In 2019, more than 440 scientific papers were published that cast doubt on the position that anthropogenic CO2 emissions function as the climate’s fundamental control knob…or that otherwise serve to question the efficacy of climate models or the related “consensus” positions commonly endorsed by policymakers and mainstream media sources.
Image Source: Collins et al., 2019
Image Source: Lüning et al.,2019
Image Source: Yan et al., 2019
Image Source: Pereira et al., 2019
Image Source: Duvat, 2019
Image Source: Gao et al., 2019
Over 440 scientific papers published in 2019 affirm the position that there are significant limitations and uncertainties inherent in our understanding of climate and climate changes, emphasizing that climate science is not settled.
More specifically, the papers in this compilation support these four main skeptical positions — categorized here as N(1) – N(4) — which question the climate alarm popularized in today’s headlines.
N(1) Natural mechanisms play well more than a negligible role (as claimed by the IPCC) in the net changes in the climate system, which includes temperature variations, precipitation patterns, weather events, etc., and the influence of increased CO2 concentrations on climatic changes are less pronounced than currently imagined.
N(2) The warming/sea levels/glacier and sea ice retreat/hurricane and drought intensities…experienced during the modern era are neither unprecedented or remarkable, nor do they fall outside the range of natural variability.
N(3) The computer climate models are neither reliable or consistently accurate, the uncertainty and error ranges are irreducible, and projections of future climate states (i.e., an intensification of the hydrological cycle) are not supported by observations and/or are little more than speculation.
N(4) Current emissions-mitigation policies, especially related to the advocacy for renewables, are often ineffective and even harmful to the environment, whereas elevated CO2 and a warmer climate provide unheralded benefits to the biosphere (i.e., a greener planet and enhanced crop yields, lower mortality with warming).
In sharp contrast to the above, the corresponding “consensus” positions that these papers do not support are:
A(1) Close to or over 100% (110%) of the warming since 1950 has been caused by increases in anthropogenic CO2 emissions, leaving natural attribution at something close to 0%.
RealClimate.org: “The best estimate of the warming due to anthropogenic forcings (ANT) is the orange bar (noting the 1𝛔 uncertainties). Reading off the graph, it is 0.7±0.2ºC (5-95%) with the observed warming 0.65±0.06 (5-95%). The attribution then follows as having a mean of ~110%, with a 5-95% range of 80–130%. This easily justifies the IPCC claims of having a mean near 100%, and a very low likelihood of the attribution being less than 50% (p < 0.0001!).”
A(2) Modern warming, glacier and sea ice recession, sea level rise, drought and hurricane intensities…are all occurring at unprecedentedly high and rapid rates, and the effects are globally synchronous (not just regional)…and thus dangerous consequences to the global biosphere and human civilizations loom in the near future as a consequence of anthropogenic influences.
A(3) The climate models are reliable and accurate, and the scientific understanding of the effects of both natural forcing factors (solar activity, clouds, water vapor, etc.) and CO2 concentration changes on climate is “settled enough”, which means that “the time for debate has ended”.
A(4) The proposed solutions to mitigate the dangerous consequences described in N(4) – namely, wind and solar expansion – are safe, effective, and environmentally-friendly.
To reiterate, the 440+ papers compiled in 2019 support the N(1)-N(4) positions, and they undermine or at least do not support the “consensus”A(1)-A(4) positions. These papers do not do more than that. In other words, it is not accurate to claim these papers prove that anthropogenic global warming (AGW) positions are invalid, or that AGW claims have now been “debunked”.
Below are the three links to the list of scientific papers for 2019 as well as an outline to their categorization.
I love your annual list. I’ve seen the 2016,7,8,9 list but don’t recall a 2015 or 2014 or 2013 list. I’d like to add it to the poptech list so we have as long a list for all time as possible.
Maybe you already have something like this?
On another note, who can solve the mystery of two hemispheres?
https://phzoe.wordpress.com/2020/01/30/north-and-south-hemisphere/
Maybe later I’ll add them – when I get the time.
I am helping get the message out there. It seams that some of the MMGW (Man-made Global Warming) lies are getting so convincing that even some “Conservatives” are caving, such as Ben Shapiro. I know that MMGW is a major part of the Communist Globalist agenda to dominate the world, but many still do not.
Here is one I have been hammering. Why is no one noting the oxymoron that, they want to exterminate 6 to 7 Billion people ASAP in order to save people from MMGW? They say it, write about it, it’s even chiseled in stone! The Georgia Guide Stones, first thing on the list! No thanks I will take my chances with the fiction of man-made Global Warming! My chances are astronomically better!
You’re even better off with Thanos 🙂
All we skeptics can do is have faith and lots of activism (political and otherwise) with reading of like info. I have been collecting temp data for the Dallas/Fort Worth (Texas USA) for the last several years and it seems that the early/mid 1900s had the most hot/cold recorded variances with a few since 2000. Definitely not a trend for GW. If anything, some GC and random CC. Regards, retired mechanical engineer, Physicist, Astronomer and petroleum geologiat.raygun
‘In other words, it is not accurate to claim these papers prove that anthropogenic global warming (AGW) positions are invalid, or that AGW claims have now been “debunked”.’
Thanks for stressing this. It is important to be accurate when arguing against those who peddle inaccuracy.
I have just read a book about meteorology that was published in 1962 and was written by the then head of the UK Met Office. The green house effect is discussed and almost completely attributed to water vapour. CO2 is said to have a minor effect on the world’s climate. It would be interesting to know when and why this view was changed.
Two German book recommendations from 2019 that deal with the climate change religion.
Hans-Jörg Schmidt
“CO2: Fakten-Check zum Klimawandel: Eine Übersicht zum Klimawandel, dessen Ursachen und den in Deutschland erzielbaren Ergebnissen zum Klimaschutz”
A master of science explains scientific facts in an easy to understand way for professionals and laymen.
Michael Grandt
“Kommt die Klima-Diktatur?: Eine faktenreiche Analyse des grünen Klimawahns”
A book debunking lies of the climate sectarians and it researches the people behind FFF -> rich investors and greenwashing corporations.
A nice music video about the leader of the church of climatology:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X9GwTbz3b4I
Gerald, what is the book called?
[…] Fonte: No Tricks Zone […]
[…] Over 440 Scientific Papers Published In 2019 Support A Skeptical Position On Climate Alarm […]
Mark, I am away from home but will get back to you early next week with the full name etc. Rgds Gerald
[…] the other hand, Kenneth Richard of NoTricksZone notes […]
Mark 31, the book is:
The Challenge of the Atmosphere
O G Sutton, former head of UK Met Office
Hutchinson & Co
published 1962
pp12-22 deal with the greenhouse effect
Regards Gerald
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February 19, 2020 NOAA warns of risks from relying on aging space weather missions
WASHINGTON — The head of NOAA’s space weather office used a recent hearing to caution that a failure of an aging spacecraft in the next few years could leave the agency “hurting a little bit” in its ability to monitor solar activity.
https://spacenews.com/noaa-warns-of-risks-from-relying-on-aging-space-weather-missions/