Dr. Ryan Maue here reports at Twitter that although the Atlantic hurricane season “is going gangbusters“, the Pacific is in fact seeing “one of quietest Typhoon seasons on record“.
Last month in the media, amid the aftermath of Harvey and Irma, the public heard a long stream of hysterical reports claiming that the tropical storms were sure sure signs of man-made climate change.
Yet, according to Dr. Maue, the globe has seen significantly below average cyclone activity, despite the near record hurricane activity observed in the Atlantic this season.
Chart above shows cyclone activity globally being well below normal in a year awash with media hurricane hysteria. Status: October 10, 2017. Source: http://wx.graphics/tropical/
Though the North Atlantic is running at 240% of normal, the entire northern hemisphere is near normal at 98%. Astonishing is the fact that Southern Hemisphere cyclonic activity is near record-breaking low of 47%.
Globally the figure is mere 86%. This is an embarrassment and highly baffling to the media and climate alarmists, who have recently been giving false impressions of “unprecedented” storm activity this year.
“WHERE have all the cyclones gone?”
Even the Australian news site www.news.com.au here asks: “WHERE have all the cyclones gone?
Scientists are puzzled as to how global warming is having the opposite effect on storms from what is often claimed.
Dr. Maue’s following chart shows that the overall hurricane trend has been downward over the past quarter century:
Figure: Global Hurricane Frequency (all & major) — 12-month running sums. The top time series is the number of global tropical cyclones that reached at least hurricane-force (maximum lifetime wind speed exceeds 64-knots). The bottom time series is the number of global tropical cyclones that reached major hurricane strength (96-knots+). Adapted from Maue (2011) GRL. Source: http://wx.graphics/tropical/.
Record-low Southern Hemisphere
In his last chart chart at the above website, shown is how the southern hemisphere has been trending down to a near record low.
In fact the abstract of a recent peer-reviewed paper appearing at the Geophysical Research Letters, confirms the trends, writing (emphasis added):
In the pentad since 2006, Northern Hemisphere and global tropical cyclone ACE has decreased dramatically to the lowest levels since the late 1970s. Additionally, the frequency of tropical cyclones has reached a historical low. Here evidence is presented demonstrating that considerable variability in tropical cyclone ACE is associated with the evolution of the character of observed large-scale climate mechanisms including the El Nino Southern Oscillation and Pacific Decadal Oscillation.”
Reckless media neglect
This is information and data that alarmist climate scientists like Dr. Michael E. Mann or media such as the AP’s Seth Borenstein apparently recklessly neglected to examine before making hysterical statements to the public.