IPCC Intentionally Uses Catastrophic
Non-Science To Incite Policy Action
“The most striking feature of the present reconstruction is the absence of any warming trend in the 20th century” — Yadav et al., 1997
Bhattacharyya and Chaudhary, 2003
In 2007, IPCC Claimed The Himalayan Region Has Been Warming So Rapidly Its Glaciers Would ‘Disappear’ By 2035
“Glaciers in the Himalaya are receding faster than in any other part of the world and, if the present rate continues, the likelihood of them disappearing by the year 2035 and perhaps sooner is very high if the Earth keeps warming at the current rate. Its total area will likely shrink from the present 500,000 to 100,000 km2 by the year 2035 (WWF, 2005).”
IPCC’s Fake Glacier Melt Claim Came From Activists, Intentionally Put In To Spur Policymakers To Action
David Rose, UK Daily Mail
“The claim that Himalayan glaciers are set to disappear by 2035 rests on two 1999 magazine [phone] interviews with glaciologist Syed Hasnain, which were then recycled without any further investigation in a 2005 report by the environmental [activist] group WWF. It was this report that Dr Lal and his team cited as their source.”
88% Of Himalayan Glaciers Are Stable Or Advancing — With Overall Negligible Change (0.2%) Since 2000
Bahuguna et al., 2014 (Himalayan Glaciers)
“Two thousand and eighteen glaciers representing climatically diverse terrains in the Himalaya were mapped and monitored [between 2000-2010]. It includes glaciers of Karakoram, Himachal, Zanskar, Uttarakhand, Nepal and Sikkim regions. Among these, 1752 glaciers (86.8%) were observed having stable fronts (no change in the snout position and area of ablation zone), 248 (12.3%) exhibited retreat and 18 (0.9%) of them exhibited advancement of snout. The net loss in 10,250.68 sq. km area of the 2018 glaciers put together was found to be 20.94 sq. km or 0.2%.”
Only 4 Gt Per Year Of ‘High Mountain Asia’ Glacier Loss For 2003-2010
Jacob et al., 2012 (‘High Mountains of Asia’)
“The GIC [global glaciers and ice caps excluding the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets] rate for 2003–2010 is about 30 per cent smaller than the previous mass balance estimate that most closely matches our study period. The high mountains of Asia [Himalayan Region], in particular, show a mass loss of only 4 ± 20 Gt yr−1 for 2003–2010, compared with 47–55 Gt yr−1 in previously published estimates.”
[A 4 Gt mass loss per year is the sea level rise equivalent of 0.01 mm per year, or about one tenth of one centimeter per century.]
Contrary To IPCC Claims, There Has Been No Recent Himalayan Warming
Thapa et al., 2015 (Nepal Himalaya)
“[T]emperature in Central Asia and northern Hemisphere revert back towards cooling trends in the late twentieth century. Thus looking at all the records we observed that our present study is following patterns of temperature variations observed in surrounding regions.”
Krusic et al., 2015 (Himalaya, Bhutan)
“At multidecadal to multicentennial timescales, summer temperatures during much of the fifteenth to eighteenth centuries were below the calibration period average, containing deep [cooling] departures that coincide with minima in solar energy output [Usoskin et al., 2002, 2003]. The warmest period occurs within the most recent decade, 2004–2013 C.E.; however, this period is not statistically unprecedented compared with earlier warm periods, e.g., in the 1650s and late fourteenth century.”
Yadav, 2009 (Western Himalaya)
“The decreasing temperature trend in late 20th century is consistent with trends noted in Nepal (Cook et al. 2003), Tibet (Briffa et al. 2001) and Central Asia (Briffa et al. 2001). The cooling trend in late 20th century mean temperature has been found to be due to cooling trend noted in minimum temperature during the second half of the 20th century in semi-arid western Himalaya.”
Zafar et al., 2016 (Pakistan, Karakorum-Himalaya)
Sano et al., 2005 (Nepal)
“March–September temperature was reconstructed for the past 249 years, which shows a warming trend from 1750s until approximately 1790, followed by cooling until 1810, then by a gradual warming trend extending to 1950, and a notable cold period continuing up to the present. No evidence of a consistent warming trend over the last century or two commonly appearing in higher latitudes was found in the present reconstruction”
Li et al., 2011 (Southwest China)
Fan et al, 2009 (Hengduan Mountains, South China)
Yadav and Singh, 2002 (Western Himalaya)
“The 1945–1974 period was the warmest 30-yr mean period of the 20th century. However, this warming, in the context of the past four centuries, appears well within the range of normal limits. The 30-yr mean temperature anomaly for 1662–1691 (0.19°C) exceeds in magnitude (although not significantly, p = 0.23) the 1945–1974 mean (0.05°C).”
Himalayan Region 1-2°C Warmer During Medieval Warm Period
“[T]he Caucasus Mountains are technically considered to be a continuation of the Himalayas”
19 responses to “Observations Show No Warming Trend, Mostly Stable Glaciers In The Himalayas…Contradicting IPCC’s ‘Fake News’”
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“In 2007, IPCC Claimed The Himalayan Region Has Been Warming So Rapidly Its Glaciers Would ‘Disappear’ By 2035.”
One of the biggest IPCC blunder even done. It was so absurd from the start,and had no credible support for that whopper of a claim.
Yet a lot of brainless warmists swallowed the nonsense in a hurry.
No- there’s bigger whoppers in there, just not as blatant.
It’s when the glaciers stop melting that that the downstream communities need to start worrying, but no-one mentions that.
It wasn’t a blunder or mistake — which is the very same defense used by the propagandists. It was an intentional, deliberate act.
The lead author who said “We thought we should put it in” despite its known sourcing had another “more than 500 reviewers” look at this claim, and each allowed it to stay in. That doesn’t happen without intentionality, or an agenda.
A mistake gets corrected. Politically-based purposefulness is allowed to remain.
Well you are correct in what you say Kenneth, but when I said Blunder,I meant it was that way because it was so obviously false,that it made the IPCC look bad even to warmists.
Yes, I didn’t mean to have it appear that I was “correcting” your wording as much as I was trying to make it clear that the usual defense used by propagandists is that this “disappear by 2035” claim was a “mistake” that slipped past them, or that they actually meant 2305, not 2035 (yes, they actually used that defense!) was, to put it bluntly, a lie. So it wasn’t you, it was them, if you know what I mean. (o:
[…] – See more at: notrickszone.com […]
Must be no CO2 up there to cause warming 😉
Away for ocean effect and energy absorbed by those oceans during the Grand Solar Maxiumum of the latter half of last century, the gravity/thermal control is obvious.
Only major changes are when solar energy dips for a while.
Glaciers Melting in the Himalayas
The photographs below are from “Tracking the Himalaya’s Melting Glaciers” http://e360.yale.edu/content/feature.msp?id=2295 “David Breashears is a mountaineer, photographer, and filmmaker who has reached the summit of Mount Everest five times and has produced more than 40 film projects, including “Storm Over Everest.”. He has done a great job of documenting glacial melting in the Himalayas.
RIVERS OF ICE: Panoramic view of West Rongbuk Glacier and Mount Everest, taken in 1921 (top) by Major E.O. Wheeler and in 2009 (bottom) by David Breashears. (Photo courtesy of the Royal Geographical Society) View a photo gallery. http://e360.yale.edu/content/images/0710-breashears-rongbuk-comp.html
If you compare the two views, the middle portions of the two photographs show some 400 to 500 feet of glacial thinning (melting) from 1921 to 2009. (Height difference measured via Google Earth.)
The Kyetrak Glacier, located on the northern slope of 26,906-foot Cho Oyu in Tibet, as photographed in 1921 (top) by Major E.O. Wheeler and in 2009 (bottom) by David Breashears. In the past 90 years, the glacier has retreated and melted so extensively that a lake has formed where once there was ice and snow. (Wheeler photo courtesy of Royal Geographical Society.)
If you check elevations via Google Earth, the height difference between the lake surface and the top of the lateral moraine to the left of the lake is over 600 feet. That means that over 600 feet of ice has melted during the 88 year time interval. If you want to check the view via Google Earth, the lake is at 28.20 N, 86.58 E – some 25 miles WNW of Mt. Everest.
Also please see:
“Multi-decadal mass loss of glaciers in the Everest area (Nepal Himalaya) derived from stereo imagery”
“We reveal that the glaciers have been significantly losing mass since at least 1970, despite thick debris cover. The specific mass loss for 1970–2007 is 0.32±0.08mw.e. a−1”
(mw.e. a-1 = meters of water equivalent per annum(year))
Unaccountable, unelected Climate scam UN bureaucrats make 7 figure salaries tax free:
2010, Greg Combet, Australia offers $499M:
“MARK COLVIN: One of the big sticking points at the climate summit in Cancun is how best to distribute the $30 billion promised under the Copenhagen Accord. The money, known as Fast Start Finance, is designed to help poor countries reduce their own carbon emissions and protect themselves against climate impact for the next two years.”
2014, Julie Bishop gifts $200M:
Julie Bishop announces Australia’s $200 million contribution to UN Green Climate Fund.
> Nice work if you can get it, but when will they prevent their first drought?
Feb, 2017: Drought and war spark famine across Horn of Africa and South Sudan
[ http://www.dw.com/en/drought-and-war-spark-famine-across-horn-of-africa-and-south-sudan/a-19034165 ]
““The most striking feature of the present reconstruction is the absence of any warming trend in the 20th century” — Yadav et al., 1997”
Oh my god. 1997. These lists of cherrypicks are totally useless.
Yadav et al is not about 1997. Pull the other one sod.
Publication dates for the 13 scientific papers cited, in order: 1997, 2003, 2014, 2012, 2015, 2015, 2009, 2016, 2005, 2011, 2009, 2002, 2016
sod has cherry-picked the oldest one of the 13 papers, then declared all of the other 12 “totally useless” apparently because he believes newer papers indicate there has been warming in the Himalayas in more recent years. They don’t. There hasn’t.
Actually, the Himalayas had higher rates of glacier melt in the middle of the 20th century — and in several decades during the 17th, 18th, and 19th centuries than in recent decades — according to even the most recently published papers.
But since you believe, sod, that these are “cherry-picked” papers, apparently you think there are reconstructions available that show the Himalayas have been warming in recent decades. Please provide these citations so we can all see how useful your database is.
Bolch et al., 2016
Glaciers in the Hunza Catchment (Karakoram) are in balance since the 1970s
Previous geodetic estimates of mass changes in the Karakoram revealed balanced budgets or a possible slight mass gain since the year ~ 2000. Indications for longer-term stability exist but no mass budget analyses are available before 2000. Here, we show that glaciers in the Hunza River basin (Central Karakoram) were on average in balance since the 1970s based on analysis of stereo Hexagon KH-9, SRTM, ASTER and Cartosat-1 data. Heterogeneous behaviour and frequent surge activities were also characteristic for the period before 2000.
Holzer et al., 2015
Abstract: Recent mass balance measurements indicate a slight mass gain at Muztag Ata in the Eastern Pamir [China] We extend these measurements both in space and time by using remote sensing data and present four decades of glacier variations in the en- 5 tire mountain massif. … On average, the glaciers showed a small, insignificant shrinkage from 274.3 ± 10.6 km2 in 1973 to 272.7 ± 1.0 km2 in 2013 (−0.02 ± 0.1 % a−1 20 ). Average mass changes in the range of −0.03 ± 0.33 m w.e. a−1 (1973–2009) to −0.01 ± 0.30 m w.e. a−1 (1973–2013) reveal nearly balanced budgets for the last forty years. Indications of slightly positive trends after 1999 (+0.04 ± 0.27 m w.e. a−1 ) are confirmed by in-situ measurements.
Zhang et al., 2016
The assessment of glacier mass budget is crucial for assessing water reserves stored in glaciers. Derived glacier mass changes in the Muztag Ata and Kongur Tagh (MAKT) region in the eastern Pamir, northwestern China, is helpful in improving our knowledge of the dynamics of glaciers under a changing climate in High Mountain Asia. Here, glacier area and mass changes derived from remote sensing data are investigated for the period 1971/76–2013/14 for glaciers in MAKT. … Our results indicated that the glacier area of MAKT decreased from 1018.3 ± 12.99 km2 in 1971/ 76 to 999.2 ± 31.22 km2 in 2014 (–1.9 ± 0.2%). Weak area shrinkage of glaciers by 2.5 ± 0.5 km2 (0.2 ± 0.1%) happened after 2000 and the period 2009–2014 even saw a slight expansion by 0.5 ± 0.1 km2 (0.1 ± 0.0%).
Yep, only 97% of the 20th century considered 😉
Your feet must be exceedingly tasty, sob, because you ALWAYS seem to have them in your gob.
Burning hydrocarbon fuels produces more water than CO2 so the rise of the oceans is definitely our fault.
We need to cease hydrocarbon energy immediately to reduce the concentration of that most destructive greenhouse molecule water – that ought to be easy to sell to the gullibles !
Pierre, I am disappointed you would publish this!
Kenneth, I am dis-custard you would have the hide to present temperature graphs that have obviously not been properly adjusted by NOAA or similar agency, experienced in the corrective treatment of temperature records!!
Shame on you naughty boys!
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