By Dr. Dietrich E. Koelle
(German text translated/edited by P Gosselin)
Once again – for the 24th time – a mass climate conference with over 20,000 participants (400 of them from Guinea alone) has come to an end and the politicians and climate officials involved praised its success: “Once again the earth was saved”. It’s all actually quite simple: you only need to reduce CO2 emissions and global temperature drops.
“Strongly decelerated warming”
Reductions have been decided at every conference for 24 years – and emissions have always risen the following year, and done so for 24 years now.
Source: IEA-Report für 2017
But nobody is interested in the fact that despite this, there has hardly been a global rise in temperature in 16 years (since 2002) and record emissions of 500 billion tons of CO2 in this period. Instead there has been a strongly decelerated warming, sometimes even called a “hiatus”. But acknowledging this would possibly jeopardize next year’s planned climate conference.
Suppressing the facts
It is amazing how one can ignore this fact, and this is only possible through firm ideological belief and/or strong personal interest in propagating climate fears. Steven Pinker, Harvard Professor of Cognitive Psychology, recently stated:
‘Surprisingly intellectuals are often completely deaf when it comes to facts.’ (FOCUS, Oct. 6, 2018).”
Unfortunately, this includes climatologists in Germany. Also Gerhard Schulze, Professor emeritus of Sociology at the University of Bamberg, noted:
We no longer have experience in dealing with real emergencies. This leads us to fantasize about catastrophes. For example, the climate catastrophe, which I consider an amazing phenomenon of mass delusion.”
There are 5 respected climate institutes dedicated to professional global temperature monitoring. Two of them are based on satellite data and three on ground measurements. The data series naturally show slight differences, but the same trend for 40 years. You can probably see an increase of 0.1 to 0.2 ° C over the last 16 years (since 2002) – my, what a huge climate change! (without misusing the peaks of 1998 and 2015/16 as an effect of the El Nino in the Pacific, which have nothing to do with the climate trend as such).
Source: Bob Tisdale.
Without a doubt there was a global temperature increase of around 0.4°C between 1975 and 2002, but also a drop in temperature of around 0.2°C between 1940 and 1975 (despite the increase in CO2 emissions – unbelievable what Nature can do!). This was ignored when the CO2 hypothesis emerged in the 1980s because of the correlation between temperature increase and CO2 increase.
Funding and attention
But (intermittent) correlation does not mean causality. There was no criticism of this simplistic and naive CO2 hypothesis because no climatologist wanted to forego the resulting public and political attention. For journalists it became a favorite subject in which CO2 was declared “pollution, pollutants or even ‘climate killer” with an accompanying subsequent doomsday.
Conferences too gargantuan to solve anything
Anyone with just even some experience in organization and management knows that the outcome of a conference is inversely proportional to the number of participants. Thus, a climate conference with 20,000 participants and two weeks duration is doomed from the start. Can anyone name another area where a problem has ever been solved by a mass conference? Only an effective conference with a small number of participants would have a chance of success, as has happened in other cases.
But today no climate functionary nor climate politician wants to do without the annual climate party, which is staged with much publicity and each time at a different place of interest — generally done at the expense of the taxpayer. The least problematic about each conference is the decision on the time and place for the next climate conference.