Volcano Agung in Bali is showing worrisome signs of a major eruption, writes German climate blogger Schneefan here. The highest level of activity with multiple tremor episodes were just recorded. You can monitor Agung via live cam and live seismogram.
The 3000-mter tall Agung has been at the highest warning level 4 since September 21.
Schneefan writes that the lava rise has started and that “an eruption can be expected at any time“.
So far some 140,000 people have been evacuated from the area of hazard, which extends up to 12 km from the volcano. Schneefan writes:
Yesterday ground activity by far exceeded the previous high level. Quakes have become more frequent and stronger, which indicates a stronger magma flow (see green in the histogram). Since October 13 there has been for the first time a “nonharmonic trembling (tremor), which can be seen in red at the top of the last two bars of the histogram.”
The colors of the columns in the bar chart from bottom to top stand for perceptible earthquakes (blue) low eartnhquakes (green) surface quakes (orange . Just recently red appeared, signifying non harmonic tremors. The seismogram below shows what are at times longer period quakes: meaning magma is violently flowing in the volcano. Source: https://magma.vsi.esdm.go.id/.
Since yesterday the seismogram for AGUNG has been showing powerful rumbling (red).
The seismogram of AGUNG shows powerful tremors (level RED). The seismogram is updated every 3 minutes: Source: Seismogramm
Because Agung is located near the equator, a major eruption with ash flying up into the stratosphere would have short-term climatic impacts that could last a few years.
Agung last erupted in 1963 with an explosivity index of VEI 5, sending a plume of ash some 25 km into the atmosphere before leading to a cooling of 0.5°C. The eruption of Pinatubo in the Philippines in 1991 led to a global cooling of 0.5°C.
the effects of this and other volcanos will travel back in time to be responsible for the “pause”, should the pause-buster paper be finally abandoned by the AGW scaremongers.
At the moment, it is Midnight there.
The video shows softly lighted trees and (I think) bats (?) flying through the nearby light.
If it blows during night time, this will be an interesting image.
At 48 minutes to 50 minutes the screen was filled with movement — maybe winds blowing dust and debris. All just in front of the camera. Nothing in the distance — where the mountain is.
At 53 minutes calm has returned.
After 2 AM, rain and lightning near the camera.
No action in the distance.
At 3:35, another storm is going on.
And I have things to do elsewhere.
Bye.
A global cooling of .5C
One wonders how the scientivists at NASA will handle that temperature shift, especially with the massive world-wide documentation which would track it.
Simple – homogenisation.
A subset of “spread the wealth around?”
About Noon:
Five folks are under a tree with large white flowers;
http://volunteerprogramsbali.org/flowers-of-bali-the-frangipani/
Locally known as jepun.
Otherwise, this is like watching paint dry.
And I’m off to bed.
As new CO2 sinks develop (measured by OCO-2), hence NASA has been hiding its data, CO2 CS will fall to near zero. It does not exist because extra latent heat, more low level cloud and cloud albedo and absorption by greening exactly offset it.
TSI change controls surface temperature, plus the THC – 800 year time constant since the end of the MWP in 1200.