Earth Still Much Colder Than Optimum, Science Shows…Lives Can Be Saved By More Warming

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Despite all the hysterical media claims, the earth’s climate is still extremely hostile and deadly in terms of cold. Warming would save millions of lives.

Yesterday’s post looked at how cold is far more deadly than heat.

Comparatively few people die from heat. Cold is the real killer. Image: The Lancet

After all, people can die of hypothermia exposed to even at outside temperatures of 15°C, which is thought to be about the mean global temperature.

People flocking to Florida, not Minnesota

So little wonder that senior citizens prefer retiring in Florida, and not Alaska or Frozen Wasteland Minnesota. And no wonder people love summertime much more than they do winter.

Allan McRae added further on how cold kills, and I’ve upgraded his comment to a post:

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2017/07/17/alarm-about-alarmism/#comment-2104459

Joe d’Aleo and I had written a paper on Excess Winter Mortality based on other evidence when the major Lancet study was published, so we revised our paper to include that excellent study. Our summary reads: ‘Cold weather kills. Throughout history and in modern times, many more people succumb to cold exposure than to hot weather, as evidenced in a wide range of cold and warm climates.’

Evidence is provided from a study of 74 million deaths in thirteen cold and warm countries including Thailand and Brazil, and studies of the United Kingdom, Europe, the USA, Australia and Canada.

Contrary to popular belief, Earth is colder-than-optimum for human survival. A warmer world, such as was experienced during the Roman Warm Period and the Medieval Warm Period, is expected to lower winter deaths and a colder world like the Little Ice Age will increase winter mortality, absent adaptive measures.

These conclusions have been known for many decades, based on national mortality statistics.”

COLD WEATHER KILLS 20 TIMES AS MANY PEOPLE AS HOT WEATHER September 4, 2015
by Joseph D’Aleo and Allan MacRae
https://friendsofsciencecalgary.files.wordpress.com/2015/09/cold-weather-kills-macrae-daleo-4sept2015-final.pdf

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2017/09/23/the-evils-of-climate-enthusiasm/#comment-2164819
[excerpts]

The elderly and the poor in the United Kingdom, Germany and other countries are suffering increased winter deaths due to high energy costs. In the UK, this human disaster is called “Heat or Eat”.

The Excess Winter Mortality Rate in Britain is much higher than that in Canada. Canada has a population of about 35 million and the UK about 65 million, but Excess Winter Mortality in Canada is about 5000 to 10,000 per year, and in the UK it is 25,000 to 50,000 per year.

Canada and the UK have genetically similar populations and similar health care systems. Canada tends to be colder but mostly drier than the UK. However, Canada generally has much lower energy costs and better-insulated housing and probably better central heating systems, on average. This suggests that adaptation to winter and low energy costs are significant drivers of lower Winter Mortality rates.

Imagine IF the UK had competent politicians in the past several decades instead of warmist imbeciles. Instead of spending billions on green energy debacles, they could have spent the funds on improving home insulation and central heating, and encouraged fracking of shales to reduce natural gas prices, and a whole lot of grannies and grandpa’s would still be alive for their grandchildren.

Cheap, abundant, reliable energy is the lifeblood of society – it IS that simple.

When politicians fool with energy systems, real people suffer and die.”




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7 responses to “Earth Still Much Colder Than Optimum, Science Shows…Lives Can Be Saved By More Warming”

  1. bonbon

    Odd, no mention of Parson Malthus, of the British East India Company, Adam Smith’s sandbox. Even a cursory glance at Malthus’ ramblings explains the entirety of Her Majesty’s policies :
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thomas_Robert_Malthus
    Even Wokipedia cannot brush this gorilla under the Royal carpet.
    What is really stomach-turning, is the Junior Partner role the USA plays in this eugenics scheme. See Sir Henry Kissinger’s NSSM 200
    https://pdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/PCAAB500.pdf
    Imagine sanctioning Syrian kids with untold mortality, and claim moral high ground? Even sir Henry has mellowed – see the 1971 anniversary conference.

    Everyone knows modern journalism, known as MICIMATT (see Ray McGovern), is fake, but it is high time to call the shots!

  2. Richard Greene

    “A warmer world, such as was experienced during the Roman Warm Period and the Medieval Warm Period, is expected to lower winter deaths and a colder world like the Little Ice Age will increase winter mortality, …”

    —- I agree with the above statement from the article, but the RWP and MWP do not seem to have been that much warmer than 2020. So I’d vote for the Holocene Climate Optimum.

    But there is one advantage we have now — more CO2 in the atmosphere, greening our planet, and improving C3 food crops. Those plants would prefer even more CO2 — 800 to 1,200 PPM CO2 for maximum growth. Maximum plant growth would support maximum life on our planet. So anyone who is anti-CO2 is also anti-life.

    Cold weather increases deaths from heart attacks and respiratory diseases. I imagine most people living in a colder US state have heard of at least one relative, or neighbor, with heart disease, moving to a warmer state to ease the cold weather symptoms.

    1. tom0mason

      Exactly Richard,

      A warmer (and therefore wetter) planet & higher CO2 ⇢ LIFE bursts out everywhere ⇠ even the polar bears (and the penguins) will like as it’s less cold and there’s more fish, seals, walruses, etc.

  3. drumphish

    How did the indigenous tribes of Canada survive with no modern day heating systems whatsoever?

    The Big Village, Canada, a native American word, gets rather cold up north during winter.

    Buffalo were a dominant species of mammal, their hides provided comfort and warmth. Line the inside of the teepee with buffalo hides to baffle the flow of air, the heat rises, warms the hides, a fire of buffalo chips and/or wood, kept everybody warm all winter long. A primitive heating system, still works fine, just have to set it up so it can.

    Run a few hundred buffalo over a cliff, you have work to do, dry the buffalo meat to have something to eat.

    You had survival skills nonpareil.

    I have two indigenous peoples’ artifacts in my house, they’re stone with a grooved band around one end of the rock, a tool for one reason or more.

    Deer hides got you some nice doeskin garb. You have to wear clothes, you’ll die a lot sooner if you have no clothes to wear, just makes sense.

    The Manitoba, the Saskatchewan, the Ontario, the Nunavut even farther north, all lived to tell the story to this day. Inhabitants on Baffin Island are still there after all this time.

    There are petroglyphs out there in various places that prove tribes existed there for some 15,000 years.

    Hydrocarbons are used today, modern civilization benefits the most.

    Without those hydrocarbons, you’ll be bathing maybe once each week.

    When it’s summer, you’ll jump in the lake to cleanse yourself, you’ll need it.

    Before soap, people would be ripe smelling all of the time.

    A warm place to live, a hot shower, comfortable digs, winter is then bearable and tolerable, you can still do plenty.

    Millions of barrels of crude oil provide the means for a better and more comfortable life for people the world over.

    And thank Nikola Tesla for electricity that can be harnessed to provide light at night so whalers don’t have to hunt whales to extinction. Nikola was busting out the seams long before you got here, pure unadulterated brilliance, one mind like that makes your existence a dream come true.

    Oil for transportation, gotta get to the dam building project somehow. Coal to burn to generate electricity by the gigawatts everywhere you go.

    The world is still in turmoil, always has been and will always be.

    Human nature doesn’t change that much.

    Let the electrons flow, refine the oil to fuels and lubricants for agriculture.

    If you have nothing, you won’t be happy, you’ll freeze in wintertime.

    Klaus Schwab is an idiot, can’t be helped.

    Humans have acquired an incredible amount of knowledge, make the best use of it at all times.

    And don’t listen to Klaus, he can go jump in the lake.

  4. Denis Ables

    A couple of Oslo researchers recently demonstrated, via experiment, that CO2 level anywhere betwixt .04% and 100% has no observable impact on warming. This is consistent with apparently no evidence that CO2 has ever had any impact on global warming.

    History indicates a forthcoming cooling.

    1, The annual rate of increasing sea level has become minuscule, 1 to 3mm per year (1mm = 4/100 of one inch). We are 10,000+ years into our current warming between ice ages (now referred to as glaciations). The average duration of this intervening warming period is about 10,000 years which clearly indicates that we are near the next glaciation.

    2. Sun activity (sun spots) is very low. Don Easterbrook’s book-length study covering the past 800,000 years shows that every period of low sun activity leads to cooling. High sun activity, which ended recently, results in warming periods).
    Svensmark’s straight-forward theory (confirmed by CERN) indicates that low sun activity leads to higher levels of cosmic ray entry into our lower atmosphere and that leads to more cloud cover (so less sun radiation reaches the earth’s surface, hence cooling).

    Let’s hope that the cooling now underway is not the beginning of our next glaciation.

    1. The Indomitable Snowman, Ph.D.

      “… CO2 level anywhere betwixt .04% and 100% has no observable impact on warming.”

      As has been pointed out a number of times, this should not be a surprise.

      People in the greenhouse business regularly pump a lot of CO2 into greenhouses – enough to be for example triple the concentration in the regular atmosphere. They do this to enhance plant growth (!), and the effect on the temperature in the greenhouse is zilch.

      If CO2 was so good at radiative trapping-and-heating, adding CO2 to any interior air would be a great (and cost-free means) of heating. Too bad it does nothing on that count.

  5. Weekly Climate and Energy Roundup #463 – Watts Up With That?

    […] Earth Still Much Colder Than Optimum, Science Shows…Lives Can Be Saved By More Warming […]

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