“Results are somewhat in contrast to climate projections”
Hat-tip: Klimanachrichten
The European Space Agency (ESA) here reports on runoff and river discharge, which are important components in Earth’s water cycle.
With the globe allegedly warming, drought and heatwaves are said to be more frequent and so the hotter climate should lead to reduced water runoff and river discharge. But scientists, using data from satellites, are finding out “this isn’t always the case.”
Runoff occurs when the soil is saturated and has lost its capacity to soak up any more water. The water is then forced to flow over land until it reaches a stream or a river. River discharge describes the volume of water flowing per second at a given point along a river.
ESA says that river discharge is an indicator of climate change and trends on this can be derived from satellite data. In these days of climate panic, many scientists believe that heat and drought will lead to drier soils and so less runoff into rivers.
The Hydrology Group of the Italian National Research Council has developed an innovative approach using satellite observations of terrestrial water storage, soil moisture and precipitation to predict runoff and river discharge. The results were published in the Geoscientific Model Development journal.
The team of scientists led by Stefania Camici of the National Research Council of Italy, found that “runoff is also increasing parts of southern Europe, including central Italy, Sardinia, Corsica and the in the Pyrenees.”
Much of northern Europe had been stricken by drought over the 2018-2022 period, and so runoff and river discharge decreased. But the heavy rains of late 2023 have literally erased the low runoff situation. Soil saturation and river discharge are high
The ESA reports on their results:
Dr. Camici commented, ‘These results are somewhat in contrast to climate projections, where runoff is expected to decrease only over southern Europe. While these results need to be further validated and cross-checked, they open up interesting new activities for hydrological research in the near future.’ “
Conclusion: Don’t trust the climate forecasters! They are having a tough time understanding what’s really going on, wrongly assume lots of things in their models, and so end up suggesting absurd policy decisions.
Entire ESA article here.
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more Play Station climate models, GIGO
They never take clouds/cosmic rays, orbital variations, water vapor, and other factors into account in their Kinder Garten level “models” so, surprise! the models don’t work. worse than than, a stochastic, chaotic system like our climate is NOT predictable with any accuracy, much like the stock market.
“The climate system is a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore the long-term prediction of future climate states is not possible.” – IPCC TAR WG1, Working Group I: The Scientific Basis
[…] Models Wrong Again: “Hotter Weather Not Diminishing Runoff, River Discharge”! […]