First Time In 70 Years No Pacific Typhoon Forms In July… Alarmists Alarmed Typhoon Trend Falling!

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This year is the first time since 1951 the Pacific sees no typhoons in the month of July. Typhoons have seen downward trend since 1951. 




By Kirye
and Pierre Gosselin

Global warming alarmists like to claim that tropical storms will intensify and become more frequent unless people stop using fossil fuels.

And recently these alarmists have had our attention steered to the Atlantic basin, where tropical storms this year have seen quite an active season thus far.

Another reason the focus has been on the Atlantic is because very little has been happening in terms of Pacific typhoons, and the alarmists don’t want to talk about that.

In fact this July is the first July to have seen no typhoons formed in the Pacific at all since statistics on this began in 1951, according to the data from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA).

Data source: JMA, here and here

Normally between 3 to 4 typhoons form in the Pacific in July. Up to 8 have formed in the past, e.g. on 2017 and 1971. But this year July failed to see a single typhoon form – the first time this has occurred since 1951.

Trend contradicts the forecasts of climate scientists

But one year does not make a trend. Global warming alarmists say storms are getting and will be more frequent, and stronger. So let’s look at the data here as well.

The following chart shows the number of typhoons formed in the Pacific each year from January to July, since 1951:

Data source: JMA, here and here

Contrary to what global warming alarmists say, the trend has been downward! The year 2020 has been the second quietest on record – so far.

A warmer world is tamer?

Now we look at total number of typhoons formed each entire year:

Data source: JMA, here and here

Once again the global warming alarmists are shown to be wrong. In fact, it’s probably the other way around: A warmer planet leads to less storm activity. But this is not the message the purveyors of fear want us to hear.

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18 responses to “First Time In 70 Years No Pacific Typhoon Forms In July… Alarmists Alarmed Typhoon Trend Falling!”

  1. ClimatePoet

    Excellent research team!

    Keep on carpet-bombing the Doomsday Myth with narrative-destroying truth-bombs.

  2. ClimateYogi

    I live in the middle of the Pacific Ocean , Hawaii to be exact . I watched a Hurricane go just north of us a week ago that started in the Pacific and in July . Why doesn’t that count ? Thankfully it missed us this time !
    Where does a typhoon become a hurricane ?

    1. Glenn Taylor

      Hurricanes and typhoons are the same thing but it’s called one or the other depending on which part of the ocean it occurs in. Not sure why but I believe Hawaii is located in a zone where it would be called typhoon:

      https://oceanservice.noaa.gov/facts/cyclone.html

      Zone MaP

      https://lfort.files.wordpress.com/2010/04/16-pacific_ocean_regions_map.gif

    2. The Indomitable Snowman, Ph.D.

      Weather bureaucracy.

      The Pacific is divided into four quadrants (NE, NW, SW, SE) based on the Equator and the International Date Line. A tropical cyclone that has sustained winds of 65 knots or greater is called a “hurricane” in the NE PAC (same as in the Atlantic) and a “typhoon” in the NW PAC. If a NE PAC hurricane happens to cross the dateline heading west, it keeps the given name, but is then called a typhoon.

      In the SW PAC, any tropical storm with sustained winds of 35 knots or greater is simply called a “tropical cyclone.” The same convention applies in the SE PAC but it’s extremely rare for tropical storms to form (or even exist) there.

      The NW PAC being so quiet (“no typhoons or even tropical storms”) is indeed extremely rare – as the NW PAC is the most fertile ground in the world for tropical systems, and has the longest season (pretty much year-round).

  3. Yonason

    Sadly, without monsoons many Asian countries won’t have the water they need to grow their food. I can hear the alarmists now, shrieking about how they told us there’d be a drought.

    Too much rain? It’s “climate change.” Too little rain? It’s “climate change.” Just enough rain? They’ll move the laser pointer to some other problem, because in a world that’s always been chaotic, there’ll always be something for them to pretend is caused by… “climate change.”

    1. John F. Hultquist

      Monsoon! Typhoon!
      One is a seasonal shift of massive air currents.
      One is a storm driven by heating and Coriolis force.
      Not close to being the same thing.

      1. Yonason

        Thank you, John.

        It appears that I either misread some material at some point, and/or some of that material was misleading. It doesn’t help that both occur at the same time of the year.
        https://api.army.mil/e2/c/downloads/329016.pdf

        In any case, you are correct. I appreciate the correction.

        1. Yonason

          P.S. – Yesterday I was puzzled when I went to see how little rain Asia was getting due to the lack of Typhoons, and saw that Monsoons weren’t affected.
          https://weather.com/en-IN/india/monsoon/news/2020-05-28-monsoon-2020-arrive-earlier-forecast-imd-predicts-onset-june-1

          I was about to figure it out myself, but thanks for expediting that process. //:o]

        2. John F. Hultquist

          Both important. Nice link. Thanks.

  4. Yonason

    A few weeks ago or so, Joe Bastardi commented that while the Atlantic hurricane season shuts down in the winter, there’s always activity in the Pacific, which was hey he was puzzled by the recent lack of monsoon activity. I haven’t watched his this-week’s Saturday Summary, so I don’t know if he mentions it there. But, yes, it has been noticed, at least by him. Thanks, Pierre and Kirye for addressing it in more depth than I’ve heard yet.

  5. pochas94

    I believe hurricanes, tornados, typhoons, etc. are intensified by solar activity, so may be lessened for the next 10+ years, or until strong solar activity resumes. Are there areas (like India) that depend on typhoons for agriculture? They may need to do some planning.

  6. La prima volta in 70 anni: nessun tifone nel Pacifico nel mese di luglio ... Allarmisti allarmati - La tendenza dei tifoni scende!

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  7. mikewaite

    Some people elsewhere have suggested that Pacific storms or cyclones are becoming more destructive. Could they be fewer, but more energetic? I thought that globally cyclone energy was diminishing year on year as the SST increases ( sightly).

  8. tom0mason

    Oh dear, mere observational evidence seems to be letting the hot air out of the ‼ALARM‼ balloon.

    Oh what a pity, models got it wrong AGAIN!

  9. First Time In 70 Years No Pacific Typhoon Formed In July | altnews.org

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  10. czechlist

    I was serving in the 7th fleet in ’71. We were constantly avoiding typhoons. One (Rose, I think) ruined my R&R in Hong Kong.

    1. Yonason

      Adm., ‘Bull’ Halsey got caught in two during the war.
      https://youtu.be/E4yXC1WwCrs

      It’s what happens when you don’t have satellites to know were they are, or to follow their course changes even when you know one is out there.

      I was usually in port, only being in a bit of rough weather once off Hatteras, but never a full blown hurricane, fortunately.

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