Alfred Wegener Institute Implies Cold Winters Caused By Global Warming

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Here we go again. Global warming causes cold European winters! So no matter what happens – it proves man-made global warming is for real.

Just a few years ago, these off-the-wall scientists claimed that global warming would lead to warm, snowless winters, with palm trees eventually reaching Scandinavia.

But now that cold winters have caught the hapless scientists with their pants down and signs pointing to even colder winters ahead are piling up, scientists have now concocted a model that they say shows that warming lack of summertime Arctic sea ice cover leads to cold winters. At least that’s what some adventurous scientists are saying at Germany’s state-funded Alfred Wegener Institute in a new paper.

The Alfred Wegener Institute press release here claims that because of the near surface warming, the air goes into upward motion and the atmosphere becomes unstable. According to the paper’s lead author Ralf Jaiser:

We have analysed the complex non-linear proceses that are behnind this destabilization, and have shown how the changed conditions in the Arctic have an impact on the typical circulation and air pressure patterns.”

The AWI tells us about the air pressure difference between the Arctic and the middle latitudes the so-called Arctic Oscillation, with the Azores high and the Iceland lows that we know from weather reports. If the index is high, then westerly winds prevail and transport warm, moist oceanic air deep into Europe. But if these westerly winds cease, then Arctic air penetrates into Europe, like the last 2 winters. The models calculation now show that in times of low Arctic ice cover, this air pressure index is weakened during the subsequent winter and thus allows Arctic air to penetrate down to the middle latitudes. It’s that simple – period. So let’s all just keep moving on.

So their knowledge of nature is complete now, and their models are tuned like no others and can recreate all the mysteries of nature. This may sound hard to believe, but it’ll do for the hordes of stupid gullible journalists out there. Overall the AWI press release takes on a sort of silly paternal attitude and treats the reader like a parent treats a 4-year old when explaining how Santa Claus brings presents at Christmas. Of course, when the child reaches the age of 8, he or she realises that he/she had been duped the whole time. Right now the media is at about age two and half, and stuck there.

 

 

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20 responses to “Alfred Wegener Institute Implies Cold Winters Caused By Global Warming”

  1. Ecotretas

    Gosh

    “the atmosphere becomes unstable”

    Who would have guessed that???

    Ecotretas

  2. DirkH

    They must all have frantically tried to tune their models so that they could explain the last few snowy winters. A funny (but pointless) question would be: Is their explanation consistent with the one from the PIK from a few months ago.

    O/T: Working on offshore wind park construction is dangerous. Second death during construction of BARD 1; worker’s body found underwater. He dropped off a platform that became loose a few days ago. One year ago, a Swedish diver already died on the same site.
    http://regionales.t-online.de/vermisster-windpark-mitarbeiter-tot-unter-wasser-gefunden/id_53552020/index
    No mass protests against dangerous wind power on the streets here for now.

  3. John F. Hultquist

    “. . . because of the near surface warming, the air goes into upward motion and the atmosphere becomes unstable . . .”

    That’s all they’ve got?! That’s like bringing a butter knife to a gun fight. The atmosphere is naturally unstable; partly explaining why the opposite is called an inversion.

    They should pick up on your Santa Claus thing – maybe he busts through the thin membrane at the outer edge of a high pressure bubble and lets the cold air rush out. A headline grabber.

  4. Ike

    any1 interested in Rahmstorf…live on stage?

    Führerender Klimaforscher Stefan Rahmstorf kommt
    Vortrag zu Klimawandel und Kontroversen um Forschungsergebnisse

    http://cms.frankfurt-live.com/front_content.php?idcatart=111790

    Ike

    1. DirkH

      Can’t stand the voice of the guy. (And his boss Schellnhuber is just plain creepy)

  5. matti

    Part of the press release also reads [translated by Google]

    “Despite the small extent of sea ice in summer 2011 , in Germany failed a cold, snowy winter so far. Jaiser explains it this way: “Of course, playing in the complex climate system of our earth many other factors involved, which partially overlap each other. Our conceptual model explains the mechanisms of how regional changes in the global impact of the Arctic sea ice cover and over a period of late summer to winter. Other mechanisms depend, for example, along with the snow cover in Siberia and tropical influences. The interactions between these factors are addressed in future research to date, forming an uncertainty of predictions. ”

    So the first field test of their theory has failed the first winter even though we had low ice extent but no negative AO nor any cold winter in western Europe . Of course their theory could be all wrong and other factors really cause the negative AO and cold winters in Europe[ like a warmer Stratosphere which causes a colder troposphere] ]

  6. Edward.

    “The lack of warming for more than a decade—indeed, the smaller-than-predicted warming over the 22 years since the U.N.’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) began issuing projections—suggests that computer models have greatly exaggerated how much warming additional CO2 can cause. Faced with this embarrassment, those promoting alarm have shifted their drumbeat from warming to weather extremes, to enable anything unusual that happens in our chaotic climate to be ascribed to CO2.”

    Kinda sums it up, does it not?

    http://wattsupwiththat.com/2012/01/27/sixteen-prominent-scientists-publish-a-letter-in-wsj-saying-theres-no-need-to-panic-about-global-warming/#more-55508

  7. DirkH

    O/T Eurocrisis:
    Be worried. Be VERY worried.
    http://www.iiea.com/blogosphere?theme.id=1
    (Don’t laugh. Infographic by the Eurocrats themselves depicting how they gonna tackle the Eurocrisis. Looks like they’re fans of XKCD.)

    1. Edward.

      Yeah and BS baffles brains as they used to say over here, or is it just all b8ll8x?

      I tend to the latter explanation.

  8. Bruce of Newcastle

    So Dr Wegener froze to death in Greenland because it was so amazingly hot? Oh.

    Why can’t they use Occam’s Razor like other scientists? The high sensitivity hypothesis just does not explain the data, whereas the low sensitivity/solar magnetic hypothesis fits remarkably well.

    Unfortunately the last remaining carbon traders will be out of a job, and the EU has no influence on the Sun, so I can see why they fear her rays so much. Vampirical indeed.

  9. Otto Weinzierl

    They should not be allowed to misuse the name of Alfred Wegener.

    1. Edward.

      Good point, well said.

  10. archaeopteryx

    What about Alaska? “Bering Sea Ice moving south fast”. (http://wattsupwiththat.com/2012/01/27/alaska-on-the-rocks/#more-55531)

    Global warming (weather) will hurt the crab business

  11. GoFigure

    That’s funny. My computer model is instead concluding that the optimum treatment for this recent cooling is for Germany to reduce internal costs by disbanding certain (supposed) thinktanks.

  12. Dave Stephens

    German Stinktanks? What’s their carbon footprint?

  13. Willie McDonald

    Earth’s orbit around the sun is destabilizing

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