The more that time runs out for the world to stop “dangerous climate change”, the more the world seems to drag its feet and postpone limiting so-called greenhouse gases. The disconnect between the supposedly imminent threat and the world’s reaction could not be more profound.
If anything, the world’s reaction confirms that global warming is nothing really but hot air.
According to Der Spiegel, a realistic new deadline looks to be 2014 or 2015. A new treaty would regulate CO2 emissions for 40 industrial countries. But Russia, Japan, Canada and the USA have already said they would not join in.
China, the world’s greatest CO2 emitter, and India are not bound to CO2 reductions in any treaty. Currently represenatives from 180 countries are meeting in Bonn in a half-hearted attempt to lay the groundwork for Durban.
Der Spiegel reports here again that the world will likely postpone in Durban signing a climate treaty to succeed Kyoto I. Speigel writes:
here also will likely be no new international treaty at the next climate conference in Durban South Africa at the end of the year. The United Nations no longer anticipates a successor treaty for the Kyoto Climate Protocol to be finished on time. The end of December deadline will be missed, said Christiana Figueres, UN Climate Chief said at a UN conference in Bonn.
Prospects look dim. Even WWF “climate expert” Tasneem Esso sees the writing on the wall, and says:
The current political framework is not favourable for a treaty. We cannot be optimistic.”
Speigel reports that the USA says it is in favour of a Kyoto 2, but only if nations like China are included. China, which is rapidly modernizing its economy, refuses to restict its CO2 emissions.
Officials and scientists are claiming the situation is urgent. Der Spiegel writes that the number of annual “reported natural catastrophes” has doubled over the last 2 decades from 200 to 400, and that:
The number of catastrophe refusgees jumped 2 and half times from 2009 to 2010. In total more than 90% of the catastrophes in the past year could be traced back to weather events.”
Der Spiegel does not provide any source for these statistics other than quoting “some scientists”.