German Analysis: Spreading Alarmism Over Mere Hundredths Of A Degree Is “Complete Hyperbolism”

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Screaming bloody murder over nothing? Keep in mind that RSS recently released the satellite measured global temperature for 2014 and found it is not even close to a new record. Three days ago one of Germany’s leading climate science sites Science Skeptical issued the following comment.
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Global Temperature Record 2014?
By Michael Krueger
(Translated, edited by P Gosselin)

A new temperature record for Germany has been announced by the DWD German Weather Service. With 10.3°C the warmest year since 1881 has been measured. Here are the facts.

2014 was the warmest year in Germany since 1881, but the warmest 12-months occurred from July 2006 to June 2007 with a mean of 11.3°C. Therefore the annual mean for 2006/2007 as 1°C over the current annual mean.

Deutschlandtemperatur1761-2015d

Chart depicts Germany’s temperature since 1761. Rose line is the annual mean temperature and the dark red line depicts the 5-year smoothing.

Moreover since 2000 Germany’s temperature has barely risen – in contradiction to atmospheric CO2 concentrations.

How does the global temperature appear?

There are different datasets available for global tempertaure. I’m selecting the most alarmist, which comes from NASA. The gray shading shows the monthly mean values and the red curve is the smoothed annual mean (over 12 months).

NASA-GISS2014d

Since 1880 the global temperature has risen about 0.8°C, i.e. not even a full degree. Since 1998 (a powerful El-Nino-year) there’s been practically no rise. What follows is a blow-up for the recent period.

NASA-GISS2014c

In 2007 and 2010 it was just as warm as in 2014, or even warmer. We’re talking about 1/100 °C, which is deep inside the range of uncertainty. Yet the concentrations of atmospheric CO2 continued their steady rise. Based on these data, spreading climate alarmism is complete hyperbolism.

Very likely in the days ahead NASA will be announcing a global temperature record that in reality never was.

 

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4 responses to “German Analysis: Spreading Alarmism Over Mere Hundredths Of A Degree Is “Complete Hyperbolism””

  1. John F. Hultquist

    Fractions! There will be a lot of ink and electrons flowing with this momentous finding. Follow the sound and the fury right to the Paris-UN COP21. Indulgences need to be paid for.

  2. Mervyn

    So, Germany has been warming. And America has been cooling. So what does it all mean? Nothing really, because weather is weather … and weather is beyond human control. Humans cannot control weather… and they certainly cannot control the climate.

    The impact of human activity on earth is dwarfed by the natural forces that gave rise to climate changes such as the Roman Warm Period, the Dark Ages Cold Period, the Medieval Warm Period, the Little Ice Age, and now this latest warming trend.

    CO2 emitted by human activity represents 3% of all CO2 entering the atmosphere each year (IPCC AR4). It accounts for about 0.12% of the total greenhouse heat, 95% of which is attributed to water vapour. Why then is there so much fuss about human activity CO2 emissions when, in the overall context of things, it is statistically insignificant and scientifically irrelevant?

  3. DirkH

    Also, what nobody ever mentions, in the cases where it warmed, this always happened by warmer minimum temperatures, never by higher maximum temperatures; maxima are limited by the inevitable occurence of thunderstorms.

    So a warming is ALWAYS a non-problem…

  4. John F. Hultquist

    OT:
    Paul Homewood posted on German electric production. I’ve left a comment. Have a look at what he posted:
    http://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2015/01/06/coal-still-dominates-the-energiewende/

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