Lately we’ve been seeing and hearing lots media reports of cooling and cold weather extremes. Global temperature data, such as HadCrut 4, show warming has disappeared altogether.
Global temperatures have fallen over the last 8 years. Source: www.woodfortrees.org/.
Looking at the data for the last decade or so, one thing stands clear: Global temperatures have been showing many more signs of cooling than warming. Already we are sensing that global temperature has lost the battle to stay up. The HadCrut data series above shows that cooling has gained the upper hand. Indeed warming is now in the history books, having died some 15 years ago.
Forget the missing heat – the real story is the present cooling.
And a number of media outlets have kept up with this inconvenient development. Numerous reports have appeared lately, and they ought to serve as a wake-up call to policymakers who have long been heavily intoxicated with the fantasy of a run-away warming planet.
There is a growing number of undeniable signs showing the planet is cooling:
– The Arctic has seen a 60% gain in sea ice, the highest late summertime level since 2006. In fact, there hasn’t been any warming in the Arctic in 8 years. The North Pole region has long been touted as the canary in the coal mine. Nowhere were temperatures supposed to rise faster than in the Artic. The fact that the Arctic is now cooling should be telling us something.
– At the other end of the earth, Antarctic sea ice has been above normal for more than 700 consecutive days and this year it has been setting dozens of record highs for sea ice extent. With about another week left before the season peaks, the South Pole is poised to set an all time record high since satellite measurements began.
– Central Europe has seen 5 consecutive colder-than-normal winters – a record. Worse, early forecasts for the 2013/14 winter show we may be looking at a spectacular 6 colder-than-normal winters in a row.
– The online UK Express reports here that the globe is cooling, and so does the UK flagship newspaper Daily Mail in a detailed piece well worth reading.
– The UK Telegraph also recently reported on a cooling planet, quoting climate scientist Professor Anastasios Tsonis of the University of Wisconsin: “We are already in a cooling trend, which I think will continue for the next 15 years at least. There is no doubt the warming of the 1980s and 1990s has stopped.”
– Finally, reader Ed Hoskins has been charting CET temperature data from the UK Met Office: “The overall annual temperature shows a diminution of pretty much a full degree Celsius over the last 13 years.” Here’s the chart:
CET temperatures have been plummeting over the last 13 years (fall 2013 data not included). Chart by Ed Hoskins, data source: UK Met Office.
It turns out the alarmists are correct: Global warming can no longer be denied. That’s because there is none left to deny!
These data and others certainly support the beginning of global cooling. If that’s the case, it appears the only question now is the extent of the cooling cycle. Three possible scenarios:
1) a normal 20-30 year cooling cycle
2) a 200+ year Little Ice Age
3) a true “Ice Age”
Dealing with severe winters again? I wouldn’t wish that on anyone!
Pierre, thank you for staying on top of this and providing great information in your No Tricks Zone.
Thanks, Bob!
Bob, you have listed them in the order of their likelihood. It depends on the sun. If the sun is entering a Dalton type minimum, the number 1. If the sun is entering a Maunder type minimum, then number 2. The Milankovitch cycle does not favor number 3.
I have the following probabilities I arrived at using the warmist guessing technique but I’m not preparing to fudge any data just yet.
1) 30% Dalton
2) 50% Maunder
3) 20% Glaciation
My guess is that if the Maunder is bad enough it could trigger a glaciation within twenty years from now. I guess Milankovitch is not the whole story but we are overdue (3) right now.
Must go, there’s a mammoth eating my hedge……
[…] From Pierre Gosselin, at http://www.notrickszone.com, the information is that the planet is now cooling and…. […]
UK flagship newspaper Daily Mail .
This rag is a long way from a flagship daily.
While I agree it is a rag (target audience is 30+ female demographic) the Dail Mail does have the second highest daily circulation at just under 2,000,000 and is probably the most influential. The highest circulation is still the even raggier Sun while the third highest and only other paper with 1,000,000+ circulation is, may the Saints preserve us, the Daily Mirror.
The truth is the Mail probably is the closest we have to a flagship paper, in so far as any adult comic, for that is what they all are today, can be called a flagship.
“The World’s Most Popular Online Newspaper”
http://www.slate.com/articles/business/moneybox/2012/02/daily_mail_new_york_times_how_the_british_tabloid_became_the_world_s_most_popular_online_newspaper_.html
It gets a big audience
From rag to riches!
Too funny. Slate derides the Mail online for writing a piece about Cameron Diaz having had plastic surgery; and has at the same time clickbait on the right panel:
“Julie Chen Got Plastic Surgery Because Her “Asian Eyes” Hurt Her Career”
For hypocrites they can sure be high brow.
But it does have the second highest readership of any daily paper in the UK.
Fie – telling Wood For Trees to stop at 2013 means stop at 2013.00 – the start of the year. That one month fluke at the end of 2012 did not maintain itself in 2013. See http://www.woodfortrees.org/plot/hadcrut4gl/from:2005/to:2014/plot/hadcrut4gl/from:2005/to:2014/trend for grpahs that include 2013 data.
The trend is still negative.
You’re right, but as Ed says, it doesn’t change anything.
If this is true, should we try to increase CO2 more?
or is there some better GHG that works?
BP
I don’t think any “GHG” would lead to a net warming. GHG’s in the atmosphere enable the atmosphere to radiate IR to space. This creates the lapse rate. An atmosphere without GHG’s would be radiatively inactive and warm up to surface temperature; not being able to cool. The surface OTOH would send IR directly to space. Lapse rate would be zero. Planet would be cooling via the surface.
The higher the GHG content, therefore, the higher the lapse rate; but no net change in energy balance with space.
Because CO2 is a plant fertilizer, 600 ppm would be about right. None of the others do us any good (or much harm).
Warmists’ greatest fear has been cooling. Cooling throws their climate models in the garbage can and has the potential to dry up their lavish funding of pseudoscience.
Erratum:
Should not the title read:
Warming Left to Deny…Global Cooling Takes Over[…….]?
I think we have to be a bit more realistic. Certainly, there’s been no significant temperature change for nearly 17 years. There are good reasons to suspect that we may be in a cooling period, but it’s too early to say we have climatic global cooling. The best we can say is that there’s a pause in warming. I wouldn’t get too carried away about Arctic ice. There’s certainly a big recovery this year, but it’s coming from last year’s very low level. If we blow these events out of their significant proportions, we make the same mistake as the alarmists. Stick to what good science and statistics concludes, and don’t go overboard with extreme claims.
“If you think scientists just couldn’t get any more incompetent, then think again. NOAA scientists even appear to believe that cold events are now signs of warming,” Gosselin points out.
Nigel Farrage vs Ex-Maoist José Manuel Barroso; talking about climate change.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aylLhPHI1TI&feature=player_embedded
I’ve never seen Barroso talking. He’s good. He’s a great clown.
How do you make the “Share” tab that pops up in the left margin go away?
DirkH says:
“Just had same problem. fix was to make the browser winder broader OR the text smaller via ctrl -; to make the dark background border appear.”
Hello Ed Caryl – You are on the correct path – Chinese data on fruits and veggies indicate that 700 to 750 ppm during the bloom phase will produce the best food stuff.
That’s why greenhouses are often supplemented with extra CO2, typically up to 1000 ppm.
Hello Ed Caryl – The latest I have seen is from a technical paper by the Chinese on fruits and veggies and a 700 ppm to 1250 ppm CO2 atmosphere content during “bloom” produces the best and most nutricous food and uses less water than with lower atmospheric CO2!
[…] Flannery http://www.theaustralian.com.a… – Central England Temperature record in freefall https://notrickszone.com/2013/0… – No change in Arctic temperatures since 2003 http://notalotofpeopleknowthat… – No rise in […]
If you start at the top of a mountain, which way will you walk?
Down.
And if you start with the warmest year on record, what trend will you find?
Cooling.
2005 happens to be the warmest year on record. It also happens to be the year that Gosselin chose as the starting point for his data.
No tricks zone? I’ll let you decide.
And if you start in a valley, the only direction you can walk is up.
According to the warmists, we weren’t supposed to reach any peak, i.e. we were in a continuous and accelerating climb. Strange how we’ve been going down for years.
If we’re going down and it’s due to natural fluctuations counteracting a growing CO2 forcing then the natural fluctuations are stronger than the growth of the increasingly saturated CO2 greenhouse effect.
When the natural fluctuations are stronger than the increasingly saturated CO2 greenhouse effect, the costly efforts to reduce the obviously irrelevant CO2 greenhouse effect are a waste / money that is stolen by the cronies of the system.
Do you support corruption, mathematician?
Why?