Meteorologist Dominik Jung at www.wetter.net/ takes another look at the winter forecast for Europe. It hasn’t changed; it remains miserably cold.
And if the last few days are any indication, then things are going to get awfully mean this winter. Expect sky-high heating bills and lots of frost damage, especially to streets. For example here are this morning’s lows for Germany – and October has barely begun:
Widespread frost over Germany. Source: www.wetter.com/hoechst tiefst werte/.
The www.wetter.net/ press release today explains the winter forecast for both December and January taken from US weather models. The December chart from meteociel.fr shows the Beast from the East, a.k.a. Siberian Express, rolling across central and southern Europe, before seriously intensifying in January.
The American long-term model remains true to a cold winter when compared to the 1961 – 1990 reference period. The two charts show the expected mean temperature in Central Europe in the months of December and January.”
Jung writes that there’s been a shift over the years to colder winters in Europe. After the last, at times, really cold winters, this is no longer a surprise. “The mild westerly wind pattern of the 1990s that provided us with mild and stormy years have gotten markedly less. Increasingly the icy high pressure weather patterns are dominating,“ explains Jung.
Though these long-term forecasts entail a lot of uncertainty, they do tell us what has already become clear: Europe has entered a period of cold winters – like those experienced in the 1970s. It tells us that the chances for a cold one are greater. This winter the dice is loaded in favor of a cold one.
To know for sure, we’ll just have to wait until April.
See press release: www.wetter.net