Germany’s DWD national weather service now presents the preliminary weather results for October 2015 in Germany, a region that finds itself in the middle of Europe.
Like September, also October is coming in cooler than normal, i.e. no sign of climate change. The real fact of the matter is that if it weren’t for all the multibillion-dollar funded hype in the media, nobody would even know that there is any climate change going on. The DWD writes that October was “a bit too cool; a really typical October“.
Typical? Not really. We need to recall that “typical” is hardly what the models say we should be having now. According to the data recorded by Germany’s almost 2000 weather stations, the country’s mean temperature for October 2015 was only 8.4 °C, which is 0.6°C below than the 1961-1990 mean and 0.8°C below the 1981-2010 mean. Climate models on the other hand projected that today’s October mean temperature by now should be some 1.2°C warmer than the mean, i.e. near 10.2°C. That means that October 2015 was in fact close to 2°C below what was expected by models.
It really is now time to start comparing measured observed temperatures to the modeled projections, and not to the mean of some arbitrarily chosen reference period. Obviously October’s observed difference is gaping and the failure of the models is becoming ever more glaring with each passing year.
Along with the cold temperatures, October 2015 in the Vaterland also brought with it snow – down to the flatlands. Moreover the town of Treuen, northeast of Plauen, saw 12 cm of the white stuff. The coldest temperature recorded was -7.5°C at Deutschneudorf-Brüderwiese.
On the 14th of October in the city of Gera the temperature did not even climb above +1°C. The DWD writes that “on this day almost all of the state of Thuringia disappeared under a blanket of snow, where at Weimar-Schöndorf the greatest snow depth of 8 cm was reached”.
Overall in Germany October was the 9th driest on record, and it was 11 percent less sunny than normal. How does this compare to the models? They projected wet and mild falls and winters, and so from a precipitation point of view here too the models are totally off. Well, at least they got the sunshine a little bit right.
Austria more than 1°C colder than model projections
Germany’s southeastern neighbor Austria also came in cooler …0.1°C below the “long-term average”, so reports the Austrian ZAMG national weather service. That means Austria was more than 1°C colder than what the models projected we should have for this time. Strangely the ZAMG writes that since 2000, 124 months were warmer than normal and 66 were too cool. How these months are distributed over the period and what the trend has been since 2000 gets no mention at all. Hmmm. Are they hiding something? Well, at least the DWD’s new website no longer carries the graphic of rising temperatures.
Unlike Germany, Austria saw a very wet and gray month. The ZAMG writes that “it was wetter than average (40 percent more precipitation) and gray (15 precent less sunshine hours)“.