oceans are cooling the atmosphere!

Bojanowski explains that although the tropical East Pacific covers only a twelfth of the Earth’s surface, the cool surface waters there have kept the global temperature from rising over the last years. Spiegel writes that leading climatologists such as Stefan Brönnimann of the University of Bern, Doug Smith of the Met Office, and Gerald Meehl of the National Center for Atmospheric Research say that the explanation has considerable merit.

Bojanowski explains that it’s a mystery to scientists as to why the Pacific would cool in the first place. But not everyone is convinced that this is the explanation for the recent global warming stop. Kevin Trenberth for example still hasn’t found his missing heat. Spiegel writes:

The study does not explain in any way the unusual temperature development,” says Kevin Trenberth of the National Center for Atmospheric Research in the USA (NOAA). An explanation is missing as to where the heat may have gone. A team led by Trenberth recently were able to show that the deep ocean may have swallowed up a third of the global warming.”

Quadruple whammy

Bojanowski then looks at other possible explanations for the “missing heat”, writing that there may have been “changes in the Earth’s radiation budget.”

For example upper atmospheric layers have dried out over the past years. The water vapor there acts as a heat buffer. The aridity of the stratosphere has contributed to the pause in the warming, scientists report.”

Bojanoski also brings up that volcanoes or Chinese aerosols may have dimmed out the warming. The whole thing is an increasingly baffling mystery to the scientists.

On stratosphere, is Spiegel describing the 4th component of a quadruple whammy? Already we have: 1) low solar activity, 2) a negative PDO, 3) a starting negative AMO and now 4) a dried out stratosphere that lets massive amounts of heat radiate out into space. Sounds like the potent ingredients of a nasty mini ice age.

Burgeoning confusion taking over climate science

To add to the ever burgeoning climate science confusion and uncertainty, Spiegel also quotes Mojib Latif of the Helmholtz-Center for Ocean Sciences in Kiel, Germany (Latif correctly predicted that the oceans would stop the warming in 2008).

The Southern Ocean has cooled strongly over the last decades; it must have contributed to the pause in global warming.”

With all the uncertainty and surprises, you’d think the alarmists would start reconsidering their positions. But you’d be wrong. They still remain devout CO2 believers, desperately clinging to their CO2 and models. Expect them to go into total spin mode to salvage what they can. But no matter what they do, one thing is now clearer than ever: The models have been dead wrong, and the scientists are more confused than ever about the climate. They are hopelessly stumped. Spiegel writes at the end:

Also the British Met Office believes that the global warming pause, will continue for a few more years. However, the temperature buffer of the oceans is only temporary, Brönnimann believes. The greenhouse gases will unleash their warming impacts, postulates the UN climate report, which will soon be released. It’s quite possible that even an accelerated warming phase is coming.”

Now I am laughing myself to near death…not at Spiegel, but at the devout alarmists. In a nutshell: At present the alarmists are more perplexed than ever, yet they want us to believe they are totally certain about the future? The climate charlatans are now looking more and more like obstinate fools.

 

15 responses to “Spiegel: Scientists Hopelessly Stumped By Present Ocean Cooling, Still Insist They Are Certain About The Future!”

  1. Jeremy Poynton

    As for the missing hot spot, I look under our bed every morning, but it’s not there. Nor in the garden shed.

  2. Ed Caryl

    Every time a hotspot forms, it leaks out the top of the atmosphere.

  3. Stephen Richards

    Stefan Brönnimann of the University of Bern, Doug Smith of the Met Office, and Gerald Meehl of the National Center for Atmospheric Research say that the explanation has considerable merit.

    “Considerable merit” = good guess but no proof, no evidence.

  4. Stephen Richards

    Stefan Brönnimann of the University of Bern, Doug Smith of the Met Office, and Gerald Meehl of the National Center for Atmospheric Research

    And there you have the 3 biggest clowns in the climate arena.

  5. mwhite

    “By Melissa Hogenboom” she could do with understanding what she’s written.

    “An Iron Age tunic is among the discoveries found under melting snow on Norwegian mountains.

    Other findings include Neolithic arrows and bow fragments, thought to be about 6000 years old. ”

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-23849332

    “Snow on the Norwegian mountains, and elsewhere, is rapidly melting due to climate change, which is now unveiling a world of well preserved new discoveries.”

  6. alex

    The sea around the izland of Malta where I live is 2C below normal. At this time of the year the sea temp would be 28C now it is 26C while birds are seen migrating south earlier than normal. We had young flamingos that seem to be still umprepared for long migratory flights with some having to be helped by the public and taken to the local bird sanctuary. It seems that birdsare sensing an early winter.

  7. Ed Caryl
  8. Rich

    Brilliant! The cooling oceans are causing a dip in global temperature. Or a fall in temperature is causing a fall in temperature. Unless the oceans are somehow not part of the globe anymore. Such an economical explanation!

    And the oceans are cooling by absorbing heat. Only in Climate Sciunce.

  9. slimething

    In the last year or so there have been multiple papers published that determined there was solar brightening allowing more solar radiation to reach the surface thereby warming both land and oceans up to about the year 2000. Why were they not given such attention?

    Nonetheless, the idea that his paper is some major discovery is laughable.

    http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/people/gilbert.p.compo/CompoSardeshmukh2007a.pdf

    Oceanic Influences on Recent Continental Warming

    Abstract
    Evidence is presented that the recent worldwide land warming has occurred largely in response to a worldwide warming of the oceans rather than as a direct response to increasing greenhouse gases (GHGs) over land.
    Atmospheric model simulations of the last half-century with prescribed observed ocean temperature changes, but without prescribed GHG changes, account for most of the land warming. The oceanic influence has occurred
    through hydrodynamic-radiative teleconnections, primarily by moistening and warming the air over land and increasing the downward longwave radiation at the surface. The oceans may themselves have warmed from a combination of natural and anthropogenic influences.

  10. Mindert Eiting

    Well guys, I lost a lot of money. It’s a mystery where my money has gone. Perhaps the mystery can be solved by realizing I never had it. Actually, I lost some money because I had to buy a new computer. The old one is total loss by a malware infection. This is the first time I could not get rid of it. It’s called the Interpol virus. The computer dealer told me that I forgot to update my Java, which is true. Just a tip.

  11. Michael D Smith

    Perhaps it is time to try a new batch of scientists.

  12. Mark

    and still no one has explained why a warmer earth is a worse-off earth.

  13. “Natural Forcings” Rule OK | Greenhouse Bullcrap

    […] NO TRICKS ZONE Spiegel: Scientists Hopelessly Stumped By Present Ocean Cooling, Still Insist They Are Certain About The Future! By P Gosselin on 29. August 2013 http://notrickszone.com/2013/08/29/spiegel-scientists-hopelessly-stumped-by-present-ocean-cooling-st… […]

  14. Holden

    I remember taking Earth Science back in 1990 and the instructor telling us scientists were expecting a new ice age in 50 years. Back then dinosaurs were slow cold blooded reptiles. Amazing how we always think we know the truth until ten years later…….