This summer in Germany is yet another wet one. Everywhere the media are moaning about the ongoing rains, lack of sunshine, flooded basements, etc. It was the same story last year. German scientists are stumped, their models have been exposed as being completely wrong – again.
For years Germany’s “climate scientists” kept warning the German public and governments they had to prepare for drier summers with periods of drought – because of galloping climate change. That’s what the climate models of renown institutes like the Max Planck Institute and the Potsdam Institute showed. That cannot be denied.
For example the online Augsburger Allgemeine Zeitung here warned “Climate change, according to the German Weather Service, will result in very rainy low pressure areas during the wintertime and more dryness with periods of drought in the summertime. The source of this projection is DWD Vice President Paul Becker, early May.
Not long ago, the online Der Tagesspiegel warned its readers of the same: “Wet winters, dry summers, less water, high temperatures, more hail, more storm damage.” Here they were using model projections from the Potsdam Institute of Bedwetters and Climate Neurotics (PIK).
In September, 2008, Der Spiegel here wrote: “More heat waves, no snow in the winter: After years of calculation work, the climate prognoses of the German government are complete. With unprecedented accuracy they predict how the climate will change by the year 2100 – region by region.” Unfortunately the “unprecedented accuracy” they’ve seen up to now is not what they had in mind.
Der Spiegel here also wrote: “Calculation made by Max Planck Institute scientists show that temperatures over Germany could be on average 1°C higher beginning already in 2021.” For sure we’ll be checking up on that in just a few more years.
Der Spiegel continues: “‘Every few years there will be heat waves like 2003,’ said climate scientists of the Max Planck Institute.”
Well, we’re still waiting for it. If anything, the summers in Germany have been getting rainier and cooler – not resembling anything at all the summer of 2003.
Not only have the summers been misprdicted with astounding failure, but so have the recent winters. Here Der Spiegel predicted increasingly snowless winters. By 2031, much of Germany could expect never to see snow again. However, the last winters have seen a large number of days with snow cover. Indeed the red-colored Germany needs to be repainted green or even blue!
Looking back at the much ballyhooed climate models, we see that they’ve made a complete string of major mispredictions:
1. Not a single model predicted the stagnant temperatures the globe has seen for the last 15 years.
2. Not a single model projected the recent slowdown in sea level rise.
3. Not a single model predicted harsh winters of the type many parts of the world have experienced.
4. Not a single model projected the disappearance of hurricanes striking the US. Not a single model prjected fewer cyclones globally.
5. Not a single model projected increasing sea ice at the South Pole.
Just to name a few.
Germany’s once highly renowned, prestigious and respected science institutes are slowly but surely turning themselves into laughing stocks with their pseudo-science. All thanks to a small group of closed-minded activist scientists.
Finally, here’s the 7-day forecast near where I live, from www.wetter24.de:
No barbecue days in sight…middle of July with high temps in the low 60s…unbelievable warming!
16 responses to “Observed Reality Contradicts Climate Model Projections (Again). Germany Gets Another Rain-Soaked Summer”
“In September, 2008, Der Spiegel here wrote: “More heat waves, no snow in the winter: After years of calculation work, the climate prognoses of the German government are complete. With unprecedented accuracy they predict how the climate will change by the year 2100 – region by region.” ”
By far the best one. Years of calculations! Unprecedented precision! I spent two winters in Hamburg, where Der Spiegel has its lair; 2009/2010 and 2010/2011. Both of them where extremely snowy and icy, catching the Hamburg populace completely by surprise as they normally have little snow, being close to the sea. I was laughing my head off.
This morning, around Hildesheim, it was very foggy, like it normally is only in spring and autumn.
And all the municpalities ran out of roadsalt in a matter of weeks or even days! Of course, the PIK had to go back and write up new models – this time projecting snowy winters.
So I expect them to soon come up with even newer models showing cold wet summers – due to warming.
The other side of the city from the UEA I’ve just recorded some 30mm of rain in 6 hours…
It stands to reason –so I’m told– that one day, perhaps sooner than later, that the probability of their being correct increases with each passing storm. I’m not very well versed in the Laws of Probability, but I understand that anything is possible if you’re willing to wait long enough. I do foresee a little problem, however, if Europe keeps spending all it’s German Money on hot stuff now, there won’t be enough or any when the forecasts come true. Might it not be smarter in the long run to save a penny or two now on solar and wind power grids, and improve the technology as long as possible, and when all that bad heat starts moving in, to move to Greenland after it thaws? I’m not very smart, but it does appear that a lot of someones are believing the little chicken who’s screaming that the sky is falling now, and it ain’t.
Stein’s Law applies.
“If something cannot go on forever, it will stop.”
meaning – “if something cannot go on forever, there is no need for action or a program to make it stop, much less to make it stop immediately; it will stop of its own accord.”
Certainly not a contradiction but a temporary set back, this time caused by a weird jet stream. In the mean time all that heat is hiding it self deep in the oceans where it cannot be seen or measured. If that escapes, hell will burst out.
[…] That's what the climate models of renown institutes like the Max Planck Institute and the Potsdam Institute showed. That cannot be denied. For example the online Augsburger Allgemeine Zeitung here warned “Climate change … […]
Ha, you want to try being here in eastern Austria. 35 deg again today, following 38 and 37 previous days. High pressure area trapped over Pannonia by the rotten weather everywhere else, I expect.
Of course the result is massive storms.
“UK flooding: Torrential rain cause rising water levels”
BBCs Climate Change Experiment Results
At a Glance
Hotter Dryer Summers, Wetter Winters
The UK should expect a 4°C rise in temperature by 2080 according to the most likely results of the experiment.
Heatwaves are on the rise and, by 2080, summer temperatures of 40°C will be common. Winters will also be warmer.
Summer rainfall is set to decrease and the UK can expect more frequent droughts
Winters will bring less snow and more rain, especially in the north and west. Storms will be more frequent and more severe.
The corruption of the Old Media in Europe is complete.
just asking for a favour:
the picture on top of your article is so wonderful that I would like to show it around. May I do so? Of course with citation of the source.
Regards (until Munic?) Chris Frey
Of course you may use this photo. It’s a comnbination of 2 public domain photos from Wikipedia.
This year I’m planning to come out to Munich. Hope to see you there.
Lots of rain and flash floods in Russia, killing 134 people in the night.
Four years ago south-eastern Australia was in the grip of a serious drought, one of the type which occur in this part of the world about every 50 years.
Our climate scientists were in overdrive. “We may never see our dams fill again,” one wailed.
We have now had three years of flooding on the Murray, our biggest river.
The flooding which is occuring as I write is entirely man-made. Our dams are all full and they are making room for the Spring thaw of the snow that is already in the mountains (with another two months of it yet to come.