Atmospheric Physicists: A Human Signature Hasn’t Shown Up In 40 Years Of Temperature Change Observations

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“It is not possible to reliably support the view of the presence of
global warming in the sense of an enhanced greenhouse effect
due to human activities.” — Drs. Varotsos and Efstathiou, 2019

Image Source: Varotsos and Efstathiou, 2019

In a step-by-step dissection of the anthropogenic global warming (AGW) hypothesis, or “greenhouse hypothesis of global warming”, two prominent Greek atmospheric physicists  – Dr. Carlos Varotsos and Dr. Maria Efstathiou – expose the withering contradictions between (a) what is hypothesized to occur atmospherically according to AGW models and (b) what was actually observed from satellite measurements during 1978 to 2018.

According to AGW models, there was supposed to be “a consistent warming with gradual increase from low to high latitudes in both hemispheres” in response to the dramatic increase in greenhouse gases over the last 40 years.

According to temperature change observations in the satellite era (December, 1978, to present), this pattern did not occur.

According to AGW models, there was supposed to be an evident intrinsic relationship between lower stratospheric temperatures and tropospheric temperatures in accordance with the explosive increase in anthropogenic CO2 emissions during 1978-2018.

Satellite observations do not indicate that such a stratospheric-tropospheric relationship existed during this period.

The fundamental discrepancies between AGW models and real-world observations led these climate scientists to conclude that (a) “climate models are not able to simulate real climate”, and (b) the view that increases in greenhouse gases from human activities are what caused the global warming over the last 40 years cannot be reliably supported by observed evidence.


Varotsos and Efstathiou, 2019

Has global warming already arrived? 

• “The enhancement of the atmospheric greenhouse effect due to the increase in the atmospheric greenhouse gases is often considered as responsible for global warming (known as greenhouse hypothesis of global warming). In this context, the temperature field of global troposphere and lower stratosphere over the period 12/1978–07/2018 is explored using the recent Version 6 of the UAH MSU/AMSU global satellite temperature dataset. Our analysis did not show a consistent warming with gradual increase from low to high latitudes in both hemispheres, as it should be from the global warming theory.”
• “In addition, in the lower stratosphere the temperature cooling over both poles is lower than that over tropics and extratropics. To study further the thermal field variability we investigated the long-range correlations throughout the global lower troposphere-lower stratosphere region. The results show that the temperature field displays power-law behaviour that becomes stronger by going from the lower troposphere to the tropopause. This power-law behaviour suggests that the fluctuations in global tropospheric temperature at short intervals are positively correlated with those at longer intervals in a power-law manner. The latter, however, does not apply to global temperature in the lower stratosphere. This suggests that the investigated intrinsic properties of the lower stratospheric temperature are not related to those of the troposphere, as is expected by the global warming theory.”
• “In summary, the tropospheric temperature has not increased over the last four decades, in both hemispheres, in a way that is more amplified at high latitudes near the surface. In addition, the lower stratospheric temperature did not decline as a function of latitude. Finally, the intrinsic properties of the tropospheric temperature are different from those of the lower stratosphere. Based on these results and bearing in mind that the climate system is complicated and complex with the existing uncertainties in the climate predictions, it is not possible to reliably support the view of the presence of global warming in the sense of an enhanced greenhouse effect due to human activities.”
• “Over the last decades, the rise in surface air temperature in regions of our planet has led to a debate in the scientific community about the causes and impacts of this temperature rise, especially if it comes from anthropogenic activities or is of natural origin.”
• “[R]eal climate change results from the non-linear interactions between numerous components of the climatic system. In these should also be taken into consideration and possible contributions by external forcings e.g., cosmic factors, such as solar activity. Despite the projected exponential growth in computer power, these processes will not be adequately resolved in numerical climate models in the near future (Franzke et al., 2015). Stochastic methods for numerical climate prediction may allow for an adequate representation of uncertainties, the reduction of systematic biases and improved representation of long-term climate variability (e.g., Droegemeier, 2009). Some analyses show that current models are not able to simulate real climate. The main reason is that climate is a high-dimensional forced and dissipative complex system with chaotic dynamics that displays different physical and chemical properties of its various components and coupling mechanisms.”

Image Source: Varotsos and Efstathiou, 2019
• “An identifiable signature of [anthropogenic] global warming is the combination of tropospheric heating and stratospheric cooling leading to an increase in the height of tropopause. However, according to Figure 1 this is not the case, because the TA [tropopause air] trend at the tropopause is near zero.”
• “According to Hoskins (1991) the expectation for global warming is to be more enhanced at high latitudes near the surface. That is, in the case of global warming occurrence, warming would have been stronger at the poles and would gradually decrease by approaching the equator. However, the pattern depicted in Table 1 does not comply with the gradual increase of the warming with latitude as predicted by the global warming theory.”
• “[A]ccording to the results obtained by Xia et al. (2018) the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere are heated by ozone, which affects the high clouds (due to its effect on relative humidity) and the stratospheric water vapor (due to its impact on the tropical tropopause temperature). Consequently, the thermal regime in the lower stratosphere is mainly affected by the ozone dynamics in this area and not by the thermal regime in the troposphere alone. Therefore, the observed cooling in the lower stratosphere can not be attributed unambiguously to the warming of the troposphere, as dictated by the theory of global warming.”
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77 responses to “Atmospheric Physicists: A Human Signature Hasn’t Shown Up In 40 Years Of Temperature Change Observations”

  1. SebastianH

    A paper which caters to Kenneth’s sense of everything being too complex to really understand what’s going on and therefore nothing is going on 😉

    Here is a paper from 2017 that came to avery different result:
    http://www.columbia.edu/~lmp/paps/randel+polvani+etal-JGR-2017.pdf (Troposphere-Stratosphere Temperature Trends Derived From Satellite Data Compared With Ensemble Simulations From WACCM – Randel et al)

    Should we let those scientists fight it out over rock/paper/scissors? Or how do we resolve this conflict? Are you fit enough on the topic to find out why both came to different conclusions?

    1. tom0mason

      SebastianH says “Should we let those scientists fight it out over rock/paper/scissors? Or how do we resolve this conflict? Are you fit enough on the topic to find out why both came to different conclusions?”

      No we don’t have too resolve this conflict, the ‘science’ of climate and how it changes is not settled. The evidence for atmospheric CO2 warming has not be shown by observed evidence, so all mitigation measures for it should be scrapped until it is ‘prove’ to be happening.
      Until then it’s just a supposition and a dream for climate modelers. And the models they have build (with except to Russian model) do little to reflect this planet’s observed reality.
      There is no evidence of a threat of global warming or any unusual climate change what so ever. Your apparent belief in ‘confidence levels’ trumping error bars and levels is just so wrong SebastianH.

      So SebastianH dream on.

      1. SebastianH

        The evidence for atmospheric CO2 warming has not be shown by observed evidence

        So you imagine.

        so all mitigation measures for it should be scrapped until it is ‘prove’ to be happening.

        Oh it is happening … but a proof you will never get. This is not mathematics where proofs are indeed possible.

        Until then it’s just a supposition and a dream for climate modelers. And the models they have build (with except to Russian model) do little to reflect this planet’s observed reality.

        Good one, really. Your imagination is not lacking …

        There is no evidence of a threat of global warming or any unusual climate change what so ever.

        Yeah, right. Sure. Let us participate on your fantasy. You should write a book or something about “what is really going on that nobody tells us” 😉

        Your apparent belief in ‘confidence levels’ trumping error bars and levels is just so wrong SebastianH.

        Your apparent belief that you are being lied to by climate science is what’s wrong, tomOmason. Stay in wonderland where everything is fine. Have fun. You’ll probably won’t be affected by anything that is happening anyway, in the time you have left on this planet.

        1. tom0mason

          SebastianH,

          The evidence for atmospheric CO2 warming has not be shown by observed evidence

          So you imagine.

          Oh, so you do have some evidence then?
          or …
          Oh no, you lied again! 🙂

          1. SebastianH

            Again … so you imagine …

          2. spike55

            ROFLMAO.

            I see poor little seb is STILL at the zero evidence stage.

            Sliming and slithering in his manic avoidance of trying present evidence to support the very fundamentals of the AGW scam.

            He KNOWS HE CANNOT.

            His utter desperation is obvious in every post he makes.

            Empty and totally POINTLESS as always.

            Its not worth arguing with someone you cannot PRODUCE ANY EVIDENCE to back up his/her mindless religious rantings.

            I’ll come back again in a few months see if he has got out the massive hole he has dug for himself.

        2. tom0mason

          SebastianH,

          “Your apparent belief that you are being lied to by climate science is what’s wrong, tomOmason. Stay in wonderland where everything is fine. Have fun. You’ll probably won’t be affected by anything that is happening anyway, in the time you have left on this planet”

          Oh no, SebastianH, I, like everyone including you, is being fed the best ‘climate science™’ money can buy. The difference is I’m a skeptic and you are not — even though you’ll protest the opposite but that’s how your imaginary world works I suppose (inverted?). :-0 🙂

          1. SebastianH

            I love how you mirror everything back to the other side and how that makes you happy (the smiley).

            Imaginary world it is, only I am not the one living in it, Mr. I-Don’t-Know-how-the-second-is-defined.

          2. tom0mason

            SebastianH,
            I don’t need to mirror you. I’m just glad you’ve enjoyed MY comment. But YOU still have not shown any evidence… 🙂

            As you enjoyed it so much here it is again, …

            The evidence for atmospheric CO2 warming has not be shown by observed evidence

            So you imagine.
            </blockquote
            Oh, so you do have some evidence then?
            or …
            Oh no, you lied again! 🙂

      2. Yonason

        @tom0mason

        “Your apparent belief that you are being lied to by climate science is what’s wrong, tomOmason.” – SebH

        He just can’t help but lie about it. He paints you (and all legitimate skeptics) as not believing “climate science,” as if ALL climate scientists were true believers, as if the 97% consensus were real.

        THERE IS NO 97% CONSENSUS!
        https://climatism.blog/2017/07/19/the-97-climate-consensus-lie-nailed/

        So his straw man argument, that in essence you (we) reject “the science,” is fraudulent. But then, that’s just how SebH rolls.

        In actual fact, the only “consensus” is that there is no need for alarm.
        https://youtu.be/eiPIvH49X-E?t=80

        STOP LYING, SEBH!!! (like that will ever happen, lol)

        1. SebastianH

          He just can’t help but lie about it. He paints you (and all legitimate skeptics) as not believing “climate science,” as if ALL climate scientists were true believers, as if the 97% consensus were real.

          While I messed up that sentence by editing it too often, I don’t believe (there is the word again) that one can misunderstand it like this. It’s not about believing climate science, it is about believing that he is being lied to. The same situation you paint yourself into all the time.

          So his straw man argument, that in essence you (we) reject “the science,” is fraudulent. But then, that’s just how SebH rolls.

          The essence is that he feels like he knows better than scientists and goes on and on about how everything is fake/wrong/whatever. You are worse in this department, but nope … not a straw man.

          STOP LYING, SEBH!!! (like that will ever happen, lol)

          Stop trolling … like THAT will ever happen :/ See, I’m feeding you. Here is another fish!

          1. Yonason

            “The essence is that he feels like he knows better than scientists…” – SebH, doubling down like a demented weasel.

            Again with the consensus of scientists argument – lol.

            It’s not tom0 against “the scientists.” It’s tom0 choosing which scientists to believe, based on which ones he thinks are more correct and honest.

            Thank you for proving that what I wrote above about your straw-man argument is correct. (You just can’t help yourself, can you?)

          2. SebastianH

            How is that a consensus argument, Yonason? You are being weird … very weird.

            It’s not tom0 against “the scientists.” It’s tom0 choosing which scientists to believe, based on which ones he thinks are more correct and honest.

            You can find a scientist for whatever oppinion one can up with. The important part is being able to recognize when you are wrong and you guys clearly lack this capability by bordering on being [snip].

            Your position makes no sense and can only come from ignorance and the somehow acquired feeling that all others are out to get you and your money …

            Stop trolling, Yonason.

          3. Yonason

            “How is that a consensus argument, Yonason?” – SebH

            When you say “he knows better than scientists,” you are implying that ALL scientists are in agreement, i.e., that there is a “consensus” among them.

            If you can’t see it, you aren’t looking.

            As to others out to “get all my money,” there’s plenty of evidence for that.
            http://directorblue.blogspot.com/2007/03/inconvenient-offset-quick-recap-records.html

            And it isn’t just my money they want, it’s everyone’s. And if tens of thousands have to die for them to get rich, well, too bad.
            http://directorblue.blogspot.com/2011/09/third-world-starvation-brought-to-you.html

          4. Yonason

            “The essence is that he feels like he knows better than scientists and goes on and on about how everything is fake/wrong/whatever.” – SebH the duplicitous

            You do realize that SO applies to you, don’t you?

            Kenneth supplies countless scientists, yet you say he’s denying the science and doesn’t believe the scientists.

            Well, some of them we trust, and some we don’t, but that doesn’t mean we are anti-science. It just means our standards of proof require data, not just so stories.

            It’s perfectly normal for scientists to disagree. That is, in fact, one aspect of “how science works.” The fact that you don’t seem to know that shows your ignorance.

          5. tom0mason

            SebastianH,

            Again you pretend to know what I understand, what I know, and my my life experiences. YOU DO NOT! I was taken-in by the cAGW (like many sceptics) but then I noticed worrying ‘adjustments’ to temperature records to make them fit the CO2 supposition, and then the ‘climatgate’ scandal hit. So stop pretending you know what I think, it make you look like a real je®k (or at least a bigger one).

            So here I’ll just mirror it back on you with some observational evidence …

            Just to remind you, as here https://notrickszone.com/2017/10/16/recent-co2-climate-sensitivity-estimates-continue-trending-towards-zero/#comment-1232370 , YOU regularly dismiss science and the scientist that wrote papers that Kenneth quote. You casually dismiss them because it goes against you precious cAGW belief, a belief that appears to be so bound to your personality that anything against cAGW seems to upset you personally.

            As Kenneth has written in comments to you before

            Calling views contrary to your own “nonsense” is not substantive.

            Yes indeed the boot is on the other foot — YOUR foot, as you quite regularly dismiss scientific papers based on observational evidence while trying to imply the climate model’s ‘data’ (as preferred by the UN-IPCC) is somehow superior, and constantly imply that all this climate science is some kind of ‘settled science’. Surely that is all anyone should read from your comments to date, that you are a non-skeptical cAGW true believer and nothing else.

            Good luck in the coming cooling future of the planet, you may well survive it.

          6. spike55

            “The important part is being able to recognize when you are wrong and you guys clearly lack this capability by bordering on being “

            Poor zero evidence seb

            still in his empty sad-sack.

            ZERO EVIDENCE. and INCAPABLE of producing any.

          7. spike55

            “Your position makes no sense and can only come from ignorance “

            Look deep within yourself , seb.. you will find that IGNORANCE is your only attribute.

            Again, it is noted that all you do is yap
            mindlessly.

            NEVER producing any worthwhile EVIDENCE.

          8. SebastianH

            I missed you spike55 … you and your talk from what you see in the mirror. Have fun taking over the troll part from Yonason&Co again 😉

            @Yonason:

            When you say “he knows better than scientists,” you are implying that ALL scientists are in agreement, i.e., that there is a “consensus” among them.

            No, I am implying that it is ridiculous that some guy with so many missconceptions about the world thinks he knows better than those actually studying the topic for their whole life 😉

            If you feel that you guys are some kind of climate prodigies transcending the topic on every level, well … one can dream, I guess 😉

            @tomomason:

            Again you pretend to know what I understand, what I know, and my my life experiences. YOU DO NOT!

            I know what I’ve read from you here.

            You casually dismiss them because it goes against you precious cAGW belief

            I dismiss them for other reasons, as written there … on the other hand you seem to just believe anything as long as it conforms to your views and sounds remotely “skeptical”.

            Surely that is all anyone should read from your comments to date, that you are a non-skeptical cAGW true believer and nothing else.

            Nope, that’s you … only you happen to call yourself a skeptic. You believe anything that sounds skeptical has merrit and what climate science actually found out is happening is garbage. I have no idea why someone would behave like that.

            Good luck in the coming cooling future of the planet, you may well survive it.

            I’ll think of you in 10 years looking back at another decade of heat records. Have fun with that imagined cooling of yours …

          9. tom0mason

            Oh, stop being silly SebastianH, the quote from a previous post was you casually dismissing science and scientist for no other reason than it runs against your beliefs.
            This is not a sign of skepticism but a sign of your very evident bias, your bias is in the belief in the UN-IPCC and all they say.
            Stop pitch your ridiculous excuses to someone else, I for one do not buy them. Your appear and act just like a cAGW paid activist sent here to play mischief on this blog site.

            However you still come out with the unsubstantiated as the atmosphere heating the oceans, thousands of species going extinct, and that rising atmospheric CO2 levels will causes significant global warming of the atmosphere.

            And then you have the temerity to believe anyone on this site should take you seriously. No SebastianH, you’re just the entertainment, raising the amusement level here, for which I thank you! 🙂
            Oh, and please find your much advertised observational evidence of atmospheric CO2 causing global warming. Until you do your are just the comic spot on the blog. 🙂

          10. SebastianH

            Oh, stop being silly SebastianH, the quote from a previous post was you casually dismissing science and scientist for no other reason than it runs against your beliefs.

            Again, I envy you for your imagination.

            This is not a sign of skepticism but a sign of your very evident bias, your bias is in the belief in the UN-IPCC and all they say.

            I am biased towards science. I trust experts. I am skeptic when some guy in the comments of a blog like this expressed wild theories about how the world works or doesn’t work and all he does is point to his “experience”.

            However you still come out with the unsubstantiated as the atmosphere heating the oceans,

            By the wording of this I suspect you still don’t understand this. Atmosphere heating the oceans? Seriously?

            thousands of species going extinct

            That’s what scientists say … we are on the verge of another mass extinction level event if we continue on this path.

            and that rising atmospheric CO2 levels will causes significant global warming of the atmosphere.

            Will? This sounds like you still doubt that the GHE is a real thing. If you can’t wrap your head around this basic mechanic how are we to expect that anything you claim here is even remotely connected to reality?

            And then you have the temerity to believe anyone on this site should take you seriously. No SebastianH, you’re just the entertainment, raising the amusement level here, for which I thank you!

            No need to take me seriously, as you aren’t taking science seriously as well. Your imagination is really something to envy …

            Oh, and please find your much advertised observational evidence of atmospheric CO2 causing global warming. Until you do your are just the comic spot on the blog.

            Do you believe that CO2 has radiative properties, e.g. absorbs and emits radiation at certain wavelengths? Do you trust in instruments that can measure this radiation?

            If you can answer both with “yes”, then I wonder how you come to the conclusion that there is no GHE or a change in the concentration of the gases making up the GHE doesn’t change the effect.

            It’s probably the Kenneth fantasy of something not existing until it has been observed in that exact same situation, right? So if I cliam gravity to not exist because it has not been observed in a certain spot in the universe, I’m fine and can tell those pesky gravity proponents that they need to show me evidence first or otherwise I laugh at them … oh and of course I’ll discard everything presented to me as fake if it doesn’t fit my conviction … recognize yourself?

          11. spike55

            Poor seb..

            ZERO EVIDENCE. and INCAPABLE of producing any.

            And he’s a DENIER of the GRAVITY based thermal gradient that controls the lower atmosphere.

            The “science” is basically non-existent in little seb.

        2. tom0mason

          Thanks for the support there Yonason,
          however I do understand that SebastianH is not much more than an avid supporter of cAGW, a mere uneducated sock-puppet and is probably paid to visit here and make all the off color/subject comments.

          1. Yonason

            Yes. The only point to countering what he says is to expose his rabid bias and deceit. I certainly have no expectation that anything we say will make the slightest impression on him.

            We may not always be right, but we’re trying to be, and gladly admit errors and try to correct them. As long as people coming here realize that, and that trolls like SebH are virtually always wrong and thoroughly enjoy it, that’s about the best we can do.

    2. Yonason

      Whole lot of faith required to trust that paper, especially when we know the models DON’T agree with the instrument record (as presented by NOAA/NASA after adjustments). Also, while radiosonde and satellite temps agree with each other, they don’t agree with land based readings.

      But I have to admit, it’s really amazing what “agreement” one can get between a tunable model, and a tunable (adjustable) temperature data base.

      Let’s see them model this.
      http://www.drroyspencer.com/2019/01/dangerous-record-breaking-cold-to-invade-midwest-chicago/

      Why Spencer (a climate scientist) isn’t on board with the scam.
      https://www.cfact.org/2016/01/26/measuring-global-temperatures-satellites-or-thermometers/

      “Virtually all thermometer measurements require adjustments of some sort, simply because with the exception of a few thermometer sites, there has not been a single, unaltered instrument measuring the same place for 30+ years without a change in its environment. When such rare thermometers were identified in a recent study of the U.S., it was found that by comparison the official U.S. warming trends were exaggerated by close to 60%. Thus, the current official NOAA adjustment procedures appear to force the good data to match the bad data, rather than the other way around.”

      1. Yonason

        Just so it’s clear, “that paper” was the one cited by SebH…

        “(Troposphere-Stratosphere Temperature Trends Derived From Satellite Data Compared With Ensemble Simulations From WACCM – Randel et al)”

        Selected heavily adjusted satellite data compared to simulations from selected adjustable WACKY model.

        Call me when it’s validated against REALITY, ie., it can forecast real climate conditions one to 5 years in advance.

  2. dennisambler

    This will not, unfortunately, appear in the MSM.

  3. sasquatch

    It is -11 F outside my door. It will be 20 below zero for an overnight low. A continental climate of Df continues as such. Easy decision to not venture out in the cold today.

    The winter of 2012-13, the temps reached as low as -29 at night for a good two weeks. It was cold that winter. So far this winter has been milder than most, it seems that way up to this point.

    It is winter, it is normal weather conditions for this time of year. Cold weather sticks around for several months. It is not climate science to figure out what can happen weatherwise.

    Let me know when Antarctica is no longer an EF, maybe it’ll warm enough across the entire continent so it won’t have to be an EF anymore.

    A polar climate never reaches a temperature greater than ten degrees Celsius.

    Antarctica will probably remain a polar climate for a few thousand more years, if not a hundred or more.

    Not that it can’t change though, it could.

    Climate change has to result in actual physical change in the climate. If the ice cap would begin to melt, rainfall on the continent, actual change from what there is there now. Climate change for real.

    1. SebastianH

      So you set the bar for “climate change is actually happening” to a very high level (let’s call it 100). Why is climate change – in your eyes – not happening when reaching level 10?

      The ice caps are losing ice mass, the poles don’t need to stay at plus degrees the whole year for climate change to be happening.

      This seems to be similar as to when people are confronted about the possible future job decline due to artifical intelligence. They think they are safe because no AI could ever do their job to 100%, but all it takes is an AI that does 10% of your job and suddenly 10% you only need 9 people to do the stuff that 10 people did before. You wouldn’t argue that this only becomes a problem at the moment AI replaces what you can do completely, would you?

      1. tom0mason

        SebastianH,

        You don’t understand it’s you and your fellow cAGW congregation that believes is climate stasis.
        Why would anyone believe 50 or a 100 years ago the climate was better because atmospheric CO2 levels were lower? But that is the IPCC’s and the cAGW’s consensus view!
        Laughably you (and they) believe that CO2 controls the climate and we must get back to some imaginary number of CO2 molecules in the air so that the planet has a stable climate or we’re all damned.
        That is the utter madness of SebastianH and his fellow cAGW travelers.

        SebastianH all BS and handwaving! 🙂

        1. SebastianH

          Why would anyone believe 50 or a 100 years ago the climate was better because atmospheric CO2 levels were lower?

          Why should it be necessary to believe such a thing? Why would anyone believe that CO2 and other GHGs don’t have the properties that have been observed? That makes no sense, yet you seem to be on that side of the fence. The beauty of science is that you don’t have to believe it.

          1. spike55

            “CO2 and other GHGs don’t have the properties that have been observed”

            Warming by increased atmospheric CO2 has NEVER been observed anywhere on the planet.

            Your comment makes no sense, as usual.

            Yes, we KNOW you don’t believe in science.

        2. Yonason

          I posted these yesterday, but it seems the troll doesn’t believe them.

          “The diagrams below were prepared by Guy LeBlanc Smith , Retired Principal Research Scientist, CSIRO.”
          https://carbon-sense.com/2013/11/30/nothing-new-about-climate-change/

          I wonder what part(s) of them, NONE of which agree with the “CO2 causes warming” theory, he doesn’t think is/are “science.” All of which are in direct contradiction to it.

          Why does he believe that CSIRO is not the science research institute that it is?
          http://www.csiro.us/

          None of us understand “the science” as well as the troll, who reminds us of it constantly. None of us knows what “scientists” say by him, just ask him and he’ll tell you.

          laughable buffoonery

      2. tom0mason

        SebastianH,
        Oh dear, oh dear. You really don’t get it.
        So I thought as you like analogies, I’ll give you a musical one …

        The sun and it’s variations is the rhythmic pulse of our climate and the change in direction it takes. The sun’s pulse is augmented (but never over-ruled) by Luna’s dance, and the Earth’s atmospheric coda of effects, while being modified by the oceans restless tune. And every once in a while there is the rattling percussion of seismic events.
        All of these marvelous musical patterns each hits their own vibrato of the day and night cycle, to make the ever-changing theme of our climate shimmer chaotically.
        Overall that is our short term changes in musical theme. Looking at the bigger symphony we see planetary and galactic influence sharpen or flatten the aspects of orchestral tuning over very long timing periods.

        1. Yonason

          Or, as Tchaikovsky might say…
          https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ryxAe4B_3Pg

          1. tom0mason

            Yonason, beautiful! Thank-you.

            I also like this musical comment (well not much) ‘Beethoven’s Ice Cream, Tolstoy’s Fire, Happer’s Picosecond Pedestal—and Climate’ by the ever reliable and HONEST Willie Soon, PhD at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NziuVoJPQNk

          2. Yonason

            Thank you, tom0! I have that one bookmarked, but hadn’t yet watched it. Some of his best material. Lots of new and exciting developments. Really appreciate it. //:o)

        2. SebastianH

          That is actually a very beautiful analogy, I like it! The change of GHG concentrations would be a gradual change of the key/tone of the symphony then.

          Believing that gases with radiative properties don’t have an influence on the climate especially when their concentrations change makes you the one who is using his phone on loudspeaker during the concert.

          1. tom0mason

            Well you have your unverified belief SebastianH.

            I’m sure as the cool climate creeps on, you, like other deluded cAGW advocates, will not realize it’s the SUN rhythm commanding this planet’s climate tune not some insignificant bit part player of an extremely rare gas.
            Basically you are advocating that this gas commands the tune when it is just one hair on the bow of a viola within the mass of the string section. It’s important to the viola player but not the determinant of the tune.

          2. spike55

            “Believing that gases with radiative properties don’t have an influence on the climate”

            Unless they change the lapse rate, of course they don’t

            There is absolutely ZERO EVIDENCE that atmospheric CO2 causes warming.

            (still waiting !!!!)

            The gravity-thermal gradient RULES in the lower atmosphere.

            Sorry that you are so UNAWARE of basic radiative and other heat transfer,

            …. but as noted many times, your grasp of basic science and physics is TENUOUS at best.

          3. SebastianH

            This is fun. Having two delusional blog commenters imagining away on how the world works and insulting those who oppose their nonsense. It’s funny because on the side your fantasy seems to have no limit (coming cooling, gases having no effects, temperature gradients starting at the cold end, etc) and on the other side you lack the imagination of what is possible (gases having effects on the temperature/heat content).

            Anything substantial to add to these discussions instead of the lousy “climate skeptics” talking points nobody can take seriously?

          4. spike55

            Poor seb

            There is absolutely ZERO EVIDENCE that atmospheric CO2 causes warming.

            Again, note the absolute EMPTYMESS of seb’s post

            Zero Content.

            Just his hallucinogenic fantasies, totally unsupportable with any rational science.

            Where’s your EVIDENCE, seb.

            la-la-land, maybe, because it sure isn’t in any of your posts. !

          5. spike55

            “Anything substantial to add to these discussions ?”

            You NEVER have had, that is for sure

            Just mindlessly regurgitated,zero-science, brain-washed ranting

            Seb = SCIENCE FREE ZONE.

      3. sasquatch

        I guess it can be said climate change has been taking place for 4.5 billion years, you can never be wrong there. Forces you to be more objective, less subjective. Mother Nature is in control. lol

        The Antarctic continent more than likely had an ice cap larger than it is now during the last ice age. Maybe speculation, however, it can be determined by deduction that it probably had greater in mass then than to the current cap that is there today. It has been 800,000 years of accumulation of one inch annual precipitation.

        The ice cap would be twelve miles thick by now if it didn’t calve and gravity didn’t have an effect. As it is now, the ice cap is over two miles thick in places. The ice cap there waxes and wanes through the sands of time.

        Climate change was actually happening 18,500 years ago when the Pleistocene ended and the Holocene began. Climate change never stops. Anthropogenic emissions from burning those evil fossil fuels causes something to change, and, no doubt about it, we are here in the Anthropocene.

        As was said to me by a researcher for the US Fish and Wildlife Service, “We’re a glacier.”

        Tropospheric climate change, if you will, began at ten 25,000 years ago, as good a guess as any, then went all the way to now, the number to use is 90.

        The last 10 is where we are going. The melt is still occuring. The striations in the bedrock in Alberta show the evidence of where ice once was.

        Landscapesandcycles by Jim Steele has a good grasp on what is actually taking place.

        http://landscapesandcycles.net/

        It is worth visiting his site to read what is there.

        Lonesome Friends of Science

  4. Evidence that CO2 emissions do not intensify the greenhouse effect | wryheat

    […] Summary By Kenneth Richard […]

  5. Robert Folkerts

    SebH says
    “You’ll probably won’t be affected by anything that is happening anyway, in the time you have left on this planet.”

    Notice this kind of nasty garbage is becoming more common from this pratt.

    SEB THE OMNISCIENT.

    Intolerant of anyone and their ideas if they don’t concur with his own peculiar standpoint.

    I suspect he would be among the first to push to outlaw diseminating opposing information.

    Seems to me the makings of a small tyrant here.

    1. SebastianH

      Pratt … classy. Why is the quoted sentence “nasty garbage” to you?

      SEB THE OMNISCIENT.

      Intolerant of anyone and their ideas if they don’t concur with his own peculiar standpoint.

      I suspect he would be among the first to push to outlaw diseminating opposing information.

      Don’t you think that is a bit hypocritical considering how you guys “handle” opposition? 😉

      But if you feel better vilifying your opponent and playing the victim, go on! Makes you a better skeptic, I guess.

      1. Robert Folkerts

        Seb,

        Simple, it is the nasty garbage you are volunteering that clearly makes you a pratt.

        1. SebastianH

          It’s that simple? I just declare what you write as nasty garbage and then can call you a pratt? Moderators, are you ok with that? Because I feel a lot of you write nasty garbage in foul language …

          1. spike55

            seb, whimpering again

            so sad 😉

            Maybe if you take your petty sliming attempts elsewhere, you won’t get picked on.

      2. spike55

        “classy”

        No-one will EVER describe you as classy, seb

        You are basically the lowest rung on the ladder of humanity.

        A fact-free, lonely, pathetic, attention-seeking troll, nothing more.

        1. P Gosselin

          Spike, welcome back, but please refrain from insults and name-calling.

        2. SebastianH

          He is back! Wohooo … and with a self description that couldn’t be more fitting 😉

          1. spike55

            wow, the best you can do is pretend its not you looking in the mirror.

            That is sadly pathetic.

            Not a rational thought of your own, seb.

      3. spike55

        “opposition?”

        No seb, you are no “opposition”.

        You can’t even produce evidence of the most basic tenet of the AGW hypothesis.

        You profess ignorance of the gravity effects, which control the lower atmosphere.

        You are just a yapping little puppy behind a 6ft fence.

        1. SebastianH

          Nah, spikey … I don’t need to produce evidence for you that is out there for any rational person to easily find. You’ll discard anything as fake anyways, so why bother?

          Regarding gravity, as per skeptic logic I am skeptical of the existence of gravity since it has never been observed and measured in that very special spot in an orbit between Mars and Jupiter. Please present these measurements and we can talk about the effect this alleged effect might have on an atmosphere.

          Why do you hide behind that fence, angry troll? I thought notrickszone abstinence would be a more relaxing experience, yet here you are playing the exact same role as before (I still hope this is not your true self).

          1. Yonason

            @Kenneth

            Just a slight rewording and an addition, if you please…

            In contrast to the theory of gravity, “…CO2’s cause-effect on ocean heat for EARTH…[has]… not been observed, …[has] not been measured, and CANNOT BE CALCULATED.”

            The latter is very important.

            That is all for now. \\:0]

          2. Yonason

            @Kenneth

            He is persistent. Another time SebH made silly comments about gravity I posted this.
            https://notrickszone.com/2018/02/27/record-cold-in-europe-greenland-adds-12-billion-tonnes-of-snow-and-ice-in-single-day-enough-to-cover-275-manhattans/#comment-1253706

            “He repeatedly lies about scientific knowledge/principles, and what Kenneth and others say about it/them. He deliberately (and repeatedly) ignores all evidence that doesn’t support his narrative, and especially when it conflicts. He routinely employs logical fallacies with the skill of an experienced activist.”

            And I would add that he repeatedly insults anyone who disagrees with his demonstrably false assertions.

            Furthermore, it is SebH who hasn’t a clue “what science is,” as Lubos Motl makes clear. “I would say that most of the competent physicists at good universities who have spent enough time to study the climate change issue are climate skeptics.”
            https://motls.blogspot.com/2012/05/will-happer-co2-friend-or-foe.html

            And just one final quote from Will Happer:
            “Man-made global warming is ‘a house of cards’ – A ‘truly a mad issue’ “

          3. spike55

            “I don’t need to produce evidence “

            roflmao.

            evasion, evasion….. SO PATHETIC. !

            Sceptical of the existence and effects of gravity. Really ???

            Go jump of a cliff, then. !

            That way you will not be posting any more of your childish, SCIENTIFICALLY EMPTY posts.

          4. spike55

            “(I still hope this is not your true self).”

            Poor seb,

            Your inner DESPERATION at your ineptitude and incapability of producing even the slightest bit of science to back up your mindless religion has turned you mental development backwards.. and it wasn’t going forwards to start with.

            Even low IQ junior high students can at least TRY to support their position in a discussion.

            You don’t even try !

            That is how pathetic you have become.

    2. tom0mason

      Robert Folkerts,
      You said
      “SEB THE OMNISCIENT.”

      Sorry Robert but have underestimated, he believes he is so much more than that.
      It doesn’t matter how many science papers Kenneth show. SebastianH always he believe better and can answer all questions.

      He even knows how the very structure of the clouds he sits upon operate and their energy balance.

      1. tom0mason

        However Robert Folkerts, don’t bother taking SebastianH too seriously as he’s just the comedic side show, a detraction from the main topic of the blog post.

        Though if you can offer more comment that arouse his easily provoked indignation please go ahead as it is great fun to watch him inflate with pomposity. Inflated just like some comedic act ready for the prat-fall that always follows.

  6. Bitter&twisted

    DNFTT

  7. tom0mason

    The early 20th century had the Piltdown Man — a paleoanthropological hoax.
    The late 20th century has Dr. Michael Mann — a anthropological global warming hoax.

    1. Yonason

      👍

  8. Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #345 | Watts Up With That?
  9. Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #345 - Sciencetells

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