Comprehensive European Study Finds Warmer Climate Periods Do Not Lead To More Conflict, War

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Analysis of 1000 years of European wars finds that more war and conflict are not linked to warm climates.

One of the scare stories used by the global warming alarmists is the claim that climate extremes produced by manmade climate change will lead to greater strife and more bloody wars.

Hat-tip: Klimaschau

But that assumption is not holding up so well according tot eh results of a new study by Carleton et al: “A Song of Neither Ice nor Fire: Temperature Extremes had No Impact on Violent Conflict Among European Societies During the 2nd Millennium CE“.

The authors looked at the last 1000 years of bloody conflict across Europe and compared to how well the matched up to the climate extremes between the years 1005 – 1980 A.D.

FIGURE 1. Time series data used in this study. Where available, we include confidence intervals for the climate data (middle three panels) and those are represented by lighter grey ribbons. Source: Carleton et al 

The authors compared a well-known annual historical conflict record to four published temperature reconstructions for Central and Western Europe.

What did the authors find? Did they find that warm climate periods led to bitter conflicts and so we’ll be sorry if we keep driving climate warming SUVs?

The results surprised the usual doomsayers. Warmer climate periods did not lead to more conflict and wars.

The authors sum up their findings:

Our results indicated that none of the temperature reconstructions could be used to explain variation in conflict levels. It seems that shifts to extreme climate conditions may have been largely irrelevant to the conflict generating process in Europe during the second millennium CE.”

For many of us, this of course comes as no surprise. Wars are simply caused by those in power lying and deceiving their people into hating and fighting, like today.




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12 responses to “Comprehensive European Study Finds Warmer Climate Periods Do Not Lead To More Conflict, War”

  1. Comprehensive European Study Finds Warmer Climate Periods Do Not Lead to More Conflict, War – Climate- Science.press

    […] Comprehensive European Study Finds Warmer Climate Periods Do Not Lead To More Conflict, War […]

  2. Adam Gallon
  3. Ben Vorlich

    I can’t quote any papers on this but I;ve always understood/believed that it’s cold weather, prolonged cold weather in fact, that causes people to migrate to warmer areas.

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  11. Richard Greene

    This is ridiculous baloney
    First of all, we have no accurate
    global average temperature compilations
    before 1979. Climate proxies are local
    and not accurate enough for measuring the
    relatively small estimated temperature deviations
    in the past 10,000 years

    The local temperatures did not change enough
    to get people irritated and more likely to start wars.
    There may have been few unusually cold seasons
    that people did not like, and they may have
    caused some famines, such as in the 1690s.

    Other than that unusually cold decade,
    there is no reason to assume there is a
    cause and effect relationship
    between local weather and wars.
    And good reason to expect
    this “study” is baloney.

  12. Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #498 – Watts Up With That?

    […] Comprehensive European Study Finds Warmer Climate Periods Do Not Lead To More Conflict, War […]

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